The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (3/13/6/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-2   Win (11/10/1/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-3   Win (1/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (6/8/2/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-5   Win (2/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (3/9/2/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-7   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (5/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (2/10/5/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   05/10/2024 4950ft DIRT Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GUATAPE Apr20 Mar23       (hobby steve)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 6.00    
2  MOONOVERMONTGOMERY Apr27 Apr10 Mar24 May18 May03 (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 15.00    
3  BROTHER RICE Mar15 Feb15 Jan18     (blair jordan)TORRES A 118 5.00 48% 1.10    
4  PERSCRIPTURE Mar28 Mar07       (brennan terr)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GIMME LOVE Aug13         (zito nicholas )LANDEROS CHRIS 124 20.00    
6  THANKS FRANK Apr28 Mar21 Mar02 Aug05 Jun29 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 7% 13.10    
7  ERASMUS Apr12 Mar01 Feb02 Jul13 Jun17 (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00    
8  CHARGE THE CASTLE Mar15 Feb01 Nov30 Nov09   (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 6.00    
9  ONE SHARP TIZ Apr24 Mar15 Jul23     (kubinova eliska)NAVAS YOEL 113 12.00 7% 14.40    
10  EQUATE Apr14 Mar08 Feb11 Jan06   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
11  CAMPBELL COVERS Apr16         (molloy thomas)MILLER CHASE 118 30.00    
12  CENTRIFUGAL FORCE Apr05         (moger jr)ROMAN A 118 20.00    
13  LEAD FOOT Apr27 Apr04 Mar15 Feb23 Jan06 (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00 10% 8.80    
 
CD-2   05/10/2024 3300ft DIRT Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIFFANY         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  SPEED COLLECTOR         (salas felipe)CHUAN MARTIN 119 30.00    
3  MACLEAN'S LULLABY         (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  GRACE ON GRACE         (demeritte larry)CASTANON L 119 10.00    
5  BAYTOWN SHINJUKU Apr18         (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FLAMING GLORY         (correas ignacio)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
7  DAISY DUKE         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
8  STARLIGHT BELLA         (chavez manuel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00    
SCR  CITIZEN JUDY Apr11         (ennis john)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50    
10  BAYTOWN CLEOPATRA Apr07         (mcentee paul)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
11  AORAKI         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  DELICATE         (mccutchen j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
 
CD-3   05/10/2024 3960ft DIRT Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOARING BIRD Apr07 Mar16 Nov03 Oct02 Sep22 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  THE QUEENS JULES Jan31 Oct19 Aug16 Jul03 Mar10 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
3  FIGURETI (CHI) Apr12 Feb21 Jan19 Dec27 Nov05 (wilensky sam)ORTIZ L 118 2.50    
4  HERD IMMUNITY Apr17 Mar14 Mar01 Jan25 Jan07 (heitzman eric)LANERIE J 118 15.00 18% 4.70    
5  VOODOO ZIP Apr14 Mar22 Mar07 Dec15 Nov17 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 15.00    
SCR  INTO THE SUNRISE Apr27 Mar20 Jan28 Jan01 Dec03 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
7  FITZPATRICK Apr18 Oct01 Aug27 May26 Apr16 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SIR OLLIE Feb15 Jan28 Dec21 Sep23 Aug11 (vanden b)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50    
 
CD-4   05/10/2024 3960ft DIRT Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XTRA EXTRAORDINARY Apr19 Mar09 Feb08     (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
2  UOME         (matejka pave)MELENDEZ MARIANO 118 20.00 15% 5.80    
3  NO MAP NEEDED         (amoss m)MONCADA IRVING 108 12.00 5% 17.60    
SCR  BOLD APPEAL Mar24 Feb17 Dec31     (moquett rona)ASMUSSEN J 118 2.50    
5  DICE ARM Apr14 Jan07 Jul01 Jun08 Jun23 (barnett bobby)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHARPER GAL Mar30 Feb21 Dec29 Aug05   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
7  SONG BRIDGE Apr21 Feb18 Jan27 Feb18 Jan21 (stewart dallas)RIQUELME J 124 12.00    
8  MORNING MIRACLE Mar30 Feb25       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 25% 3.00    
9  WHISKEY WILD Jul30 Jun16       (howey quinn)ASHTON GAVIN 118 8.00    
10  ELLIOTT MOON Mar30 Feb22 Oct04     (kerrick lac)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
11  BRIGHT LADY DAY Feb14 Jan27 Dec30 Nov26 Nov02 (jackson christop)ELLIOTT JANE 118 30.00    
 
CD-5   05/10/2024 5940ft TURF Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERNIN HOT Apr17 Aug31 Aug12 Jul15 May25 (davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
2  JUAN VALDEZ Mar16 Jan18 Jun02 May06 Oct13 (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 48% 1.10    
3  SHALLUS Mar09         (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  FORT THOMAS Apr06 Jan26 Dec15 Oct28 Sep09 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
5  TELESCOPIC Apr06 Feb23 Jan26 Dec22   (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
6  ARTEMPUS Apr06 Mar02 Jan20     (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 19% 4.40    
7  DJANGO Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 Nov12 Oct14 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 7% 12.90    
8  DEMETRIUS         (frazier matt)CANNON DECLAN 125 30.00    
9  WEST HOLLYWOOD         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00    
10  PHREDDIE MAC Mar30 Mar08 Feb23 Jan26 Nov25 (asmussen st)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  GREEN LIGHT Apr14 Mar23       (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
SCR  SUGAR HOOK Mar20 Mar09 Jan21 Dec23 Nov18 (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
SCR  BOOKIE BRENT Apr06         (bauer a)TORRES A 118 12.00    
SCR  BORDER WAR Apr27 Feb08 Dec21 Oct15 Jan15 (toner j)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
SCR  CABERNAYDO Apr06 Feb15 Jan21 Dec23 Nov18 (medina robert)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  CALL ME CASSIUS Mar23 Jun22 Feb11     (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 125 12.00    
 
CD-6   05/10/2024 5280ft DIRT Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREENER PASTURES Jan13 Dec29 Oct01 Sep03 Aug04 (garcia genaro)RIQUELME J 118 3.00    
2  KAHALA Apr17 Mar08 Feb29 Feb03 Dec29 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 13% 6.90    
3  CANDY FOR CARMEL Apr17 Mar17 Jul21 Jun28 Jun10 (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 3.50 38% 1.70    
4  IMPROBABLE STORY Nov01 Sep27 Jul06 May26 May04 (king l)MOJICA JR 118 30.00    
5  KATTATH Feb23 Nov24 Nov09 Oct12 Sep14 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOBSTER GUN Mar13 Feb16 Jan25 Dec07 Nov17 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
7  GLOBAL SENSATION Mar22 Feb28 Jan12 Dec22 Oct05 (cano muno)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  FLAGS UP Apr19 Mar24 Dec29 Nov11 Sep29 (morse randy)TORRES A 118 6.00    
9  ALL WEST Apr17 Mar09 Feb01 Jan07 Dec17 (atras rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
CD-7   05/10/2024 6270ft DIRT Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISSALOT Mar23 May03 Apr01 Mar04 Jan13 (lobo h)ORTIZ L 124 4.50    
2  KITTY HAWK (GB) Apr10 Nov12 Oct07 Aug27 Jul30 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
3  NEXT LEVEL Mar23 Feb24 Jan28 Dec23 Nov23 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 3.00    
4  SINGLE DOT YAHT Apr19 Dec22 Nov17 Oct21 Sep21 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MIDNIGHT RAID Apr12 Mar03 Feb08 Jan18 Nov27 (casse w)LANERIE J 126 2.50 57% 0.80    
6  HURRY HURRY Dec22 Nov16 Oct11 Aug19 Jun30 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.00 18% 4.70    
 
CD-8   05/10/2024 5610ft TURF Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILING ELLIE Jan19 Dec21 Nov17 Sep28 Aug17 (casse mark)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  FANCY LOOKER Aug18 Jul16       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
3  WHISKEY DECISION Mar23 Feb14       (delacour arnaud)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 30% 2.40    
4  LADY HELENA Feb01 Nov16       (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
5  GOLD LIGHTNING Nov17 Oct27 Oct04 Aug31   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  BELLA CRUELLA Apr12 Mar13 Feb09 Jan20 Aug18 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
7  RAGTIME LADY Mar23 Feb09 Dec14 Nov17   (amoss thoma)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 ★    
8  CAIRO STREET Dec09 Oct11 Sep13 Aug13 Jul07 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00    
9  GRECIAN GODDESS Apr06 Jan20       (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 9% 10.20    
SCR  LOOKSTER Mar29 Mar03 Nov25 Oct29 Aug26 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
11  BELLA HAZE Apr04 Nov25 Oct06 Sep10 Aug05 (santamaria)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  TAKEMETOTHEBEACH Apr07 Sep25 Aug30 Jul17   (kintz matthew)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
SCR  LIUZZA Feb17 Jan18 Dec16     (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
 
CD-9   05/10/2024 4620ft DIRT Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALEMAN Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Dec20 Oct12 (jarvis kath)CORREA L 118 30.00    
2  LIKE A SALTSHAKER Mar15 Jan11 Dec02 Nov04 Oct11 (vanden berg )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 49% 1.00    
3  EFFICIENCY Apr05 Mar08 Feb24 Feb03 Dec17 (santamaria )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 20.00    
4  BEYOND BEST Apr20 Mar01 Jan09 Dec26 Dec04 (troiani nic)TORRES A 118 30.00    
5  LUNAR MODULE Apr14 Feb01 Jan04 Dec16 Oct06 (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 8% 12.10    
6  MAC DADDY TOO Apr14 Mar24 Mar02 Feb03 Dec29 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  PURE PANIC Apr14 Feb28 Feb10 Dec02 Nov09 (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
SCR  COURT SNORT Mar15 Feb16 Jan13 Nov25 Oct27 (powell leonard)ACHARD ALEX 113 15.00    
9  TIMELESS BOUNTY Feb17 Mar05 Feb19     (ocasio osvaldo)PANAIJO JORGE 118 30.00    
10  TILTED TOWERS Apr12 Mar30 Dec02 Nov09 Sep27 (rice adam)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 15% 5.50    
11  SOLIDIFY Apr14 Mar22 Feb28 Feb10 Jan13 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  HOCUS (GB) Apr07 Nov10 Oct20 Aug11 Jun17 (thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.