Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (1/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.30 $4.30  
CD-2   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $11.64  
CD-3   Win (1/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $18.70 $18.70 10.70
CD-4   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.36 $9.36 3.36
CD-5   Win (10/14/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $12.48  
CD-6   Win (7/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 2.60
CD-7   Win (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $7.06  
CD-8   Win (7/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $12.32 $12.32 4.32
CD-9   Win (3/1/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $23.74  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:113 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL DISPATCH 1 2 65¼ 64½ 31 11½ 14 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 1.80 49% 1.00 1.15 W
2  COACH CAMPBELL 2 3 52¾ 41½ 42 32 24 (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.62 P
8  SEVEN TAYLORS 7 5 31 31½ 1½ 21½ 35½ (moger jr)ROMAN A 118 12.00 12.42  
3  LEBOMBO 3 6 42½ 52 64½ 45 46¼ (medina robert)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 11.99  
5  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) 4 7 76¾ 78 75½ 66½ 57¼ (atras rob)TORRES A 118 8.00 4.34  
6  MALIBLUE 5 1 1nk 1½ 2½ 55½ 618¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.00 13% 6.80 7.24  
7  DROBNY 6 4 2nk 2½ 54 79 721 (hartman chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 11% 8.50 5.33  
SCR  OATHBREAKER               (margolis r)RIQUELME J 118 15.00    
 
CD-2   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:214 :452 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FOREVER HOME 4 1 1nk 1½   12 1nk (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 2.00 4.82  
1  KYLE BEAUTY 1 4 2nk 2½   22 2nk (shirer matt )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 41% 1.50 1.98 P
5  KITTEN CALLS 5 5 69 67½   46½ 32 (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 7.13  
3  ROSE PALACE 3 3 44½ 33½   35 42¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.25  
2  ABITIBI 2 6 55 56   57 58¼ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 2.50 23% 3.30 2.79  
6  GOSHEN 6 2 32½ 45   69 618 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00 6.76  
 
CD-3   05/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:224 :461       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  VODKA WITH A TWIST 4 1 1½ 11½   11½ 11 (mccutchen jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 14% 6.00 8.35 W
8  MURPHY GIRL 7 6 31½ 31½   21½ 21 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 5.00 11.14  
1  ACHIEVE 1 3 53½ 54   44½ 34¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 38% 1.70 1.85 S
7  SLANG 6 2 2½ 21½   55 48 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 3.40  
4  ANAKARINA 3 5 41½ 42   33½ 59 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 119 4.00 26% 2.90 2.41  
3  LA CARA 2 4 76¼ 77½   68 610¾ (casse mark)TORRES A 119 6.00 5% 19.00 13.08  
6  SWIFTWIND 5 7 63¾ 64½   78½ 714¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 11.29  
SCR  LALILY               (hancock dan)CORREA L 119 10.00    
 
CD-4   05/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CRUSHED ICE 2 2 41½ 51¾   2nk 11¼ (quartarolo )LEPAROUX R 124 8.00 6% 15.80 3.68 W
6  RETAIL THERAPY 4 6 2½ 1nk   1nk 21¼ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 61% 0.60 6.64 P
1  ROSE ALABAMA 1 3 31 41½   31 31¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 4.40  
7  GEORGIA ON E'SMIND 5 4 51½ 2nk   41½ 47½ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 1.42  
8  VINO VELOCE 6 1 62 63¼   55½ 511¼ (puhich mike)TORRES A 118 8.00 6.49  
4  LOW KEY FLEX 3 5 1½ 3½   617½ 638 (falcone robert)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.29  
SCR  ARGAN               (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00    
SCR  PAM PAM               (moquett e)ORTIZ L 118 2.50    
 
CD-5   05/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 :573     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAR RIVER 1 1 1½ 1½   13½ 1¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5.24  
9  COMMITTEE OF ONE 6 2 63¼ 74¼   23½ 2¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 5.00 ★ 6.06 P
2  RUN CARSON 2 8 31½ 32   33½ 35½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 25% 3.10 7.70 S
10  DEMOLITION DUKE 7 9 84¾ 96¼   86¾ 47 (walsh p)LANERIE J 123 2.50 28% 2.60 1.76  
4  POLSTER 3 3 41½ 52¼   45 57 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 15.85  
12  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 9 6 73¼ 63¾   66½ 610¾ (dutrow rich)LEPAROUX R 123 10.00 9.89  
14  SILVER HALO 10 4 2½ 2½   55½ 715¾ (foley greg)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 25% 3.00 4.16  
11  CIGARETTE BOAT 8 5 51¾ 42   76¾ 816¼ (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 8.00 19.00  
8  PRETTY FAST 5 10 105¾ 85¾   910¼ 919½ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 36.51  
7  CHAMBERS BAY 4 7 95¼ 107¾   1010¾ 1019¾ (guerrero sal)RIQUELME J 123 30.00 81.56  
SCR  EASY OPERATOR               (londono geneviev)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 30.00    
SCR  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI)               (walsh d)BEJARANO R 123 15.00    
SCR  PINFIRE               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 123 12.00    
SCR  ZARTOWNIS               (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 8.00    
 
CD-6   05/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAUNA KEA BOUND 5 2 21 2½   14 110¼ (ewing an)CASTANON L 123 3.00 13% 6.40 4.30 W
2  WRITE OFF JERRY 2 7 79 57   35½ 210¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 123 5.00 30% 2.30 3.63 P
4  MORE THAN FIVE 3 6 68 79   58 310¾ (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 5% 19.00 3.41 S
8  SOUND DOCTRINE 7 1 11 1½   24 413 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 2.50 3.44  
5  SMOOTHDINI 4 3 53½ 67   69½ 518 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 9.16  
7  QUARRYMEN 6 4 43½ 34   46 619¼ (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 4.00 31% 2.20 3.63  
1  FAMILY FACTOR 1 5 32 45   712 727 (esquiv)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 12.00 22.97  
SCR  QUENCIO               (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 20.00    
 
CD-7   05/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13 1:39   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ON A SPREE 3 1 45½ 54 31½ 13 16½ (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 2.53  
6  HOODLUM 5 5 34½ 32½ 11 23 26½ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 3.92  
7  GUN RUSH 6 4 56 43 52½ 38 314 (watkins james )CENTENO ALEXIS 120 4.50 35% 1.90 2.74 S
1  SUPER CURIOSO (ARG) 1 3 1nk 1½ 21 48 417 (sanchez ama)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.19  
2  NEPAL UP 2 6 610½ 67 64 510½ 521¼ (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 2.98  
5  P H FACTOR 4 2 2nk 2½ 42 616½ 641¾ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00 19% 4.30 9.10  
SCR  BORN FLAWLESS               (amoss m)MONCADA IRVING 108 6.00    
SCR  KNIGHT'S CROSS               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:213 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ANYWHO 5 4 2½ 11   13 18 (sadler john)TORRES A 121 5.00 11% 8.10 5.16 W
9  CHARRIERE 8 5 73¾ 42½   33½ 28 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 30.46  
1  HOWL 1 8 32 32½   23 38¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 30% 2.30 2.21 S
3  UNSUNG MELODY 3 1 1½ 21   44 48¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 6.48  
2  CHANDANA 2 6 85¼ 87¼   67 59 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 35.48  
7  AMARETTI 7 2 53½ 65½   56½ 613¼ (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 30% 2.30 1.53  
6  SWEET ALYSSA 6 7 63½ 75¾   88 713¾ (husak j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 20.00 5% 19.00 26.30  
4  BACKYARD MONEY 4 3 42½ 55   78 822½ (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 123 6.00 7.68  
SCR  CONDENSATION               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 5.00    
 
CD-9   05/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:13 1:401   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LUCKY SPEECH 2 4 21 21½ 1½ 15 17¾ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 10.87  
3  TIMELESS ELEGANCE 3 5 43½ 32 32 25 27¾ (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 125 3.00 40% 1.50 2.36 P
10  KIMBER SPICE 6 6 65 54 44 36½ 38¼ (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 8.00 14% 6.00 3.19 S
5  MISHKA 5 7 710 610 611½ 512½ 412¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 3.71  
1  WITHOUT CAUSE 1 2 11 11½ 2½ 48½ 516½ (casse mar)DE CRUZ 118 6.00 20% 4.10 7.56  
4  MO LANTERN 4 3 32½ 43 54½ 615½ 629¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 125 8.00 5% 19.00 3.63  
11  HEARTSTRUCK 7 1 54 712½ 729½ 735½ 763¾ (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 125 15.00 20.00  
SCR  SHE A BADDIE               (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
SCR  SCENIC BEAUTY               (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
SCR  MULIMA               (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  MONT SAINT MICHEL (FR)               (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  LEMON LATTE               (barnett bob)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
SCR  DEEP SATIN               (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 2.50    
SCR  CENTURIA (IRE)               (romans dale)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  STAY LOST               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 15.00    
SCR  ADRASTEIA               (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.