The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (5/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-3   Win (1/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (8/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (11/6/4/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-6   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-7   Win (3/8/1/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-8   Win (11/9/8/13/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-9   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-10   Win (2/16/8/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-11   Win (9/6/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   05/11/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Mar03 Feb10 Nov09 Jun16 May21 (barnett bob)LEPAROUX R 124 3.00 ★    
2  SCAT DANZ Mar08 Jul30 Jun01 Mar19 Feb25 (cash norman)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00    
3  WILD WEST JUSTICE Aug05         (caramori ca)TORRES A 118 6.00 16% 5.30    
4  MUNYHUNGRY Nov18         (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00    
5  AIR FORCE CRUISING Feb08         (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  GUILTY AFFAIR Apr11 Mar24 Dec09 Nov21   (barnett c)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  WHOLEHEARTEDLY         (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
8  RUNAWAY JOKE Apr19 Mar13 Jan21 Dec14 Nov22 (heitzman eri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00    
9  BEEZER Apr13         (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
 
CD-2   05/11/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEW BEAT Apr06 Nov16 Oct06 Mar25 Feb18 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 124 2.00    
SCR  CUMBERLAND FALLS Apr19 Mar15 Oct07 Sep15 Sep02 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00    
3  I GOTTA BOLT Apr17 Mar20 Feb23 Feb07 Jan03 (hancock john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 ★    
4  SHE'S MAGIC Nov12 Sep21 Aug26 Jul23 Jun03 (gowan william)MONCADA IRVING 114 12.00    
5  BLUE GUITAR Apr11 Mar27 Mar07 Feb23 Feb07 (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 15% 5.60    
6  LATE NITE LIZZIE Mar07 Feb12 Jan20 Nov26 Nov05 (habeeb j)ASHTON GAVIN 118 12.00    
7  ESME Mar30 Mar13 Feb23 Feb08 Dec27 (king l)MOJICA JR 124 3.50 44% 1.20    
 
CD-3   05/11/2024 5940ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATHYNMARISSA Apr06 Feb17 Jan19 Dec01   (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 39% 1.60    
2  LAST CALL (ARG) Apr14 Oct27       (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  BOSS LADY BAILEY Apr14 Mar03 Jan27 Jun02 May05 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 5.00    
4  JOHANNY Mar23 Feb23 Jan20 Nov26 Dec23 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 14% 6.20    
5  BAG LADY Apr07 Feb24 Feb01 Jan01 Nov23 (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
6  JE SUIS RAPIDE Jun23 May13 May02 Apr19 Apr01 (king l)MOJICA JR 124 30.00    
SCR  SPARTAN QUEEN Mar21 Feb15 Jan25 Dec30 Nov09 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
8  CATMINT Apr14 Mar07 Feb15 Oct14 Sep17 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-4   05/11/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREEK HEIRESS Apr19 Mar21 Feb17 Jan27 Dec30 (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 123 3.00 19% 4.40    
2  SISTER KISSES Mar30 Mar09 Feb10 Jan01 Dec06 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 123 4.00    
3  PROTOMAGIC Apr10 Mar27 Feb28 Feb03 Jan13 (cano mun)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 8.00 12% 7.10    
4  WILD ACCLAIM Apr25 Feb23 Feb04 Jan10 Dec07 (hamilton sarah)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00    
5  RED HOT JEANIE Mar27 Jul07 May29 May04 Apr01 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00    
6  YO PUEDO Aug05 Jun16 Apr27 Mar12 Jul21 (medina robe)TORRES A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  OUTOFNOTHINGATALL Apr17 Feb28 Mar12 Feb12 Nov11 (toner j)ORTIZ L 123 4.00    
8  DE' ANS EIGHTY Apr17 Mar24 Feb04 Jan13 Dec16 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 47% 1.10    
 
CD-5   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIO RIVER Apr26 Mar06 Dec30 Nov26   (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 6.00    
2  BAJAN BOY         (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00 8% 11.70    
3  PENROD Apr12 Jan13 Dec09 Oct01 Aug11 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
4  CHULLIGAN Oct16 Sep04 Jun23 Oct07 Aug26 (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 124 12.00 11% 7.80    
5  MAINTAIN Apr19 Oct22 Sep07 Aug05   (mccutchen jason)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
6  VERACRUZIN Apr20 Nov08 Oct28 Sep24 Sep13 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 13% 6.50    
7  PHENOMENAL DREAM Apr20 Mar28 Feb09 Jan27 Dec21 (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  KALL KARL         (tomlinson michae)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
9  BIG VELVET         (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  COACH CAMPBELL May04 Apr13 Mar23     (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 118 4.00    
11  MACAW (IRE)         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 32% 2.20    
 
CD-6   05/11/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOW TIME May27 Apr09 Mar17 Dec17 Nov06 (mackey wayne)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 70% 0.40    
2  WESTERN GHENT Apr13 Mar10 Feb19 Feb04 Aug17 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 123 8.00    
3  GILDED CRAKEN Apr12 Mar03 Jan18 Dec15 Nov09 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00 ★    
4  CANAVALL Apr21 Mar10 Jan27 Jan06 Dec15 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  ARTWELL Apr13 Mar15 Mar01 Jan27 Dec08 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 123 10.00    
6  FLIPARINO Apr12 Mar01 Jan05 Nov11 Jan01 (arnold r)LANERIE J 123 10.00    
7  DAZZLEMESILVER Apr12 Feb12 Feb03 Dec17 Dec01 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 123 3.00 ★    
SCR  MERLOTTI Apr14 Nov18 Nov04 Sep09 Aug17 (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
9  CRUISIN AND BOOZIN Apr14 Mar08 Jan31 Dec21 Nov11 (jarvis kathy)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   05/11/2024 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 3:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMY OFFICER Mar30 Mar08 Feb09 Aug28   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00 14% 6.30    
2  FUNNYFLAME Mar24 Mar07 Feb17 Jan20 Dec23 (calhoun willia)TORRES A 118 8.00    
3  NGANNOU Apr07 Oct08 Sep10     (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  TIFAREEH Feb10 Nov25 Oct04 Sep03 Aug06 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
5  FORTUNE SELLER Oct26 Oct08 Sep20 Sep10 Jul22 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  CEEPEEGEE Apr07 Feb11 Dec08 Sep29 Aug20 (moquett ronald)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 15.00    
7  GORILLA TREK Apr13 Mar02 Feb03 Dec22 Nov25 (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
8  ZVEREV Mar23 Jan21 Nov25 Oct12 Sep02 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
9  BOLT AT MIDNIGHT Apr05 Mar02 Feb09 Jan12 Dec03 (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
10  ST. ARMANDS KEY Apr13 Mar24 Nov25 Oct12 Sep07 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 10.00    
11  EL MATADOR Apr05 Mar07 Feb04 Jan10 Dec15 (tomlinson m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
12  ROCK'N A HALO Mar24 Mar02 Feb08     (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 7% 13.90    
SCR  BEAN MACHINE Mar24 Feb10 Jan05     (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
SCR  KATHEEB Mar08 Jan13 Dec06     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/11/2024 4950ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S ELUSIVE Jan26 Dec08       (jackson chris)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 20.00    
2  ROUSSETTE Apr24 Mar07 Feb04 Dec15   (stall m)TORRES A 118 6.00    
3  WAYLON Mar30         (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
4  MANDALORIAN         (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BRIO Mar21 Mar02 Jan26     (medina robe)TORRES A 118 20.00    
6  BEBEDOURO Apr06         (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00    
7  CURLIN'S GESTURE Jul02         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00    
8  PEEK Nov24 Oct06 Sep03 Jul07 May14 (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 4.00 13% 6.80    
9  PANCAKE HOUSE Apr06 Mar02 Jan25 Nov30 Nov13 (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 124 5.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  MR SCATTER Mar07 Jan12 Dec08     (correas ignacio )MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
11  TRUMPTASTIC Apr17 Mar02 May14 Apr15 Feb11 (tomlinson michae)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
12  AIR IT OUT Mar16 Feb24 Jan20     (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
13  PURSUIT OF POWER Feb25 Jun13 May14 Apr14 Mar18 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 7% 13.50    
 
CD-9   05/11/2024 5940ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEXANDER HELIOS Apr13 Mar14 Feb03 Jan05 Nov16 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  HIT SHOW Sep24 Jul29 Jun10 May06 Apr08 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
3  WARRIOR JOHNY Apr25 Nov04 Oct20 Sep02 Jul02 (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 ★    
4  HAYES STRIKE Apr13 Mar09 Feb17 Jul08 Jun24 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
5  GASOLINE Mar23 Feb17 Dec30 Nov24 Nov04 (pletcher to)TORRES A 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  CONFIDENCE GAME Jan20 Dec23 Nov04 Oct21 May06 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
7  CLASSIC CATCH Apr13 Nov18 Oct07 Aug09 Jun17 (pletcher t)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
 
CD-10   05/11/2024 3630ft TURF FIRM Mamzelle Purse ($225K) 3 F PT- 5:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LET THEM WATCH Mar24 Jan07 Dec02 Oct27 Aug13 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
2  NICE AS PIE Mar30 Feb10 Jan26 Jan03 Aug02 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 1.80 30% 2.40    
3  BIG TROUBLE Apr12 Feb18 Jan21     (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
4  PIPIT Mar30 Feb10 Dec23 Nov04 Oct08 (walsh brendan)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
5  CLOUDWALKER Apr20 Oct19       (walsh brend)TORRES A 118 8.00 8% 11.50    
6  TIPSY RUNNER Mar20 Feb23 Jan21 Dec29 Nov17 (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
SCR  PAROLA SICURA Apr20 Mar13 Feb29     (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 30.00    
8  TWIRLING QUEEN Mar24 Feb08 Oct06 Sep14 Aug13 (d'angelo jo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 10% 9.30    
9  TOUPIE (GB) Dec02 Nov04 Oct06 Sep09 Jul01 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TWIRL AROUND Apr20 Jan26 Dec23 Nov11 Oct06 (foley greg)ORTIZ L 118 12.00    
11  NIKI NINE DOORS Apr18 Mar13 Jan31     (davis christophe)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00    
12  IMABOUTAGO (IRE) Mar20 Dec08       (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
SCR  RHAPSODY Apr19 Oct08 Sep16 Aug20 Jul01 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00    
SCR  HONEY DIJON Dec02 Oct21 Sep13 Aug10 Jul13 (sharp joe)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
15  TIPSY TAMMY Apr07 Mar03 Feb01 Jan01   (bauer philip)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
16  HOT BEACH Apr12 Oct27 Sep16 Aug13 Jul07 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  MOONLIT LADY Apr12 Mar24       (gutierrez )SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
18  FIBBER Apr05 Dec23 Nov25 Oct27 Sep14 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
 
CD-11   05/11/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUGEN Mar22 Feb01 Oct29 Sep21 Jul30 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 12% 7.30    
2  TOTAL CLASS         (leonard georg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BOURBON DIOR         (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00    
4  ENDLESS GLOW         (stewart dal)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
5  ELEGANT VISION Apr12         (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
6  LA LA ROSE Jan06         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
7  GAL CAPONE Apr18         (pittman bonnie)MONCADA IRVING 108 30.00    
8  ON COMMAND Apr12 Mar03 Dec17     (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 21% 3.80    
9  ELLEN JAY         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
10  DREAM ON STORMY Mar28 Nov01 Oct07 Sep15 Sep03 (winston d)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00    
11  NOW HIRING Apr18         (fields chri)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
12  SPEIGHTER WOMAN Nov02         (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  CLOSING PRAYER Mar28 Feb28       (baker james)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
SCR  CHIC N DA WADDA         (toye lin)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
SCR  ROCKAWAY REEF         (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.