Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Friday - June 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-1   WIN (3/6/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $14.10 $6.10 76%
    EXA (3/6/9/4)-(3/6/9/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-6 $39.66 $15.66 65%
    TRI (3/6/9/4)-(3/6/9/4)-(3/6/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  9-6-3 $20.13 $8.13 68%
    SFT (3/6/9/4)-(3/6/9/4)-(3/6/9/4)-(3/6/9/4) 24 $0.10 $2.40  9-6-3-4 $19.41 $17.01 709%
CD-3   WIN (4/3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $10.16 $2.16 27%
    EXA (4/3/8/1)-(4/3/8/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-8 $43.82 $19.82 83%
    TRI (4/3/8/1)-(4/3/8/1)-(4/3/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-8-4 $19.08 $7.08 59%
    SFT (4/3/8/1)-(4/3/8/1)-(4/3/8/1)-(4/3/8/1) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-8-4-1 $39.45 $37.05 1544%
CD-4   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00  8 $5.30 $1.30 33%
    DD (4/3/8/1)-(1/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00  3-8 $20.30 $12.30 154%
CD-6   WIN (9/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $26.44 $20.44 341%
    EXA (9/7/4)-(9/7/1/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-1 $144.94 $120.94 504%
    TRI (9/7/4)-(9/7/1/2/4)-(9/7/1/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-1-2 $247.10 $229.10 1273%
CD-7   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $7.10 $1.10 18%
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-4 $28.00 $16.00 133%
    DD (9/7/4)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-3 $78.27 $69.27 770%
CD-8   EXA (7/3/4/2)-(7/3/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-3 $27.82 $3.82 16%
    PK3 (9/7/4)-(4/3/1)-(7/3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-3-7 $110.69 $92.69 515%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   06/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:213 :443 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATLANTIC STRIKE 7 3 42 3½   1 1 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 17% 5.00 6.05 W
LITTLE BLAZE 5 4 2½ 1½   2 2 (vaccarezza car)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 17% 5.00 0.96 P
SUMMER OF MISCHIEF 2 5 1½ 2½   32 3 (calhoun w)TORRES A 118 3.00 29% 2.40 2.13 S
SHIP IT 3 2 5 4   44 4 (esquivel jesus)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 12.31  
SWEET AMY 6 6 6 6   6 5 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 15.22  
RACEDAY ATTIRE 4 1 3 53   5 6 (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 38.71  
HONEY RUN 1 7 715½ 723½   726½ 731½ (heitzman eric)LANERIE J 118 12.00 11.20  
SCR  ABITIBI               (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
SCR  KYLE BEAUTY               (shirer mat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50    
 
CD-2   06/14/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:221 :451       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUISIANA JESS 3 2 4     21 1½ (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 2.76  
  (by VEKOMA out of MISS JAZEBEL by TALE OF THE CAT)
THE TONER 7 3 1½     11 2½ (caramori )TORRES A 119 3.50 34% 2.00 2.04 P
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ULTIMATE SHOPPER by YES IT'S TRUE)
10  MUSIC MAN 8 5 3     32 3 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 25% 2.90 4.82 S
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
DBOOK 1 4 6     7 4 (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 15.93  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SKY HIGH LADY by SKY MESA)
PROBATIONER 6 6 7     6 5 (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 109 15.00 13% 6.50 41.42  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of ON PROBATION by INTO MISCHIEF)
SWEET MO B 4 1 2½     4 68 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 17.91  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of WINSLET by FIVE STAR DAY)
MIKA 2 7 5     56 710¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 3.21  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of HISTORY SUPREME by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
PIERCE ELEVATED 5 8 816½     818 822 (hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 12.49  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of ANNAPOLIS CLASS by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  MISSED THE TURN               (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of JOE'S GIFT by SKY MESA)
SCR  RUN MY CARD               (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of QUALITY LIGHT by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
CD-3   06/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:212 :443 :571     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPURRIER 3 2 4 3   2½ 1 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 16% 5.40 4.08 W
LEND IT TEWMEY 8 3 2 1½   1½ 2 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 4.50 11% 7.80 4.70 P
FLASH OF GENIUS 4 4 1 2½   3½ 3 (pino mich)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 1.60 42% 1.40 1.07 S
NATORADE 1 8 8 6   44 4 (van tho)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 23.03  
CAMPTON 7 1 6 77   5 5 (asmussen )TORRES A 123 5.00 7.17  
LEAD FOOT 2 7 7 89   8 6 (shorter )SANTANA JR 120 6.00 15.02  
KING ME 5 5 5 5   66 7 (littlefield de)DOYLE SOPHIE 123 6.00 9.01  
DON'T STOP 6 6 3 44   7 810½ (medina tomas)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 29.57  
 
CD-4   06/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :452       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIGGIEDAL 5 1 1 1   13 15 (asmussen )TORRES A 119 6.00 11% 8.00 1.65 W
  (by VEKOMA out of MINNELLI by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
KIMCHI CAT 3 2 3 32   23 25 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 3.82  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of WINTER DAWN by SKY MESA)
SOMETHINABOUTHER 6 6 4 6   5 3 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 14.92 S
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PHANTOM PROTON by GHOSTZAPPER)
LUCKY MAMA 2 5 2 2   3 4 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 8.13  
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
AURELIA'S MISCHIEF 1 3 5 4   48 511¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 47% 1.10 1.36  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LADY AURELIA by SCAT DADDY)
DERRY GIRL 4 4 64 57   611 611½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 29.65  
  (by HONOR A. P. out of JOYERIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  ANAKARINA               (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of TACIT APPROVAL by STOP THE MUSIC)
SCR  ELIZA VANCE               (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
  (by MITOLE out of LE MOINE by CURLIN)
SCR  LOVE'S THE ANSWER               (fletcher kevi)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 20.00    
  (by CUPID out of SHE'SA TOUGH TIGER by TIGER RIDGE)
SCR  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL               (hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of LIGHT FROST by FROSTED (GB))
 
CD-5   06/14/2024 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:13 1:383 2:032 2:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELAMPAGO VERDE 1 21 3 32 4 21 1nk (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 7.41  
MY BOY TONY 2 42 43 4 2nk 11 2nk (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 12.37 P
HAWKS CREEK 5 1010¼ 10 9 5 4 3 (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 45.23  
EL MATADOR 8 32 2 21 1nk 3 46 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 118 6.00 3.25  
MIKEALICIOUS 3 8 87 8 74 55 511½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 6.45  
NUMERO DIX (GB) 4 9 9 10 108 8 612¼ (caramori cai)TORRES A 124 20.00 5% 19.00 25.55  
10  SGT. PEPPER 10 53 54 64 6 77 713 (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.60 68% 0.50 2.50  
NOW AND LATER 7 7 7 7 8 99 813¼ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00 8.24  
MAXIMUM CAPACITY 9 11 1 11 3.2 66 917¾ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 21.88  
VIVA LA RED 6 6 64 54 9 1011½ 1019½ (biancone )BEALMEAR C 112 4.00 6% 15.30 5.54  
SCR  INDIAN GULCH               (van thomas)BEJARANO R 124 4.00    
 
CD-6   06/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:221 :452       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMGIRL 4 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 12 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 12.22 W
  (by MO TOWN out of BOX OFFICE SMASH by GERI)
PRAYING 1 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 22 (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 4.53 P
  (by VEKOMA out of PRAY FOR LESLIE by BERNARDINI)
TROUBLER 2 5 32 4   3 3 (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 6.33 S
  (by INSTAGRAND out of WICKEDLY by MR. GREELEY)
ONE HAPPY ISLAND 5 2 4 3   4 4 (kordenbrock mat)LANERIE J 119 12.00 8.43  
  (by UNCLE MO out of FULL SWING by VERRAZANO)
SPUN CANDY 8 7 65 6   6 5 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 19.49  
  (by HARD SPUN out of SUGAR PLUM FAIRY by DROSSELMEYER)
FLIP FLOPS 9 6 76 7   7 66 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 51% 1.00 2.46  
  (by WAR OF WILL out of SANDAL by MUNNINGS)
STELLAR ASSET 3 4 55 5   5 7 (hamm timot)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 17.38  
  (by MUNNINGS out of WICKED OBSESSION by TAPIT)
BOUTWELL TIME 7 9 9 911¼   911½ 810¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 25% 3.00 3.53  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DEL MAR MAY by JIMMY CREED)
TOODLE LOO 6 10 8 8   89 910¾ (asmussen )TORRES A 119 6.00 11.07  
  (by ISOTHERM out of SANDY'S SONG by FIRST SAMURAI)
10  MARIPOSA DE PISTA 10 8 10 1012¼   1013½ 1014¼ (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 53.29  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of MISS UNBRIDLED CAT by BROKEN VOW)
 
CD-7   06/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:213 :44 :56     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY RUN 3 4 1½ 1½   13 1 (asmussen )TORRES A 118 3.00 18% 4.40 2.55 W
INFILTRATOR 4 1 5 5   4 2 (milligan )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 33% 2.00 3.70 P
AWESOME AARON 6 2 2½ 2½   23 3 (green troy)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5.46  
SOLIDIFY 1 6 6 6   6 45 (cano mu)TORRES A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.98  
GO WEST 5 3 4 4   36 5 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 2.26  
ON YOUR MARK 2 5 32 33   58 613 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 6.57  
 
CD-8   06/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:231 :451 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST MIGHT 7 1 1 12   12 11 (lovell miche)TORRES A 123 2.00 41% 1.40 1.75 W
AMBIVALENT 3 4 54 5   3 21 (forster t)LANERIE J 123 3.50 27% 2.70 6.54 P
FRONT RUN THE FED 5 6 65 66   65 3 (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 5.81  
REMUDA 6 5 4 3   22 4 (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 5.69  
ANTARES 4 2 2 22   44 54 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 7% 14.10 5.62  
LET MY PEOPLE GO 2 3 32 4   54 64 (oliver vic)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.38  
CONFIDENCE GAME 1 7 7 7   710 7 (desormeaux)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 12.54  
CONDEMN 8 8 8 811½   811 810 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 24.81  
SCR  BANGO               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50    
SCR  CANDY MAN ROCKET               (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 12.00    
SCR  EYE WITNESS               (caramori caio)ORTIZ L 121 12.00    
SCR  RYVIT               (asmussen )TORRES A 121 3.00    
 
CD-9   06/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:111 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL TOWN SIS 4 5 3 3 42 21 1hd (asmussen )TORRES A 124 6.00 21.02  
11  CUMBERLAND FALLS 10 2 4 4 1nk 11 2hd (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 12% 7.30 9.15 P
CORKAGE FEE 8 4 21 21 2nk 3 3 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 2.12  
TRES CHIC (ARG) 3 6 5 53 6 54 4 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 7.60  
TRANSPARENCY 5 1 11 11 3 43 57 (sweezey ken)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 9.89  
UNSTABLE PRINCESS 7 7 7 7 5 66 6 (santamaria ca)GARCIA MARTIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 17.62  
MO SENSE 2 9 10 106 9 87 7 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 22% 3.50 2.95  
SHE'S MAGIC 1 8 8 8 8 9 89 (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00 17.19  
CRYSTAL SYMPHONY 6 10 9 9 7 77 911½ (sims phili)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 36% 1.80 6.55  
I GOTTA BOLT 9 3 6 6 10 1010¼ 1015¾ (hancock a)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 20.60  
SCR  JUST LIKE YOU               (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.