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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-2			WIN	(2/4/3)						3	$2.00	$6.00	3		$34.80			$28.80				480%
CD-3			DD	(2/4/3)-(2/1/4)						9	$1.00	$9.00	3-2		$41.22			$32.22				358%
CD-4			WIN	(8/4/10/2/9)						5	$2.00	$10.00	4		$57.14			$47.14				471%
			EXA	(8/4/10/2/9)-(8/4/10/2/9)						20	$2.00	$40.00	4-10		$359.68			$319.68				799%
			DD	(2/1/4)-(8/4/10/2/9)						15	$1.00	$15.00	2-4		$54.96			$39.96				266%
			PK3	(2/4/3)-(2/1/4)-(8/4/10/2/9)						45	$0.50	$22.50	3-2-4		$475.82			$453.32				2015%
CD-5			WIN	(2/1/6)						3	$2.00	$6.00	1		$7.88			$1.88				31%
			DD	(8/4/10/2/9)-(2/1/6)						15	$1.00	$15.00	4-1		$120.96			$105.96				706%
			PK3	(2/1/4)-(8/4/10/2/9)-(2/1/6)						45	$0.50	$22.50	2-4-1		$145.81			$123.31				548%
			PK4	(2/4/3)-(2/1/4)-(8/4/10/2/9)-(2/1/6)						135	$0.50	$67.50	3-2-4-1		$2623			$2556				3787%
CD-7			WIN	(1/2/7/6/5)						5	$2.00	$10.00	2		$11.80			$1.80				18%
			EXA	(1/2/7/6/5)-(1/2/7/6/5)						20	$2.00	$40.00	2-1		$90.14			$50.14				125%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			05/16/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($32K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	SANT' ANTIMO									(esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 124						2.00						2.74
3	DONTKISSDAMINISTER									(sanchez a)LEPAROUX R 124						4.50						3.89
1	LEGENDARY LORE									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124						1.60		18%		4.70		0.95	S
2	HUNTINGTON									(delacruz me)CONCEPCION AXEL 124						3.00		43%		1.30		5.36
6	READY PURSUIT									(gonzalez r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124						15.00						24.29
5	CRIMINAL DEFENSE									(barnett c)GRAHAM J 124						15.00		5%		19.00		28.90

CD-2			05/16/2024		3300ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 5:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	ENDURING SPIRIT									(ramos rafae)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						12.00		5%		19.00		16.40	W
		(by TIZ THE LAW out of LIFE STARTS by INTO MISCHIEF)
8	CONQUERING CAT									(davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 119						4.50						3.59
		(by GAME WINNER out of COY CAT by HOLD THAT TIGER)
4	BOB'S CARROT									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 119						3.00		23%		3.40		7.91	S
		(by DAREDEVIL out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
2	EMPRESS JULIA									(ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 116						2.00		35%		1.90		0.60
		(by UNCLE MO out of PRINCESINHA JULIA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6	LEBOWSKI									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119						3.50						5.17
		(by CARAVAGGIO out of BECKY'S BEST by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7	PATRIOTIC JERRELL									(hancock ja)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						10.00						23.84
		(by COAL FRONT out of FOOLISH PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
SCR	BAYTOWN BEATLE									(mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 119						20.00
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SONG SUNG TRUE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR	BAYTOWN SUNDANCE									(mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112						12.00
		(by DAREDEVIL out of COWGIRL MALLY by GONE WEST)

CD-3			05/16/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($62.5K)					Purse ($78K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 5:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	PRO OXIDANT									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118						1.80		69%		0.40		0.64	W
3	CHATTALOT									(asmussen)SANTANA JR 118						3.00						4.93
1	BLUE KENTUCKY									(sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118						5.00		8%		11.40		6.25	S
6	BACKSIDE BUZZ									(vance tho)TORRES A 120						4.00						8.43
5	GO WEST									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118						3.50						5.47
4	CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK									(lauer michael)GRAHAM J 118						15.00		5%		19.00		25.08

CD-4			05/16/2024		3300ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 6:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	MOONLIT LADY									(gutierre)SANTANA JR 118						15.00		20%		4.00		27.57	W
10	MOON SPUN									(lynch a)GRAHAM J 120						10.00		17%		4.90		6.67	P
3	PAROLA SICURA									(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118						12.00						7.96
8	TWIRL AROUND									(foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118						2.50		30%		2.30		1.56
5	FOOLISH									(caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123						20.00						19.64
6	OUR KEEPSAKE									(lukas wayn)TORRES A 118						6.00						20.73
1	EMPIRES PRINCESS									(stewart dallas)LANERIE J 123						12.00						21.86
9	BOURBON BREEZE									(mott rile)TORRES A 118						15.00		5%		19.00		32.23
12	RHAPSODY									(thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 118						3.50						3.00
7	NORMANJITO (FR)									(walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118						10.00						10.39
11	BOBBIE SOX									(gonzalez )BEALMEAR C 116						20.00						24.20
SCR	ANTIQUE SILVER									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.00
SCR	MAKEUP									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118						8.00		10%		8.70
SCR	ROYAL FLOWER									(asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 123						6.00
SCR	SANDRA D									(antonucci j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123						20.00
SCR	THESE APPLES									(foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118						20.00

CD-5			05/16/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($80K)					Purse ($72K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 6:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	ROSIA BAY									(morey william )MACHADO LUAN 123						6.00		32%		2.10		2.94	W
5	MUSICAL PRAYER									(vaccarezza )CONCEPCION AXEL 123						3.00						3.89
4	EDGE OF TOWN									(pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						15.00						15.61
2	THEROANRUNNER									(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123						2.50		38%		1.60		1.27
6	WONDER OF YOU									(foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						4.00		5%		19.00		2.93
SCR	MUSICAL NOTE									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118						2.00

CD-6			05/16/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($54K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 7:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	BAYTOWN LOVELY									(mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 116						15.00						8.29
4	THE BIG CALHOUNA									(santamaria c)BARBOSA CARLOS 113						5.00						8.11
3	CRYSTAL SYMPHONY									(sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118						4.00		11%		8.30		6.76	S
7	CHANISA									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123						2.50		47%		1.10		1.46
5	ALMOND FUDGE									(gutierrez fa)TORRES A 118						4.50						3.57
6	SHE'S SPLENDID									(tomlinson michael)SAEZ LUIS 120						3.50		16%		5.40		4.42
2	LITTLE SASS									(demeritte larr)CASTANON L 118						6.00		5%		19.00		16.48

CD-7			05/16/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 7:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	CHAMPLIN									(foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121						5.00		23%		3.30		4.90	W
1	ARRO SMASH									(bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 121						3.50		30%		2.40		6.49	P
8	RADICAL RIGHT									(moquett e)BEJARANO R 123						15.00						6.67
7	LARK'S MISCHIEF									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121						4.00		20%		3.90		3.96
6	SWOT ANALYSIS									(casse mar)TORRES A 121						10.00		5%		19.00		16.05
9	FLOKI'S FLIGHT									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 121						8.00						10.59
10	MIDNIGHT ESCAPE									(brown pau)HERNANDEZ J 121						30.00						31.44
5	LOFTY ADJUDICATOR									(navarrete anna)MCKEE J 121						10.00		5%		19.00		12.39
4	ECHO AGAIN									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121						6.00						6.37
3	MIDNIGHT TAXES									(hartman chri)GEROUX FLORENT 123						4.50						4.21

CD-8			05/16/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($58K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 8:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	ELLIPTIC (IRE)									(vaccarezza )CONCEPCION AXEL 125						3.00						2.95
3	YO LEVEN									(baker james)LANERIE J 118						15.00		7%		12.50		17.02	P
10	EVERMORE									(correas i)TORRES A 118						15.00						15.67
9	MOR HAPPY HOURS									(vance thomas)BARBOSA CARLOS 120						4.50		12%		7.70		7.74
2	TANDI SUE									(von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125						8.00						15.25
4	CORRI FELICE									(puhich mike)TORRES A 125						12.00		5%		19.00		11.69
8	SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN									(tomlinson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						12.00						7.60
1	TIZ SWEET EMOTION									(baker james)GRAHAM J 118						4.00						3.66
6	GREYHOUND STATION									(pino v)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.50		33%		2.00		4.21
7	WHERE IS SHE (GB)									(sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118						12.00		12%		7.70		13.93



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.