Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   TRI (2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5)-(2/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-6-2 $12.76 $0.76 6%
CD-4   WIN (11/10/2/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $11.12 $1.12 11%
    TRI (11/10/2/3/8)-(11/10/2/3/8)-(11/10/2/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  2-11-8 $126.01 $96.01 320%
    SFT (11/10/2/3/8)-(11/10/2/3/8)-(11/10/2/3/8)-(11/10/2/3/8) 120 $0.10 $12.00  2-11-8-3 $230.39 $218.39 1820%
CD-5   WIN (5/13/3/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $15.42 $5.42 54%
    EXA (5/13/3/10/8)-(5/13/3/10/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  3-13 $180.54 $140.54 351%
    DD (11/10/2/3/8)-(5/13/3/10/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00  2-3 $67.42 $42.42 170%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  POLITICALLYCORRECT 6 5 1½ 11½   11½ 11¼ (davis christop)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 7% 13.40 1.75 W
  (by VIOLENCE out of HERON WATCH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  I GOT GAME 5 2 31½ 21½   21½ 21¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 7% 13.40 1.98 P
  (by GAME WINNER out of BABY NINA by FLATTER)
2  PREDECESSOR 2 4 43 44½   36 36¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 65% 0.50 3.06 S
  (by TAPIT out of TOBAGO by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  SERGEANT CAPPS 7 7 76 79   69 48 (capps a)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 8.99  
  (by WEST COAST out of PRIVATE ESTATE by PRIVATE TALK)
5  FLYIN PRIVATE 4 6 65½ 57   58½ 59½ (brinkerhoff)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.56  
  (by LAOBAN out of ALL IN WITH ACES by QUIET AMERICAN)
1  ANYTIME ANYWHERE 1 3 2½ 32   47½ 615¾ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 15.82  
  (by HONOR CODE out of QUALITY LASS by CUTLASS)
4  MALEVAJE 3 1 54 67½   711½ 717 (seglin e)RIQUELME J 119 15.00 43.81  
  (by ACCELERATE out of REGAL SONG by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
SCR  MISSILE CRUISER               (brinkerho)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BATTLE GIRL by BATTLE CRY)
SCR  THE TONER               (caramori )TORRES A 119 3.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ULTIMATE SHOPPER by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
CD-2   05/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:113     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  DEFAULT 10 4 31 42½   13 15½ (vaccarezza car)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 33% 2.00 0.81 W
10  CHIQUITA REINA 9 5 42 21   23 25½ (foster eri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 5.45  
9  PERCEPTIVE 8 10 73½ 64   57½ 38½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 4.50 10% 9.30 5.95 S
4  MAYLEN 3 7 63 52½   46 49 (leonard i)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 18.06  
6  ELLIOTT MOON 5 2 53 76   67½ 512¾ (kerrick lacy)CASTANON L 118 30.00 76.02  
5  JOIA RARA 4 1 1½ 11   35 613¼ (caramori edu)TORRES A 118 20.00 48.51  
3  BAINBRIDGE DANCER 2 11 118 118¾   810¼ 714½ (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 124 8.00 32% 2.10 7.01  
12  DICE ARM 11 6 84½ 96¾   1012¾ 816¾ (barnett bob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00 5% 19.00 33.68  
7  LADLE 6 3 2½ 31½   710 917¼ (miller jerome )CHUAN MARTIN 118 20.00 33.30  
8  PEPPERS GIRLFRIEND 7 8 106 86¼   912¼ 1018 (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 10.78  
1  TAPWRIT WARRIOR 1 9 95½ 108¼   1117¼ 1133½ (vasquez germ)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 30.00 92.89  
SCR  MOON FLEET               (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00    
 
CD-3   05/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:114 1:364   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAN IN THE CAN 7 1 21 21 2½ 1½ 1¼ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 ★ 6.84  
2  PHANTOM RIDE 2 4 31½ 31½ 31½ 3½ 2¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 5.00 ★ 3.34 P
4  MASTER GAME 4 3 74½ 75 64½ 43 3½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 12% 7.20 2.67 S
6  OUTLIER 6 5 53 53 53½ 53¼ 43¼ (cash norm)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 20.75  
5  SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) 5 2 11 11 1½ 2½ 55 (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 61% 0.60 4.98  
1  BIRD KING 1 9 97 86½ 87 77¾ 69¼ (londono genevi)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 15.51  
3  ROMAN CENTURIAN 3 7 86 98 98½ 87¾ 710 (shorter a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 12.59  
9  TIWANAKU 9 6 42½ 42½ 42 64¾ 810 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 5% 19.00 4.67  
8  COMMON BOND 8 8 64½ 64 76 98¾ 914¾ (wittek karyn)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 15.81  
 
CD-4   05/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PATRIARCHAL 2 7 64¾ 62¼   1½ 15½ (stall m)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 9% 10.50 4.56 W
11  CHULLIGAN 9 2 41½ 31   32 25½ (beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 39% 1.60 2.30 P
8  WHOLEHEARTEDLY 7 8 86¼ 84¼   84¼ 37¼ (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 23.82 S
3  HALLELUJAH HARRIS 3 9 76¼ 73¾   74¼ 47¼ (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 118 8.00 8% 12.20 18.50  
10  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 8 1 2nk 1nk   2½ 57¾ (barnett bobb)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 4.00 18% 4.70 2.92  
7  ON TAP 6 6 31 2nk   42 68½ (sims phili)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 15.36  
1  THANKS FRANK 1 4 1nk 41½   53½ 79 (vanden be)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 5.13  
6  REMEMBER THE FEAR 5 5 97¼ 97¼   97¼ 810 (catalano way)TORRES A 118 6.00 6.31  
5  COWBOY LUKE 4 3 51¾ 51¾   63¾ 910½ (quartarolo )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 43.40  
SCR  BAULE DEL TESORO               (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00    
SCR  BROTHER RICE               (pino mich)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
 
CD-5   05/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  B SUDD 3 2 2nk 1nk   12 14¼ (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 12.00 13% 6.70 6.71 W
13  PINFIRE 11 6 31 2nk   22 24¼ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 123 6.00 20% 4.10 11.74 P
12  FURIOUS ANGER 10 5 53 64¾   55½ 34¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 123 8.00 4.37  
5  EPIC BATTLE 4 8 85¼ 75¾   66 47¾ (drury thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 29% 2.50 5.95  
2  MOREAU 2 3 63¼ 42¾   45½ 58 (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 6.00 4.76  
10  FUNNY UNCLE 8 10 119¼ 1111   98¼ 68½ (vance d)LANERIE J 123 12.00 9% 9.90 4.00  
9  ONE RED CENT 7 1 1nk 3.2   35 710½ (jazdzewski)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 47.55  
1  BRAZEN BOY 1 4 42 52¾   76¼ 810½ (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00 6.89  
6  ICEATUDE 5 9 106¾ 109½   88¼ 912¼ (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 12.00 30.26  
8  CHRYSO ALOGO 6 11 95¾ 98   1010¼ 1012½ (vasquez s)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00 18.16  
11  VERACRUZIN 9 7 74¾ 86   1111¾ 1117½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 13.34  
SCR  A LA CARTE               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 4.00    
SCR  EXTRA HALO               (granitz anth)TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT STORMY               (minnock wayne)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
 
CD-6   05/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:131 1:25   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  WORK OF FICTION 8 8 53 53 51¾ 12 11¾ (arnold ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00 23.25  
7  DREAMING OF MO 7 2 31½ 31½ 31½ 32½ 21¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 124 5.00 5% 17.80 4.83 P
5  OUR DOTSIE 5 1 85½ 85½ 73¾ 22 31¾ (oliver victori)ORTIZ L 124 15.00 14.98  
2  WINGS LIKE EAGLES 2 12 128¾ 129 105¼ 43 43 (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 124 10.00 14.01  
3  SHE'S ON THE ROCKS 3 3 97 107 83¾ 84½ 55¼ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 9% 10.60 8.58  
12  MIRARI 12 7 2½ 21 2½ 53½ 65½ (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 124 4.00 32% 2.10 4.69  
4  CECILE (IRE) 4 10 118¾ 118½ 115¾ 94¾ 76 (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00 2.56  
1  CANDY BAR 1 4 63½ 63 62¾ 105¼ 87¼ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00 31.28  
11  EMPIRICAL VIEW 11 6 42 42½ 41½ 74½ 97¾ (divito j)SANTANA JR 124 8.00 19.96  
9  PRIVATE CREDIT 9 5 1½ 11 1½ 64 1010½ (reed r)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 5% 19.00 65.48  
10  COCO CRUSH 10 11 75½ 74½ 94¾ 117¼ 1110¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 8.00 28% 2.60 4.96  
6  KILLSHAVE BEAUTY 6 9 107¼ 96½ 126 127¾ 1211 (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 19.80  
SCR  CATMINT               (hiles rick)LANERIE J 124 20.00    
SCR  CONDONE               (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00    
SCR  ESME               (king l)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 30.00    
SCR  HIDDEN CLASS               (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00    
SCR  STUNNINGLY               (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.20    
 
CD-7   05/30/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:093     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EXTRA ANEJO 6 5 21 2½   11 13½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 37% 1.70 2.24 W
3  CALL ME FAST 3 4 64 63¾   53½ 23½ (puhich mike)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 6.44  
5  RAISE CAIN 4 2 42½ 32   32½ 33¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 24% 3.10 7.46 S
6  TRACK MATE 5 7 74¼ 73¾   63½ 44 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 123 5.00 4.65  
1  EYEING CLOVER 1 1 11 1½   21 54½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 21.04  
9  SCOTLAND 7 3 52½ 42   43 64½ (mott william )ORTIZ JR 121 5.00 ★ 1.71  
2  SAFFA'S DAY 2 6 31½ 52¼   79½ 719½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123 15.00 5% 19.00 15.14  
SCR  CONFIDENCE GAME               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
SCR  DREAMING OF KONA               (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 121 20.00    
SCR  OSCAR ECLIPSE               (lynch a)ORTIZ L 121 12.00    
 
CD-8   05/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:133 1:382   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BETTE DAVIS 5 5 52¼ 52 41¾ 2½ 12 (tomlinson mic)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00 8.79  
8  BEAUTY N THE BOLT 7 6 42 41½ 2nk 3½ 22 (delima e)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.50 ★ 4.84 P
9  LOW COUNTRY MAGIC 8 8 73¾ 63 31½ 42 32¾ (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 42% 1.40 3.59 S
2  KRICKLE 2 1 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 43 (holsapple)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 12.32  
4  PLEASESTOPTALKING 4 7 63¼ 73¼ 83¾ 64½ 53¼ (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00 14.68  
1  MILA JUNES 1 3 31 31½ 62¼ 52½ 64¼ (van tho)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 10.00 15.06  
7  THORNY 6 4 85¾ 83¾ 72¾ 76 78½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 31% 2.20 1.43  
3  SEVEN NATTY PATTY 3 2 21 2½ 52¼ 88½ 814½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 8.18  
SCR  SACRED SAINT               (scherer ma)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.