Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (5/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $8.30  
CD-2   Win (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $13.72  
CD-3   Win (1/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.76 $5.76  
CD-4   Win (8/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.98 $6.98  
CD-5   Win (11/6/4/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $7.54 $7.54  
CD-6   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $7.62  
CD-7   Win (3/8/1/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $18.26 $18.26 8.26
CD-8   Win (11/9/8/13/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $12.78  
CD-9   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.02 $4.02  
CD-10   Win (2/16/8/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $23.44 $23.44 13.44
CD-11   Win (9/6/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $9.92 $9.92  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:21 :442 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RUNAWAY JOKE 8 3 32½ 21   12 18¼ (heitzman eri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 3.15  
1  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 1 2 22 34   35½ 28¼ (barnett bob)LEPAROUX R 124 3.00 ★ 3.48 P
5  AIR FORCE CRUISING 5 4 12 11   22 310 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 2.50 40% 1.50 1.95 S
7  WHOLEHEARTEDLY 7 9 99¼ 89½   49½ 414 (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 8.00 19% 4.30 13.04  
4  MUNYHUNGRY 4 8 89 68½   510 518 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 15.95  
9  BEEZER 9 1 68½ 58½   612½ 619¼ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 15.03  
2  SCAT DANZ 2 7 79 912½   917 728 (cash norman)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00 35.85  
3  WILD WEST JUSTICE 3 6 43 46½   714 832 (caramori ca)TORRES A 118 6.00 16% 5.30 8.72  
6  GUILTY AFFAIR 6 5 56½ 79   816½ 933½ (barnett c)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.32  
 
CD-2   05/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:113 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LATE NITE LIZZIE 4 1 41½ 31 2½ 11½ 13½ (habeeb j)ASHTON GAVIN 118 12.00 5.86  
7  ESME 5 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 21½ 23½ (king l)MOJICA JR 124 3.50 44% 1.20 3.73 P
4  SHE'S MAGIC 2 5 3½ 41¼ 42 34 36 (gowan william)MONCADA IRVING 114 12.00 2.65  
3  I GOTTA BOLT 1 2 52½ 53¾ 54½ 56 46¼ (hancock john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 ★ 3.82  
5  BLUE GUITAR 3 4 2nk 2nk 3½ 44 58¾ (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 15% 5.60 1.67  
SCR  CUMBERLAND FALLS               (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00    
SCR  NEW BEAT               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 124 2.00    
 
CD-3   05/11/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:241 :50 1:144 1:39   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATHYNMARISSA 1 6 53 52½ 52 1½ 12 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 39% 1.60 1.88 W
2  LAST CALL (ARG) 2 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2½ 22 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.46 P
3  BOSS LADY BAILEY 3 7 74½ 73½ 73½ 43½ 32 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00 6.10  
4  JOHANNY 4 3 31½ 41½ 31½ 32 43 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 14% 6.20 3.05  
8  CATMINT 7 5 41½ 31½ 41½ 54 56¼ (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.62  
5  BAG LADY 5 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 64 69 (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 10.52  
6  JE SUIS RAPIDE 6 4 64 63 63 79 715½ (king l)MOJICA JR 124 30.00 41.91  
SCR  SPARTAN QUEEN               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
 
CD-4   05/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:102     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREEK HEIRESS 1 6 73¼ 85   31 1¼ (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 123 3.00 19% 4.40 2.49 W
6  YO PUEDO 6 1 2½ 42   21 2¼ (medina robe)TORRES A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 23.13 P
8  DE' ANS EIGHTY 8 3 31½ 2½   11 3¾ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 47% 1.10 1.44 S
2  SISTER KISSES 2 5 42 53   41½ 43 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 123 4.00 4.84  
7  OUTOFNOTHINGATALL 7 4 1½ 1½   51¾ 55½ (toner j)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 8.31  
3  PROTOMAGIC 3 7 63 31   63¼ 68½ (cano mun)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 8.00 12% 7.10 16.18  
5  RED HOT JEANIE 5 2 52 63½   77¾ 713 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 7.57  
4  WILD ACCLAIM 4 8 84¼ 73½   89¼ 818¾ (hamilton sarah)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00 44.73  
 
CD-5   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:102     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VERACRUZIN 6 1 52¼ 32   1½ 1nk (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 13% 6.50 2.77 W
11  MACAW (IRE) 10 2 2nk 11½   2½ 2nk (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 32% 2.20 2.69 P
4  CHULLIGAN 4 4 63¾ 64½   34½ 32¾ (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 124 12.00 11% 7.80 8.47 S
7  PHENOMENAL DREAM 7 9 1011¾ 910   47½ 47¾ (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 15.76  
3  PENROD 3 8 86¾ 87½   610 58¾ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 3.87  
9  BIG VELVET 9 3 4¼ 54   58 69¼ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 11.95  
2  BAJAN BOY 2 10 99¼ 1010½   913½ 718¼ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00 8% 11.70 20.92  
5  MAINTAIN 5 6 3.2 43   710½ 819 (mccutchen jason)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 29.53  
1  FRIO RIVER 1 7 75¼ 76½   811½ 921¼ (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 6.00 18.62  
8  KALL KARL 8 5 1nk 21½   1019½ 1055¼ (tomlinson michae)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 9.04  
SCR  COACH CAMPBELL               (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 118 4.00    
 
CD-6   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:101     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GILDED CRAKEN 3 7 75½ 76   42½ 1½ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00 ★ 2.81  
7  DAZZLEMESILVER 7 1 31½ 32   1nk 2½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 123 3.00 ★ 5.26 P
1  SHOW TIME 1 6 41½ 42   2nk 32¾ (mackey wayne)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 70% 0.40 3.13 S
6  FLIPARINO 6 2 87 88½   65¼ 43¾ (arnold r)LANERIE J 123 10.00 4.67  
4  CANAVALL 4 5 11 11   31 54¼ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.24  
2  WESTERN GHENT 2 8 52 54   75¾ 67 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 123 8.00 14.35  
9  CRUISIN AND BOOZIN 8 3 64 65½   86¾ 78¼ (jarvis kathy)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 13.30  
5  ARTWELL 5 4 21 21   55 89½ (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 123 10.00 11.94  
SCR  MERLOTTI               (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
 
CD-7   05/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:121 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  ROCK'N A HALO 12 7 117½ 116½ 115½ 53¼ 1½ (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 7% 13.90 8.13 W
1  ARMY OFFICER 1 10 63½ 53 52¼ 21 2½ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00 14% 6.30 6.53 P
10  ST. ARMANDS KEY 10 6 52½ 63¼ 31 11 32 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 10.00 12.55  
2  FUNNYFLAME 2 4 42 32 41¼ 31 44 (calhoun willia)TORRES A 118 8.00 6.31  
11  EL MATADOR 11 1 74½ 73¾ 62¾ 63¾ 54 (tomlinson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 29.51  
8  ZVEREV 8 12 128½ 127½ 105¼ 95¾ 64½ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 22% 3.60 5.00  
5  FORTUNE SELLER 5 5 2½ 21 2nk 41¼ 75¾ (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 5% 19.00 44.73  
7  GORILLA TREK 7 11 106 105 83¾ 73¾ 86 (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 29.20  
4  TIFAREEH 4 9 95½ 84¾ 73¾ 84¾ 97¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 2.42  
9  BOLT AT MIDNIGHT 9 8 85 94¾ 127 118¾ 1010½ (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 34.60  
3  NGANNOU 3 3 1½ 11 1nk 106¼ 1122¾ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 32% 2.10 5.12  
6  CEEPEEGEE 6 2 31½ 42 94¼ 1212¾ 1225¾ (moquett ronald)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 15.00 45.02  
SCR  BEAN MACHINE               (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  KATHEEB               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/11/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:101 1:221   1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CURLIN'S GESTURE 6 1 31½ 41½   11½ 14 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 5.39  
12  AIR IT OUT 10 3 42 31   21½ 24 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 14.39  
9  PANCAKE HOUSE 8 6 52½ 52½   42½ 34¾ (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 124 5.00 28% 2.50 9.20 S
8  PEEK 7 2 21 21   31½ 45¼ (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 4.00 13% 6.80 4.28  
11  TRUMPTASTIC 9 7 86 85¾   63½ 55¾ (tomlinson michae)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 31% 2.20 2.26  
4  MANDALORIAN 3 11 1110½ 95¾   73¾ 66 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 5% 19.00 5.02  
13  PURSUIT OF POWER 11 4 74 73¼   53 78 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 7% 13.50 11.60  
2  ROUSSETTE 1 9 98½ 107¼   97¾ 89 (stall m)TORRES A 118 6.00 16.76  
6  BEBEDOURO 5 5 11 11   85¾ 914¼ (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00 25.24  
5  BRIO 4 8 62½ 63   108¾ 1016 (medina robe)TORRES A 118 20.00 48.85  
3  WAYLON 2 10 1010 1111¼   1112¾ 1121¾ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 26.08  
SCR  HE'S ELUSIVE               (jackson chris)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00    
SCR  MR SCATTER               (correas ignacio )MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
 
CD-9   05/11/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:103 1:352   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HIT SHOW 2 5 21 31 42 2½ 12¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 45% 1.20 1.01 W
1  ALEXANDER HELIOS 1 2 11 1½ 11 1½ 22¼ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.59 P
3  WARRIOR JOHNY 3 4 43 42 31 32½ 33¾ (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 ★ 22.03 S
7  CLASSIC CATCH 7 3 75½ 75½ 65½ 56½ 44¼ (pletcher t)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 7.77  
5  GASOLINE 5 6 64 53½ 53½ 45½ 54¼ (pletcher to)TORRES A 122 3.50 24% 3.10 4.92  
6  CONFIDENCE GAME 6 1 31 2½ 21 67½ 614½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 10.64  
4  HAYES STRIKE 4 7 53½ 63½ 75¾ 79½ 717¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 5.57  
 
CD-10   05/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Mamzelle Purse ($225K) 3 F PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:213 :45 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TWIRLING QUEEN 6 2 31 32   1nk 1¾ (d'angelo jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 10% 9.30 10.72 W
9  TOUPIE (GB) 7 3 52½ 43½   32 2¾ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.79 P
5  CLOUDWALKER 4 8 87¼ 87¼   43 31¼ (walsh brend)TORRES A 118 8.00 8% 11.50 3.12 S
2  NICE AS PIE 1 11 119¼ 108¾   75 42¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 1.80 30% 2.40 4.55  
3  BIG TROUBLE 2 6 74¼ 75¾   53½ 54 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 19.47  
4  PIPIT 3 9 97¾ 98¼   95¾ 64 (walsh brendan)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 40.01  
11  NIKI NINE DOORS 8 4 64 65¼   85½ 75¾ (davis christophe)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00 13.45  
16  HOT BEACH 11 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 87 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 19% 4.20 7.61  
6  TIPSY RUNNER 5 10 1210¾ 1211¾   108¼ 98½ (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 33.14  
18  FIBBER 12 12 109¼ 119¾   129¾ 1011¼ (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 72.14  
12  IMABOUTAGO (IRE) 9 5 2½ 2nk   64 1113¼ (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 2.82  
15  TIPSY TAMMY 10 7 42½ 53¾   119¼ 1217½ (bauer a)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 34.26  
SCR  PAROLA SICURA               (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 30.00    
SCR  RHAPSODY               (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00    
SCR  MOONLIT LADY               (gutierrez )SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
SCR  TWIRL AROUND               (foley greg)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
SCR  HONEY DIJON               (sharp joe)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
SCR  LET THEM WATCH               (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
 
CD-11   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:22 :451 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LA LA ROSE 6 2 2½ 2nk   11 12½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 22% 3.50 3.96 W
12  SPEIGHTER WOMAN 11 4 31½ 3½   42 22½ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 17.99  
1  MUGEN 1 1 41½ 41½   21 33 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 12% 7.30 4.03 S
9  ELLEN JAY 8 11 117½ 53   31½ 43 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 24% 3.10 1.15  
8  ON COMMAND 7 8 54 63½   54 55 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 21% 3.80 9.97  
4  ENDLESS GLOW 4 6 107 118¾   810½ 67¾ (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 11.07  
3  BOURBON DIOR 3 10 85¾ 85½   77 710¼ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 24.18  
5  ELEGANT VISION 5 3 1½ 1nk   66½ 815 (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 20.86  
2  TOTAL CLASS 2 7 75¾ 96½   912½ 917 (leonard georg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 5% 19.00 71.63  
10  DREAM ON STORMY 9 9 96¾ 106¾   1013½ 1020¼ (winston d)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00 86.90  
11  NOW HIRING 10 5 64¼ 75   1118½ 1135 (fields chri)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 93.91  
SCR  CHIC N DA WADDA               (toye lin)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
SCR  CLOSING PRAYER               (baker james)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
SCR  GAL CAPONE               (pittman bonnie)MONCADA IRVING 108 30.00    
SCR  ROCKAWAY REEF               (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.