Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $12.36 $12.36 6.36
CD-2   Win (2/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.32 $3.32  
CD-3   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $4.94  
CD-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.28 $2.28  
CD-5   Win (5/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $10.52  
CD-6   Win (13/5/9/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $9.04 $9.04  
CD-7   Win (8/10/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $41.50  
CD-8   Win (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $7.20  
CD-9   Win (5/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $20.94 $20.94 12.94
CD-10   Win (8/3/1/14/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $16.06 $16.06 6.06
CD-11   Win (8/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.68 $6.68  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:232 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY 4 2 1nk     1½ 14 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 109 3.00 20% 3.90 5.18 W
4  BOTTOMS UP 3 1 2nk     2½ 24 (mccutchen )SANTANA JR 119 12.00 2.05  
1  HERB ELIAS 1 6 44½     45½ 36¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50 42% 1.40 1.52 S
3  AMERICAN CITY 2 5 66     56½ 47¼ (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 119 12.00 16.91  
6  BAYTOWN AMY ROSE 5 3 3½     34½ 511¼ (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 116 8.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
7  CASE ACE 6 4 55     610 617¾ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 4.01  
SCR  DEDOS               (ward a)HARGROVE CAMILA 106 1.80    
 
CD-2   05/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:24 :493 1:144 1:38   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GREEN LIGHT 2 1 2½ 2nk 1½ 16 110¼ (brisset rodolphe)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 46% 1.20 0.66 W
4  CLOUDY HOLIDAY 4 3 63½ 63¼ 41½ 26 210¼ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 12% 7.40 34.27 P
5  SUGAR HOOK 5 2 31½ 31½ 31½ 37½ 311¾ (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 29.93  
3  CABERNAYDO 3 9 95¾ 75¼ 75 49 411¾ (medina robe)TORRES A 118 8.00 20% 3.90 20.25  
7  SPIN IT 7 7 52 42 52½ 510½ 515 (devaux cherie)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 6.03  
11  AK SAR BEN DERBY 11 10 106¼ 96¾ 106¾ 913 615½ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 61.77  
9  CALL ME CASSIUS 9 8 74 85¼ 85¼ 813 715½ (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 125 15.00 61.16  
8  ACCIDENT 8 6 42 53 63 712 819½ (short thoma)BEALMEAR C 118 15.00 5% 19.00 27.59  
1  UNBRIDLED PLEASURE 1 4 1½ 1nk 2½ 611½ 920¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 34.02  
6  SARDIS 6 11 119¼ 118¾ 116¾ 1014 1021 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 ★ 7.08  
10  BOOKIE BRENT 10 5 85½ 107¼ 96¼ 1114½ 1121¼ (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 6.00  
SCR  AMERICAN MEMORIES               (pino v)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
SCR  DOUBLE NEAT               (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
SCR  HALF DOME (IRE)               (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
SCR  MY BOY TONY               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 125 8.00    
SCR  VERY SATISFACTORY               (camejo jose )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
 
CD-3   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:142 1:40   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MIDNIGHT TANGO 6 3 32½ 31½ 1½ 11½ 1¼ (pitts helen)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 1.47  
1  ROCK STAR DOCTOR 1 5 43½ 42 41½ 21½ 2¼ (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 ★ 2.64 P
4  DREAMING ALWAYS 4 6 65½ 64 64¾ 46 38½ (forster grant )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 6.22  
3  THE CLUB 3 1 21 2½ 2½ 34 412 (romans dale)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 3.00 41% 1.50 3.78  
5  CARIBBEAN NIGHT 5 4 53½ 53½ 54½ 611½ 524¼ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 123 10.00 21% 3.90 16.80  
2  RED SUN DRESS 2 2 11 1½ 31½ 511 631 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 6.74  
 
CD-4   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:254 :52 1:162 1:40   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISARM 1 1 11 11½ 11½ 1½ 11½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 0.80 57% 0.80 0.14 W
5  ONTHESTAGE 3 2 21 21½ 21½ 2½ 21½ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 11.60 P
4  BABA VOSS 2 4 31½ 32 32 32 32¾ (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 4.89  
6  TEXAS RED HOT 4 3 43½ 44½ 45½ 48½ 412 (morse l)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 9.93  
SCR  ALEJANDRO               (cash norman)BEALMEAR C 115 6.00    
SCR  HOWLING TIME               (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 3.50    
 
CD-5   05/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FAN THE FIRE 2 3 41½ 52   2nk 11½ (cano muno)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00 4.26  
6  WESTERN COMMAND 6 5 52 31½   1nk 21½ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00 5.71  
5  PICO D'ORO 5 6 72¾ 74   52½ 32 (caramori ca)TORRES A 123 3.50 52% 0.90 4.70 S
8  SHUFFLE DANCE 8 1 3½ 2½   42 44¼ (moquett e)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 11% 8.40 5.01  
1  SUTHERLAND 1 4 62¼ 63½   63½ 56¼ (miller darrin)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00 4.79 DH
7  BETTERING 7 8 83¾ 85½   85½ 56¼ (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 18.37 DH
4  TRUE JEDI 4 7 2nk 1½   31½ 77½ (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.00 12% 7.10 3.71  
3  ONCOMING TRAIN 3 2 1nk 42   75 810¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00 9.41  
 
CD-6   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:14 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ICE TIME 7 7 64½ 64½ 63¾ 33½ 11¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 126 2.50 8% 11.30 3.52 W
1  STRASSE 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 13 21¼ (lukas way)TORRES A 118 10.00 7.57  
5  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 5 3 86 86¼ 53¾ 54 32¼ (stewart da)SANTANA JR 126 3.00 13% 6.50 2.81 S
13  SAGITTARIUS 10 6 53 54 32 23 43¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 126 5.00 55% 0.80 4.82  
3  LAUGHNOWCRYLATER 3 5 97 96¾ 74¼ 76½ 56¾ (howey quinn)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00 27.14  
2  AUDEN 2 9 75½ 76 95 88½ 610 (santamaria )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 20.00 5% 19.00 17.86  
4  SIR ROCK 4 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 43½ 710½ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 126 10.00 5% 19.00 4.64  
8  MASTER OF THE NITE 6 8 42½ 32½ 42¼ 66 810¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 24.25  
10  PUCKSTER 8 1 32½ 42½ 84½ 98¾ 913½ (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 9.43  
12  NOW IMA BELIEVER 9 10 107½ 109¾ 1013 1023¾ 1047 (margolis step)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 24.22  
SCR  ADMIRAL HALL               (ward a)HARGROVE CAMILA 108 12.00    
SCR  MOVING TO KENTUCKY               (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 126 10.00    
SCR  UNCLE TUFFY               (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 118 6.00    
SCR  VIGANO               (zito nichola)ASMUSSEN J 126 6.00    
 
CD-7   05/18/2024 7920ft TURF RC12 FIRM Louisville Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:253 :501 1:154 1:411 2:054 2:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SUGOI 5 2nk 11½ 11½ 11 1½ 11¼ (maker micha)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 19.75  
11  STRONG TIDE 9 41¼ 21½ 21½ 31 2½ 21¼ (lauer micha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 30.00 40.32  
9  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) 7 63¼ 73¼ 73½ 43 42½ 31¼ (motion graham)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.86 S
8  BOLD ACT (IRE) 6 95 42 42½ 21 31½ 41¾ (appleby charle)GEROUX FLORENT 123 1.00 42% 1.40 0.70  
10  UTAH BEACH 8 84¾ 84¾ 84½ 65 55 56¼ (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 26% 2.90 1.91  
2  KING CURLIN 1 31 63 63½ 77 77½ 69¼ (vanden brit)ROCCO S 118 30.00 24.53  
6  RECKONING FORCE 4 51¼ 52½ 53 54½ 66 710¼ (walsh brend)TORRES A 118 12.00 10% 9.20 20.83  
5  QUADRA ISLAND 3 1nk 31½ 32 88 89 815¼ (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 ★ 51.28  
4  GUNTOWN 2 73¾ 94¾ 96 910 912½ 919¼ (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 43.78  
SCR  AVENUE               (mccarthy michael)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
SCR  STARTING OVER               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 123 4.00    
 
CD-8   05/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:39
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:132 1:381   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SANTOS DUMONT 5 2 21 21 2nk 13 15¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 2.60  
2  ELUSIVE TARGET 2 7 74¼ 74 73¾ 54 25¼ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 4.10  
3  ACCIDENTAL HERO 3 3 52 52½ 31½ 33½ 36½ (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 7.30  
7  KITODAN 7 6 42 31½ 52¼ 44 47 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 6.16  
4  BACKGROUND 4 1 11 11 1nk 23 58¼ (puhich mike)TORRES A 118 3.50 26% 2.90 3.99  
1  FIFTY CENT DOLLARS 1 5 31½ 41½ 42 66½ 613¼ (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 45% 1.20 4.08  
6  AMERICAN BLAZE 6 4 62¼ 63 62¾ 78 719¾ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 5% 17.90 11.22  
SCR  O P FIRECRACKER               (medina robert)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
SCR  TRIDENT HIT               (moquett rona)ASMUSSEN J 118 6.00    
 
CD-9   05/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT-10:11
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  INTO LOVE 4 1 22 11½   13 13½ (littlefield de)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.47 W
5  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE 5 5 64½ 53½   23 23½ (stall m)ORTIZ L 123 3.00 45% 1.20 1.24 P
1  MARMALADE SKYE 1 6 42½ 32   33½ 34½ (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 123 5.00 11.60  
6  VIRASANA 6 2 53 42½   44 45½ (eurton peter)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.50 17% 5.10 2.63  
8  COZEE RAGS 8 7 88½ 810½   57½ 56½ (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 8.00 9% 10.60 8.67  
7  DAZZLINGDOMINIKA 7 8 76 77   710½ 618¼ (damato philip)MONCADA IRVING 113 15.00 28.12  
3  MOTOWN DYNAMIC 3 3 12 21½   67½ 722½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 6.22  
2  FLUENT 2 4 32 65½   818½ 839 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 23.96  
 
CD-10   05/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT-10:42
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:13 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HIGHWAY ROBBER 8 12 107 105¾ 74 31½ 11½ (lynch a)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 28% 2.60 7.03 W
6  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN 6 11 128¾ 127¼ 94¾ 53 21½ (pitts helen)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 10.96  
3  GRAY'S FABLE 3 6 95½ 94¼ 42½ 1nk 32¼ (stidham micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00 24% 3.20 5.24 S
7  LINCOLN HIGHWAY 7 10 117¼ 116¾ 127¾ 94½ 42¼ (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 5% 19.00 31.29  
2  SCOOBIE QUANDO 2 3 84 83¾ 115¾ 73¼ 53¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 9.46  
9  ESCAPE ARTIST 9 2 21 2½ 11 2nk 64¾ (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 10.27  
1  LOYAL COMPANY 1 1 41½ 42 52½ 63¼ 75¾ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 13% 6.50 12.36  
10  FAIR DINKUM 10 4 52 31 21 42½ 87 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 3.29  
14  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS 12 8 73½ 62½ 63 84¼ 910½ (esquivel je)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 8% 11.70 21.59  
12  POWERFUL 11 9 63 73½ 84½ 105½ 1012¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 30.00 38.72  
5  PACKS A WAHLOP 5 5 31½ 52 105¼ 126 1113¼ (morey e)CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00 4.35  
4  MALIBU SPRINGS 4 7 11 1½ 31½ 115½ 1220½ (sweezey k)TORRES A 124 12.00 14.33  
SCR  BIG DREAMING               (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
SCR  EXTRA ANEJO               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.20    
SCR  SPLIT THE WICKETS               (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR               (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00    
 
CD-11   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-11:10
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:133 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MISCHIEVOUSNESS 7 1 11 11 1½ 2nk 1nk (lovell michelle)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 30% 2.30 2.34 W
5  LETSTALKABOUTME 5 2 41¼ 31 31 1nk 2nk (green troy)LANERIE J 118 2.50 21% 3.80 2.25 P
6  SANCTIFY 6 4 21 21 2½ 33 33½ (holsapple hu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 19% 4.30 7.37 S
1  ALICIT INTENTION 1 5 52¾ 52¾ 53½ 56 48¼ (medina robe)TORRES A 118 3.50 5.73  
3  WINE AND WAVES 3 3 31 41¼ 42 45½ 59½ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.77  
2  TIME FOR MAGIC 2 7 74¼ 74¾ 75½ 67½ 610½ (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 118 15.00 16.51  
4  BABY AVERY 4 6 63¼ 62¾ 63½ 712 729¾ (vance d)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 6.50  
SCR  DEFINING JOY               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.