Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Friday - May 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/6)-(4/1/3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(4/1/3/7)-(3/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CD-2   WIN (4/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7)-(4/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/7)-(3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/7)-(3/7/5)-(1/4/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-3   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(1/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(1/4/3/7)-(3/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-4   WIN (1/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/7)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/7)-(3/2/4)-(18/17/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-5   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(18/17/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(18/17/1)-(6/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CD-6   WIN (18/17/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (18/17/1)-(18/17/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (18/17/1)-(18/17/1)-(18/17/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (18/17/1)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (18/17/1)-(6/4/1)-(4/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CD-7   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(4/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(4/7/5)-(8/10/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CD-8   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5/3)-(4/7/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(8/10/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CD-9   WIN (8/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/10/6)-(8/10/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/10/6)-(8/10/6)-(8/10/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHILHARMONIC Apr19 Mar29 Dec17 Nov04 Oct02 (zito p)RIQUELME J 124 4.00    
2  FREAKY Z Apr30 Apr16 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 (hill f)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 15.00    
3  NACHO CHROME Apr19 Mar29 Feb25 Jan26 Dec30 (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50    
4  ONEPARTICULRHARBOR Apr27 Mar27 Mar15 Jan24 Dec23 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.00 ★    
5  BEER WITH ICE Apr27 Mar24 Feb22 Feb01   (hartman chri)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 65% 0.50    
6  STAR NATION Apr27 Apr05 Mar15 Mar01 Feb10 (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-2   05/24/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE ECHOES         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.00 8% 11.10    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of BAYOU MISS by DARING GROOM)
2  B GRAYSON May01         (brinkerhoff)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of CATTICUS by ATTICUS)
3  BEIJING BOSS         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 6% 15.30    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of SATULAH by GONE WEST)
4  CLOCK TOWER         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of HOT STONES by BUSTIN STONES)
5  CHARBONNAY         (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of BOOTSY'S HADENOUGH by PAYNTER)
6  ART FAIR         (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DEVIOUS CHARM by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  STREET LASS May03 Apr07       (chapman j)BEALMEAR C 109 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of FAIR POINT by SMART STRIKE)
8  CHARLIE TOLU May01 Apr17       (hancock ja)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 2.50    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of LADY TULA by BIG SURF)
 
CD-3   05/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLAME DAY Apr30 Mar30 Mar09 Feb10 Dec07 (lovell miche)TORRES A 121 30.00    
2  CURRENT CLIMATE Apr27 Mar16 Jan12 Dec07 Nov16 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00    
3  SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS Apr18 Oct20 Aug19 Jun16 May03 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  RUN FOR THE HILLS May03 Apr07 Mar03 Feb09 Jan01 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 123 3.00    
5  YOUR SO SILLEA Apr18 Nov11 Oct26 Sep30 Jun30 (sims phili)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  L J'S EMMA Apr18 Oct06 Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
7  ZEITLOS Apr27 Mar30 Feb24 Feb03 Nov10 (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 29% 2.40    
8  DARING DO Apr18 Oct06 Jul16 May28 Apr20 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 121 8.00    
SCR  BREEZE EASY (GB) May12 Apr13 Feb13 Jan06 Dec08 (catalano wayne)ROCCO S 121 30.00    
10  MISS ARLINGTON Apr18 Feb03 Dec22 Nov08 Oct12 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
SCR  LAST LEAF Apr27 Feb17 Jan12 Dec07 Nov11 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
 
CD-4   05/24/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY CRAZE May01         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
2  MORNING SPLENDOR Apr05 Feb07 Dec27     (oliver victori)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
3  UNION DAME Apr14 Mar08 Feb04 Dec17   (santamaria carlo)BEJARANO R 126 6.00 14% 6.20    
4  NAUGHTY MISS May03 Mar28 Sep20 Aug11 Jul16 (cano mu)TORRES A 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
5  COMPUTADORA (ARG) Apr27 Mar22       (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50    
6  MISS HARMONIC Apr21 Mar08 Feb09 Jan18 Dec14 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00    
7  PITTORE D'ORO May02 Apr11 Mar06 Feb22 Feb03 (michael b)BEALMEAR C 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   05/24/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLIP FLOPS Apr26         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of SANDAL by MUNNINGS)
2  QUINQUELA         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 9% 10.40    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of FUNTASIA by ACCLAMATION)
3  MISS MAKENNA May02         (brinkerhoff)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 64% 0.60    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of PEGGY MAY by LEMON DROP KID)
4  HOLLYGROVE         (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of MOON AND STARS by ORB)
5  SECESSION BREWING         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of THAT'S A GIANT NO by NOT THIS TIME)
SCR  CITIZEN JUDY Apr11         (ennis joh)LEPAROUX R 119 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of HONESTLY DEB by SUPER SAVER)
7  TIZNTSHELOVELY         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SENSE OF GRACE by STREET SENSE)
8  FLEET STREET Apr24         (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SUMMERS HOPE by SUMMER FRONT)
SCR  TROUBLER         (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of WICKEDLY by MR. GREELEY)
 
CD-6   05/24/2024 7260ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELAMPAGO VERDE Apr24 Mar21 Feb22 Oct13   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CYBER NINJA Apr25 Mar10 Jan31 Nov18 Oct19 (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
SCR  OUR DREAM RYE'D Apr18 Feb28 Jan10 Dec16 Oct28 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00    
SCR  BEAN MACHINE Mar24 Feb10 Jan05     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCR  MIKEALICIOUS Apr26 Mar23 Feb24 Dec31 Dec09 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
SCR  MAXIMUM CAPACITY Apr25 Mar08 Jan20 Jan01 Dec03 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
SCR  COPPER MISSILE Apr26 Oct26 Sep30 Aug31 Jul15 (danner kel)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
SCR  SGT. PEPPER Apr25 Feb08 Jan11 May07 Mar31 (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50    
SCR  IRONSIDES Apr25 Mar23 Feb09 Sep07 Aug19 (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 124 8.00    
10  DOMINGO Apr26 Mar02 Feb03 Jan01 Nov25 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
SCR  BETTER BET Apr25 Mar16 Jan18     (sweezey j )GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50    
SCR  TRULY QUALITY Apr25 Mar03 Feb03 Oct28 Sep10 (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00    
SCR  KARMA DIRECTOR Feb02 Dec08 Nov05 Aug02 Jul12 (reed r)BEJARANO R 124 30.00    
SCR  MY FRIEND LOUIE May04 Apr12 Mar13 Feb08 Jan12 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 124 30.00    
SCR  BEAUMONT RED Apr25 Feb22 Jan25 Jan05 Dec15 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 124 6.00    
SCR  GLEN AIRY Apr19 Feb08 Jan15 Nov10 Oct19 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
17  KING RUSSELL Apr28 Mar30 Feb16 Jan13 Jun11 (moquett ronald)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
18  LUNA VIEJA Apr30 Mar17 Feb12 Jan18 Dec15 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
CD-7   05/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUST DADDY Apr14 Jan12 Nov18 Oct26 Jun23 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  RITHM NIC May04 Apr20 Apr06 Mar22 Mar09 (shirer matt )TORRES A 123 5.00    
3  BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX May04 Apr05 Feb28 Oct29 Oct07 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00    
4  BLACK POWDER Apr21 Jul08 May29 May04 Mar23 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 4.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  PRESSURE May03 Apr12 Mar24 Mar02 Feb10 (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 15.00    
6  HARRODSBURG Apr12 Jul01 May06 Mar26   (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 123 0.80 44% 1.30    
7  CHISELER Apr05 Feb25 Jan01 Dec03 Nov09 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50    
 
CD-8   05/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LET'S GO CHAMP Apr20 Apr06       (puhich mike)TORRES A 118 8.00    
2  ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT Apr20 Mar21 Mar07 Jan28 Dec31 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 2.50    
3  ENDLESS REIGN Mar30 Mar03       (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00 ★    
4  MELLIFLUOUS Apr13 Mar09 Feb02 Jan13   (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 1.20 72% 0.40    
5  AL AMEEQ Apr24 Mar13       (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  OVERSTATEMENT         (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 118 12.00    
7  DU MONDE Apr24 Feb23 Jan18     (hill f)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  LUCCHESI May02 Mar13       (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
 
CD-9   05/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMBIVALENT Apr19 Mar20 Feb25 Jan28 Sep17 (forster t)LANERIE J 123 6.00    
2  SPANKSTER May06 Apr06 Mar09 Feb19 Nov05 (cunning)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
SCR  LET MY PEOPLE GO Apr19 Apr06 Dec30 Dec15 Nov12 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
SCR  REMUDA Oct08 Aug05 Jun16 Apr16 Jan15 (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 121 6.00    
5  RYVIT Apr13 Mar16 Feb23 Dec09 Nov20 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00    
6  CONDEMN Apr25 Mar22 Feb03 Dec30 Dec02 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHERUBIC FACTOR Apr19 Sep02 Jul29 Jun17 May06 (eurton pet)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00    
8  WINFROMWITHIN Apr19 Mar01 Feb03 Dec23 Nov05 (morey william )ORTIZ L 121 5.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  ANTARES May06 Mar22 Mar09 Jan27 Dec30 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 121 12.00    
10  JUST MIGHT Apr19 Feb17 Jan20 Dec23 Nov12 (lovell miche)TORRES A 123 3.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE Feb17 Dec02 Oct15 Sep02 Jun25 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00    
SCR  CANDY MAN ROCKET May04 Mar24 Feb24 Jul01 May13 (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 2.50    
SCR  MINNESOTA READY May04 Apr06 Feb17 Jan20 Dec23 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.