Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Monday - May 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.92 $5.92  
CD-2   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $8.24  
CD-3   Win (6/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.92 $4.92  
CD-4   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.22 $3.22  
CD-5   Win (13/12/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 1 $22.84 $22.84 14.84
CD-6   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $16.58  
CD-7   Win (9/5/1/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $8.86 $8.86  
CD-8   Win (11/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $6.00  
CD-9   Win (1/2/11/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $5.30 $5.30  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:12 1:37   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COOKE CREEK 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 12 (o'dwyer jeremiah)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 26% 2.90 1.96 W
4  WINSTON WOLF 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 22 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 124 5.00 29% 2.50 7.60 P
3  HE'S GOT SWAGGER 2 3 44½ 53½ 42½ 32½ 34¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 1.65  
6  OUR DREAM RYE'D 5 4 33 32 31½ 43½ 45½ (walden willia)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00 2.36  
1  HARLEEZY 1 5 54½ 43½ 54½ 56 57½ (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 124 6.00 5% 19.00 10.83  
SCR  LONG CROW               (corrigan jim)GRAHAM J 124 6.00    
 
CD-2   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:091 1:221   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SILVER HEIST 5 3 32 31½ 31½ 21 1hd (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 3.12  
3  ASMODEUS 2 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 11 2hd (morey e)ORTIZ L 124 2.00 18% 4.70 1.87 P
4  DOUBLE BARREL 3 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 31 34½ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 2.50 53% 0.90 2.15 S
1  JR'S GIFT 1 5 57 55½ 56½ 56 46 (andrade hugo)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00 4.13  
5  GLUCKSTADT 4 4 43 42 43½ 44 56¾ (haran john)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.12  
SCR  KANSAS COMET               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50    
 
CD-3   05/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:222 :464       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DAISY DUKE 5 3 76 63½   42 11¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 41% 1.40 1.46 W
7  MOOCHIE GIRL 6 4 54½ 52½   21½ 21¾ (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 ★ 12.90 P
5  MEUCCI'S REVENGE 4 6 21 1nk   11½ 32¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 5.48  
2  GRACE ON GRACE 2 2 42 42   31½ 44¼ (demeritte larry)CASTANON L 119 4.00 5% 19.00 4.23  
10  THE FEISTY ONE 9 8 88½ 76½   76 54½ (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 19.54  
8  KISS CAM 7 7 31½ 31½   53 66 (sweezey kent)TORRES A 119 3.00 36% 1.80 5.42  
9  CALCETINES 8 9 99½ 86¾   87 77¼ (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00 52.87  
4  HAVEN'T A RED CENT 3 5 11 2nk   65½ 820½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 ★ 11.14  
1  MADEMM COCO 1 1 65 97¾   912 929 (brinkerhoff)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 10.84  
SCR  MIAVANA               (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
 
CD-4   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:104 1:23   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TAXED 2 3 32½ 42½ 41¾ 1nk 12¾ (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 34% 2.00 0.61 W
3  BRAGANZA 3 5 43½ 3½ 3.2 2nk 22¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 4.75  
7  CONDENSATION 6 2 1nk 2nk 2nk 31 35¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 4.22  
1  UNIFYING 1 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 41½ 46¾ (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 30% 2.40 5.54  
5  NAPA CANDY 5 4 53¾ 64¼ 66¼ 67½ 511¾ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 18.03  
4  BE LIKE WATER 4 6 64¾ 52¾ 52¼ 55½ 612¾ (oliver victoria)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00 42.99  
SCR  TWO ITEM SAVER               (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
 
CD-5   05/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:104 1:354   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  FIVE STAR GENERAL 6 1 11 11 11 12½ 11¼ (forster t)LANERIE J 122 6.00 18% 4.60 10.42 W
13  KUPUNA 7 2 21 21 21 22½ 21¼ (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00 33% 2.00 1.56 P
6  UNCLE JAKE 4 5 32 32½ 32 35½ 38¾ (vaccarezza carlo)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 15% 5.70 2.73 S
5  CLASSIC CAUSEWAY 3 6 53½ 43 52½ 46 410¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 5.57  
11  ARCHIE THE GIZA 5 3 43½ 54 42½ 57 512¼ (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 9.54  
3  GENTLE SOUL 2 7 77½ 77 67½ 615 628 (calhoun wil)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.73  
1  AH JEEZ 1 4 67 66½ 78½ 717 743 (o'neill doug)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 6.07  
SCR  ACCREDIT               (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50    
SCR  FRONT RUN THE FED               (caramori caio)TORRES A 122 20.00    
SCR  FUERTEVENTURA               (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00    
SCR  HAPPY AMERICAN               (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
SCR  HARLAN ESTATE               (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00    
SCR  U. S. ARMY               (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
 
CD-6   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:093 1:221   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STOWAWAY 5 4 41½ 42½ 31½ 2½ 1¼ (beckman whitw)GARCIA MARTIN 124 15.00 7.29  
8  SHOPPER'S REVENGE 6 3 11 11 1nk 1½ 2¼ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.00 1.49  
2  GLEN AIRY 2 2 54 63 53½ 52½ 33¾ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.16 S
1  BRIGADE COMMANDER 1 1 21 31½ 42 32 44¼ (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 124 2.50 50% 1.00 3.12  
5  HAVILDAR 4 6 31½ 21 2nk 42½ 57½ (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 16% 5.30 2.92  
3  CALRISSIAN 3 5 64½ 53 63¾ 65 69¾ (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 20.00 31.72  
SCR  BEAUMONT RED               (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 126 6.00    
SCR  BEYOND STOKED               (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
 
CD-7   05/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:214 :45 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SURVEILLANCE 9 7 65 54¼   1½ 1¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 27% 2.80 3.43 W
6  MACRON 6 6 96½ 96¾   62¼ 2¾ (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 116 20.00 15.18  
5  TWO EAGLES RIVER 5 4 54½ 64¾   41½ 31¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 20% 3.90 2.79 S
8  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY 8 1 42 41¾   3½ 41¾ (shirer matt)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 5% 19.00 13.62  
7  AWESOME AARON 7 8 86½ 75¼   73¼ 53¼ (green troy)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 39.67  
4  LUDWIG 4 5 31 2nk   2½ 63¼ (bauer a)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 2.33  
2  COMISKEY PARK 2 9 75½ 86¼   94¾ 75¾ (hernandez a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 123 10.00 10% 8.70 17.54  
3  ADIOS GARY 3 3 2½ 3.2   51¾ 87½ (davis d)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 15.00 13.39  
1  BRITERDAYZAHEAD 1 2 1½ 1nk   83¾ 913¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 11% 7.90 5.87  
SCR  FAVORITE OUTLAW               (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 2.50    
 
CD-8   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Winning Colors Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:21 :442 :563     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CLEARLY UNHINGED 3 4 2nk 11½   12½ 11½ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 2.00  
11  DAZZLING BLUE 8 6 63¼ 43   43½ 21½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 55% 0.80 1.57 P
7  UNSUNG MELODY 5 2 52¼ 53¼   53¾ 32¾ (ortiz ale)TORRES A 118 20.00 44.97  
10  LEELOO 7 5 42 21½   22½ 42¾ (correas iv)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 20.89  
9  HAPPY AM I 6 1 31½ 31½   32½ 53¼ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.64  
6  POSITANO SUNSET 4 7 85¾ 86¾   77¼ 64 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 9.03  
1  ROYAL SPA 1 8 74¼ 65¾   65¾ 74¼ (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 8% 10.90 5.61  
2  B G WARRIOR 2 3 1nk 76¼   813¼ 821½ (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 12.00 11% 7.80 16.38  
SCR  BACKYARD MONEY               (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SCR  MISS ARLINGTON               (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
SCR  SPIRIT WIND               (joseph a)ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
 
CD-9   05/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:094     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORLD RECORD 1 2 11 11   14 16¼ (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 25% 3.00 1.65 W
4  MOBSTER 4 9 21 21   24 26¼ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 8% 12.00 16.05 P
11  TERM 11 5 32 32   35½ 37 (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 21% 3.80 2.43 S
6  TOP GUN ROCKET 6 10 87¼ 97¼   58 47¾ (mott riley)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 5.24  
10  STAR TOPPER 10 8 119¼ 1010¼   711 59½ (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 15.00 56.75  
12  HE'S A JOKER 12 6 52¼ 43   47½ 610¾ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 28.02  
5  CAT ON TIME 5 7 74¾ 76   610 711¾ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 15.00 5% 19.00 41.69  
8  D'ORO LEMON 8 11 1217¼ 1218¼   1217½ 816½ (stewart da)SANTANA JR 124 10.00 31.75  
7  SESAME STREEK 7 1 63¼ 66   812½ 917¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 22.90  
2  MIDWAY LIGHTS 2 3 97¾ 1110¼   1014½ 1018¾ (dutrow rich)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00 22% 3.50 9.57  
3  STONE COLD RUNNER 3 4 42 54½   914½ 1119½ (pompell rob)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 20.00 73.44  
9  LORD DIAMOND 9 12 107¾ 87   1116½ 1226 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 13.32  
SCR  LAKE SUPERIOR               (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  LOU'S LEGACY               (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 10.00    
SCR  REMARKABLE MO               (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 124 12.00    
SCR  TEMECULA               (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.