Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (3/13/6/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $9.22  
CD-2   Win (11/10/1/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $11.58 $11.58 1.58
CD-3   Win (1/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.74 $5.74  
CD-4   Win (6/8/2/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $7.34 $7.34  
CD-5   Win (2/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $9.32  
CD-6   Win (3/9/2/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $27.24 $27.24 17.24
CD-7   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $8.92 $8.92 2.92
CD-8   Win (5/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $11.04 $11.04 3.04
CD-9   Win (2/10/5/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $16.54 $16.54 6.54
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/10/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:11 1:24   1:304   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CHARGE THE CASTLE 7 9 66½ 56   44 12¾ (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 6.00 3.61  
3  BROTHER RICE 2 11 11½ 11½   12 22¾ (blair jordan)TORRES A 118 5.00 48% 1.10 3.39 P
6  THANKS FRANK 5 3 32 21½   22 33½ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 7% 13.10 4.83 S
10  EQUATE 9 2 43½ 32   33½ 47½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 3.49  
2  MOONOVERMONTGOMERY 1 4 1010 89½   57½ 58½ (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 15.00 14.28  
13  LEAD FOOT 12 1 99 1112¼   69½ 68¾ (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00 10% 8.80 10.33  
7  ERASMUS 6 5 78 77½   79½ 713¾ (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 15.98  
9  ONE SHARP TIZ 8 6 55½ 67   811 815¾ (kubinova eliska)NAVAS YOEL 113 12.00 7% 14.40 12.66  
4  PERSCRIPTURE 3 10 1110¼ 1011¼   913 916¼ (brennan terr)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 45.81  
11  CAMPBELL COVERS 10 7 88 911   1014 1018¼ (molloy thomas)MILLER CHASE 118 30.00 58.61  
12  CENTRIFUGAL FORCE 11 8 21½ 42   1119 1133½ (moger jr)ROMAN A 118 20.00 54.29  
5  GIMME LOVE 4 12 1216¼ 1219¼   1224 1237 (zito nicholas )LANDEROS CHRIS 124 20.00 30.47  
SCR  GUATAPE               (hobby steve)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 6.00    
 
CD-2   05/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:23 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  AORAKI 9 8 41½ 31   1½ 11¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 28% 2.60 4.79 W
6  FLAMING GLORY 5 3 1nk 2nk   2½ 21¾ (correas ignacio)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 9.84  
1  TIFFANY 1 2 51¾ 54   34 31¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 10% 9.00 9.55 S
7  DAISY DUKE 6 5 63¾ 65   77 45½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 1.88  
4  GRACE ON GRACE 3 1 2nk 42½   55½ 56¼ (demeritte larry)CASTANON L 119 10.00 5.89  
3  MACLEAN'S LULLABY 2 4 84 76   67 66½ (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
10  BAYTOWN CLEOPATRA 8 6 3½ 1nk   45 711¾ (mcentee paul)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 21% 3.80 5.85  
5  BAYTOWN SHINJUKU 4 7 96 87½   810 814¼ (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 19.39  
8  STARLIGHT BELLA 7 9 73¾ 98½   913 924 (chavez manuel)HISBY RONALD 119 20.00 33.09  
SCR  CITIZEN JUDY               (ennis john)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50    
SCR  DELICATE               (mccutchen j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  SPEED COLLECTOR               (salas felipe)CHUAN MARTIN 119 30.00    
 
CD-3   05/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:222 :461 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOARING BIRD 1 4 31½ 41½   2nk 1½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.00 26% 2.80 1.87 W
3  FIGURETI (CHI) 3 5 42 31   31 2½ (wilensky sam)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 2.48  
8  SIR OLLIE 7 2 21 1nk   1nk 3¾ (vanden b)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 3.16  
7  FITZPATRICK 6 3 53½ 52½   52 43 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 5.42  
2  THE QUEENS JULES 2 1 11 2nk   41½ 53 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 21% 3.70 11.34  
4  HERD IMMUNITY 4 7 76½ 77   66 68¼ (heitzman eric)LANERIE J 118 15.00 18% 4.70 20.04  
5  VOODOO ZIP 5 6 64 65   76¼ 711½ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 15.00 17.85  
SCR  INTO THE SUNRISE               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
 
CD-4   05/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :452 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHARPER GAL 5 2 32 24   11½ 16¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 27% 2.70 2.67 W
8  MORNING MIRACLE 7 5 43 47½   36 26¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 25% 3.00 2.71 P
3  NO MAP NEEDED 3 10 107½ 811¾   59 38 (amoss m)MONCADA IRVING 108 12.00 5% 17.60 8.16 S
7  SONG BRIDGE 6 6 74 69   47½ 48½ (stewart dallas)RIQUELME J 124 12.00 12.06  
9  WHISKEY WILD 8 1 1½ 14   21½ 512½ (howey quinn)ASHTON GAVIN 118 8.00 6.42  
5  DICE ARM 4 9 86 912¼   912¾ 613¾ (barnett bobby)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00 5% 19.00 31.54  
1  XTRA EXTRAORDINARY 1 7 53 711½   812½ 714¼ (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 4.13  
11  BRIGHT LADY DAY 10 3 2½ 35½   69 816¼ (jackson christop)ELLIOTT JANE 118 30.00 21.81  
2  UOME 2 8 63½ 59   711½ 920½ (matejka pave)MELENDEZ MARIANO 118 20.00 15% 5.80 21.18  
10  ELLIOTT MOON 9 4 96½ 1016¾   1024¾ 1050 (kerrick lac)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 26.74  
SCR  BOLD APPEAL               (moquett rona)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.50    
 
CD-5   05/10/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:233 :492 1:142 1:382   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  WEST HOLLYWOOD 9 3 31 2½ 2½ 11 14 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 3.66  
4  FORT THOMAS 4 8 108¾ 108 87¼ 47 24 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 5.15  
5  TELESCOPIC 5 5 55 54 32 34 34 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 18.75  
6  ARTEMPUS 6 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 21 44½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 19% 4.40 2.85  
8  DEMETRIUS 8 9 87¼ 86 97¼ 711 511½ (frazier matt)CANNON DECLAN 125 30.00 51.49  
7  DJANGO 7 6 65½ 64½ 75¾ 59½ 612¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 7% 12.90 14.32  
10  PHREDDIE MAC 10 2 43 42½ 43 610½ 718¾ (asmussen st)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 ★ 12.50  
3  SHALLUS 3 10 98¾ 97½ 109¼ 915½ 820½ (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 19.58  
2  JUAN VALDEZ 2 7 77 75½ 65½ 813½ 921¼ (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 48% 1.10 2.39  
1  BERNIN HOT 1 4 2nk 32 53 1019½ 1039¼ (davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 41.34  
SCR  BOOKIE BRENT               (bauer a)TORRES A 118 12.00    
SCR  BORDER WAR               (toner j)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
SCR  CABERNAYDO               (medina robert)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  CALL ME CASSIUS               (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 125 12.00    
SCR  GREEN LIGHT               (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
SCR  SUGAR HOOK               (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
 
CD-6   05/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:112 1:234   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KATTATH 5 7 3½ 31 11½ 11½ 12¾ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.62 W
7  GLOBAL SENSATION 7 2 53 63½ 54½ 32½ 22¾ (cano muno)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.95 P
6  MOBSTER GUN 6 5 74¼ 52 43½ 42½ 33¼ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 4.82  
2  KAHALA 2 8 2nk 2½ 21½ 21½ 46¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 13% 6.90 3.88  
9  ALL WEST 9 1 63¼ 73½ 65 66 58¼ (atras rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 20% 3.90 3.62  
1  GREENER PASTURES 1 3 1nk 1½ 31½ 54 69½ (garcia genaro)RIQUELME J 118 3.00 3.89  
8  FLAGS UP 8 4 95¼ 94½ 97¼ 87½ 710¾ (morse randy)TORRES A 118 6.00 10.94  
3  CANDY FOR CARMEL 3 9 85¼ 84 76½ 77 811 (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 3.50 38% 1.70 4.38  
4  IMPROBABLE STORY 4 6 41 41½ 86¾ 910½ 916½ (king l)MOJICA JR 118 30.00 49.47  
 
CD-7   05/10/2024 6270ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:134 1:382   1:563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HURRY HURRY 6 4 32 32 32½ 1½ 11¼ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.00 18% 4.70 3.46 W
4  SINGLE DOT YAHT 4 3 53½ 53 43½ 31½ 21¼ (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 5% 19.00 3.39 P
3  NEXT LEVEL 3 6 63½ 64 65 52½ 31¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 3.61  
5  MIDNIGHT RAID 5 2 21 2½ 2½ 2½ 43¼ (casse w)LANERIE J 126 2.50 57% 0.80 2.49  
2  KITTY HAWK (GB) 2 1 11 1½ 1½ 41½ 57¼ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 9.58  
1  KISSALOT 1 5 42½ 42 53½ 614½ 627¾ (lobo h)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 5.11  
 
CD-8   05/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:233 :49 1:133 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WHISKEY DECISION 3 7 75¼ 63½ 41¼ 12½ 15½ (delacour arnaud)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 30% 2.40 4.52 W
7  RAGTIME LADY 7 8 86¾ 74 83¾ 44½ 25½ (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 ★ 10.83 P
9  GRECIAN GODDESS 9 4 54½ 42½ 3.2 22½ 36¾ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 9% 10.20 2.26 S
5  GOLD LIGHTNING 5 10 96¾ 85 72¾ 55 48 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.50 37% 1.70 4.93  
11  BELLA HAZE 10 1 11½ 11 2nk 33½ 511½ (santamaria)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 6.85  
8  CAIRO STREET 8 2 21½ 21 1nk 65½ 614 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00 13.34  
6  BELLA CRUELLA 6 3 31½ 31½ 52¼ 78½ 720½ (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 50.33  
4  LADY HELENA 4 9 109¼ 108¼ 107¼ 1011½ 822¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 9.09  
1  SMILING ELLIE 1 6 65 95¼ 94¼ 910 923¼ (casse mark)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.38  
2  FANCY LOOKER 2 5 43½ 53½ 62¼ 810 1023¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 9.55  
SCR  LIUZZA               (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
SCR  LOOKSTER               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
SCR  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH               (kintz matthew)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
 
CD-9   05/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:10     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAC DADDY TOO 5 8 75 64¼   52¼ 1¼ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 5% 19.00 7.27 W
5  LUNAR MODULE 4 2 31½ 32½   31½ 2¼ (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 8% 12.10 6.99 P
10  TILTED TOWERS 8 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 3½ (rice adam)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 15% 5.50 3.19 S
7  PURE PANIC 6 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 4½ (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 3.13  
4  BEYOND BEST 3 9 1012¼ 1011¼   96¾ 5¾ (troiani nic)TORRES A 118 30.00 41.56  
9  TIMELESS BOUNTY 7 5 42½ 42¾   42 61¼ (ocasio osvaldo)PANAIJO JORGE 118 30.00 35.60  
3  EFFICIENCY 2 10 85¼ 85¼   84¾ 72 (santamaria car)TORRES A 118 20.00 11.56  
11  SOLIDIFY 9 7 96¼ 95¼   74¾ 82¾ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 10.00 5% 19.00 13.92 DH
2  LIKE A SALTSHAKER 1 6 63 74¾   63¼ 82¾ (vanden berg )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 49% 1.00 3.32 DH
12  HOCUS (GB) 10 4 52½ 53¼   1014¾ 1029¾ (thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 16.55  
SCR  ALEMAN               (jarvis kath)CORREA L 118 30.00    
SCR  COURT SNORT               (powell leonard)ACHARD ALEX 113 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.