Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-4   EXA (8/1/3/6)-(8/1/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-6 $107.34 $83.34 347%
    TRI (8/1/3/6)-(8/1/3/6)-(8/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-6-8 $71.52 $59.52 496%
CD-5   TRI (11/6/4/2/7)-(11/6/4/2/7)-(11/6/4/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-11-4 $62.06 $32.06 107%
    SFT (11/6/4/2/7)-(11/6/4/2/7)-(11/6/4/2/7)-(11/6/4/2/7) 120 $0.10 $12.00  6-11-4-7 $63.88 $51.88 432%
CD-7   WIN (3/8/1/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  12 $18.26 $8.26 83%
    EXA (3/8/1/12/5)-(3/8/1/12/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  12-1 $176.72 $136.72 342%
CD-9   TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1/3)-(2/5/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-1-3 $29.90 $20.90 232%
CD-10   WIN (2/16/8/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $23.44 $13.44 134%
    EXA (2/16/8/5/9)-(2/16/8/5/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00  8-9 $174.62 $134.62 337%
    TRI (2/16/8/5/9)-(2/16/8/5/9)-(2/16/8/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-9-5 $245.33 $215.33 718%
    SFT (2/16/8/5/9)-(2/16/8/5/9)-(2/16/8/5/9)-(2/16/8/5/9) 120 $0.10 $12.00  8-9-5-2 $227.44 $215.44 1795%
    DD (2/5/1)-(2/16/8/5/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-8 $33.33 $18.33 122%
CD-11   DD (2/16/8/5/9)-(9/6/8/1/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00  8-6 $76.94 $51.94 208%
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(2/16/8/5/9)-(9/6/8/1/2) 75 $0.50 $37.50  2-8-6 $120.02 $82.52 220%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RUNAWAY JOKE   (heitzman e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 3.15  
1  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN   (barnett b)LEPAROUX R 124 3.00 ★ 3.48 P
5  AIR FORCE CRUISING   (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 2.50 40% 1.50 1.95 S
7  WHOLEHEARTEDLY   (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 8.00 19% 4.30 13.04  
4  MUNYHUNGRY   (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 15.95  
9  BEEZER   (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 15.03  
2  SCAT DANZ   (cash norm)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00 35.85  
3  WILD WEST JUSTICE   (caramori )TORRES A 118 6.00 16% 5.30 8.72  
6  GUILTY AFFAIR   (barnett c)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.32  
 
CD-2   05/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LATE NITE LIZZIE   (habeeb donald )ASHTON GAVIN 118 12.00 5.86  
7  ESME   (king l)MOJICA JR 124 3.50 44% 1.20 3.73 P
4  SHE'S MAGIC   (gowan willia)MONCADA IRVING 114 12.00 2.65  
3  I GOTTA BOLT   (hancock jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 ★ 3.82  
5  BLUE GUITAR   (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 15% 5.60 1.67  
SCR  CUMBERLAND FALLS   (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00    
SCR  NEW BEAT   (casse no)SANTANA JR 124 2.00    
 
CD-3   05/11/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATHYNMARISSA   (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 39% 1.60 1.88 W
2  LAST CALL (ARG)   (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.46 P
3  BOSS LADY BAILEY   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00 6.10  
4  JOHANNY   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 14% 6.20 3.05  
8  CATMINT   (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.62  
5  BAG LADY   (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 10.52  
6  JE SUIS RAPIDE   (king l)MOJICA JR 124 30.00 41.91  
SCR  SPARTAN QUEEN   (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
 
CD-4   05/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREEK HEIRESS   (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 123 3.00 19% 4.40 2.49 W
6  YO PUEDO   (medina ro)TORRES A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 23.13 P
8  DE' ANS EIGHTY   (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 47% 1.10 1.44 S
2  SISTER KISSES   (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 123 4.00 4.84  
7  OUTOFNOTHINGATALL   (toner j)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 8.31  
3  PROTOMAGIC   (cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 8.00 12% 7.10 16.18  
5  RED HOT JEANIE   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 7.57  
4  WILD ACCLAIM   (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00 44.73  
 
CD-5   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VERACRUZIN   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 13% 6.50 2.77 W
11  MACAW (IRE)   (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 32% 2.20 2.69 P
4  CHULLIGAN   (beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 124 12.00 11% 7.80 8.47 S
7  PHENOMENAL DREAM   (shorter a)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 15.76  
3  PENROD   (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 3.87  
9  BIG VELVET   (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 11.95  
2  BAJAN BOY   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 12.00 8% 11.70 20.92  
5  MAINTAIN   (mccutchen jaso)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 29.53  
1  FRIO RIVER   (lovell miche)TORRES A 118 6.00 18.62  
8  KALL KARL   (tomlinson mich)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 9.04  
SCR  COACH CAMPBELL   (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118 4.00    
 
CD-6   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GILDED CRAKEN   (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00 ★ 2.81  
7  DAZZLEMESILVER   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 123 3.00 ★ 5.26 P
1  SHOW TIME   (mackey wayne)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 70% 0.40 3.13 S
6  FLIPARINO   (arnold r)LANERIE J 123 10.00 4.67  
4  CANAVALL   (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.24  
2  WESTERN GHENT   (lukas wayn)TORRES A 123 8.00 14.35  
9  CRUISIN AND BOOZIN   (jarvis kathy)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 13.30  
5  ARTWELL   (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 123 10.00 11.94  
SCR  MERLOTTI   (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
 
CD-7   05/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 3:51
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  ROCK'N A HALO   (amoss tho)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 7% 13.90 8.13 W
1  ARMY OFFICER   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00 14% 6.30 6.53 P
10  ST. ARMANDS KEY   (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 10.00 12.55  
2  FUNNYFLAME   (calhoun will)TORRES A 118 8.00 6.31  
11  EL MATADOR   (tomlinson)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 29.51  
8  ZVEREV   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 22% 3.60 5.00  
5  FORTUNE SELLER   (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 5% 19.00 44.73  
7  GORILLA TREK   (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 29.20  
4  TIFAREEH   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 2.42  
9  BOLT AT MIDNIGHT   (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 34.60  
3  NGANNOU   (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 32% 2.10 5.12  
6  CEEPEEGEE   (moquett rona)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 15.00 45.02  
SCR  BEAN MACHINE   (amoss tho)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  KATHEEB   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/11/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CURLIN'S GESTURE   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 5.39  
12  AIR IT OUT   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 14.39  
9  PANCAKE HOUSE   (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 124 5.00 28% 2.50 9.20 S
8  PEEK   (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 4.00 13% 6.80 4.28  
11  TRUMPTASTIC   (tomlinson mich)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 31% 2.20 2.26  
4  MANDALORIAN   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 5% 19.00 5.02  
13  PURSUIT OF POWER   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 7% 13.50 11.60  
2  ROUSSETTE   (stall albert)TORRES A 118 6.00 16.76  
6  BEBEDOURO   (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00 25.24  
5  BRIO   (medina ro)TORRES A 118 20.00 48.85  
3  WAYLON   (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 26.08  
SCR  HE'S ELUSIVE   (jackson chr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00    
SCR  MR SCATTER   (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
 
CD-9   05/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HIT SHOW   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 45% 1.20 1.01 W
1  ALEXANDER HELIOS   (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.59 P
3  WARRIOR JOHNY   (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 ★ 22.03 S
7  CLASSIC CATCH   (pletcher)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 7.77  
5  GASOLINE   (pletcher )TORRES A 122 3.50 24% 3.10 4.92  
6  CONFIDENCE GAME   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 10.64  
4  HAYES STRIKE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 5.57  
 
CD-10   05/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Mamzelle Purse ($225K) 3 F PT- 5:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TWIRLING QUEEN   (d'angelo )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 10% 9.30 10.72 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ADVENTUROUS LADY by KANTHAROS)
9  TOUPIE (GB)   (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.79 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of AMERTUME by TAPIT)
5  CLOUDWALKER   (walsh bre)TORRES A 118 8.00 8% 11.50 3.12 S
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TALE OF CLASS by TALE OF EKATI)
2  NICE AS PIE   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 1.80 30% 2.40 4.55  
  (by TAPITURE out of HOW NICE by TALINUM)
3  BIG TROUBLE   (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 19.47  
  (by KANTHAROS out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  PIPIT   (walsh brend)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 40.01  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BROWSE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  NIKI NINE DOORS   (davis christop)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00 13.45  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
16  HOT BEACH   (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 19% 4.20 7.61  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of HOT WATER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  TIPSY RUNNER   (amoss tho)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 33.14  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of STAND BACK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
18  FIBBER   (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 72.14  
  (by FROSTED out of DEVIOUS INTENT by DIXIE UNION)
12  IMABOUTAGO (IRE)   (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 2.82  
  (by CALYX out of NEWTOWN PIPPIN by DUBAWI)
15  TIPSY TAMMY   (bauer a)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 34.26  
  (by ARROGATE out of PEGGY MAY by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  PAROLA SICURA   (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 30.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of ITS ABOUT MIDNIGHT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  RHAPSODY   (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STRUM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  MOONLIT LADY   (gutierre)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DIPLOMAT LADY by FORESTRY)
SCR  TWIRL AROUND   (foley greg)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of WILLOW HILLS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  HONEY DIJON   (sharp jo)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of ARCHANGELUS by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  LET THEM WATCH   (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MY ROLEX by PROUD ACCOLADE)
 
CD-11   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LA LA ROSE   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 22% 3.50 3.96 W
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ROSIE MY ROSIE by PURGE)
12  SPEIGHTER WOMAN   (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 17.99  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of PAJAMA BOTTOM by INCLUDE)
1  MUGEN   (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 12% 7.30 4.03 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PAOLA QUEEN by FLATTER)
9  ELLEN JAY   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 24% 3.10 1.15  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of COVFEFE by INTO MISCHIEF)
8  ON COMMAND   (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 21% 3.80 9.97  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FLAUTIST by FIRST DEFENCE)
4  ENDLESS GLOW   (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 11.07  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BERNINGBRIGHTLY by BERNARDINI)
3  BOURBON DIOR   (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 24.18  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FLORAL SKY by SKY MESA)
5  ELEGANT VISION   (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 20.86  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GOLD D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  TOTAL CLASS   (leonard geo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 5% 19.00 71.63  
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ABBEYVILLE MISS by GRAND SLAM)
10  DREAM ON STORMY   (winston d)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00 86.90  
  (by GET STORMY out of LU BATON by ROAR)
11  NOW HIRING   (fields ch)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 93.91  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SAUCY SYMPHONY by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  CHIC N DA WADDA   (toye l)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SILLY FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
SCR  CLOSING PRAYER   (baker james)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of CLOSING STATEMENT by BLAME)
SCR  GAL CAPONE   (pittman bonn)MONCADA IRVING 108 30.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of PRINCESS ROCKET by CURLIN)
SCR  ROCKAWAY REEF   (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of CLEVER COOKIE by SMART STRIKE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.