Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Monmouth Park
Friday - July 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (8/5/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $12.00 $4.00 50%
    EXA (8/5/10/3)-(8/5/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-8 $14.60 $2.60 22%
    TRI (8/5/10/3)-(8/5/10/3)-(8/5/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-8-10 $19.75 $7.75 65%
    SFT (8/5/10/3)-(8/5/10/3)-(8/5/10/3)-(8/5/10/3) 24 $0.10 $2.40  5-8-10-3 $20.45 $18.05 752%
MTH-2   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.40 $2.40 40%
MTH-3   EXA (10/1/5)-(10/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  10-5 $12.20 $6.20 103%
MTH-4   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00  2 $3.20 $1.20 60%
MTH-7   WIN (1/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $8.60 $0.60 8%
Simulator Race results
 
MTH-1   07/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($59.375K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:141     1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DUCHESS OF DESTIN 4 2 21 22 1nk 12½ 12 (falcone n)BRAVO J 123 3.00 26% 2.90 5.00 W
  (by DESTIN out of LOU DOCTOR LOU by QUIET AMERICAN)
8  AUTUMN'S TURN 6 5 42½ 32 33 33 22 (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 119 1.40 30% 2.40 0.50 P
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
10  ROCKY SEAS 7 3 11 12 2nk 22½ 37¼ (owens edd)CAMACHO JR 123 5.00 21% 3.80 4.30 S
  (by SEA WIZARD out of DISCREETLY ROCKIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
3  LILY THE KID 3 1 56 67 49 49 415 (grullo)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00 53.50  
  (by ALI out of WAYTOOEASY by WILL'S WAY)
1  ME SO LUCKY 1 6 68½ 55½ 59½ 512 520 (carango)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 20.00 77.80  
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of CANDIDE by BERNSTEIN)
6  FIRST REIGN 5 4 31½ 43 615½ 622 641¼ (sweezey kent)JUAREZ NIK 123 5.00 17.70  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of BY THE LEE by MIZZEN MAST)
2  SUMMER FLOWER 2 7 7100 7100 7100 7100 7100 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 114 10.00 8.20  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of PHALEONOPSIS by SIPHON (BRZ))
SCR  BINGO'S ESPRESSO               (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 119 6.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of ENGLISH SARAH by ST AVERIL)
SCR  GYPSY STYLE               (carango )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HITCHIN by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  LADY TRIXMEISTER               (harris holly)MOYA F 123 12.00    
  (by TRICKMEISTER out of FINE FELINE by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
MTH-2   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:22 :451 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOVELY CHARM 3 6 57½ 56   33½ 12¼ (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 2.00 46% 1.20 3.20 W
2  GOLDRUSH HOTTIE 2 4 11½ 11½   12½ 22¼ (magee kieron)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 3.70  
6  MADE BIRDIE 6 1 611½ 68   55 34¼ (gonzalez )VARGAS A 117 8.00 5% 19.00 22.90 S
5  UTOPIA ROSE 5 2 21½ 21½   22½ 46 (spina charles)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.00 23% 3.30 1.00  
1  FOOLISH CHALLENGE 1 5 44½ 33½   44½ 56¼ (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00 18.80  
4  HEIROZAN 4 3 32 46   69 616½ (pompay terri)JARA FERNANDO 112 4.00 4.30  
 
MTH-3   07/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($22K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:124 1:381   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  RHUMJAR 6 4 22 21 1nk 16 18¼ (gonzalez a)BRAVO J 119 3.50 35% 1.90 0.60 W
5  PRINCE OF JOY 2 1 34½ 33 3½ 36½ 28¼ (legal)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00 5% 19.00 15.90 P
6  CASTAGNO 3 3 55 54 43 26 39½ (gallegos jose )RENDON JAIRO 121 6.00    
8  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) 5 5 67½ 66 54½ 610½ 413¾ (serey j)JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00 13.90  
1  PORCH SWING 1 6 12 11 2nk 49 513¾ (serey mario )LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 10.00 34% 1.90 2.20  
7  KING RAMOS 4 2 45 43½ 64¾ 510 617½ (o'connell kath)COTTO L 119 15.00 5.80  
SCR  CITIZEN K               (gomez pompey)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50    
SCR  HIGH TIDE               (atras rob)VARGAS A 121 2.50    
SCR  MAJESTIC EAGLE               (jacobson davi)IORIO MELISSA 115 4.50    
SCR  MOHS               (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00    
 
MTH-4   07/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:14 1:393   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CUMBERLAND BLUES 1 2 21 21 1½ 12 13¼ (potts wayne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.80 32% 2.10 0.60 W
4  MCMAGIC 2 1 34 44 31 22 23¼ (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 10.00 7.20  
6  GONNA BE EPIC 4 3 45 33½ 44½ 46 35¾ (potts wa)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 ★ 3.20 S
5  RASCALLY REBEL 3 4 11 11 2½ 35 46¼ (serey jr)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 3.40  
SCR  ELEVENMONTHSLATER               (bedard alan)OLVER MADISON 116 20.00    
SCR  PRINS FIRE               (serey mario )LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 8.00    
SCR  PUDGE BOY PALACE               (mcmahon i)JUAREZ NIK 121 1.60    
 
MTH-5   07/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:134 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  IT'S GOODTOBE JOSE 5 4 21 2½ 2nk 17 119¾ (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00 3.70  
9  WHAT'S GOOD 6 1 42 41½ 32 38 219¾ (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50 32% 2.10 1.80 P
1  PAUCILOQUENT 1 2 11 1½ 1nk 27 322 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 15.00 14.30  
3  HIPATIA 2 3 32 31½ 42½ 410 423¼ (harris holly)OLVER MADISON 115 30.00 17.00  
7  ARMONIA 4 6 54 53½ 53½ 510½ 527¼ (avila carl)OLIVERO A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
6  SISTER NELL 3 5 65½ 64 64 616½ 645½ (jimenez jose )JARA FERNANDO 121 4.00 24% 3.20 1.70  
SCR  COLLECTIVE GOLD               (brown ho)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 6.00    
SCR  SINGLEBERYLBOURBON               (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00    
SCR  SMART RED               (captan bassam)IORIO MELISSA 114 20.00    
SCR  WISH LIST               (terranova john)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50    
 
MTH-6   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BULLET ON TAP 5 3 33 2nk   12 1¾ (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 8.00 10.80  
7  WAIT A SEC 6 2 21 32   22 2¾ (hernandez enri)AGUILAR JEAN 117 6.00 17% 5.00 5.70 P
3  ROSE E HOLIDAY 3 5 69 67   56½ 35½ (hernandez jo)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00 29% 2.40 1.30 S
5  MISS CASEY 4 4 55 55   46 46½ (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 29% 2.40 1.70  
2  CUPIDS GIRL 2 6 45 44½   67 57¾ (potts wa)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 8.80  
8  PEACH BE WITH Q 7 1 11 1nk   34 68¼ (brown ho)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 10.00 14.50  
1  OUR LITTLE TIGER 1 7 79¼ 710   712 712 (penaloza mi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 10.00 5% 19.00 33.00  
SCR  CHLOE ROSE               (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 4.00    
SCR  MATOULA               (serey mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 114 15.00    
 
MTH-7   07/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:113 1:374   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ANTIGRAVITY 4 3 42 42 2nk 1nk 1¼ (ward dan)BRAVO J 121 4.50 13% 6.80 3.30 W
8  YOUR ANALYSIS 6 5 53 52½ 3½ 2nk 2¼ (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50 3.40  
1  JUST CALL RAY 1 4 31 31 51¾ 32 33½ (atras rob)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 33% 2.00 1.40 S
3  ROCKET AND ROLL 2 1 11 1½ 1nk 42¼ 44¾ (chatterpaul naip)JUAREZ NIK 121 12.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
4  AMERICAN LAW 3 2 21 2½ 4¾ 52¾ 55¼ (breen j)RENDON JAIRO 121 5.00 10.90  
7  ALTERNATE REALITY 5 6 74¼ 63 62¼ 63¼ 65½ (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 8.00 14.70  
9  SITTIN ON GO 7 7 64 73½ 75¼ 76¼ 77 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 116 5.00 22% 3.60 6.60  
SCR  AMATTEROFTIME               (ramirez )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 10.00    
SCR  GOOD JUJU               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
 
MTH-8   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:22
See original race card.
:22 :462 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BRIGHT KOHANA 2 5 25 2½   11 11 (perez rupert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.50 49% 1.00 1.50 W
5  S K MOON 5 3 39 32½   21 21 (pantaleo jo)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 4.00 5% 19.00 1.00 P
3  SHE'S FANTASTIC 3 1 49 44   34 37¾ (gonzalez)HERNANDEZ J 117 6.00 19.30  
1  GOLD ALLIANCE 1 2 15 1½   48 422¾ (einhorn kim)JUAREZ NIK 119 3.00 21% 3.90 7.50  
4  WELLTON GIRL 4 4 511 59   513 522¾ (ortega leopo)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.00 4.80  
SCR  JAMS TOP SHELF               (jenning)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
SCR  SARAH'S DIALED IN               (dini mike)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.