Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Friday - June 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (3/6/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $14.10 $14.10 6.10
CD-2   Win (9/10/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $7.52  
CD-3   Win (4/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $10.16 $10.16 2.16
CD-4   Win (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 1 $5.30 $5.30 1.30
CD-5   Win (10/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $16.82  
CD-6   Win (9/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $26.44 $26.44 20.44
CD-7   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $7.10 $7.10 1.10
CD-8   Win (7/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.50 $5.50  
CD-9   Win (6/2/11/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $44.04  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   06/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:213 :443 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ATLANTIC STRIKE 7 3 42 3½   11½ 14½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 17% 5.00 6.05 W
6  LITTLE BLAZE 5 4 2½ 1½   21½ 24½ (vaccarezza carlo)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 17% 5.00 0.96 P
3  SUMMER OF MISCHIEF 2 5 1½ 2½   32 35¼ (calhoun wil)TORRES A 118 3.00 29% 2.40 2.13 S
4  SHIP IT 3 2 53½ 42½   44 45½ (esquivel jesus)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 12.31  
8  SWEET AMY 6 6 65½ 65½   66½ 58¼ (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 15.22  
5  RACEDAY ATTIRE 4 1 31½ 53   54½ 68¾ (childers v)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 38.71  
1  HONEY RUN 1 7 715½ 723½   726½ 731½ (heitzman eric)LANERIE J 118 12.00 11.20  
SCR  ABITIBI               (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
SCR  KYLE BEAUTY               (shirer matt )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50    
 
CD-2   06/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:221 :451       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LOUISIANA JESS 3 2 42½     21 1½ (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 2.76  
9  THE TONER 7 3 1½     11 2½ (caramori ca)TORRES A 119 3.50 34% 2.00 2.04 P
10  MUSIC MAN 8 5 31½     32 32½ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 25% 2.90 4.82 S
2  DBOOK 1 4 67½     78½ 47¼ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 15.93  
8  PROBATIONER 6 6 77½     68½ 57½ (caramori cai)VILLARREAL OSCAR 109 15.00 13% 6.50 41.42  
6  SWEET MO B 4 1 2½     43½ 68 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 17.91  
3  MIKA 2 7 53½     56 710¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 3.21  
7  PIERCE ELEVATED 5 8 816½     818 822 (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 12.49  
SCR  MISSED THE TURN               (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  RUN MY CARD               (d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
 
CD-3   06/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:212 :443 :571     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPURRIER 3 2 41¾ 31½   2½ 12¼ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 16% 5.40 4.08 W
8  LEND IT TEWMEY 8 3 21½ 1½   1½ 22¼ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 4.50 11% 7.80 4.70 P
4  FLASH OF GENIUS 4 4 11½ 2½   3½ 33¼ (pino michae)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 1.60 42% 1.40 1.07 S
1  NATORADE 1 8 88¼ 66½   44 44¼ (van thoma)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 23.03  
7  CAMPTON 7 1 63¾ 77   55½ 55¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 123 5.00 7.17  
2  LEAD FOOT 2 7 76¼ 89   86¾ 66½ (shorter aa)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 15.02  
5  KING ME 5 5 52¾ 55½   66 78½ (littlefield derm)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 6.00 9.01  
6  DON'T STOP 6 6 31½ 44   76½ 810½ (medina tomas)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 29.57  
 
CD-4   06/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :452       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  VIGGIEDAL 5 1 11½ 11½   13 15 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 6.00 11% 8.00 1.65 W
6  KIMCHI CAT 3 2 31½ 32   23 25 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 3.82  
9  SOMETHINABOUTHER 6 6 42½ 68½   59½ 39¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 ★ 14.92 S
5  LUCKY MAMA 2 5 21½ 21½   35½ 49½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 8.13  
1  AURELIA'S MISCHIEF 1 3 53½ 44½   48 511¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 47% 1.10 1.36  
7  DERRY GIRL 4 4 64 57   611 611½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 29.65  
SCR  ANAKARINA               (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00    
SCR  ELIZA VANCE               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
SCR  LOVE'S THE ANSWER               (fletcher kevin)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00    
SCR  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL               (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
 
CD-5   06/14/2024 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:13 1:383 2:032 2:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELAMPAGO VERDE 1 21 32½ 32 41¾ 21 1nk (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 7.41  
2  MY BOY TONY 2 42 43 42½ 2nk 11 2nk (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 12.37 P
5  HAWKS CREEK 5 1010¼ 108½ 96¼ 53¾ 42½ 33¼ (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 45.23  
8  EL MATADOR 8 32 21½ 21 1nk 31½ 46 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 ★ 3.25  
3  MIKEALICIOUS 3 87¼ 87 85¾ 74 55 511½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 6.45  
4  NUMERO DIX (GB) 4 99¼ 97½ 107¼ 108 88½ 612¼ (caramori caio)TORRES A 124 20.00 5% 19.00 25.55  
10  SGT. PEPPER 10 53 54 64 63¾ 77 713 (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.60 68% 0.50 2.50  
7  NOW AND LATER 7 74¾ 75½ 75½ 86½ 99 813¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00 8.24  
9  MAXIMUM CAPACITY 9 11 11½ 11 3.2 66 917¾ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 21.88  
6  VIVA LA RED 6 63¼ 64 54 96½ 1011½ 1019½ (biancone pa)BEALMEAR C 112 4.00 6% 15.30 5.54  
SCR  INDIAN GULCH               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 124 4.00    
 
CD-6   06/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:221 :452       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DREAMGIRL 4 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 12 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 12.22 W
1  PRAYING 1 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 22 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 ★ 4.53 P
2  TROUBLER 2 5 32 42¾   33½ 35¼ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 ★ 6.33 S
5  ONE HAPPY ISLAND 5 2 42½ 32½   43¾ 45¼ (kordenbrock matt)LANERIE J 119 12.00 8.43  
8  SPUN CANDY 8 7 65 67¼   66¼ 55½ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 19.49  
9  FLIP FLOPS 9 6 76 77¾   76½ 66 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 51% 1.00 2.46  
3  STELLAR ASSET 3 4 55 56¾   56¼ 76½ (hamm timothy)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 17.38  
7  BOUTWELL TIME 7 9 96¾ 911¼   911½ 810¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 25% 3.00 3.53  
6  TOODLE LOO 6 10 86¼ 88¾   89 910¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 6.00 11.07  
10  MARIPOSA DE PISTA 10 8 107¼ 1012¼   1013½ 1014¼ (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 53.29  
 
CD-7   06/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:213 :44 :56     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MONEY RUN 3 4 1½ 1½   13 13¼ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 3.00 18% 4.40 2.55 W
4  INFILTRATOR 4 1 56½ 55½   46½ 23¼ (milligan ed)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 33% 2.00 3.70 P
6  AWESOME AARON 6 2 2½ 2½   23 33¾ (green troy)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5.46  
1  SOLIDIFY 1 6 67½ 67½   69½ 45 (cano muno)TORRES A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.98  
5  GO WEST 5 3 44½ 43½   36 58½ (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 2.50 2.26  
2  ON YOUR MARK 2 5 32 33   58 613 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 6.57  
 
CD-8   06/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:231 :451 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JUST MIGHT 7 1 11½ 12   12 11 (lovell michell)TORRES A 123 2.00 41% 1.40 1.75 W
3  AMBIVALENT 3 4 54 54½   33½ 21 (forster t)LANERIE J 123 3.50 27% 2.70 6.54 P
5  FRONT RUN THE FED 5 6 65 66   65 31½ (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 5.81  
6  REMUDA 6 5 42½ 32½   22 42¼ (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 5.69  
4  ANTARES 4 2 21½ 22   44 54 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 7% 14.10 5.62  
2  LET MY PEOPLE GO 2 3 32 42½   54 64 (oliver victo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.38  
1  CONFIDENCE GAME 1 7 77½ 79½   710 78½ (desormeaux j)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 12.54  
8  CONDEMN 8 8 88½ 811½   811 810 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 24.81  
SCR  BANGO               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50    
SCR  CANDY MAN ROCKET               (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 12.00    
SCR  EYE WITNESS               (caramori caio)ORTIZ L 121 12.00    
SCR  RYVIT               (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 3.00    
 
CD-9   06/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:111 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LIL TOWN SIS 4 5 31½ 31½ 42 21 1hd (asmussen st)TORRES A 124 6.00 21.02  
11  CUMBERLAND FALLS 10 2 41½ 41½ 1nk 11 2hd (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 12% 7.30 9.15 P
8  CORKAGE FEE 8 4 21 21 2nk 31½ 32½ (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 2.12  
3  TRES CHIC (ARG) 3 6 54½ 53 64¾ 54 44¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 7.60  
5  TRANSPARENCY 5 1 11 11 31½ 43 57 (sweezey kent)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 ★ 9.89  
7  UNSTABLE PRINCESS 7 7 75¾ 73¼ 54½ 66 67½ (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 17.62  
2  MO SENSE 2 9 108¾ 106 97¾ 87 77¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 22% 3.50 2.95  
1  SHE'S MAGIC 1 8 86¼ 84¼ 87¼ 97¼ 89 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00 17.19  
6  CRYSTAL SYMPHONY 6 10 96¾ 94½ 76¾ 77 911½ (sims philip )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 36% 1.80 6.55  
9  I GOTTA BOLT 9 3 64¾ 63¼ 107¾ 1010¼ 1015¾ (hancock a)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 20.60  
SCR  JUST LIKE YOU               (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.