Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Monday - May 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-1   EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-4 $30.70 $18.70 156%
CD-3   EXA (6/8/2)-(6/8/2/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-7 $56.40 $32.40 135%
CD-5   WIN (13/12/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  12 $22.84 $14.84 186%
    EXA (13/12/6/3)-(13/12/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  12-13 $56.34 $32.34 135%
    TRI (13/12/6/3)-(13/12/6/3)-(13/12/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  12-13-6 $59.36 $47.36 395%
    DD (2/1/5)-(13/12/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-12 $25.26 $13.26 111%
    PK3 (6/8/2)-(2/1/5)-(13/12/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-2-12 $39.42 $21.42 119%
CD-9   EXA (1/2/11/4/5)-(1/2/11/4/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-4 $53.44 $13.44 34%
    TRI (1/2/11/4/5)-(1/2/11/4/5)-(1/2/11/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-4-11 $41.04 $11.04 37%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:12 1:37   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOKE CREEK 4 1 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 12 (o'dwyer jeremi)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 26% 2.90 1.96 W
WINSTON WOLF 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 22 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 5.00 29% 2.50 7.60 P
HE'S GOT SWAGGER 2 3 4 5 4 3 3 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 1.65  
OUR DREAM RYE'D 5 4 33 32 3 4 4 (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00 2.36  
HARLEEZY 1 5 5 4 5 56 5 (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 124 6.00 5% 19.00 10.83  
SCR  LONG CROW               (corrigan jim)GRAHAM J 124 6.00    
 
CD-2   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:091 1:221   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER HEIST 5 3 32 3 3 21 1hd (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 3.12  
ASMODEUS 2 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 11 2hd (morey william )ORTIZ L 124 2.00 18% 4.70 1.87 P
DOUBLE BARREL 3 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 31 3 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 2.50 53% 0.90 2.15 S
JR'S GIFT 1 5 57 5 5 56 46 (andrade hugo)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00 4.13  
GLUCKSTADT 4 4 43 42 4 44 5 (haran joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.12  
SCR  KANSAS COMET               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50    
 
CD-3   05/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:222 :464       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAISY DUKE 5 3 76 6   42 1 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 41% 1.40 1.46 W
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of DIXIE STRIKE by DIXIE UNION)
MOOCHIE GIRL 6 4 5 5   2 2 (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 12.90 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of LA BURNETT by BERNARDINI)
MEUCCI'S REVENGE 4 6 21 1nk   1 3 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 5.48  
  (by DIALED IN out of FLAT MEADOW by WAR CHANT)
GRACE ON GRACE 2 2 42 42   3 4 (demeritte larr)CASTANON L 119 4.00 5% 19.00 4.23  
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of TRICK SOSO by POTEEN)
10  THE FEISTY ONE 9 8 8 7   76 5 (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 19.54  
  (by KLIMT out of SHOCK THE WORLD by WORLD STAGE (IRE))
KISS CAM 7 7 3 3   53 66 (sweezey ke)TORRES A 119 3.00 36% 1.80 5.42  
  (by MASTERY out of KINSLEY by PULPIT)
CALCETINES 8 9 9 8   87 7 (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00 52.87  
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of MEAN MAGGIE MAY by MALIBU MOON)
HAVEN'T A RED CENT 3 5 11 2nk   6 820½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 11.14  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of INDY DREAMING by A.P. INDY)
MADEMM COCO 1 1 65 9   912 929 (brinkerho)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 10.84  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of OLEANDA AVENUE by A.P. INDY)
SCR  MIAVANA               (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of DYNAMIC HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
CD-4   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:104 1:23   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAXED 2 3 3 4 4 1nk 1 (morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 34% 2.00 0.61 W
BRAGANZA 3 5 4 3½ 3.2 2nk 2 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 4.75  
CONDENSATION 6 2 1nk 2nk 2nk 31 3 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 3.50 4.22  
UNIFYING 1 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 4 4 (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 30% 2.40 5.54  
NAPA CANDY 5 4 5 6 6 6 511¾ (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 18.03  
BE LIKE WATER 4 6 6 5 5 5 612¾ (oliver victori)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00 42.99  
SCR  TWO ITEM SAVER               (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
 
CD-5   05/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:104 1:354   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  FIVE STAR GENERAL 6 1 11 11 11 1 1 (forster t)LANERIE J 122 6.00 18% 4.60 10.42 W
13  KUPUNA 7 2 21 21 21 2 2 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00 33% 2.00 1.56 P
UNCLE JAKE 4 5 32 3 32 3 3 (vaccarezza car)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 15% 5.70 2.73 S
CLASSIC CAUSEWAY 3 6 5 43 5 46 410¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 5.57  
11  ARCHIE THE GIZA 5 3 4 54 4 57 512¼ (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 9.54  
GENTLE SOUL 2 7 7 77 6 615 628 (calhoun w)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.73  
AH JEEZ 1 4 67 6 7 717 743 (o'neill doug)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 6.07  
SCR  ACCREDIT               (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50    
SCR  FRONT RUN THE FED               (caramori cai)TORRES A 122 20.00    
SCR  FUERTEVENTURA               (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00    
SCR  HAPPY AMERICAN               (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
SCR  HARLAN ESTATE               (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00    
SCR  U. S. ARMY               (caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
 
CD-6   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:093 1:221   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOWAWAY 5 4 4 4 3 2½ 1¼ (beckman whi)GARCIA MARTIN 124 15.00 7.29  
SHOPPER'S REVENGE 6 3 11 11 1nk 1½ 2¼ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.00 1.49  
GLEN AIRY 2 2 54 63 5 5 3 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.16 S
BRIGADE COMMANDER 1 1 21 3 42 32 4 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 124 2.50 50% 1.00 3.12  
HAVILDAR 4 6 3 21 2nk 4 5 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 16% 5.30 2.92  
CALRISSIAN 3 5 6 53 6 65 6 (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 20.00 31.72  
SCR  BEAUMONT RED               (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 126 6.00    
SCR  BEYOND STOKED               (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
 
CD-7   05/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:214 :45 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURVEILLANCE 9 7 65 5   1½ 1¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 27% 2.80 3.43 W
MACRON 6 6 9 9   6 2¾ (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 116 20.00 15.18  
TWO EAGLES RIVER 5 4 5 6   4 3 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 20% 3.90 2.79 S
IMPROBABLE JOURNEY 8 1 42 4   3½ 4 (shirer ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 5% 19.00 13.62  
AWESOME AARON 7 8 8 7   7 5 (green troy)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00 39.67  
LUDWIG 4 5 31 2nk   2½ 6 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 2.33  
COMISKEY PARK 2 9 7 8   9 7 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 123 10.00 10% 8.70 17.54  
ADIOS GARY 3 3 2½ 3.2   5 8 (davis joseph )JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 15.00 13.39  
BRITERDAYZAHEAD 1 2 1½ 1nk   8 913¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 11% 7.90 5.87  
SCR  FAVORITE OUTLAW               (hartman chr)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 2.50    
 
CD-8   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Winning Colors Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:21 :442 :563     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEARLY UNHINGED 3 4 2nk 1   1 1 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 2.00  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SMART WIN by SMART STRIKE)
11  DAZZLING BLUE 8 6 6 43   4 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 55% 0.80 1.57 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BLUE VIOLET by CURLIN)
UNSUNG MELODY 5 2 5 5   5 3 (ortiz a)TORRES A 118 20.00 44.97  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of NARROW SEA by BODEMEISTER)
10  LEELOO 7 5 42 2   2 4 (correas i)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 20.89  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RIBBON CUTTER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
HAPPY AM I 6 1 3 3   3 5 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.64  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CAT DANCE by TOM CAT)
POSITANO SUNSET 4 7 8 8   7 64 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 9.03  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GIGGLIN' GAL by CONSOLIDATOR)
ROYAL SPA 1 8 7 6   6 7 (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 8.00 8% 10.90 5.61  
  (by VIOLENCE out of BODACIOUS BABE by MINESHAFT)
B G WARRIOR 2 3 1nk 7   813¼ 821½ (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 12.00 11% 7.80 16.38  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  BACKYARD MONEY               (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BECCAWHIT by ROMAN RULER)
SCR  MISS ARLINGTON               (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of LUVNOTIONUMBERNINE by NOTIONAL)
SCR  SPIRIT WIND               (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
  (by BAHAMIAN SQUALL out of SACRED PSALM by AWESOME OF COURSE)
 
CD-9   05/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:094     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORLD RECORD 1 2 11 11   14 1 (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 25% 3.00 1.65 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MARWA by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
MOBSTER 4 9 21 21   24 2 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 8% 12.00 16.05 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of MEADOW BREEZE by MEADOWLAKE)
11  TERM 11 5 32 32   3 37 (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 21% 3.80 2.43 S
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SENTENCE by BLAME)
TOP GUN ROCKET 6 10 8 9   58 4 (mott riley)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 5.24  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  STAR TOPPER 10 8 11 1010¼   711 5 (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 15.00 56.75  
  (by MUNNINGS out of SILVER WAVE by STAR DABBLER)
12  HE'S A JOKER 12 6 5 43   4 610¾ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 28.02  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SHE'S PRETTY LUCKY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
CAT ON TIME 5 7 7 76   610 711¾ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 15.00 5% 19.00 41.69  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BIG CAT WALKS LATE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
D'ORO LEMON 8 11 1217¼ 1218¼   1217½ 816½ (stewart )SANTANA JR 124 10.00 31.75  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LEMONS FOREVER by LEMON DROP KID)
SESAME STREEK 7 1 6 66   812½ 917¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 22.90  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of HEART LOVE KISS by ZENSATIONAL)
MIDWAY LIGHTS 2 3 9 1110¼   1014½ 1018¾ (dutrow ri)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00 22% 3.50 9.57  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CHUCKLING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
STONE COLD RUNNER 3 4 42 5   914½ 1119½ (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 20.00 73.44  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MAGNA'S STAR by MAGNA)
LORD DIAMOND 9 12 10 87   1116½ 1226 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 13.32  
  (by LORD NELSON out of BLACK DIAMOND GIRL by HARD SPUN)
SCR  LAKE SUPERIOR               (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CELIBATAIRE by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  LOU'S LEGACY               (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  REMARKABLE MO               (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 124 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of REMARKABLE MOON by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  TEMECULA               (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TAP DIVA by TAPIT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.