The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $9.62 -4.00
CD-2   Win (4/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.70 $7.70 -0.30
CD-3   Win (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.98 $3.98 -2.02
CD-4   Win (1/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $8.32 -8.00
CD-5   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $12.74 $12.74 6.74
CD-6   Win (18/17/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $6.08 -6.00
CD-7   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.10 $3.10 -2.90
CD-8   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $43.38 $43.38 37.38
CD-9   Win (8/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $29.44 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/24/2024 5610ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:121 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHILHARMONIC 1 3 22 22 21 1 1 (zito p)RIQUELME J 124 4.00 3.81  
NACHO CHROME 3 4 46 3 4 35 2 (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 2.64  
BEER WITH ICE 5 2 12 12 11 2 3 (hartman chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 65% 0.50 1.49 S
ONEPARTICULRHARBOR 4 6 612 611 610½ 510½ 412 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.00 4.68  
FREAKY Z 2 1 35 45 33 4 512 (hill f)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 15.00 10.93  
STAR NATION 6 5 510 59 5 611 616¾ (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 124 6.00 5% 19.00 13.46  
 
CD-2   05/24/2024 3300ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:224 :454       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE ECHOES 1 2 3 3   3½ 1¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.00 8% 11.10 2.85 W
CHARLIE TOLU 8 5 2½ 2½   1nk 2¾ (hancock jack)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 2.50 4.62  
CLOCK TOWER 4 1 1½ 1½   2nk 33 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.00 46% 1.20 1.71 S
B GRAYSON 2 6 54 5   5 4 (brinkerhoff v)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 17.49  
BEIJING BOSS 3 4 42 43   45 510½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 6% 15.30 26.47  
CHARBONNAY 5 7 6 68   6 615 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 20.07  
ART FAIR 6 8 813 816½   816 716 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 3.07  
STREET LASS 7 3 7 710½   713 820¾ (chapman jam)BEALMEAR C 109 20.00 5% 19.00 43.17  
 
CD-3   05/24/2024 3630ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:22 :443 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZEITLOS 4 6 6 6   32 1½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 4.00 29% 2.40 0.99 W
YOUR SO SILLEA 3 2 21 2nk   12 2½ (sims philip )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 5% 19.00 7.61 P
SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS 2 3 11 1nk   22 3 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 2.50 46% 1.20 1.65 S
DARING DO 5 4 33 32   44 4 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 121 8.00 14.15  
CURRENT CLIMATE 1 1 43 55   5 511½ (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 13.27  
10  MISS ARLINGTON 6 5 54 4   6 614¼ (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 11.13  
SCR  BLAME DAY               (lovell michell)TORRES A 121 30.00    
SCR  BREEZE EASY (GB)               (catalano m)ROCCO S 121 30.00    
SCR  L J'S EMMA               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
SCR  LAST LEAF               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
SCR  RUN FOR THE HILLS               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 123 3.00    
 
CD-4   05/24/2024 5610ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:124 1:391   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS HARMONIC 6 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 12 1 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 3.16  
CANDY CRAZE 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 22 2 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 29% 2.50 1.48 P
COMPUTADORA (ARG) 5 3 3 3 3 36 3 (stall albert)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 11.29  
PITTORE D'ORO 7 4 66 68 7 47 4 (michael bri)BEALMEAR C 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.24  
MORNING SPLENDOR 2 7 7 7 6 5 5 (oliver victoria)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 11.18  
NAUGHTY MISS 4 6 54 5 45 68 612¾ (cano muno)TORRES A 118 8.00 19% 4.20 4.31  
UNION DAME 3 5 4 4 5 711 715½ (santamaria carlos)BEJARANO R 126 6.00 14% 6.20 4.93  
 
CD-5   05/24/2024 3300ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:223 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYGROVE 3 5 3 21   2nk 1 (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 5% 19.00 5.37 W
FLEET STREET 6 2 12 11   1nk 2 (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 3.57  
QUINQUELA 1 1 22 34   3 310¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 9% 10.40 3.70 S
TIZNTSHELOVELY 5 4 54 46   48 413¾ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 2.22  
MISS MAKENNA 2 3 44 59   511 518 (brinkerhoff v)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 64% 0.60 3.93  
SECESSION BREWING 4 6 66 6   612 619½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 7.98  
SCR  CITIZEN JUDY               (ennis john)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00    
SCR  FLIP FLOPS               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00    
SCR  TROUBLER               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
 
CD-6   05/24/2024 7260ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:14 1:383   2:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CYBER NINJA 2 4 4 4 2 1nk 1 (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 2.04  
10  DOMINGO 3 1nk 2½ 2½ 1 2nk 2 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 3.73  
RELAMPAGO VERDE 1 2nk 1½ 1½ 3 32 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.81 S
17  KING RUSSELL 4 52 5 53 5 48 415½ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 19% 4.30 2.02  
18  LUNA VIEJA 5 31 3 3 45 5 529¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00 27% 2.70 3.37  
SCR  IRONSIDES               (oliver victoria)CANNON DECLAN 124 8.00    
SCR  KARMA DIRECTOR               (reed r)BEJARANO R 124 30.00    
SCR  MAXIMUM CAPACITY               (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
SCR  MIKEALICIOUS               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
SCR  MY FRIEND LOUIE               (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 124 30.00    
SCR  OUR DREAM RYE'D               (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00    
SCR  SGT. PEPPER               (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50    
SCR  GLEN AIRY               (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
SCR  TRULY QUALITY               (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00    
SCR  BETTER BET               (sweezey ke)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50    
SCR  BEAUMONT RED               (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 124 6.00    
SCR  BEAN MACHINE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCR  COPPER MISSILE               (danner kelse)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   05/24/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:214 :443 :564     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARRODSBURG 5 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 1nk (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 123 0.80 44% 1.30 0.55 W
RITHM NIC 2 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (shirer a)TORRES A 123 5.00 6.25  
TRUST DADDY 1 4 3 4   43 31 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 15.07 S
CHISELER 6 2 4 3   32 4 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 4.85  
BLACK POWDER 4 6 5 55   55 5 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 4.50 13% 6.50 4.87  
BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX 3 5 6 6   610 612¼ (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00 35.89  
SCR  PRESSURE               (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 15.00    
 
CD-8   05/24/2024 4290ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AL AMEEQ 4 1 1nk 1½   1 1 (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 20.69 W
MELLIFLUOUS 3 6 6 3½   2 2 (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 1.20 72% 0.40 1.23 P
ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT 1 2 53 5   3 3 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 1.58  
OVERSTATEMENT 5 7 7 7   79 4 (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 118 12.00 12.42  
DU MONDE 6 4 4 6   6 510¼ (hill f)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 36.87  
LUCCHESI 7 3 31 2½   4 610¾ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 10.00  
ENDLESS REIGN 2 5 2nk 4¾   5 714¾ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00 6.12  
SCR  LET'S GO CHAMP               (puhich mike)TORRES A 118 8.00    
 
CD-9   05/24/2024 3630ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :451 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANKSTER 1 2 42 42   3½ 11 (cunningham )BEALMEAR C 121 20.00 13.72  
10  JUST MIGHT 5 5 2½ 2½   1nk 21 (lovell michell)TORRES A 123 3.50 31% 2.30 2.13 P
RYVIT 2 4 1½ 1½   2nk 3 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 0.81  
CONDEMN 3 1 53 32   42 4 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.69  
WINFROMWITHIN 4 3 32 5   5 5 (morey e)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 31% 2.20 4.58  
SCR  MINNESOTA READY               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE               (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00    
SCR  LET MY PEOPLE GO               (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
SCR  CHERUBIC FACTOR               (eurton peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00    
SCR  CANDY MAN ROCKET               (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 2.50    
SCR  REMUDA               (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 121 6.00    
SCR  AMBIVALENT               (forster t)LANERIE J 123 6.00    
SCR  ANTARES               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.