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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Friday - May 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-1			EXA	(1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2)						12	$2.00	$24.00	1-2		$27.34			$3.34				14%
CD-3			WIN	(1/4/5/3)						4	$2.00	$8.00	5		$18.70			$10.70				134%
CD-4			WIN	(6/3/4)						3	$2.00	$6.00	3		$9.36			$3.36				56%
			EXA	(6/3/4)-(6/3/4)						6	$2.00	$12.00	3-6		$42.92			$30.92				258%
			DD	(1/4/5/3)-(6/3/4)						12	$1.00	$12.00	5-3		$75.59			$63.59				530%
CD-6			WIN	(7/2/6/4)						4	$2.00	$8.00	6		$10.60			$2.60				33%
			EXA	(7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4)						12	$2.00	$24.00	6-2		$54.98			$30.98				129%
			TRI	(7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4)						24	$0.50	$12.00	6-2-4		$48.85			$36.85				307%
CD-8			WIN	(7/1/5/6)						4	$2.00	$8.00	5		$12.32			$4.32				54%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			05/17/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	SLOPPY	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($58K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	SPECIAL DISPATCH									(mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118						1.80		49%		1.00		1.15	W
2	COACH CAMPBELL									(desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118						8.00		5%		19.00		6.62	P
8	SEVEN TAYLORS									(moger jr)ROMAN A 118						12.00						12.42
3	LEBOMBO									(medina robert)ORTIZ L 118						8.00						11.99
5	BOUNTEOUS (IRE)									(atras rob)TORRES A 118						8.00						4.34
6	MALIBLUE									(foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118						4.00		13%		6.80		7.24
7	DROBNY									(hartman chri)GEROUX FLORENT 118						3.50		11%		8.50		5.33
SCR	OATHBREAKER									(margolis stephen)RIQUELME J 118						15.00

CD-2			05/17/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	SLOPPY	Claiming ($25K)					Purse ($56K)			4UP		M/F		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	FOREVER HOME									(garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118						2.00						4.82
1	KYLE BEAUTY									(shirer mat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						3.00		41%		1.50		1.98	P
5	KITTEN CALLS									(reed r)BEJARANO R 118						8.00						7.13
3	ROSE PALACE									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118						6.00		5%		19.00		4.25
2	ABITIBI									(esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118						2.50		23%		3.30		2.79
6	GOSHEN									(foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118						8.00						6.76

CD-3			05/17/2024		3300ft	DIRT	RC5	SLOPPY	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		F		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	VODKA WITH A TWIST									(mccutchen jas)CANNON DECLAN 119						8.00		14%		6.00		8.35	W
		(by THOUSAND WORDS out of BOURBON AND A KISS by SKY MESA)
8	MURPHY GIRL									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119						5.00						11.14
		(by WAR OF WILL out of CURLED by CURLIN)
1	ACHIEVE									(casse mark)ORTIZ L 119						3.50		38%		1.70		1.85	S
		(by JUSTIFY out of DREAMS ARE MADE by TAPIT)
7	SLANG									(casse no)SANTANA JR 119						4.50						3.40
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of SUNBURY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4	ANAKARINA									(stewart dallas)LANERIE J 119						4.00		26%		2.90		2.41
		(by VEKOMA out of TACIT APPROVAL by STOP THE MUSIC)
3	LA CARA									(casse mar)TORRES A 119						6.00		5%		19.00		13.08
		(by STREET SENSE out of CARA CATERINA by BERNARDINI)
6	SWIFTWIND									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119						5.00						11.29
		(by COMPLEXITY out of PINEY POINT by CURLIN)
SCR	LALILY									(hancock d)CORREA L 119						10.00
		(by ARMY MULE out of VIOLINIST by REGAL CLASSIC)

CD-4			05/17/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC4	SLOPPY	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	CRUSHED ICE									(quartarol)LEPAROUX R 124						8.00		6%		15.80		3.68	W
6	RETAIL THERAPY									(ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 118						6.00		61%		0.60		6.64	P
1	ROSE ALABAMA									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						8.00						4.40
7	GEORGIA ON E'SMIND									(calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						5.00						1.42
8	VINO VELOCE									(puhich mike)TORRES A 118						8.00						6.49
4	LOW KEY FLEX									(falcone robe)GEROUX FLORENT 118						10.00		5%		19.00		6.29
SCR	ARGAN									(gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						3.00
SCR	PAM PAM									(moquett ronald)ORTIZ L 118						2.50

CD-5			05/17/2024		3630ft	DIRT	RC10	SLOPPY	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	BEAR RIVER									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118						8.00						5.24
9	COMMITTEE OF ONE									(asmussen )TORRES A 118						5.00		★				6.06	P
2	RUN CARSON									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120						6.00		25%		3.10		7.70	S
10	DEMOLITION DUKE									(walsh p)LANERIE J 123						2.50		28%		2.60		1.76
4	POLSTER									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 123						10.00		5%		19.00		15.85
12	SUGAR GRAY LEONARD									(dutrow ri)LEPAROUX R 123						10.00						9.89
14	SILVER HALO									(foley greg)ORTIZ L 118						3.00		25%		3.00		4.16
11	CIGARETTE BOAT									(maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123						8.00						19.00
8	PRETTY FAST									(foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118						20.00						36.51
7	CHAMBERS BAY									(guerrero sal)RIQUELME J 123						30.00						81.56
SCR	EASY OPERATOR									(londono genevi)SAEZ GABRIEL 123						30.00
SCR	GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI)									(walsh d)BEJARANO R 123						15.00
SCR	PINFIRE									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 123						12.00
SCR	ZARTOWNIS									(devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 123						8.00

CD-6			05/17/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC7	SLOPPY	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	MAUNA KEA BOUND									(ewing michael )CASTANON L 123						3.00		13%		6.40		4.30	W
2	WRITE OFF JERRY									(sharp joe)TORRES A 123						5.00		30%		2.30		3.63	P
4	MORE THAN FIVE									(garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 123						6.00		5%		19.00		3.41	S
8	SOUND DOCTRINE									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123						2.50						3.44
5	SMOOTHDINI									(hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						8.00						9.16
7	QUARRYMEN									(amoss tho)TORRES A 118						4.00		31%		2.20		3.63
1	FAMILY FACTOR									(esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118						12.00						22.97
SCR	QUENCIO									(garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118						20.00

CD-7			05/17/2024		5940ft	DIRT	RC9	SLOPPY	Starter Allowance ($10K)					Purse ($52K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	ON A SPREE									(maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120						3.00						2.53
6	HOODLUM									(stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120						5.00						3.92
7	GUN RUSH									(watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 120						4.50		35%		1.90		2.74	S
1	SUPER CURIOSO (ARG)									(sanchez a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118						6.00		5%		19.00		8.19
2	NEPAL UP									(van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 118						6.00						2.98
5	P H FACTOR									(foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118						5.00		19%		4.30		9.10
SCR	BORN FLAWLESS									(amoss thomas)MONCADA IRVING 108						6.00
SCR	KNIGHT'S CROSS									(van thomas)BEJARANO R 118						15.00

CD-8			05/17/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC3	SLOPPY	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	ANYWHO									(sadler jo)TORRES A 121						5.00		11%		8.10		5.16	W
9	CHARRIERE									(mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 121						20.00						30.46
1	HOWL									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121						2.50		30%		2.30		2.21	S
3	UNSUNG MELODY									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121						6.00						6.48
2	CHANDANA									(morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121						12.00						35.48
7	AMARETTI									(mott i)ORTIZ L 121						3.00		30%		2.30		1.53
6	SWEET ALYSSA									(husak gary)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123						20.00		5%		19.00		26.30
4	BACKYARD MONEY									(lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 123						6.00						7.68
SCR	CONDENSATION									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121						5.00

CD-9			05/17/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC5	SLOPPY	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	LUCKY SPEECH									(sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						20.00						10.87
		(by AUDIBLE out of LUCKYALLMYLIFE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
3	TIMELESS ELEGANCE									(thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 125						3.00		40%		1.50		2.36	P
		(by WAR FRONT out of L' AGE D'OR by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10	KIMBER SPICE									(lovell miche)TORRES A 118						8.00		14%		6.00		3.19	S
		(by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET PROMISES by BERNARDINI)
5	MISHKA									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118						8.00						3.71
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GOLD DUST WOMAN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
1	WITHOUT CAUSE									(casse m)DE CRUZ 118						6.00		20%		4.10		7.56
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of WITHHOLD by TIZNOW)
4	MO LANTERN									(brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 125						8.00		5%		19.00		3.63
		(by MO TOWN out of LANTERN by MINESHAFT)
11	HEARTSTRUCK									(arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 125						15.00						20.00
		(by NYQUIST out of PERFECT FOR YOU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR	SHE A BADDIE									(beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						15.00
		(by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR	SCENIC BEAUTY									(lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						20.00
		(by DISTORTED HUMOR out of LUCKY COVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR	MULIMA									(walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118						15.00
		(by BERNARDINI out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR	MONT SAINT MICHEL (FR)									(walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118						15.00
		(by UNKNOWN out of BLACK DAHLIA by OH SAY (IRE))
SCR	LEMON LATTE									(barnett b)LEPAROUX R 118						30.00
		(by LEMON DROP KID out of DOUBLE LATTE by THE FACTOR)
SCR	DEEP SATIN									(devaux ch)TORRES A 118						2.50
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TAKE THE RIBBON by CHESTER HOUSE)
SCR	CENTURIA (IRE)									(romans dale)ORTIZ L 118						8.00
		(by ADVERTISE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR	STAY LOST									(corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125						15.00
		(by BERNARDINI out of DARCI'S DREAM by DARCI BRAHMA)
SCR	ADRASTEIA									(bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118						30.00
		(by SPEIGHTSTER out of ARROSTOS by BODEMEISTER)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.