Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-1   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $12.36 $6.36 106%
CD-2   EXA (2/3/4/8)-(2/3/4/6/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00  2-4 $44.90 $12.90 40%
    DD (1/5/6)-(2/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-2 $13.77 $1.77 15%
CD-4   EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1-5 $13.12 $9.12 228%
CD-9   WIN (5/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $20.94 $12.94 162%
    EXA (5/6/8/4)-(5/6/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-5 $74.54 $50.54 211%
CD-10   WIN (8/3/1/14/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $16.06 $6.06 61%
    DD (5/6/8/4)-(8/3/1/14/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-8 $114.38 $94.38 472%
CD-11   TRI (8/5/6/3)-(8/5/6/3)-(8/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-5-6 $14.84 $2.84 24%
    DD (8/3/1/14/7)-(8/5/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-8 $25.92 $5.92 30%
    PK3 (5/6/8/4)-(8/3/1/14/7)-(8/5/6/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00  4-8-8 $161.46 $121.46 304%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:232 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY 4 2 1nk     1½ 14 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 109 3.00 20% 3.90 5.18 W
BOTTOMS UP 3 1 2nk     2½ 24 (mccutche)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 2.05  
HERB ELIAS 1 6 4     4 3 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50 42% 1.40 1.52 S
AMERICAN CITY 2 5 66     5 4 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 12.00 16.91  
BAYTOWN AMY ROSE 5 3 3½     3 511¼ (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 116 8.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
CASE ACE 6 4 55     610 617¾ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 4.01  
SCR  DEDOS               (ward wesley)HARGROVE CAMILA 106 1.80    
 
CD-2   05/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:24 :493 1:144 1:38   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEN LIGHT 2 1 2½ 2nk 1½ 16 110¼ (brisset rodolp)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 46% 1.20 0.66 W
  (by HARD SPUN out of ELECTRIC by SMART STRIKE)
CLOUDY HOLIDAY 4 3 6 6 4 26 210¼ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 12% 7.40 34.27 P
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PATSY'S HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SUGAR HOOK 5 2 3 3 3 3 311¾ (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 29.93  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UPPERCUT by DISCREET CAT)
CABERNAYDO 3 9 9 7 75 49 411¾ (medina ro)TORRES A 118 8.00 20% 3.90 20.25  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of WIND SPUN by HARD SPUN)
SPIN IT 7 7 52 42 5 510½ 515 (devaux cheri)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 6.03  
  (by HARD SPUN out of TRY YOUR LUCK by TELLA FIB)
11  AK SAR BEN DERBY 11 10 10 9 10 913 615½ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 61.77  
  (by TAPITURE out of MENSA MEMBER by FLATTER)
CALL ME CASSIUS 9 8 74 8 8 813 715½ (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 125 15.00 61.16  
  (by VANCOUVER out of QUALITY PEARL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
ACCIDENT 8 6 42 53 63 712 819½ (short tho)BEALMEAR C 118 15.00 5% 19.00 27.59  
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
UNBRIDLED PLEASURE 1 4 1½ 1nk 2½ 611½ 920¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 34.02  
  (by GORMLEY out of K K'S BUCKEYE by ALCINDOR)
SARDIS 6 11 11 11 11 1014 1021 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 7.08  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ENDLESS CHAT by BERNARDINI)
10  BOOKIE BRENT 10 5 8 10 9 1114½ 1121¼ (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 6.00  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DARING DARLING by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  AMERICAN MEMORIES               (pino v)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of WINTER MEMORIES by EL PRADO (IRE))
SCR  DOUBLE NEAT               (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of COCKTAIL HOUR by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  HALF DOME (IRE)               (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MY BOY TONY               (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 125 8.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BOLD CONTENDER by STRONG CONTENDER)
SCR  VERY SATISFACTORY               (camejo jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SHES SO SAVVY by BODEMEISTER)
 
CD-3   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:142 1:40   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT TANGO 6 3 3 3 1½ 1 1¼ (pitts helen)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 1.47  
ROCK STAR DOCTOR 1 5 4 42 4 2 2¼ (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 2.64 P
DREAMING ALWAYS 4 6 6 64 6 46 3 (forster gran)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 6.22  
THE CLUB 3 1 21 2½ 2½ 34 412 (romans dale)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 3.00 41% 1.50 3.78  
CARIBBEAN NIGHT 5 4 5 5 5 611½ 524¼ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 123 10.00 21% 3.90 16.80  
RED SUN DRESS 2 2 11 1½ 3 511 631 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 6.74  
 
CD-4   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:254 :52 1:162 1:40   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISARM 1 1 11 1 1 1½ 1 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 0.80 57% 0.80 0.14 W
ONTHESTAGE 3 2 21 2 2 2½ 2 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 11.60 P
BABA VOSS 2 4 3 32 32 32 3 (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 4.89  
TEXAS RED HOT 4 3 4 4 4 4 412 (morse l)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 9.93  
SCR  ALEJANDRO               (cash norm)BEALMEAR C 115 6.00    
SCR  HOWLING TIME               (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 3.50    
 
CD-5   05/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAN THE FIRE 2 3 4 52   2nk 1 (cano mu)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00 4.26  
WESTERN COMMAND 6 5 52 3   1nk 2 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00 5.71  
PICO D'ORO 5 6 7 74   5 32 (caramori )TORRES A 123 3.50 52% 0.90 4.70 S
SHUFFLE DANCE 8 1 3½ 2½   42 4 (moquett ronald)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 11% 8.40 5.01  
SUTHERLAND 1 4 6 6   6 5 (miller darrin)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00 4.79 DH
BETTERING 7 8 8 8   8 5 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 18.37 DH
TRUE JEDI 4 7 2nk 1½   3 7 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.00 12% 7.10 3.71  
ONCOMING TRAIN 3 2 1nk 42   75 810¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00 9.41  
 
CD-6   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:14 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE TIME 7 7 6 6 6 3 1 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 126 2.50 8% 11.30 3.52 W
STRASSE 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 13 2 (lukas w)TORRES A 118 10.00 7.57  
ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 5 3 86 8 5 54 3 (stewart )SANTANA JR 126 3.00 13% 6.50 2.81 S
13  SAGITTARIUS 10 6 53 54 32 23 4 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 126 5.00 55% 0.80 4.82  
LAUGHNOWCRYLATER 3 5 97 9 7 7 5 (howey quinn)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00 27.14  
AUDEN 2 9 7 76 95 8 610 (santamari)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 20.00 5% 19.00 17.86  
SIR ROCK 4 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 4 710½ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 126 10.00 5% 19.00 4.64  
MASTER OF THE NITE 6 8 4 3 4 66 810¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 24.25  
10  PUCKSTER 8 1 3 4 8 9 913½ (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 9.43  
12  NOW IMA BELIEVER 9 10 10 10 1013 1023¾ 1047 (margolis st)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 24.22  
SCR  ADMIRAL HALL               (ward wesley)HARGROVE CAMILA 108 12.00    
SCR  MOVING TO KENTUCKY               (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 126 10.00    
SCR  UNCLE TUFFY               (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 118 6.00    
SCR  VIGANO               (zito nicho)ASMUSSEN J 126 6.00    
 
CD-7   05/18/2024 7920ft TURF RC12 FIRM Louisville Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:253 :501 1:154 1:411 2:054 2:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGOI 5 2nk 1 1 11 1½ 1 (maker mic)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 19.75  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of TIMELESS SPIRIT by DEVIL HIS DUE)
11  STRONG TIDE 9 4 2 2 31 2½ 2 (lauer mic)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 30.00 40.32  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) 7 6 7 7 43 4 3 (motion graham)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.86 S
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of FANCY by JUSTIFY)
BOLD ACT (IRE) 6 95 42 4 21 3 4 (appleby char)GEROUX FLORENT 123 1.00 42% 1.40 0.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  UTAH BEACH 8 8 8 8 65 55 5 (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 26% 2.90 1.91  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MY OWN STORY by LASTING APPROVAL)
KING CURLIN 1 31 63 6 77 7 6 (vanden br)ROCCO S 118 30.00 24.53  
  (by CURLIN out of BLINGISMYTHING by ARCH)
RECKONING FORCE 4 5 5 53 5 66 710¼ (walsh bre)TORRES A 118 12.00 10% 9.20 20.83  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of ALASEMA by JAZIL)
QUADRA ISLAND 3 1nk 3 32 88 89 815¼ (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 51.28  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of SKY WALK by SKYWALKER)
GUNTOWN 2 7 9 96 910 912½ 919¼ (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 43.78  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of FUN HOUSE by PRIZED)
SCR  AVENUE               (mccarthy micha)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MAGIC UNION by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  STARTING OVER               (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 4.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of VANISHING by TAMMANY)
 
CD-8   05/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:39
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:132 1:381   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANTOS DUMONT 5 2 21 21 2nk 13 1 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 2.60  
ELUSIVE TARGET 2 7 7 74 7 54 2 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 4.10  
ACCIDENTAL HERO 3 3 52 5 3 3 3 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 7.30  
KITODAN 7 6 42 3 5 44 47 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 6.16  
BACKGROUND 4 1 11 11 1nk 23 5 (puhich mi)TORRES A 118 3.50 26% 2.90 3.99  
FIFTY CENT DOLLARS 1 5 3 4 42 6 613¼ (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 45% 1.20 4.08  
AMERICAN BLAZE 6 4 6 63 6 78 719¾ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 5% 17.90 11.22  
SCR  O P FIRECRACKER               (medina robert)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
SCR  TRIDENT HIT               (moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 118 6.00    
 
CD-9   05/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT-10:11
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO LOVE 4 1 22 1   13 1 (littlefield )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.47 W
HUNTRESS FOR HIRE 5 5 6 5   23 2 (stall m)ORTIZ L 123 3.00 45% 1.20 1.24 P
MARMALADE SKYE 1 6 4 32   3 3 (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 123 5.00 11.60  
VIRASANA 6 2 53 4   44 4 (eurton peter)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.50 17% 5.10 2.63  
COZEE RAGS 8 7 8 810½   5 5 (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 8.00 9% 10.60 8.67  
DAZZLINGDOMINIKA 7 8 76 77   710½ 618¼ (damato phili)MONCADA IRVING 113 15.00 28.12  
MOTOWN DYNAMIC 3 3 12 2   6 722½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 6.22  
FLUENT 2 4 32 6   818½ 839 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 23.96  
 
CD-10   05/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT-10:42
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:13 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHWAY ROBBER 8 12 107 10 74 3 1 (lynch a)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 28% 2.60 7.03 W
CLYDE'S GOT A GUN 6 11 12 12 9 53 2 (pitts hel)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00 10.96  
GRAY'S FABLE 3 6 9 9 4 1nk 3 (stidham mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00 24% 3.20 5.24 S
LINCOLN HIGHWAY 7 10 11 11 12 9 4 (oliver )DE CRUZ 122 15.00 5% 19.00 31.29  
SCOOBIE QUANDO 2 3 84 8 11 7 5 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 9.46  
ESCAPE ARTIST 9 2 21 2½ 11 2nk 6 (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 10.27  
LOYAL COMPANY 1 1 4 42 5 6 7 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 13% 6.50 12.36  
10  FAIR DINKUM 10 4 52 31 21 4 87 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 3.29  
14  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS 12 8 7 6 63 8 910½ (esquivel )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 8% 11.70 21.59  
12  POWERFUL 11 9 63 7 8 10 1012¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 30.00 38.72  
PACKS A WAHLOP 5 5 3 52 10 126 1113¼ (morey william )CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00 4.35  
MALIBU SPRINGS 4 7 11 1½ 3 11 1220½ (sweezey j)TORRES A 124 12.00 14.33  
SCR  BIG DREAMING               (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
SCR  EXTRA ANEJO               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.20    
SCR  SPLIT THE WICKETS               (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR               (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00    
 
CD-11   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-11:10
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:133 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUSNESS 7 1 11 11 1½ 2nk 1nk (lovell michell)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 30% 2.30 2.34 W
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of WILD FOR LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
LETSTALKABOUTME 5 2 4 31 31 1nk 2nk (green troy)LANERIE J 118 2.50 21% 3.80 2.25 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of BELLA GATTINO by TAPIT)
SANCTIFY 6 4 21 21 2½ 33 3 (holsapple )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 19% 4.30 7.37 S
  (by AUDIBLE out of LIQUORICE MARILYN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
ALICIT INTENTION 1 5 5 5 5 56 4 (medina ro)TORRES A 118 3.50 5.73  
  (by MITOLE out of COUNT TO ELEVEN by GRAND SLAM)
WINE AND WAVES 3 3 31 4 42 4 5 (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.77  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MALIBU PIER by MALIBU MOON)
TIME FOR MAGIC 2 7 7 7 7 6 610½ (oliver )DE CRUZ 118 15.00 16.51  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MINES AND MAGIC by MINESHAFT)
BABY AVERY 4 6 6 6 6 712 729¾ (vance d)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 6.50  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CHARMAINE'S LEGACY by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  DEFINING JOY               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEFINING HOPE by STRONG HOPE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.