Handicappers' Racing Form
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (2/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-5   Win (5/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (13/5/9/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-7   Win (8/10/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (5/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (8/3/1/14/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-11   Win (8/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   05/18/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERB ELIAS         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  DEDOS         (ward a)HARGROVE CAMILE 106 1.80    
3  AMERICAN CITY May09 Apr25       (desormeaux keith)RIQUELME J 119 12.00    
4  BOTTOMS UP Apr10         (mccutchen )SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
5  BAYTOWN BUTTERFLY         (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 109 3.00 20% 3.90    
6  BAYTOWN AMY ROSE Apr11         (mcentee paul)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CASE ACE         (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
 
CD-2   05/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED PLEASURE         (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
2  GREEN LIGHT Apr14 Mar23       (brisset rodolphe)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  CABERNAYDO Apr06 Feb15 Jan21 Dec23 Nov18 (medina robe)TORRES A 118 8.00 20% 3.90    
4  CLOUDY HOLIDAY Apr24 Mar08 Feb09 Jan06 Dec09 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 12% 7.40    
5  SUGAR HOOK Mar20 Mar09 Jan21 Dec23 Nov18 (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00    
6  SARDIS Apr18 Feb25 Jan28 Nov17   (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 ★    
7  SPIN IT Apr14         (devaux cherie)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
8  ACCIDENT Apr24 Apr11 Mar30 Mar16 Feb17 (short thoma)BEALMEAR C 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  CALL ME CASSIUS Mar23 Jun22 Feb11     (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 125 15.00    
10  BOOKIE BRENT Apr06         (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
11  AK SAR BEN DERBY Mar30 Dec08       (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
SCR  AMERICAN MEMORIES Mar30 Mar08       (pino v)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
SCR  HALF DOME (IRE)         (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
SCR  DOUBLE NEAT Apr13 Mar07 Dec23 Nov25   (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
SCR  MY BOY TONY Mar02 Jan27 Jul23 Apr08 Mar10 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 125 8.00    
SCR  VERY SATISFACTORY Mar24 Mar07 Nov30     (camejo jose )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
 
CD-3   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK STAR DOCTOR Apr11 Jan27 Nov18 Oct27 Sep20 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 ★    
2  RED SUN DRESS Mar22 Mar01 Feb02 Jan05 Dec08 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00    
3  THE CLUB Feb24 Dec21 Nov15 Oct05 Jul22 (romans dale)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 3.00 41% 1.50    
4  DREAMING ALWAYS Apr30 Mar16 Feb23 Feb02 Jan07 (forster grant )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50    
5  CARIBBEAN NIGHT Mar21 Mar09 Jan27 Jan18 Sep30 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 123 10.00 21% 3.90    
6  MIDNIGHT TANGO Feb24 Dec20 Nov12 Sep13 Apr19 (pitts helen)ORTIZ L 123 4.00    
 
CD-4   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISARM Aug26 Jul29 Jun11 May06 Apr15 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 0.80 57% 0.80    
SCR  HOWLING TIME Mar02 Jun01 Jul23 Jun12 May21 (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 3.50    
SCR  ALEJANDRO May07 Apr21 Mar30 Mar16 Mar02 (cash norman)BEALMEAR C 115 6.00    
4  BABA VOSS Apr12 Feb12 Dec22 Nov05 Sep07 (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00    
5  ONTHESTAGE Apr13 Mar22 Feb02 Jul08 Jun17 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  TEXAS RED HOT Mar16 Mar01 Dec02 Nov11 Oct01 (morse l)BEJARANO R 122 10.00    
 
CD-5   05/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUTHERLAND Mar14 Feb22 May29 May05 Mar16 (miller darrin)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  FAN THE FIRE May01 Apr11 Mar09 Feb04 Dec17 (cano muno)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00    
3  ONCOMING TRAIN Apr07 Jan15 Dec29 Nov25 Nov02 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00    
4  TRUE JEDI Apr07 Mar08 Feb03 Jan12 Dec29 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.00 12% 7.10    
5  PICO D'ORO Feb25 Feb15 Jan26 Dec29 Nov05 (caramori ca)TORRES A 123 3.50 52% 0.90    
6  WESTERN COMMAND Mar24 Feb03 Jan04 Dec07 Oct25 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00    
7  BETTERING Apr27 Feb02 Jan12 Dec29 Nov15 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
8  SHUFFLE DANCE Apr20 Mar24 Mar10 Feb04 Jan05 (moquett e)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 11% 8.40    
 
CD-6   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRASSE Apr20 Mar07 Feb16 Aug06   (lukas way)TORRES A 118 10.00    
2  AUDEN Apr13 Mar15 Mar01 Oct31 Oct13 (santamaria )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  LAUGHNOWCRYLATER         (howey quinn)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00    
4  SIR ROCK Jul23 May06 Oct30 Sep29   (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Apr24 Feb22 Jan25 Jan07 Dec15 (stewart da)SANTANA JR 126 3.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  ADMIRAL HALL         (ward a)HARGROVE CAMILE 108 12.00    
SCR  VIGANO Mar23 Mar01 Jan27 Nov22 Nov01 (zito nichola)ASMUSSEN J 126 6.00    
8  MASTER OF THE NITE May01 Apr12 Dec09 Nov23 Oct26 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
9  ICE TIME Apr24 Nov29 Nov16 Sep28 Aug31 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 126 2.50 8% 11.30    
10  PUCKSTER Feb29 Oct29       (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
SCR  MOVING TO KENTUCKY Apr13         (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 126 10.00    
12  NOW IMA BELIEVER Mar07 Feb02       (margolis step)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
13  SAGITTARIUS Apr13 Mar15 Mar01 Feb02 Jan05 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 126 5.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  UNCLE TUFFY Apr25         (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 118 6.00    
 
CD-7   05/18/2024 7920ft TURF RC12 FIRM Louisville Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STARTING OVER Mar02 Jan27 Oct08 Sep09 Jul30 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 123 4.00    
2  KING CURLIN Apr20 Jan01 Nov05 Oct12 Sep03 (vanden brit)ROCCO S 118 30.00    
SCR  AVENUE Mar30 Feb17 Dec23 Nov23 Nov02 (mccarthy michael)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
4  GUNTOWN Apr20 Mar21 Feb23 Dec29 Dec02 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
5  QUADRA ISLAND Apr11 Feb17 Dec23 Nov15 Oct14 (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 ★    
6  RECKONING FORCE May02 Mar02 Apr21 Mar25 Mar04 (walsh brend)TORRES A 118 12.00 10% 9.20    
7  SUGOI Apr25 Feb17 Feb02 Dec23 Dec09 (maker micha)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
8  BOLD ACT (IRE) Apr20 Oct13       (appleby charle)GEROUX FLORENT 123 1.00 42% 1.40    
9  THE GREY WIZARD (IRE) Apr20 Jul30 Jun09 Apr27 Feb05 (motion graham)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  UTAH BEACH Apr14 Feb28 Jan25 Nov29 Nov08 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
11  STRONG TIDE May05 Mar29 Aug23 Aug12 Jul08 (lauer micha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 30.00    
 
CD-8   05/18/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIFTY CENT DOLLARS Mar07 Feb17 Dec08 Aug19 Jun25 (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 45% 1.20    
2  ELUSIVE TARGET Mar30 Mar01 Feb03 Jan13 Dec17 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
3  ACCIDENTAL HERO Apr25 Mar30 Mar14 Feb19 Jan12 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00    
4  BACKGROUND May03 Jul15 Jun04 May05 Apr23 (puhich mike)TORRES A 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
5  SANTOS DUMONT Mar02 Feb09 Jan12 Sep21 Aug05 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
6  AMERICAN BLAZE Oct21 Aug26 Jul22 Jul01 Jun03 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 5% 17.90    
7  KITODAN Apr06 Mar23 Feb17 Dec16 Nov11 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TRIDENT HIT Apr26 Mar30 Jan26 Oct27 Sep17 (moquett rona)ASMUSSEN J 118 6.00    
SCR  O P FIRECRACKER May01 Mar29 Feb24 Jan13 Dec17 (medina robert)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
 
CD-9   05/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT-10:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARMALADE SKYE Apr17 Mar14 Feb15 Dec21 Nov10 (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 123 5.00    
2  FLUENT Jun18 Mar26 Feb20     (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00    
3  MOTOWN DYNAMIC Apr04 Feb24 Jan20     (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50    
4  INTO LOVE Apr01 Mar11 Feb11 Jan21 Dec31 (littlefield de)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE Sep21 Jul22 May05 Feb18 Jan07 (stall m)ORTIZ L 123 3.00 45% 1.20    
6  VIRASANA Apr18 Apr23 Mar18     (eurton peter)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.50 17% 5.10    
7  DAZZLINGDOMINIKA Jun16 May21 Aug13 May13 Apr29 (damato philip)MONCADA IRVING 113 15.00    
8  COZEE RAGS Apr05 Mar01 Feb10 Jan05 Dec02 (michael brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 8.00 9% 10.60    
 
CD-10   05/18/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT-10:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOYAL COMPANY Apr19 Mar02 Jan20 Dec16 Oct21 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 13% 6.50    
2  SCOOBIE QUANDO Apr19 Mar23 Feb23 Jun03 May06 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
3  GRAY'S FABLE Apr20 Nov05 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02 (stidham micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  MALIBU SPRINGS Apr10 Mar20 Feb15 Jan18 Dec07 (sweezey k)TORRES A 124 12.00    
5  PACKS A WAHLOP Mar02 Jan05 Nov04 Sep30 Sep02 (morey e)CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00    
6  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN Dec22 Nov24 Oct19 Sep16 Aug26 (pitts helen)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
7  LINCOLN HIGHWAY Apr10 Nov26 Oct19 Sep17 Aug05 (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  HIGHWAY ROBBER Sep02 Aug05 Jul09 May28 Nov26 (lynch a)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
9  ESCAPE ARTIST Apr19 Sep02 Jul21 Jun11 May07 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00    
10  FAIR DINKUM Dec23 Nov02 Sep07 Aug05 Jan29 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 5.00    
SCR  BIG DREAMING Mar16 Feb17 Jan11 Nov23 Nov05 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
12  POWERFUL Apr21 Feb24 Jan27 Apr22 Apr01 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 30.00    
SCR  SPLIT THE WICKETS Feb17 Dec22 Sep15 Jul11 Jun20 (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
14  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS Mar23 Feb17 Dec30 Dec02 Aug31 (esquivel je)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR Apr12 Mar07 Nov24 Sep28 Sep03 (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00    
SCR  EXTRA ANEJO Jul22 Jun10 May06 Oct13   (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.20    
 
CD-11   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT-11:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALICIT INTENTION Apr20 Mar17 Feb17     (medina robe)TORRES A 118 3.50    
2  TIME FOR MAGIC Apr12         (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
3  WINE AND WAVES Apr13 Mar03       (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BABY AVERY Apr28 Mar29 Mar08     (vance d)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
5  LETSTALKABOUTME Apr07 Feb29       (green troy)LANERIE J 118 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  SANCTIFY Apr17 Mar06 Feb07 Jan18 Dec30 (holsapple hu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  DEFINING JOY Apr20 Mar30       (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
8  MISCHIEVOUSNESS Mar14 Feb13 Jan18 Dec17 Nov05 (lovell michelle)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.