Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Monday - May 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(4/3/5)-(6/8/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CD-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(6/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(6/8/2)-(2/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CD-3   WIN (6/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/2)-(6/8/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/2)-(6/8/2/7/4)-(6/8/2/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/8/2)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2)-(2/1/5)-(13/12/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(13/12/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(13/12/6/3)-(1/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-5   WIN (13/12/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (13/12/6/3)-(13/12/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (13/12/6/3)-(13/12/6/3)-(13/12/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (13/12/6/3)-(1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (13/12/6/3)-(1/5/2)-(9/5/1/2/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-6   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(9/5/1/2/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(9/5/1/2/8)-(11/2/1/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-7   WIN (9/5/1/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/1/2/8)-(9/5/1/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/1/2/8)-(9/5/1/2/8)-(9/5/1/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/1/2/8)-(11/2/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/5/1/2/8)-(11/2/1/9)-(1/2/11/4/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-8   WIN (11/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/2/1/9)-(11/2/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/2/1/9)-(11/2/1/9)-(11/2/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/2/1/9)-(1/2/11/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CD-9   WIN (1/2/11/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/11/4/5)-(1/2/11/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/11/4/5)-(1/2/11/4/5)-(1/2/11/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARLEEZY May02 Apr12 Mar14 Feb11 Jan27 (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LONG CROW May02 Apr12 Feb16 Jan28 Oct11 (corrigan jim)GRAHAM J 124 6.00    
3  HE'S GOT SWAGGER May02 Apr14 Sep28 Sep07 Aug13 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00    
4  WINSTON WOLF May09 Mar13 Feb02 Jan10 Dec14 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 5.00 29% 2.50    
5  COOKE CREEK Feb17 Dec22 Nov11 Oct14 Jun03 (o'dwyer jeremi)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
6  OUR DREAM RYE'D Apr18 Feb28 Jan10 Dec16 Oct28 (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00    
 
CD-2   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JR'S GIFT Apr25 Mar23 Feb28 Jan25 Jan10 (andrade hugo)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00    
SCR  KANSAS COMET Jul12 Jun04 Apr29 Mar02 Feb11 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50    
3  ASMODEUS May09 Apr12 Mar23 Mar01 Jan26 (morey william )ORTIZ L 124 2.00 18% 4.70    
4  DOUBLE BARREL Feb02 Jan05 May17 Apr18   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
5  GLUCKSTADT May04 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 Dec30 (haran joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SILVER HEIST Apr28 Apr13 Mar07 May04 Mar09 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00    
 
CD-3   05/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADEMM COCO         (brinkerho)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of OLEANDA AVENUE by A.P. INDY)
2  GRACE ON GRACE May10         (demeritte larr)CASTANON L 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of TRICK SOSO by POTEEN)
SCR  MIAVANA         (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of DYNAMIC HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  HAVEN'T A RED CENT Apr18         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 ★    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of INDY DREAMING by A.P. INDY)
5  MEUCCI'S REVENGE         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of FLAT MEADOW by WAR CHANT)
6  DAISY DUKE May10         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of DIXIE STRIKE by DIXIE UNION)
7  MOOCHIE GIRL         (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 ★    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LA BURNETT by BERNARDINI)
8  KISS CAM Apr18         (sweezey ke)TORRES A 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MASTERY out of KINSLEY by PULPIT)
9  CALCETINES May02 Apr18       (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 15.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of MEAN MAGGIE MAY by MALIBU MOON)
10  THE FEISTY ONE         (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of SHOCK THE WORLD by WORLD STAGE (IRE))
 
CD-4   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNIFYING Apr26 Mar09 Feb10 Dec30 Jun11 (mott riley)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
2  TAXED Apr13 Mar16 Sep23 Aug19 Jul08 (morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
3  BRAGANZA Apr26 Nov18 Oct21 Sep01 Jul21 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
4  BE LIKE WATER Apr26 Nov18 Oct26 Oct07 Aug13 (oliver victori)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00    
5  NAPA CANDY Apr26 Feb24 Jan27 Dec23 Nov22 (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TWO ITEM SAVER Apr26 Jan27 Dec28 Nov24 Oct06 (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
7  CONDENSATION Apr27 Feb03 Dec30 Nov20 Oct06 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 3.50    
 
CD-5   05/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AH JEEZ Mar03 Feb03 Dec26 Nov10 Sep30 (o'neill doug)ORTIZ L 122 4.00    
SCR  ACCREDIT May02 Apr06 Nov30 Oct13 Sep23 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50    
3  GENTLE SOUL Apr19 Jul08 Jun01 Mar25 Feb18 (calhoun w)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  U. S. ARMY May04 Mar30 Feb24 Jan26 Dec15 (caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
5  CLASSIC CAUSEWAY May01 Mar29 Jun03 Apr22 Mar18 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
6  UNCLE JAKE Apr11 Mar07 Jan28 Oct17 Aug26 (vaccarezza car)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  FUERTEVENTURA Apr04 Mar14 Oct13 Aug05 Jun21 (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00    
SCR  HARLAN ESTATE May02 Mar23 Feb17 Dec23 Nov11 (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 124 6.00    
SCR  FRONT RUN THE FED May04 Apr06 Dec30 Nov25 Sep09 (caramori cai)TORRES A 122 20.00    
SCR  HAPPY AMERICAN Apr20 Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 Dec23 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
11  ARCHIE THE GIZA Apr20 Mar14 Feb02 Jan05 Nov22 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
12  FIVE STAR GENERAL May04 Apr06 Jan20 Dec23 Nov03 (forster t)LANERIE J 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
13  KUPUNA May04 Apr06 Jan27 Nov26 Aug13 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
CD-6   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIGADE COMMANDER Apr19 Mar07 Jan27 Jan15 Dec16 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
2  GLEN AIRY Apr19 Feb08 Jan15 Nov10 Oct19 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  CALRISSIAN May05 Apr13 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 20.00    
SCR  BEAUMONT RED Apr25 Feb22 Jan25 Jan05 Dec15 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 126 6.00    
5  HAVILDAR Apr19 Mar16 Oct09 Aug26 Jul21 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  BEYOND STOKED Apr13 Mar09 Jan13 Dec09 Oct29 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
7  STOWAWAY Dec10 Nov19 Oct29 Oct08 Jul23 (beckman whi)GARCIA MARTIN 124 15.00    
8  SHOPPER'S REVENGE May02 Mar30 May06 Mar25 Feb18 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.00    
 
CD-7   05/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRITERDAYZAHEAD Nov26 Sep20 Jul16 Jun23 May21 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 11% 7.90    
2  COMISKEY PARK Apr16 Mar30 Dec31 Oct21 Aug01 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 123 10.00 10% 8.70    
3  ADIOS GARY May09 Apr24 Mar28 Jul14 Jun17 (davis joseph )JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 15.00    
4  LUDWIG Apr21 Sep02 Aug04 May21 Apr29 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 121 5.00    
5  TWO EAGLES RIVER Sep20 Jun04 Apr22 Apr01 Feb19 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 20% 3.90    
6  MACRON Apr21 Apr06 Mar09 Feb19 Feb03 (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 116 20.00    
7  AWESOME AARON Apr18 Apr05 Dec08 Nov23 Nov04 (green troy)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
8  IMPROBABLE JOURNEY Mar09 Jul21 Jun27 Jun01 Apr16 (shirer ma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  SURVEILLANCE May02 Apr06 Mar16 Feb13 Jan19 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  FAVORITE OUTLAW Feb24 Feb03 Jan05 Aug05 Jun23 (hartman chr)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 2.50    
 
CD-8   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Winning Colors Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL SPA Apr26 Mar30 Feb03 Dec26 Nov08 (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 8.00 8% 10.90    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BODACIOUS BABE by MINESHAFT)
2  B G WARRIOR Apr13 Mar16 Jan27 Jan12 Dec02 (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 12.00 11% 7.80    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
3  CLEARLY UNHINGED Apr30 Dec26 Nov04 Sep29 Aug05 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SMART WIN by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  MISS ARLINGTON May24 Apr18 Feb03 Dec22 Nov08 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of LUVNOTIONUMBERNINE by NOTIONAL)
SCR  SPIRIT WIND May04 Mar09 Dec23 May29 Mar31 (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
  (by BAHAMIAN SQUALL out of SACRED PSALM by AWESOME OF COURSE)
6  POSITANO SUNSET Apr27 Aug13 Apr07 Mar04 Feb04 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GIGGLIN' GAL by CONSOLIDATOR)
7  UNSUNG MELODY May17 Apr24 Sep17 Sep02 Jul14 (ortiz a)TORRES A 118 20.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of NARROW SEA by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  BACKYARD MONEY May17 Apr27 Apr04 Mar16 Mar08 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BECCAWHIT by ROMAN RULER)
9  HAPPY AM I Apr27 Feb03 Nov19 Oct05 Aug06 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CAT DANCE by TOM CAT)
10  LEELOO Mar30 Feb04 Dec16 Oct29 Sep30 (correas i)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RIBBON CUTTER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
11  DAZZLING BLUE Apr27 Oct21 Sep02 Jul08 May19 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BLUE VIOLET by CURLIN)
 
CD-9   05/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORLD RECORD Apr26         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MARWA by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
2  MIDWAY LIGHTS Mar09         (dutrow ri)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CHUCKLING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  STONE COLD RUNNER         (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MAGNA'S STAR by MAGNA)
4  MOBSTER Jan21 Dec26 Nov26 Oct07   (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 8% 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MEADOW BREEZE by MEADOWLAKE)
5  CAT ON TIME Apr30         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BIG CAT WALKS LATE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  TOP GUN ROCKET May04 Feb16 Nov25 Oct29 Sep22 (mott riley)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  SESAME STREEK Apr21         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of HEART LOVE KISS by ZENSATIONAL)
8  D'ORO LEMON         (stewart )SANTANA JR 124 10.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LEMONS FOREVER by LEMON DROP KID)
9  LORD DIAMOND         (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BLACK DIAMOND GIRL by HARD SPUN)
10  STAR TOPPER         (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SILVER WAVE by STAR DABBLER)
11  TERM Apr21 Mar23       (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SENTENCE by BLAME)
12  HE'S A JOKER         (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SHE'S PRETTY LUCKY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  LOU'S LEGACY May04 Apr13 Mar30 Mar16 Nov25 (andrade hugo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  REMARKABLE MO May04 Nov24 Oct27     (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 124 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of REMARKABLE MOON by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  TEMECULA Apr21 Mar16       (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TAP DIVA by TAPIT)
SCR  LAKE SUPERIOR Mar24 Feb25 Jan21 Oct15 Sep10 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CELIBATAIRE by BROKEN VOW)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.