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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Friday - May 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-2			WIN	(11/10/1/5/3)						5	$2.00	$10.00	11		$11.58			$1.58				16%
CD-4			TRI	(6/8/2/3/5)-(6/8/2/3/5)-(6/8/2/3/5)						60	$0.50	$30.00	6-8-3		$42.28			$12.28				41%
CD-6			WIN	(3/9/2/7/5)						5	$2.00	$10.00	5		$27.24			$17.24				172%
			EXA	(3/9/2/7/5)-(3/9/2/7/5)						20	$2.00	$40.00	5-7		$439.08			$399.08				998%
CD-7			WIN	(5/6/4)						3	$2.00	$6.00	6		$8.92			$2.92				49%
			EXA	(5/6/4)-(5/6/4)						6	$2.00	$12.00	6-4		$51.40			$39.40				328%
			DD	(3/9/2/7/5)-(5/6/4)						15	$1.00	$15.00	5-6		$94.40			$79.40				529%
CD-8			WIN	(5/3/9/1)						4	$2.00	$8.00	3		$11.04			$3.04				38%
			EXA	(5/3/9/1)-(5/3/9/1/7)						16	$2.00	$32.00	3-7		$118.94			$86.94				272%
			TRI	(5/3/9/1)-(5/3/9/1/7)-(5/3/9/1/7)						48	$0.50	$24.00	3-7-9		$145.05			$121.05				504%
			SFT	(5/3/9/1)-(5/3/9/1/7)-(5/3/9/1/7)-(5/3/9/1/7)						96	$0.10	$9.60	3-7-9-5		$113.30			$103.70				1080%
			DD	(5/6/4)-(5/3/9/1)						12	$1.00	$12.00	6-3		$29.26			$17.26				144%
			PK3	(3/9/2/7/5)-(5/6/4)-(5/3/9/1)						60	$0.50	$30.00	5-6-3		$307.04			$277.04				923%
CD-9			WIN	(2/10/5/6/11)						5	$2.00	$10.00	6		$16.54			$6.54				65%
			EXA	(2/10/5/6/11)-(2/10/5/6/11)						20	$2.00	$40.00	6-5		$113.60			$73.60				184%
			TRI	(2/10/5/6/11)-(2/10/5/6/11)-(2/10/5/6/11)						60	$0.50	$30.00	6-5-10		$149.11			$119.11				397%
			DD	(5/3/9/1)-(2/10/5/6/11)						20	$1.00	$20.00	3-6		$60.73			$40.73				204%
			PK3	(5/6/4)-(5/3/9/1)-(2/10/5/6/11)						60	$0.50	$30.00	6-3-6		$156.07			$126.07				420%
			PK4	(3/9/2/7/5)-(5/6/4)-(5/3/9/1)-(2/10/5/6/11)						300	$0.50	$150	5-6-3-6		$2320			$2170				1447%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			05/10/2024		4950ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($10K)					Purse ($30K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	CHARGE THE CASTLE									(amoss tho)TORRES A 118						6.00						3.61
3	BROTHER RICE									(blair jordan)TORRES A 118						5.00		48%		1.10		3.39	P
6	THANKS FRANK									(von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						4.50		7%		13.10		4.83	S
10	EQUATE									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.00						3.49
2	MOONOVERMONTGOMERY									(desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124						15.00						14.28
13	LEAD FOOT									(shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 118						6.00		10%		8.80		10.33
7	ERASMUS									(drury j)MACHADO LUAN 124						6.00						15.98
9	ONE SHARP TIZ									(kubinova eliska)NAVAS YOEL 113						12.00		7%		14.40		12.66
4	PERSCRIPTURE									(brennan te)ASMUSSEN J 118						12.00		5%		19.00		45.81
11	CAMPBELL COVERS									(molloy thomas)MILLER CHASE 118						30.00						58.61
12	CENTRIFUGAL FORCE									(moger jr)ROMAN A 118						20.00						54.29
5	GIMME LOVE									(zito nichola)LANDEROS CHRIS 124						20.00						30.47
SCR	GUATAPE									(hobby steve)BARBOSA CARLOS 113						6.00

CD-2			05/10/2024		3300ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($92K)			2		F		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	AORAKI									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119						5.00		28%		2.60		4.79	W
		(by DOMINUS out of MOUNTAIN MUSIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
6	FLAMING GLORY									(correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 119						30.00						9.84
		(by FLAMEAWAY out of BEAUTIFUL MEMORIES by HARD SPUN)
1	TIFFANY									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119						6.00		10%		9.00		9.55	S
		(by DAREDEVIL out of WINDOW SHOPPER by DYNAFORMER)
7	DAISY DUKE									(casse mark)ORTIZ L 119						8.00						1.88
		(by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of DIXIE STRIKE by DIXIE UNION)
4	GRACE ON GRACE									(demeritte larr)CASTANON L 119						10.00						5.89
		(by JERSEY TOWN out of TRICK SOSO by POTEEN)
3	MACLEAN'S LULLABY									(matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 119						10.00		5%		19.00		6.30
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JOYFUL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
10	BAYTOWN CLEOPATRA									(mcentee pa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						4.00		21%		3.80		5.85
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5	BAYTOWN SHINJUKU									(mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119						8.00		5%		19.00		19.39
		(by FIRST SAMURAI out of DARK STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
8	STARLIGHT BELLA									(chavez manuel)HISBY RONALD 119						20.00						33.09
		(by LAOBAN out of VIRTUOSO by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR	CITIZEN JUDY									(ennis joh)LEPAROUX R 119						3.50
		(by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of HONESTLY DEB by SUPER SAVER)
SCR	DELICATE									(mccutchen)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						15.00
		(by WEST COAST out of UNANIMOUS DECISION by FIT TO FIGHT)
SCR	SPEED COLLECTOR									(salas felipe)CHUAN MARTIN 119						30.00
		(by COLLECTED out of SASSY ALI JOY by INDIAN CHARLIE)

CD-3			05/10/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($25K)					Purse ($56K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	SOARING BIRD									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118						3.00		26%		2.80		1.87	W
3	FIGURETI (CHI)									(wilensky sam)ORTIZ L 118						2.50						2.48
8	SIR OLLIE									(vanden berg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						4.50						3.16
7	FITZPATRICK									(esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118						12.00		5%		19.00		5.42
2	THE QUEENS JULES									(van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 118						6.00		21%		3.70		11.34
4	HERD IMMUNITY									(heitzman eric)LANERIE J 118						15.00		18%		4.70		20.04
5	VOODOO ZIP									(cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113						15.00						17.85
SCR	INTO THE SUNRISE									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.50

CD-4			05/10/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($20K)					Purse ($42K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	SHARPER GAL									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.00		27%		2.70		2.67	W
8	MORNING MIRACLE									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.50		25%		3.00		2.71	P
3	NO MAP NEEDED									(amoss thomas)MONCADA IRVING 108						12.00		5%		17.60		8.16	S
7	SONG BRIDGE									(stewart dallas)RIQUELME J 124						12.00						12.06
9	WHISKEY WILD									(howey quinn)ASHTON GAVIN 118						8.00						6.42
5	DICE ARM									(barnett bob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124						12.00		5%		19.00		31.54
1	XTRA EXTRAORDINARY									(hiles rick)GRAHAM J 118						5.00						4.13
11	BRIGHT LADY DAY									(jackson christ)ELLIOTT JANE 118						30.00						21.81
2	UOME									(matejka pa)MELENDEZ MARIANO 118						20.00		15%		5.80		21.18
10	ELLIOTT MOON									(kerrick l)LEPAROUX R 118						30.00						26.74
SCR	BOLD APPEAL									(moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 118						2.50

CD-5			05/10/2024		5940ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	WEST HOLLYWOOD									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118						5.00						3.66
		(by UNCLE MO out of WHITE HOT by GALILEO)
4	FORT THOMAS									(arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 118						6.00						5.15
		(by WAR FRONT out of BYE BYE BABY by GALILEO)
5	TELESCOPIC									(oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118						20.00						18.75
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of VISAGE by GALILEO)
6	ARTEMPUS									(pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118						2.50		19%		4.40		2.85
		(by REAL SOLUTION out of COCO CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
8	DEMETRIUS									(frazier matt)CANNON DECLAN 125						30.00						51.49
		(by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of ACADEMIC BREAK by BROKEN VOW)
7	DJANGO									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						10.00		7%		12.90		14.32
		(by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DAY OF VICTORY by VICTORY GALLOP)
10	PHREDDIE MAC									(asmussen )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118						4.00		★				12.50
		(by HARD SPUN out of FINANCIAL RECOVERY by STREET CRY (IRE))
3	SHALLUS									(devaux ch)TORRES A 118						12.00		5%		19.00		19.58
		(by CONSTITUTION out of STRIKE FREE by CONCERN)
2	JUAN VALDEZ									(mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 125						3.50		48%		1.10		2.39
		(by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BAFFLED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
1	BERNIN HOT									(davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						12.00						41.34
		(by BERNARDINI out of LAVENDER BABY by RUBIANO)
SCR	BOOKIE BRENT									(bauer philip)TORRES A 118						12.00
		(by GOLDENCENTS out of DARING DARLING by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR	BORDER WAR									(toner j)SAEZ LUIS 125						6.00
		(by WAR FRONT out of HOMEBOUND by DIXIE UNION)
SCR	CABERNAYDO									(medina robert)ORTIZ L 118						10.00
		(by VINO ROSSO out of WIND SPUN by HARD SPUN)
SCR	CALL ME CASSIUS									(murphy conor)GRAHAM J 125						12.00
		(by VANCOUVER out of QUALITY PEARL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR	GREEN LIGHT									(brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.50
		(by HARD SPUN out of ELECTRIC by SMART STRIKE)
SCR	SUGAR HOOK									(amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						15.00
		(by TWIRLING CANDY out of UPPERCUT by DISCREET CAT)

CD-6			05/10/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($52K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	KATTATH									(morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118						8.00		5%		19.00		12.62	W
7	GLOBAL SENSATION									(cano mu)TORRES A 118						12.00		5%		19.00		17.95	P
6	MOBSTER GUN									(esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118						12.00						4.82
2	KAHALA									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.50		13%		6.90		3.88
9	ALL WEST									(atras rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						4.00		20%		3.90		3.62
1	GREENER PASTURES									(garcia genaro)RIQUELME J 118						3.00						3.89
8	FLAGS UP									(morse ran)TORRES A 118						6.00						10.94
3	CANDY FOR CARMEL									(engler jeff)LANERIE J 118						3.50		38%		1.70		4.38
4	IMPROBABLE STORY									(king l)MOJICA JR 118						30.00						49.47

CD-7			05/10/2024		6270ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	HURRY HURRY									(sims p)MACHADO LUAN 124						2.00		18%		4.70		3.46	W
4	SINGLE DOT YAHT									(drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 124						6.00		5%		19.00		3.39	P
3	NEXT LEVEL									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118						3.00						3.61
5	MIDNIGHT RAID									(casse w)LANERIE J 126						2.50		57%		0.80		2.49
2	KITTY HAWK (GB)									(oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118						12.00						9.58
1	KISSALOT									(lobo h)ORTIZ L 124						4.50						5.11

CD-8			05/10/2024		5610ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($100K)					Purse ($127K)			3		F		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	WHISKEY DECISION									(delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 118						5.00		30%		2.40		4.52	W
7	RAGTIME LADY									(amoss tho)LEPAROUX R 120						8.00		★				10.83	P
9	GRECIAN GODDESS									(brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.50		9%		10.20		2.26	S
5	GOLD LIGHTNING									(cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						2.50		37%		1.70		4.93
11	BELLA HAZE									(santamar)SANTANA JR 118						8.00						6.85
8	CAIRO STREET									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118						10.00						13.34
6	BELLA CRUELLA									(williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						15.00						50.33
4	LADY HELENA									(devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118						8.00						9.09
1	SMILING ELLIE									(casse mar)TORRES A 118						12.00		5%		19.00		15.38
2	FANCY LOOKER									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118						8.00						9.55
SCR	LIUZZA									(calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						6.00
SCR	LOOKSTER									(casse no)SANTANA JR 118						12.00
SCR	TAKEMETOTHEBEACH									(kintz matthe)ORTIZ L 118						6.00

CD-9			05/10/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($20K)					Purse ($66K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	MAC DADDY TOO									(casse no)SANTANA JR 118						5.00		5%		19.00		7.27	W
5	LUNAR MODULE									(camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 118						5.00		8%		12.10		6.99	P
10	TILTED TOWERS									(rice adam)ORTIZ L 118						4.00		15%		5.50		3.19	S
7	PURE PANIC									(foster eri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120						4.00						3.13
4	BEYOND BEST									(troiani n)TORRES A 118						30.00						41.56
9	TIMELESS BOUNTY									(ocasio osvald)PANAIJO JORGE 118						30.00						35.60
3	EFFICIENCY									(santamaria c)TORRES A 118						20.00						11.56
11	SOLIDIFY									(cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113						10.00		5%		19.00		13.92	DH
2	LIKE A SALTSHAKER									(vanden ber)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120						3.50		49%		1.00		3.32	DH
12	HOCUS (GB)									(thompson mich)CANNON DECLAN 120						15.00						16.55
SCR	ALEMAN									(jarvis ka)CORREA L 118						30.00
SCR	COURT SNORT									(powell leonard)ACHARD ALEX 113						15.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.