Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - May 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(3/5)-(5/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/5)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(5/3/1)-(7/4/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(7/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(7/4/1/5)-(5/8/2/11/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (7/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/5)-(5/8/2/11/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/5)-(5/8/2/11/4)-(3/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (5/8/2/11/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/11/4)-(5/8/2/11/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/11/4)-(5/8/2/11/4)-(5/8/2/11/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/2/11/4)-(3/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/11/4)-(3/2/7)-(1/4/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(1/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7)-(1/4/7/8)-(11/9/8/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (1/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/8)-(11/9/8/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (11/9/8/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/9/8/7/2)-(11/9/8/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/9/8/7/2)-(11/9/8/7/2)-(11/9/8/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   05/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIOIOSO Apr04         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00    
  (by CURLIN out of GIOIA STELLA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  JUST MUSIC Apr05 Feb24 Feb18 Jan19 Dec28 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of NICHOLESLUCKYCHARM by TIZNOW)
3  SHIRL'S DELIGHT Apr04 Feb23 Dec15 Nov19 Sep26 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00    
  (by TONALIST out of DECRYPT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  AUTUMN'S TURN Apr07 Mar10 Feb18 Feb04   (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 118 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
5  SAVE TIME Apr07 Feb11       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHAMBER by TAPIT)
6  CATCHING HEAT Apr07 Mar09       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PHILLY MIGNON by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
BAQ-2   05/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUN AND WON Apr04 Feb09 Jan12 Dec29 Dec15 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 2.50    
SCR  STAGE LEFT Mar02 Feb03 Dec30 Dec23 Dec08 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 2.50    
2  KUPP Mar10 Feb19 Jan14 Jan01 Dec16 (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 ★    
SCR  EMERALD FOREST Apr05 Mar29 Feb23 Dec31 Nov30 (potts wayne)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50    
3  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER Apr07 Feb09 Dec23 Dec02 Oct12 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.80 32% 2.10    
3X  MANDATORY Mar29 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 Dec29 (kimmel c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 ★    
SCR  SUBROGATE Apr12 Jul22 Jun17 May06 Apr08 (duarte j)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
5  CEES GET DEGREES Mar29 Feb09 Aug18 Jul14 Jun22 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 24% 3.20    
 
BAQ-3   05/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMY'S LIGHT Mar29 Feb11 Jan05     (pringle edmund)RUIZ ELISEO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ISN'T SHE KHOZY Apr19 Jul07       (martin car)RIVERA R 120 12.00    
3  PROGENY Apr06 Feb29 Feb18 Jan01 Nov26 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 8% 12.30    
4  LOW SOCIETY Mar28 Feb17 Jan01 Nov26 Oct28 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
5  SNAPPIN BUTTONS Apr11 Mar01       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.40 57% 0.80    
6  DON'T LISTEN Apr11 Nov24 Oct01 Sep04   (duarte j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00    
 
BAQ-4   05/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBY THE TANK Apr11 Apr05 Feb16 Jan01 Dec01 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 10% 8.80    
2  ENDOWED Apr05 Jul26 Jun09 Nov19 Oct21 (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
3  MAJESTIC ARC Apr12 Feb03 Jan18 Dec07 Nov10 (shivmanga)CAMACHO JR 124 20.00    
4  FIGHTING BACK Apr13 Sep24 Jul09 Jun10   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
5  REFUAH Apr05 Feb29 Feb04 Dec14 Oct28 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE Apr13 Mar09 Feb18 Jan06 Dec09 (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 4.00    
7  WANNA WINNA Apr25 Apr05 Mar08 Feb18 Jan05 (potts wayne)CASTELLANO J 126 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
BAQ-5   05/09/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BELLA PRINCIPESSA Apr11 Mar28 Mar03 Jan26 Dec30 (klesaris rob)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00    
2  PENTAGON Sep22 Aug06 Jul01 Jun03 Apr27 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 8% 11.30    
3  MISS KRISTY Apr11 Mar14 Jan01 Dec08 Oct28 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00    
4  GRACEFUL ROSE Apr11 Mar14 Feb23 Dec31 Nov24 (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ELLE EST FORTE Mar21 Feb22 Jan15 Nov23 Oct28 (handal raymond)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  SILENT MELODY Apr06 Jul03 Jun01 May05   (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00    
7  ANILEATE Apr11 Mar14 Feb17 Jan26 Dec28 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 124 20.00    
8  CRIMSON PRINCESS Apr18 Mar17 Feb21 Jan24 Dec22 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 126 4.50 20% 4.00    
9  KANNON FIRE Aug02 Jul09 May28 May30 May06 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 124 12.00    
10  DIAMOND STATUS Oct28 Sep03 Jul07 Jun02 May13 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00    
11  MISS BONNIE T Nov25 Aug31 Dec29 Dec02 Sep30 (arenas marce)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  CALL HER BLUFF Apr14 Mar07 Feb09 Jan18 Dec17 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  MISS FASHIONISTA Apr11 Mar14 Feb16 Dec30 Nov17 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 126 2.50    
SCR  SHIGEKO Apr25 Mar16 Mar03 Feb11 Jan07 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 126 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   05/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICY REPLY Apr25 Mar30 Mar15 Feb29 Feb09 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 5.00 ★    
1A  JACKIE THE JOKER Apr19 Mar30 Mar15 Feb09 Jan11 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 118 5.00    
2  FANCY AZTECA Apr18 Feb24 Feb02 Dec17 Nov25 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 15% 5.60    
3  SHESALITTLE EDGY Apr19 Mar15 Feb16 Dec14 Nov24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
4  VIOLENT VIXEN Apr14 Feb29 Jan14 Dec16 Nov04 (chichakly)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
SCR  SELF ISOLATION Feb25 Nov03 Oct12 Sep10 Aug06 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 3.00    
6  IT TAKES HEART Apr14 Feb29 Jul27 Jun17 Apr23 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
7  OBRIGADA Apr18 Feb24 Oct07 Jul30 Jul13 (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
BAQ-7   05/09/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUSTER Mar16 Aug09 Jul16 May29 Apr14 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
2  BARESE Dec29 Dec03 Oct29 Sep04 Aug11 (maker micha)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
3  TABEGUACHE Mar21 Jan26 Dec28 Nov03 Aug26 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
4  SIGNATOR Jan27 Dec31 Nov12 Oct21 Oct06 (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Mar18 Dec28 Nov26 Oct26 Sep02 (ryerson james)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
6  CURLIN'S WISDOM Mar21 Dec29 Oct29 May29 Apr16 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00    
7  KUCHAR Mar30 Mar01 Feb03 Aug28 Jul21 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
8  CURBSTONE Mar30 Feb25 Jul21 May28 Mar31 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-8   05/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCTOBER BLISS Apr28 Mar22 Feb29 Jan26 Jul01 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 126 10.00    
2  COLLECT FROM IKE Apr26 Mar29 Mar08 Jan11 Dec30 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Apr28 Mar22 Feb29 Feb04 Jan11 (friedman )CAMACHO JR 124 15.00    
4  ATLANTA'S ACUNA Apr05 Feb29 Nov14 Nov04 Sep21 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
SCR  PETROLO Apr19 Mar08 Nov10 Oct16 Aug19 (bond kevin)RIVERA R 124 15.00    
SCR  I LOVE CARA May02 Apr19 Mar16 Feb29 Jan19 (barrera s)RUIZ ELISEO 126 30.00    
7  MAURITIUS Feb10 Jan19 Jun25 May26 Apr22 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 124 3.50 13% 6.90    
8  BARNSTORMING Apr25 Mar16 Feb24 Jan27 Jan01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00 16% 5.20    
9  GOOD MEDICINE Apr25 Mar03 Jul21 Jun10 Oct21 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 20% 4.10    
10  DUNE ROAD Feb25 Jan07 Dec08     (martin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00    
11  LIAR'S POKER Nov26 Oct16       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  KREESA Apr21 Nov11 Oct20 Jul28 Jul04 (dixon li)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
SCR  JUNGFRAU Apr05 Feb29 Feb11 Jan27 Dec28 (romero jesus)LUZZI J 124 15.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT AWARD Apr08 Mar02 Feb01 Dec29 Dec06 (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 120 12.00    
SCR  ANDY CANT Apr25 Mar28 Feb09 Jun02 Apr22 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 126 1.60    
SCR  CHALKY CAT Mar29 Feb29 Jan04 Dec07 Nov02 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.