Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - May 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-5 $7.90 $1.90 32%
BAQ-2   EXA (3/5)-(3/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00  3-5 $6.80 $2.80 70%
BAQ-4   EXA (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $13.90 $1.90 16%
BAQ-7   WIN (1/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.60 $2.60 33%
    EXA (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-1 $38.50 $26.50 221%
BAQ-8   TRI (11/9/8/7/2)-(11/9/8/7/2)-(11/9/8/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  11-7-8 $30.87 $0.87 3%
    SFT (11/9/8/7/2)-(11/9/8/7/2)-(11/9/8/7/2)-(11/9/8/7/2) 120 $0.10 $12.00  11-7-8-9 $16.77 $4.77 40%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   05/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:123 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CATCHING HEAT 5 2 2nk 2½ 1nk 1½ 1nk (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 40% 1.50 1.45 W
  (by UNION RAGS out of PHILLY MIGNON by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  SAVE TIME 4 5 52¾ 52½ 42½ 32½ 2nk (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 37% 1.70 3.25 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHAMBER by TAPIT)
3  SHIRL'S DELIGHT 3 4 31 31½ 2nk 2½ 31¼ (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00 5.10  
  (by TONALIST out of DECRYPT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  JUST MUSIC 2 1 1nk 1½ 31 43 45 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
  (by AUDIBLE out of NICHOLESLUCKYCHARM by TIZNOW)
1  GIOIOSO 1 3 42½ 42 53 55 511 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 3.15  
  (by CURLIN out of GIOIA STELLA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  AUTUMN'S TURN               (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
 
BAQ-2   05/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:222 :453 :572     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 3 5 21 1nk   11½ 14¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.80 32% 2.10 0.60 W
5  CEES GET DEGREES 5 1 11 2nk   21½ 24¼ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 24% 3.20 8.50 P
1  SPUN AND WON 1 4 42 31½   31½ 34¾ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 2.50 3.40  
3X  MANDATORY 4 3 53½ 53½   44½ 47½ (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 ★ 0.60  
2  KUPP 2 2 32 42½   57 512¾ (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 ★ 2.95  
SCR  EMERALD FOREST               (potts wayne)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50    
SCR  STAGE LEFT               (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 2.50    
SCR  SUBROGATE               (duarte j)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
 
BAQ-3   05/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:223 :46 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LOW SOCIETY 4 2 21½ 31   2½ 11 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 2.40  
5  SNAPPIN BUTTONS 5 6 31½ 2nk   1½ 21 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40 57% 0.80 1.70 P
6  DON'T LISTEN 6 1 11½ 1nk   33 36 (duarte j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 1.60  
3  PROGENY 3 3 64¼ 44½   47 48 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 8% 12.30 10.20  
1  AMY'S LIGHT 1 5 43 57½   510 512 (pringle edmund)RUIZ ELISEO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 34.25  
2  ISN'T SHE KHOZY 2 4 53¼ 68½   613 614¾ (martin car)RIVERA R 120 12.00 27.00  
 
BAQ-4   05/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:112 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WANNA WINNA 7 6 77½ 78½ 64½ 52¼ 1hd (potts wayne)CASTELLANO J 126 2.50 30% 2.40 2.75 W
5  REFUAH 5 3 53½ 53½ 53 21½ 2hd (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.40 P
2  ENDOWED 2 5 43 31½ 42½ 42 32¾ (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 9.50  
3  MAJESTIC ARC 3 2 1nk 2½ 11½ 11½ 43 (shivmanga)CAMACHO JR 124 20.00 52.00  
4  FIGHTING BACK 4 7 65 63½ 74¾ 74¼ 53½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00 25% 3.00 0.95  
1  BOBBY THE TANK 1 1 2nk 1½ 31½ 62¾ 64½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 10% 8.80 5.70  
6  FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE 6 4 32½ 42 21½ 32 75½ (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 4.00 12.30  
 
BAQ-5   05/09/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:07
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:131 1:364   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PENTAGON 1 8 88¾ 87 87 42 1½ (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 8% 11.30 2.35 W
5  ELLE EST FORTE 4 6 78¼ 76 75½ 31½ 2½ (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 36% 1.80 3.10 P
10  DIAMOND STATUS 9 3 14 11½ 12 11½ 34¾ (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 22.50  
6  SILENT MELODY 5 2 35½ 43 43½ 52¼ 45¼ (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 5.30  
9  KANNON FIRE 8 5 24 21½ 22 21½ 57 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 124 12.00 21.10  
7  ANILEATE 6 9 911¾ 99 99 95¾ 67½ (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 124 20.00 17.50  
8  CRIMSON PRINCESS 7 4 66¾ 54½ 54 75¼ 78½ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.50 20% 4.00 9.10  
11  MISS BONNIE T 10 7 45½ 33 33 64¼ 89½ (arenas marce)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 8% 12.30 8.60  
4  GRACEFUL ROSE 3 1 56½ 65 64½ 85¾ 99½ (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 126 12.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
3  MISS KRISTY 2 10 1017¼ 1012½ 1015½ 1017¾ 1025¾ (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00 11.80  
SCR  BELLA PRINCIPESSA               (klesaris rob)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00    
SCR  CALL HER BLUFF               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  MISS FASHIONISTA               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 126 2.50    
SCR  SHIGEKO               (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 126 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   05/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICY REPLY 5 5 42½ 32   21 11 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 5.00 ★ 4.90  
3  SHESALITTLE EDGY 2 4 1nk 2nk   11 21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 26% 2.80 2.85 P
7  OBRIGADA 6 6 75¾ 67¼   56 33 (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00 14% 6.10 3.15 S
2  FANCY AZTECA 1 1 2nk 1nk   31½ 44¼ (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 15% 5.60 3.90  
6  IT TAKES HEART 4 2 3½ 42¼   44½ 56½ (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 2.55  
1A  JACKIE THE JOKER 7 7 63¼ 54¾   67 69 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 118 5.00 4.90  
4  VIOLENT VIXEN 3 3 52¾ 78¾   714 725¾ (chichakly)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00 22.40  
SCR  SELF ISOLATION               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/09/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:124 1:371   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KUCHAR 7 5 41½ 31½ 3½ 2½ 1hd (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 14% 6.30 4.30 W
1  OUSTER 1 8 63¼ 53½ 41½ 31 2hd (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 31% 2.20 4.40 P
3  TABEGUACHE 3 1 11 1½ 1½ 1½ 3¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 3.55  
4  SIGNATOR 4 4 74¾ 75½ 52½ 42½ 42¾ (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50 22% 3.60 2.55  
8  CURBSTONE 8 2 21 2½ 2½ 54 55 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
5  UNBRIDLED BOMBER 5 7 86¼ 810 88¾ 77½ 68 (ryerson james)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 9.40  
6  CURLIN'S WISDOM 6 6 31½ 42 62¾ 64½ 78½ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00 41.00  
2  BARESE 2 3 53 64 77¼ 812½ 819½ (maker micha)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 12.40  
 
BAQ-8   05/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:234 1:13 1:25     1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  LIAR'S POKER 9 2 42 43½ 32½ 21 1¼ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 31% 2.20 2.50 W
7  MAURITIUS 5 4 11 12 1½ 11 2¼ (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.50 13% 6.90 2.95 P
8  BARNSTORMING 6 1 21 22 2½ 32 34¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00 16% 5.20 6.20 S
9  GOOD MEDICINE 7 7 75 77½ 78½ 67¼ 45½ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 20% 4.10 3.05  
3  NOBLE HUNTSMAN 3 9 96 99½ 810½ 89¾ 58¾ (friedman )CAMACHO JR 124 15.00 39.25  
2  COLLECT FROM IKE 2 6 53 53½ 44½ 47 69 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 15.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
1  OCTOBER BLISS 1 5 63½ 66 66½ 78¼ 79 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 126 10.00 26.25  
4  ATLANTA'S ACUNA 4 3 31½ 33 55 57 89¾ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 13.70  
10  DUNE ROAD 8 8 85 88 911 914¾ 920¼ (martin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 10.60  
SCR  ANDY CANT               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 126 1.60    
SCR  CHALKY CAT               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50    
SCR  I LOVE CARA               (barrera s)RUIZ ELISEO 126 30.00    
SCR  JUNGFRAU               (romero jesus)LUZZI J 124 15.00    
SCR  KREESA               (dixon li)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT AWARD               (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 120 12.00    
SCR  PETROLO               (bond kevin)RIVERA R 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.