Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Monday - May 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (6/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (13/12/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (9/5/1/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-8   Win (11/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (1/2/11/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   05/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARLEEZY May02 Apr12 Mar14 Feb11 Jan27 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LONG CROW May02 Apr12 Feb16 Jan28 Oct11 (corrigan jim)GRAHAM J 124 6.00    
HE'S GOT SWAGGER May02 Apr14 Sep28 Sep07 Aug13 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00    
WINSTON WOLF May09 Mar13 Feb02 Jan10 Dec14 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 124 5.00 29% 2.50    
COOKE CREEK Feb17 Dec22 Nov11 Oct14 Jun03 (o'dwyer jeremiah)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
OUR DREAM RYE'D Apr18 Feb28 Jan10 Dec16 Oct28 (walden willia)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00    
 
CD-2   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JR'S GIFT Apr25 Mar23 Feb28 Jan25 Jan10 (andrade hugo)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00    
SCR  KANSAS COMET Jul12 Jun04 Apr29 Mar02 Feb11 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50    
ASMODEUS May09 Apr12 Mar23 Mar01 Jan26 (morey e)ORTIZ L 124 2.00 18% 4.70    
DOUBLE BARREL Feb02 Jan05 May17 Apr18   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
GLUCKSTADT May04 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Dec30 (haran john)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SILVER HEIST Apr28 Apr13 Mar07 May04 Mar09 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00    
 
CD-3   05/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADEMM COCO         (brinkerhoff)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
GRACE ON GRACE May10         (demeritte larry)CASTANON L 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIAVANA         (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
HAVEN'T A RED CENT Apr18         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
MEUCCI'S REVENGE         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
DAISY DUKE May10         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
MOOCHIE GIRL         (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
KISS CAM Apr18         (sweezey kent)TORRES A 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
CALCETINES May02 Apr18       (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
10  THE FEISTY ONE         (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
 
CD-4   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIFYING Apr26 Mar09 Feb10 Dec30 Jun11 (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
TAXED Apr13 Mar16 Sep23 Aug19 Jul08 (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
BRAGANZA Apr26 Nov18 Oct21 Sep01 Jul21 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
BE LIKE WATER Apr26 Nov18 Oct26 Oct07 Aug13 (oliver victoria)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00    
NAPA CANDY Apr26 Feb24 Jan27 Dec23 Nov22 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TWO ITEM SAVER Apr26 Jan27 Dec28 Nov24 Oct06 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
CONDENSATION Apr27 Feb03 Dec30 Nov20 Oct06 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 3.50    
 
CD-5   05/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AH JEEZ Mar03 Feb03 Dec26 Nov10 Sep30 (o'neill doug)ORTIZ L 122 4.00    
SCR  ACCREDIT May02 Apr06 Nov30 Oct13 Sep23 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50    
GENTLE SOUL Apr19 Jul08 Jun01 Mar25 Feb18 (calhoun wil)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  U. S. ARMY May04 Mar30 Feb24 Jan26 Dec15 (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
CLASSIC CAUSEWAY May01 Mar29 Jun03 Apr22 Mar18 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
UNCLE JAKE Apr11 Mar07 Jan28 Oct17 Aug26 (vaccarezza carlo)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  FUERTEVENTURA Apr04 Mar14 Oct13 Aug05 Jun21 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00    
SCR  HARLAN ESTATE May02 Mar23 Feb17 Dec23 Nov11 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00    
SCR  FRONT RUN THE FED May04 Apr06 Dec30 Nov25 Sep09 (caramori caio)TORRES A 122 20.00    
SCR  HAPPY AMERICAN Apr20 Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 Dec23 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
11  ARCHIE THE GIZA Apr20 Mar14 Feb02 Jan05 Nov22 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
12  FIVE STAR GENERAL May04 Apr06 Jan20 Dec23 Nov03 (forster t)LANERIE J 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
13  KUPUNA May04 Apr06 Jan27 Nov26 Aug13 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
CD-6   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGADE COMMANDER Apr19 Mar07 Jan27 Jan15 Dec16 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
GLEN AIRY Apr19 Feb08 Jan15 Nov10 Oct19 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CALRISSIAN May05 Apr13 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 20.00    
SCR  BEAUMONT RED Apr25 Feb22 Jan25 Jan05 Dec15 (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 126 6.00    
HAVILDAR Apr19 Mar16 Oct09 Aug26 Jul21 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  BEYOND STOKED Apr13 Mar09 Jan13 Dec09 Oct29 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
STOWAWAY Dec10 Nov19 Oct29 Oct08 Jul23 (beckman whitw)GARCIA MARTIN 124 15.00    
SHOPPER'S REVENGE May02 Mar30 May06 Mar25 Feb18 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.00    
 
CD-7   05/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRITERDAYZAHEAD Nov26 Sep20 Jul16 Jun23 May21 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 11% 7.90    
COMISKEY PARK Apr16 Mar30 Dec31 Oct21 Aug01 (hernandez a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 123 10.00 10% 8.70    
ADIOS GARY May09 Apr24 Mar28 Jul14 Jun17 (davis d)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 15.00    
LUDWIG Apr21 Sep02 Aug04 May21 Apr29 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 121 5.00    
TWO EAGLES RIVER Sep20 Jun04 Apr22 Apr01 Feb19 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 20% 3.90    
MACRON Apr21 Apr06 Mar09 Feb19 Feb03 (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 116 20.00    
AWESOME AARON Apr18 Apr05 Dec08 Nov23 Nov04 (green troy)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Mar09 Jul21 Jun27 Jun01 Apr16 (shirer matt)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SURVEILLANCE May02 Apr06 Mar16 Feb13 Jan19 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  FAVORITE OUTLAW Feb24 Feb03 Jan05 Aug05 Jun23 (hartman chris)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 2.50    
 
CD-8   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Winning Colors Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL SPA Apr26 Mar30 Feb03 Dec26 Nov08 (brisset ro)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 8% 10.90    
B G WARRIOR Apr13 Mar16 Jan27 Jan12 Dec02 (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 12.00 11% 7.80    
CLEARLY UNHINGED Apr30 Dec26 Nov04 Sep29 Aug05 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00    
SCR  MISS ARLINGTON May24 Apr18 Feb03 Dec22 Nov08 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
SCR  SPIRIT WIND May04 Mar09 Dec23 May29 Mar31 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
POSITANO SUNSET Apr27 Aug13 Apr07 Mar04 Feb04 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
UNSUNG MELODY May17 Apr24 Sep17 Sep02 Jul14 (ortiz ale)TORRES A 118 20.00    
SCR  BACKYARD MONEY May17 Apr27 Apr04 Mar16 Mar08 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
HAPPY AM I Apr27 Feb03 Nov19 Oct05 Aug06 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  LEELOO Mar30 Feb04 Dec16 Oct29 Sep30 (correas iv)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
11  DAZZLING BLUE Apr27 Oct21 Sep02 Jul08 May19 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
CD-9   05/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORLD RECORD Apr26         (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
MIDWAY LIGHTS Mar09         (dutrow rich)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
STONE COLD RUNNER         (pompell rob)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
MOBSTER Jan21 Dec26 Nov26 Oct07   (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 8% 12.00    
CAT ON TIME Apr30         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
TOP GUN ROCKET May04 Feb16 Nov25 Oct29 Sep22 (mott riley)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
SESAME STREEK Apr21         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
D'ORO LEMON         (stewart da)SANTANA JR 124 10.00    
LORD DIAMOND         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
10  STAR TOPPER         (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
11  TERM Apr21 Mar23       (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
12  HE'S A JOKER         (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  LOU'S LEGACY May04 Apr13 Mar30 Mar16 Nov25 (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 10.00    
SCR  REMARKABLE MO May04 Nov24 Oct27     (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 124 12.00    
SCR  TEMECULA Apr21 Mar16       (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  LAKE SUPERIOR Mar24 Feb25 Jan21 Oct15 Sep10 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.