The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.48 $5.48 -0.52
CD-2   Win (3/2/1/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.32 $7.32 -0.68
CD-3   Win (7/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $10.38 $10.38 2.38
CD-4   Win (2/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.18 $4.18 -3.82
CD-5   Win (2/6/3/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $17.10 -10.00
CD-6   Win (10/4/7/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $5.78 $5.78 -4.22
CD-7   Win (1/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.22 $3.22 -2.78
CD-8   Win (3/9/4/1/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $8.36 $8.36 -1.64
CD-9   Win (6/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $6.86 $6.86 -1.14
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/31/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :461 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ADEERA 3 1 1nk 1nk   13 13¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.00 12% 7.20 1.74 W
6  SALTED 4 3 2nk 2nk   23 23¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 48% 1.10 0.93 P
7  SUPER MAXIMA 5 2 34 35   36 35 (seglin e)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.24 S
8  COMBATTANTE 6 6 46 47½   49 410¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 26.04  
4  MIDNIGHT IN AUSTIN 2 4 69 610½   511 513 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 4.65  
1  HEY SCOOTER 1 5 56½ 59½   612 614¼ (cash l)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 11.68  
SCR  CITIZEN JUDY               (ennis john)LEPAROUX R 119 3.50    
SCR  TOODLE LOO               (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 5.00    
 
CD-2   05/31/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:103     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LITE IT UP LOUIE 2 4 31½ 41½   2nk 11¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 19% 4.20 2.66 W
7  PATTY VAN TWINKLE 6 5 64 51¾   1nk 21¼ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 124 6.00 ★ 10.04 P
1  GRACE GIVEN 1 10 95¼ 105   55¼ 38 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.00 17% 5.00 8.46 S
5  PRISON BOUND 5 11 74½ 73¼   45 49¼ (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 12.99  
4  GALADINI 4 3 1½ 1nk   33 510 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 4.18  
9  NO MAP NEEDED 8 9 106¼ 94½   88¾ 612 (amoss m)MONCADA IRVING 108 8.00 11.63  
14  MOON FLEET 11 8 85 83½   77¼ 712½ (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 5.27  
10  MIRANDA 9 1 41½ 3½   67¼ 815½ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 31.61  
3  RETAIL THERAPY 3 6 53 63¼   99¼ 918 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 25% 3.10 12.59  
8  MISS RUTH 7 2 2½ 2nk   1010¾ 1025 (milligan ed)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 10.25  
11  ANDREA BEACH 10 7 116¼ 118   1115¼ 1133¼ (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 124 20.00 7% 12.90 20.19  
SCR  BELIVE N THE DREAM               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  GOLDYS LOCK               (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 124 10.00    
SCR  KATE'S CONCERTO               (lucas wa)RODRIGUEZ A 124 20.00    
 
CD-3   05/31/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:214 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  REAGAN'S FLAME 6 5 2nk 32   23 11 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 44% 1.30 4.19 W
6  THREE POLKS 5 1 1nk 1½   13 21 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 4.92  
4  SHE'S COOL 3 8 63¼ 44   46 37½ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 23% 3.40 2.12 S
1  BALLADRY 1 4 51¾ 2½   33 48¼ (pitts helen)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 12.19  
9  QUIERO DINERO 8 7 86¾ 66½   68½ 510½ (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 20.00 12.82  
3  MRS. RIP 2 6 76¼ 88   710½ 610¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.95  
5  BEST KISS YET 4 3 41½ 54½   57½ 712½ (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 4.10  
8  SISTER ELLA 7 2 31 77½   812 819¾ (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 9% 9.90 9.40  
SCR  RED HOT JEANIE               (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 123 8.00    
 
CD-4   05/31/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:213 :444 :563     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HALINA'S FORTE 3 2 31½ 1½   12 12 (bauer a)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 23% 3.30 1.09 W
4  TANYA SHOWERS 4 7 64 31½   22 22 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 5% 17.30 7.50 P
6  TRIAL 6 5 53½ 53½   44 33¾ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 15.30  
1  LET THEM WATCH 1 4 21½ 42   33½ 48 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 31.36  
5  MS. TART 5 6 76 75½   77 58 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 6.96  
7  HONEY DIJON 7 3 43 63½   66 610 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 16% 5.30 7.27  
2  HOT BEACH 2 1 11½ 2½   55½ 714¾ (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 35% 1.90 2.58  
 
CD-5   05/31/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:113 1:234   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BEYOND BEST 8 6 94¾ 95¾ 63½ 51¼ 1nk (troiani nic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 7.55  
2  PIKE PLACE 2 2 51¾ 51¾ 42 41 2nk (mcgee paul)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 35% 1.80 3.09 P
4  EXPENSIVE CUT 4 5 2nk 2nk 2½ 1nk 3½ (morse l)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 2.30  
6  PERFECT FLIGHT 6 8 41¼ 31 3½ 2nk 43¼ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 13% 6.80 3.37  
1  HERN 1 1 83¼ 84¼ 75½ 64¼ 55 (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 12.00 8% 11.70 26.51  
5  PIPES AND DRUMS 5 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 3½ 65¼ (stall m)ELLIOTT JANE 118 6.00 16.50  
9  HE'S GOT THIS 9 7 72¼ 62¾ 52½ 74¾ 711¾ (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 10.15  
7  SOUTHERN SUNSET 7 9 62¼ 72¾ 88 812¾ 831¼ (shorter aaro)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 16.51  
3  COLOSSEO 3 4 3.2 41¼ 98½ 915¾ 938¾ (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 11% 8.40 11.42  
 
CD-6   05/31/2024 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:12 1:24   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DEPICTION 4 10 116½ 115¾ 52½ 32 1¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 22% 3.60 1.89 W
11  UNLEASH THE POWER 11 11 73¾ 73½ 86½ 44 2¼ (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 124 10.00 12.69  
10  DOUBLE CLUTCH 10 1 11 11 11½ 12 3¾ (arnold r)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 28% 2.50 2.86 S
1  TIVERTON (GB) 1 6 52¼ 31½ 31½ 22 42½ (murphy conor)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 12.00 21.05  
12  CARCANO 12 8 129½ 128¼ 129¾ 86¾ 55 (oliver victo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 12.00 9% 9.70 19.29  
3  THREE ON THE TREE 3 9 84 84½ 118¾ 107½ 66 (lovell mich)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00 38.86  
9  DECANTED 9 3 62¼ 41½ 42 54¼ 76 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 126 4.50 6.91  
6  RANSOMWARE 6 2 21 21 21½ 64¼ 86¾ (damato philip)GEROUX FLORENT 124 10.00 9.41  
8  GO BALI GO 8 7 105½ 94¾ 96¾ 97¼ 97½ (nance jonathan)CEDILLO ABEL 124 30.00 92.73  
7  GATLINBURG 7 5 42 63 64½ 75¼ 108 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 124 10.00 15% 5.80 7.12  
2  BOLT FROM ABOVE 2 12 95 105¼ 107¼ 128½ 119¾ (brinkman bre)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 15.00 48.33  
5  ROYAL MENDE 5 4 31 52½ 75 118 1212¼ (davis christophe)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 25.27  
SCR  BEAN MACHINE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  BROWN LIQUOR MAN               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00    
SCR  KARMA DIRECTOR               (reed r)BEJARANO R 124 20.00    
SCR  MR MCGREGOR               (mott i)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
 
CD-7   05/31/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:093 1:22   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS 1 1 3½ 32 2½ 1nk 11¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 56% 0.80 0.61 W
8  RUNNIN' RAY 6 4 42 44½ 54 43 21¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 17% 4.80 8.60 P
3  HAPPY AMERICAN 3 3 54½ 56 42 2nk 31¾ (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 8.00 15.77  
7  DENINGTON 5 6 617½ 621 614 67½ 43¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 2.59  
4  U. S. ARMY 4 5 2nk 2nk 1½ 32½ 55 (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 13.35  
2  HOWLING TIME 2 2 1nk 1nk 31½ 55½ 68¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 6.00 5% 19.00 11.05  
SCR  PATS PROPERTY               (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 30.00    
SCR  TAKE A STAND               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 117 20.00    
 
CD-8   05/31/2024 5940ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:251 :513 1:16 1:392   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WHAT SAY THEE 4 6 42 31½ 32 1nk 1¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 15% 5.70 3.18 W
12  NOISES OFF 9 3 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 2¼ (lobo h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 3.25  
6  MIRANDA RIGHTS 5 2 31 41½ 42 52¼ 3¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 5.53  
3  BEUYS (IRE) 3 5 62¾ 63 53½ 41¼ 41¼ (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 29% 2.50 4.02  
9  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN 7 8 83¾ 84½ 85¼ 74¾ 52 (pitts helen)LEPAROUX R 122 3.50 21% 3.80 4.96  
8  DESERT DUKE 6 1 21 2½ 2½ 3.2 62¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 21.42  
1  FREEDOM'S WAY 1 4 52½ 52½ 63¾ 63¾ 73¾ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 8% 11.00 17.50  
2  O P FIRECRACKER 2 7 73¾ 74 73¾ 84¾ 84 (medina rober)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 20.00 11.99  
11  BAKWENA 8 9 94¾ 96 96¼ 96¼ 95 (miller darri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 15.00 5% 19.00 22.21  
SCR  CAMARO Z               (foley greg)LANERIE J 116 15.00    
SCR  COMMANDPERFORMANCE               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00    
SCR  HUGE BIGLY               (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR               (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.50    
SCR  VERBAL               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00    
 
CD-9   05/31/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:122 1:363   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SIR GREYLIND 7 2 21 21 2½ 12½ 15¼ (forster t)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 29% 2.40 2.43 W
6  LIAM'S JOURNEY 4 1 11 11 1½ 22½ 25¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 42% 1.40 4.10 P
10  BAYTOWN BRUISER 8 5 32 43 33½ 35½ 36¼ (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00 48.28  
3  BRILLIANT MAN 2 8 85 87 67 57½ 46¼ (reed r)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 5.29  
8  MO RHODES 6 7 63½ 65½ 55 67½ 57¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 120 15.00 13.16  
1  WHO'S THE KING 1 3 42 32½ 44 46½ 68¾ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 2.61  
7  MONTEVALLO 5 6 53 55 77 79½ 710½ (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.25  
5  I'M YOUR MAN 3 4 74½ 76 87¼ 89¾ 811 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
SCR  HAWKS CREEK               (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
SCR  PATCH O'BRIEN               (garcia gena)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.