Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - May 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   EXA (1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-2 $27.34 $3.34 14%
CD-3   WIN (1/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $18.70 $10.70 134%
CD-4   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.36 $3.36 56%
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-6 $42.92 $30.92 258%
    DD (1/4/5/3)-(6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-3 $75.59 $63.59 530%
CD-6   WIN (7/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $10.60 $2.60 33%
    EXA (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-2 $54.98 $30.98 129%
    TRI (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-2-4 $48.85 $36.85 307%
CD-8   WIN (7/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $12.32 $4.32 54%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:113 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL DISPATCH 1 2 65¼ 64½ 31 11½ 14 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 1.80 49% 1.00 1.15 W
2  COACH CAMPBELL 2 3 52¾ 41½ 42 32 24 (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.62 P
8  SEVEN TAYLORS 7 5 31 31½ 1½ 21½ 35½ (moger jr)ROMAN A 118 12.00 12.42  
3  LEBOMBO 3 6 42½ 52 64½ 45 46¼ (medina robert)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 11.99  
5  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) 4 7 76¾ 78 75½ 66½ 57¼ (atras rob)TORRES A 118 8.00 4.34  
6  MALIBLUE 5 1 1nk 1½ 2½ 55½ 618¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.00 13% 6.80 7.24  
7  DROBNY 6 4 2nk 2½ 54 79 721 (hartman chri)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 11% 8.50 5.33  
SCR  OATHBREAKER               (margolis stephen)RIQUELME J 118 15.00    
 
CD-2   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:214 :452 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FOREVER HOME 4 1 1nk 1½   12 1nk (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 2.00 4.82  
1  KYLE BEAUTY 1 4 2nk 2½   22 2nk (shirer mat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 41% 1.50 1.98 P
5  KITTEN CALLS 5 5 69 67½   46½ 32 (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 7.13  
3  ROSE PALACE 3 3 44½ 33½   35 42¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.25  
2  ABITIBI 2 6 55 56   57 58¼ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 2.50 23% 3.30 2.79  
6  GOSHEN 6 2 32½ 45   69 618 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 8.00 6.76  
 
CD-3   05/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:224 :461       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  VODKA WITH A TWIST 4 1 1½ 11½   11½ 11 (mccutchen jas)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 14% 6.00 8.35 W
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of BOURBON AND A KISS by SKY MESA)
8  MURPHY GIRL 7 6 31½ 31½   21½ 21 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 5.00 11.14  
  (by WAR OF WILL out of CURLED by CURLIN)
1  ACHIEVE 1 3 53½ 54   44½ 34¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 38% 1.70 1.85 S
  (by JUSTIFY out of DREAMS ARE MADE by TAPIT)
7  SLANG 6 2 2½ 21½   55 48 (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 3.40  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SUNBURY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  ANAKARINA 3 5 41½ 42   33½ 59 (stewart dallas)LANERIE J 119 4.00 26% 2.90 2.41  
  (by VEKOMA out of TACIT APPROVAL by STOP THE MUSIC)
3  LA CARA 2 4 76¼ 77½   68 610¾ (casse mar)TORRES A 119 6.00 5% 19.00 13.08  
  (by STREET SENSE out of CARA CATERINA by BERNARDINI)
6  SWIFTWIND 5 7 63¾ 64½   78½ 714¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 11.29  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of PINEY POINT by CURLIN)
SCR  LALILY               (hancock d)CORREA L 119 10.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of VIOLINIST by REGAL CLASSIC)
 
CD-4   05/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CRUSHED ICE 2 2 41½ 51¾   2nk 11¼ (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 124 8.00 6% 15.80 3.68 W
6  RETAIL THERAPY 4 6 2½ 1nk   1nk 21¼ (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 61% 0.60 6.64 P
1  ROSE ALABAMA 1 3 31 41½   31 31¼ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 4.40  
7  GEORGIA ON E'SMIND 5 4 51½ 2nk   41½ 47½ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 1.42  
8  VINO VELOCE 6 1 62 63¼   55½ 511¼ (puhich mike)TORRES A 118 8.00 6.49  
4  LOW KEY FLEX 3 5 1½ 3½   617½ 638 (falcone robe)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.29  
SCR  ARGAN               (gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00    
SCR  PAM PAM               (moquett ronald)ORTIZ L 118 2.50    
 
CD-5   05/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 :573     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAR RIVER 1 1 1½ 1½   13½ 1¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5.24  
9  COMMITTEE OF ONE 6 2 63¼ 74¼   23½ 2¾ (asmussen )TORRES A 118 5.00 ★ 6.06 P
2  RUN CARSON 2 8 31½ 32   33½ 35½ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 25% 3.10 7.70 S
10  DEMOLITION DUKE 7 9 84¾ 96¼   86¾ 47 (walsh p)LANERIE J 123 2.50 28% 2.60 1.76  
4  POLSTER 3 3 41½ 52¼   45 57 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 15.85  
12  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 9 6 73¼ 63¾   66½ 610¾ (dutrow ri)LEPAROUX R 123 10.00 9.89  
14  SILVER HALO 10 4 2½ 2½   55½ 715¾ (foley greg)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 25% 3.00 4.16  
11  CIGARETTE BOAT 8 5 51¾ 42   76¾ 816¼ (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 8.00 19.00  
8  PRETTY FAST 5 10 105¾ 85¾   910¼ 919½ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 20.00 36.51  
7  CHAMBERS BAY 4 7 95¼ 107¾   1010¾ 1019¾ (guerrero sal)RIQUELME J 123 30.00 81.56  
SCR  EASY OPERATOR               (londono genevi)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 30.00    
SCR  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI)               (walsh d)BEJARANO R 123 15.00    
SCR  PINFIRE               (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 123 12.00    
SCR  ZARTOWNIS               (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 8.00    
 
CD-6   05/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:111     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAUNA KEA BOUND 5 2 21 2½   14 110¼ (ewing michael )CASTANON L 123 3.00 13% 6.40 4.30 W
2  WRITE OFF JERRY 2 7 79 57   35½ 210¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 123 5.00 30% 2.30 3.63 P
4  MORE THAN FIVE 3 6 68 79   58 310¾ (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 5% 19.00 3.41 S
8  SOUND DOCTRINE 7 1 11 1½   24 413 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 2.50 3.44  
5  SMOOTHDINI 4 3 53½ 67   69½ 518 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 9.16  
7  QUARRYMEN 6 4 43½ 34   46 619¼ (amoss tho)TORRES A 118 4.00 31% 2.20 3.63  
1  FAMILY FACTOR 1 5 32 45   712 727 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 12.00 22.97  
SCR  QUENCIO               (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 20.00    
 
CD-7   05/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13 1:39   1:523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ON A SPREE 3 1 45½ 54 31½ 13 16½ (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 2.53  
6  HOODLUM 5 5 34½ 32½ 11 23 26½ (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 3.92  
7  GUN RUSH 6 4 56 43 52½ 38 314 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 4.50 35% 1.90 2.74 S
1  SUPER CURIOSO (ARG) 1 3 1nk 1½ 21 48 417 (sanchez a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.19  
2  NEPAL UP 2 6 610½ 67 64 510½ 521¼ (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 2.98  
5  P H FACTOR 4 2 2nk 2½ 42 616½ 641¾ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00 19% 4.30 9.10  
SCR  BORN FLAWLESS               (amoss thomas)MONCADA IRVING 108 6.00    
SCR  KNIGHT'S CROSS               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:213 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ANYWHO 5 4 2½ 11   13 18 (sadler jo)TORRES A 121 5.00 11% 8.10 5.16 W
9  CHARRIERE 8 5 73¾ 42½   33½ 28 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 30.46  
1  HOWL 1 8 32 32½   23 38¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 30% 2.30 2.21 S
3  UNSUNG MELODY 3 1 1½ 21   44 48¾ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 6.48  
2  CHANDANA 2 6 85¼ 87¼   67 59 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 35.48  
7  AMARETTI 7 2 53½ 65½   56½ 613¼ (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 30% 2.30 1.53  
6  SWEET ALYSSA 6 7 63½ 75¾   88 713¾ (husak gary)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 20.00 5% 19.00 26.30  
4  BACKYARD MONEY 4 3 42½ 55   78 822½ (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 123 6.00 7.68  
SCR  CONDENSATION               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 5.00    
 
CD-9   05/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:13 1:401   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LUCKY SPEECH 2 4 21 21½ 1½ 15 17¾ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00 10.87  
  (by AUDIBLE out of LUCKYALLMYLIFE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
3  TIMELESS ELEGANCE 3 5 43½ 32 32 25 27¾ (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 125 3.00 40% 1.50 2.36 P
  (by WAR FRONT out of L' AGE D'OR by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  KIMBER SPICE 6 6 65 54 44 36½ 38¼ (lovell miche)TORRES A 118 8.00 14% 6.00 3.19 S
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET PROMISES by BERNARDINI)
5  MISHKA 5 7 710 610 611½ 512½ 412¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 3.71  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GOLD DUST WOMAN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
1  WITHOUT CAUSE 1 2 11 11½ 2½ 48½ 516½ (casse m)DE CRUZ 118 6.00 20% 4.10 7.56  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of WITHHOLD by TIZNOW)
4  MO LANTERN 4 3 32½ 43 54½ 615½ 629¾ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 125 8.00 5% 19.00 3.63  
  (by MO TOWN out of LANTERN by MINESHAFT)
11  HEARTSTRUCK 7 1 54 712½ 729½ 735½ 763¾ (arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 125 15.00 20.00  
  (by NYQUIST out of PERFECT FOR YOU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  SHE A BADDIE               (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  SCENIC BEAUTY               (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of LUCKY COVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  MULIMA               (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MONT SAINT MICHEL (FR)               (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BLACK DAHLIA by OH SAY (IRE))
SCR  LEMON LATTE               (barnett b)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of DOUBLE LATTE by THE FACTOR)
SCR  DEEP SATIN               (devaux ch)TORRES A 118 2.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TAKE THE RIBBON by CHESTER HOUSE)
SCR  CENTURIA (IRE)               (romans dale)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
  (by ADVERTISE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  STAY LOST               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DARCI'S DREAM by DARCI BRAHMA)
SCR  ADRASTEIA               (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ARROSTOS by BODEMEISTER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.