Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - June 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   TRI (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-1-5 $25.79 $13.79 115%
    SFT (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-1-5-6 $10.76 $8.36 348%
CD-3   WIN (10/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.36 $2.36 39%
    EXA (10/4/9)-(10/4/3/13/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-3 $49.90 $25.90 108%
CD-4   WIN (1/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.74 $1.74 22%
    DD (10/4/9)-(1/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-1 $24.06 $12.06 101%
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(10/4/9)-(1/6/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-4-1 $26.53 $8.53 47%
CD-5   WIN (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $12.36 $4.36 55%
    EXA (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-3 $85.56 $61.56 257%
    DD (1/6/3/5)-(6/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-4 $23.84 $7.84 49%
    PK3 (10/4/9)-(1/6/3/5)-(6/4/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-1-4 $58.29 $34.29 143%
    PK4 (3/5/4)-(10/4/9)-(1/6/3/5)-(6/4/7/3) 144 $0.50 $72.00  3-4-1-4 $105.83 $33.83 47%
    PK5 (6/3/1/5)-(3/5/4)-(10/4/9)-(1/6/3/5)-(6/4/7/3) 576 $0.50 $288  3-3-4-1-4 $513.77 $225.77 78%
CD-6   EXA (8/11/9)-(8/11/9/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  11-9 $36.10 $12.10 50%
    TRI (8/11/9)-(8/11/9/4/7)-(8/11/9/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  11-9-7 $43.61 $25.61 142%
    DD (6/4/7/3)-(8/11/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-11 $23.81 $11.81 98%
    PK3 (1/6/3/5)-(6/4/7/3)-(8/11/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-4-11 $46.62 $22.62 94%
CD-7   DD (8/11/9)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  11-7 $12.53 $0.53 4%
    PK3 (6/4/7/3)-(8/11/9)-(1/7/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-11-7 $33.44 $9.44 39%
CD-9   EXA (10/3/2)-(10/3/7/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  10-1 $24.70 $0.70 3%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   06/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:131 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SIXWILLBERICH 3 2 11 1½ 11 11½ 1¾ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 125 2.00 12% 7.60 2.34 W
1  QUEBRANCHO 1 4 31½ 31½ 32 31½ 2¾ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 11% 8.10 2.92 P
5  MASTER OF THE NITE 5 5 21 2½ 21 21½ 31¾ (garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 8.88 S
6  AMERICAN RAIDER 6 3 62¼ 64 54 44 45¼ (santamaria car)ASHTON GAVIN 125 3.50 52% 0.90 2.99  
4  COAL BOSS 4 1 41½ 42 43½ 58½ 515¾ (foley greg)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 5.00 13.29  
7  SKY KEY 7 6 52 52½ 65½ 612 626 (molloy thomas)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 32.51  
2  RIGHT ON TARGET 2 7 72¾ 74 77 716 736¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 3.82  
 
CD-2   06/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:22 :45 :564     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SILVER ROSE 3 2 1½ 2nk   1nk 1¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.40 54% 0.90 0.73 W
1  SISTER KISSES 1 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 2¾ (garcia ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 8.00 11.37  
2  SING A LITTLE SONG 2 4 52½ 43½   32 32¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 10.80  
5  LA LA ROSE 5 6 31½ 32   43 46¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 23% 3.30 2.29  
4  MUSTANG LADY 4 5 63½ 65¾   55½ 59½ (newton tr)LEPAROUX R 123 10.00 5% 19.00 32.14  
6  MARMALADE SKYE 6 3 42½ 53¾   66 610 (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 123 3.00 6.36  
 
CD-3   06/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PURSE THIEF 3 3 32½ 31½   2nk 12¼ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 18% 4.60 3.18 W
  (by CARACARO out of HEY LITTLE SISTER by JUMP START)
3  CONCRETE CRUISER 2 6 54 53½   31½ 22¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 ★ 5.31 P
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of BRILLIANT MISSY by SMART STRIKE)
5  BEIJING BOSS 4 1 1½ 1½   1nk 32¾ (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 17.82  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of SATULAH by GONE WEST)
13  BRERETON'S BAYTOWN 10 10 64½ 42½   42 42¾ (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 3.00 ★ 3.04  
  (by UPSTART out of KIKA by BIRDSTONE)
10  AKINMUSIRE 8 9 106¼ 77   63½ 53½ (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 57% 0.80 1.88  
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of GOTTA B KITTEN ME by LUCKY PULPIT)
6  FINANCIAL WHIZ 5 2 2½ 2½   52½ 67½ (hamilton sarah)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 66.21  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of GATORETTE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
11  TURNBUCKLE 9 8 95¾ 108½   86¾ 78 (hancock dana)LEBRON VICTOR 119 8.00 41.47 DH
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of MOUNTAIN DOVE by POINT OF ENTRY)
9  REB 7 4 75 87½   76½ 78 (fletcher ke)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 33.20 DH
  (by SHANCELOT out of WELL SPUN by HARD SPUN)
7  NO MOR STONES 6 5 44 65   108¾ 914¼ (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 17.28  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of DEBORAH'S MOMENT by LEMON DROP KID)
2  SPIRIT RAGS 1 7 85½ 97½   98¼ 1015¼ (salas fe)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 21.35  
  (by UNION RAGS out of OCTOBER BRIDE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  GALLO DE FUEGO               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SPELLING AGAIN by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  GALPIN SUNDAY               (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 119 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MONTHLY by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  MISBEHAVIN               (andrade hugo)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of CORFE CASTLE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SCR  SERATA SIX               (chapman k)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SWEET TESS by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  SKYNET               (barrett r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of SKY SHAFT by MINESHAFT)
SCR  SWEET FANTASY               (casse mar)TORRES A 119 10.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SWEET JACKIE JO by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
CD-4   06/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  END OF INNOCENCE 1 1 11½ 11   12½ 14¼ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 34% 1.90 3.87 W
2  DESPO'S DREAM 2 4 45½ 57   34½ 24¼ (puhich mik)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 7.33  
3  BOLD APPEAL 3 2 21½ 21   22½ 34½ (moquett ronald)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 10% 8.70 4.13 S
6  PATTY VAN TWINKLE 5 5 57 46½   45 48 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 124 2.00 23% 3.40 0.77  
7  HEDGE THESE BETS 6 6 67 68½   610½ 514 (seglin e)RIQUELME J 124 20.00 51.47  
5  GALADINI 4 3 35 35½   59½ 616¾ (shirer matt )TORRES A 118 6.00 5% 18.40 17.17  
8  SWEET LILIBET 7 7 79½ 711   712½ 719¼ (walsh d)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 17.41  
SCR  SPICEY VALENTINE               (cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00    
 
CD-5   06/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:124 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ELUSIVE TARGET 4 3 42½ 73¼ 51¾ 4¾ 1¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 19% 4.30 5.18 W
3  BLACK POWDER 3 5 21 21 1nk 1nk 2¼ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.08 P
1  PHANTOM RIDE 1 1 31 31 41½ 3.2 3¼ (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 6.00 7.96  
6  INEXORABLE 6 6 74¼ 51¾ 62¼ 51¼ 41½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 5.00 35% 1.90 6.03  
2  BACKGROUND 2 2 11 11 2nk 2nk 51¾ (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 5.56  
7  MASTER GAME 7 7 84¾ 83¼ 73¾ 83¼ 62¾ (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 10% 8.70 9.25  
5  O P FIRECRACKER 5 4 63¼ 62¾ 83¾ 62¾ 73 (medina ro)TORRES A 118 3.00 3.34  
8  PERFECT FLIGHT 8 8 53 41¼ 3½ 72¾ 813 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.17  
 
CD-6   06/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:212 :45 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  LITE IT UP LOUIE 8 2 52½ 21½   2nk 12 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 11% 8.10 2.20 W
9  SHERBET FOUNTAIN 6 4 41½ 11½   1nk 22 (joseph saffi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00 6% 15.80 7.20 P
7  MOTOWN MIKA 4 5 62¾ 43½   33 35¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 ★ 7.04 S
12  QUIERO DINERO 9 7 86¼ 75½   44 47¾ (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 15.00 52.00  
8  VIRASANA 5 8 74¾ 65   55 58¾ (eurton peter)GEROUX FLORENT 123 1.60 61% 0.60 0.89  
4  R QUEEN CANDY 2 6 31½ 55   68 614¼ (van t)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 ★ 18.80  
10  COLLECT A LIL 7 9 911¼ 910¾   812½ 718 (roberson denni)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00 75.43  
3  ALMOND FUDGE 1 3 1½ 33   78½ 822¼ (gowan william)ROCCO S 118 20.00 39.41  
5  DO YOU REALIZE 3 1 2½ 85¾   915 930½ (tooley jen)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00 56.22  
SCR  CRUSHED ICE               (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 123 15.00    
SCR  ICED MOCHA               (werr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 12.00    
SCR  MRS. RIP               (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   06/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :454 1:092     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PURE FORCE 7 1 1½ 1½   13 15 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 1.80 22% 3.50 2.33 W
1  DISCREET MISCHIEF 1 5 77 65½   65½ 25 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.40 42% 1.40 0.67 P
4  EDIFIED 4 6 32 3½   23 35½ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 11.74  
2  RISK IT 2 2 42 41½   33½ 46 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 15% 5.50 6.54  
6  MISSION BEACH 6 7 54 53   54½ 56¼ (sweezey kent)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
5  EPIC BATTLE 5 4 2½ 2½   44 68 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 118 20.00 39.94  
3  MAGIC GRANT 3 3 66½ 710½   713½ 716 (milligan )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 62.30  
 
CD-8   06/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :474 1:114 1:36   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GRAY'S FABLE 2 4 56 54 54 1½ 1½ (stidham mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00 ★ 5.32  
7  RECKONING FORCE 7 2 43 32 32 4¾ 2½ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 15% 5.90 4.82 P
5  GEORGIE W 5 5 11½ 11½ 11½ 3½ 31¾ (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00 28.87  
3  DEER DISTRICT 3 1 21½ 21½ 21½ 2½ 43¼ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 6.00 29% 2.40 2.57  
9  GENTLE SOUL 8 8 811 97¼ 87½ 75¼ 53½ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 15.51  
6  EL KABONG 6 7 79½ 65½ 66 63¾ 65 (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 15.00 9.57  
10  CATHKIN PEAK (IRE) 9 3 33 42 42½ 53¼ 75¼ (moger jr)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.50 33% 2.00 5.99  
1  RISK MANAGER 1 9 911¼ 86¾ 97½ 85¼ 85¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 5.08  
4  AMERICAN DIAMOND 4 6 67½ 75¾ 76½ 95¾ 97½ (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.39  
SCR  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN               (pitts hele)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
SCR  FAIR DINKUM               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00    
SCR  HARLOCAP               (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
SCR  KIGALI               (bauer philip)TORRES A 122 15.00    
SCR  LINCOLN HIGHWAY               (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
SCR  MIRANDA RIGHTS               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
SCR  SCOOBIE QUANDO               (colebrook)TORRES A 122 12.00    
 
CD-9   06/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  UP ON THE EDGE 8 5 42 42½   21 11 (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 70% 0.40 0.94 W
1  GEORGIA ON E'SMIND 1 8 11 11½   11 21 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 ★ 5.11 P
6  QUEEN ANNA T 5 6 21 21½   54 32½ (mckeever andre)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 6.57  
2  NAUGHTY MISS 2 7 73½ 74¾   64¼ 43 (cano mu)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.72  
7  COMPUTADORA (ARG) 6 2 52 32½   32½ 54 (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00 ★ 5.16  
4  CHIQUITA REINA 4 3 62½ 64½   44 64½ (haran john)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 12.00 17.19  
8  BRIGHT LADY DAY 7 1 86 53½   74¼ 75 (jackson chr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 70.40  
3  KATE'S CONCERTO 3 4 31½ 85¼   87¼ 811 (lucas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 40.50  
12  UNION DAME 9 9 96¼ 97¼   911¼ 918¾ (santamaria ca)GARCIA MARTIN 124 15.00 18.00  
SCR  GRACE GIVEN               (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 3.50    
SCR  MIKEY'S MAGIC GAL               (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118 15.00    
SCR  MISS MAXIMUS               (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  OH MACARENA               (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.