The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Friday - June 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (3/6/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $14.10 $14.10 6.10
CD-2   Win (9/10/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $7.52 -8.00
CD-3   Win (4/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $10.16 $10.16 2.16
CD-4   Win (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 1 $5.30 $5.30 1.30
CD-5   Win (10/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $16.82 -8.00
CD-6   Win (9/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $26.44 $26.44 20.44
CD-7   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $7.10 $7.10 1.10
CD-8   Win (7/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.50 $5.50 -2.50
CD-9   Win (6/2/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $44.04 -8.00

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   06/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:213 :443 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATLANTIC STRIKE 7 3 42 3½   1 1 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 17% 5.00 6.05 W
LITTLE BLAZE 5 4 2½ 1½   2 2 (vaccarezza carlo)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 17% 5.00 0.96 P
SUMMER OF MISCHIEF 2 5 1½ 2½   32 3 (calhoun wil)TORRES A 118 3.00 29% 2.40 2.13 S
SHIP IT 3 2 5 4   44 4 (esquivel jesus)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 12.31  
SWEET AMY 6 6 6 6   6 5 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 15.22  
RACEDAY ATTIRE 4 1 3 53   5 6 (childers v)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 38.71  
HONEY RUN 1 7 715½ 723½   726½ 731½ (heitzman eric)LANERIE J 118 12.00 11.20  
SCR  ABITIBI               (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
SCR  KYLE BEAUTY               (shirer matt )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50    
 
CD-2   06/14/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:221 :451       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUISIANA JESS 3 2 4     21 1½ (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 2.76  
THE TONER 7 3 1½     11 2½ (caramori ca)TORRES A 119 3.50 34% 2.00 2.04 P
10  MUSIC MAN 8 5 3     32 3 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 25% 2.90 4.82 S
DBOOK 1 4 6     7 4 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 15.93  
PROBATIONER 6 6 7     6 5 (caramori cai)VILLARREAL OSCAR 109 15.00 13% 6.50 41.42  
SWEET MO B 4 1 2½     4 68 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 17.91  
MIKA 2 7 5     56 710¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 3.21  
PIERCE ELEVATED 5 8 816½     818 822 (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 12.49  
SCR  MISSED THE TURN               (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  RUN MY CARD               (d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
 
CD-3   06/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:212 :443 :571     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPURRIER 3 2 4 3   2½ 1 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 16% 5.40 4.08 W
LEND IT TEWMEY 8 3 2 1½   1½ 2 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 4.50 11% 7.80 4.70 P
FLASH OF GENIUS 4 4 1 2½   3½ 3 (pino michae)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 1.60 42% 1.40 1.07 S
NATORADE 1 8 8 6   44 4 (van thoma)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 23.03  
CAMPTON 7 1 6 77   5 5 (asmussen st)TORRES A 123 5.00 7.17  
LEAD FOOT 2 7 7 89   8 6 (shorter aa)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 15.02  
KING ME 5 5 5 5   66 7 (littlefield derm)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 6.00 9.01  
DON'T STOP 6 6 3 44   7 810½ (medina tomas)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 29.57  
 
CD-4   06/14/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :452       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIGGIEDAL 5 1 1 1   13 15 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 6.00 11% 8.00 1.65 W
KIMCHI CAT 3 2 3 32   23 25 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 3.82  
SOMETHINABOUTHER 6 6 4 6   5 3 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 14.92 S
LUCKY MAMA 2 5 2 2   3 4 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 8.13  
AURELIA'S MISCHIEF 1 3 5 4   48 511¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 47% 1.10 1.36  
DERRY GIRL 4 4 64 57   611 611½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 29.65  
SCR  ANAKARINA               (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00    
SCR  ELIZA VANCE               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
SCR  LOVE'S THE ANSWER               (fletcher kevin)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00    
SCR  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL               (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
 
CD-5   06/14/2024 7920ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:13 1:383 2:032 2:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELAMPAGO VERDE 1 21 3 32 4 21 1nk (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 7.41  
MY BOY TONY 2 42 43 4 2nk 11 2nk (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 12.37 P
HAWKS CREEK 5 1010¼ 10 9 5 4 3 (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 45.23  
EL MATADOR 8 32 2 21 1nk 3 46 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 3.25  
MIKEALICIOUS 3 8 87 8 74 55 511½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 6.45  
NUMERO DIX (GB) 4 9 9 10 108 8 612¼ (caramori caio)TORRES A 124 20.00 5% 19.00 25.55  
10  SGT. PEPPER 10 53 54 64 6 77 713 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.60 68% 0.50 2.50  
NOW AND LATER 7 7 7 7 8 99 813¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00 8.24  
MAXIMUM CAPACITY 9 11 1 11 3.2 66 917¾ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 21.88  
VIVA LA RED 6 6 64 54 9 1011½ 1019½ (biancone pa)BEALMEAR C 112 4.00 6% 15.30 5.54  
SCR  INDIAN GULCH               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 124 4.00    
 
CD-6   06/14/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:221 :452       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMGIRL 4 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 12 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 12.22 W
PRAYING 1 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 22 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 4.53 P
TROUBLER 2 5 32 4   3 3 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 6.33 S
ONE HAPPY ISLAND 5 2 4 3   4 4 (kordenbrock matt)LANERIE J 119 12.00 8.43  
SPUN CANDY 8 7 65 6   6 5 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 19.49  
FLIP FLOPS 9 6 76 7   7 66 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 51% 1.00 2.46  
STELLAR ASSET 3 4 55 5   5 7 (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 17.38  
BOUTWELL TIME 7 9 9 911¼   911½ 810¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 25% 3.00 3.53  
TOODLE LOO 6 10 8 8   89 910¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 6.00 11.07  
10  MARIPOSA DE PISTA 10 8 10 1012¼   1013½ 1014¼ (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 53.29  
 
CD-7   06/14/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:213 :44 :56     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY RUN 3 4 1½ 1½   13 1 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 3.00 18% 4.40 2.55 W
INFILTRATOR 4 1 5 5   4 2 (milligan ed)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 33% 2.00 3.70 P
AWESOME AARON 6 2 2½ 2½   23 3 (green troy)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5.46  
SOLIDIFY 1 6 6 6   6 45 (cano muno)TORRES A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.98  
GO WEST 5 3 4 4   36 5 (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 2.50 2.26  
ON YOUR MARK 2 5 32 33   58 613 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 6.57  
 
CD-8   06/14/2024 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:231 :451 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST MIGHT 7 1 1 12   12 11 (lovell michell)TORRES A 123 2.00 41% 1.40 1.75 W
AMBIVALENT 3 4 54 5   3 21 (forster t)LANERIE J 123 3.50 27% 2.70 6.54 P
FRONT RUN THE FED 5 6 65 66   65 3 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 5.81  
REMUDA 6 5 4 3   22 4 (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 5.69  
ANTARES 4 2 2 22   44 54 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 7% 14.10 5.62  
LET MY PEOPLE GO 2 3 32 4   54 64 (oliver victo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.38  
CONFIDENCE GAME 1 7 7 7   710 7 (desormeaux j)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 12.54  
CONDEMN 8 8 8 811½   811 810 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 24.81  
SCR  BANGO               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50    
SCR  CANDY MAN ROCKET               (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 12.00    
SCR  EYE WITNESS               (caramori caio)ORTIZ L 121 12.00    
SCR  RYVIT               (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 3.00    
 
CD-9   06/14/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:111 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL TOWN SIS 4 5 3 3 42 21 1hd (asmussen st)TORRES A 124 6.00 21.02  
11  CUMBERLAND FALLS 10 2 4 4 1nk 11 2hd (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 12% 7.30 9.15 P
CORKAGE FEE 8 4 21 21 2nk 3 3 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 2.12  
TRES CHIC (ARG) 3 6 5 53 6 54 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 7.60  
TRANSPARENCY 5 1 11 11 3 43 57 (sweezey kent)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 9.89  
UNSTABLE PRINCESS 7 7 7 7 5 66 6 (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 17.62  
MO SENSE 2 9 10 106 9 87 7 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 22% 3.50 2.95  
SHE'S MAGIC 1 8 8 8 8 9 89 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00 17.19  
CRYSTAL SYMPHONY 6 10 9 9 7 77 911½ (sims philip )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 36% 1.80 6.55  
I GOTTA BOLT 9 3 6 6 10 1010¼ 1015¾ (hancock a)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 20.60  
SCR  JUST LIKE YOU               (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.