Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - July 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (8/5/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/10/3)-(8/5/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/10/3)-(8/5/10/3)-(8/5/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (10/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/1/5)-(10/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/1/5)-(10/1/5)-(10/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-4   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/6) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MTH-5   WIN (9/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/7)-(9/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/6/7)-(9/6/7)-(9/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (5/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (1/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/3)-(1/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/3)-(1/9/5/3)-(1/9/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($59.375K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ME SO LUCKY Apr03 Mar12 Jan08 Dec26 Nov20 (carango)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of CANDIDE by BERNSTEIN)
2  SUMMER FLOWER Jun16 May18 Feb17 Jan28 Dec15 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 114 10.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of PHALEONOPSIS by SIPHON (BRZ))
3  LILY THE KID Jun28 Jun16 May18 Nov02 Oct25 (grullo)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALI out of WAYTOOEASY by WILL'S WAY)
SCR  GYPSY STYLE Jul06 Jun16 May18     (carango )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HITCHIN by DIXIE UNION)
5  DUCHESS OF DESTIN Jun08 Oct21 Sep15 Aug27 Jul21 (falcone n)BRAVO J 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by DESTIN out of LOU DOCTOR LOU by QUIET AMERICAN)
6  FIRST REIGN Jun15 Jun08 Sep15 Aug27 Jul21 (sweezey kent)JUAREZ NIK 123 5.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of BY THE LEE by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  LADY TRIXMEISTER Jun21 Jun08 Oct13 Sep15 Aug27 (harris holly)MOYA F 123 12.00    
  (by TRICKMEISTER out of FINE FELINE by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  AUTUMN'S TURN Jun21 Jun02 May18 Apr07 Mar10 (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 119 1.40 30% 2.40    
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
SCR  BINGO'S ESPRESSO         (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 119 6.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of ENGLISH SARAH by ST AVERIL)
10  ROCKY SEAS Jun16 Aug20 Jul21 Jun09 May20 (owens edd)CAMACHO JR 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of DISCREETLY ROCKIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
 
MTH-2   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOLISH CHALLENGE Jun01 May11       (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
2  GOLDRUSH HOTTIE May09 Apr26 Apr07 Mar15 Jul09 (magee kieron)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50    
3  LOVELY CHARM Jun13 May25 Apr10 Mar26 Feb24 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 2.00 46% 1.20    
4  HEIROZAN Jun01 Mar29 Jan17     (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 112 4.00    
5  UTOPIA ROSE Jun01 May26 Sep02 Jul29 Jul15 (spina charles)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
6  MADE BIRDIE Jun30 Jun15 May25 May19 Apr23 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-3   07/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($22K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PORCH SWING Jun15 May25 May12 May03 Apr19 (serey mario )LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 10.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  MAJESTIC EAGLE Jun23 Jun08 May26 May11 Apr06 (jacobson davi)IORIO MELISSA 115 4.50    
SCR  HIGH TIDE Jul05 May26 Apr14 Mar10 Feb08 (atras rob)VARGAS A 121 2.50    
SCR  CITIZEN K May25 Apr14 Mar16 Feb22 Jan05 (gomez pompey)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50    
5  PRINCE OF JOY May25 May17 Apr26 Apr14 Mar24 (legal)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  CASTAGNO Jun01 May04 Feb24 Feb10 Dec22 (gallegos jose )RENDON JAIRO 121 6.00    
7  KING RAMOS May25 May04 Mar13 Feb14 Jan27 (o'connell kath)COTTO L 119 15.00    
8  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Jun28 May25 May11 Apr27 Apr19 (serey j)JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00    
SCR  MOHS Jun22 Apr07 Mar01 Feb03 Dec24 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00    
10  RHUMJAR Jun08 May27 Apr24 Mar12 Feb23 (gonzalez a)BRAVO J 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
 
MTH-4   07/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELEVENMONTHSLATER Jun30 Jun15 May14 Apr23 Apr01 (bedard alan)OLVER MADISON 116 20.00    
2  CUMBERLAND BLUES Jun28 May18 Sep22 Aug03 Jul21 (potts wayne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.80 32% 2.10    
SCR  PUDGE BOY PALACE Jun01 Oct20 Oct05 Sep04 Aug11 (mcmahon i)JUAREZ NIK 121 1.60    
4  MCMAGIC Jun28 Jun15 Jun01 May11 Apr10 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 10.00    
5  RASCALLY REBEL Jun30 Jun23 Jun02 May26 May12 (serey jr)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
6  GONNA BE EPIC Jun28 May26 May11 Apr27 Apr19 (potts wa)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  PRINS FIRE Jun22 Jun01 May18 May11 Apr26 (serey mario )LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 8.00    
 
MTH-5   07/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAUCILOQUENT Jun27 May17 Mar22 Mar15 Feb18 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 15.00    
SCR  SINGLEBERYLBOURBON Jun28 Jun09 May18 Oct06 Sep15 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00    
3  HIPATIA Jun28 Jun08 May18 Apr19 Apr10 (harris holly)OLVER MADISON 115 30.00    
SCR  WISH LIST Jun15 May25 Apr20 Dec14 Oct28 (terranova john)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50    
SCR  COLLECTIVE GOLD Jun28 Jun15 Jan30 Jan09 Nov13 (brown ho)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 6.00    
6  SISTER NELL Jun28 Jun15 Apr06 Mar17 Feb21 (jimenez jose )JARA FERNANDO 121 4.00 24% 3.20    
7  ARMONIA Jun15 May03 Apr21 Apr14 Mar30 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  IT'S GOODTOBE JOSE Jun16 Apr28 Mar27 Mar17 Feb02 (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
9  WHAT'S GOOD Jun15 Apr06 Mar17 Feb22 Feb08 (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  SMART RED Oct06 Sep04 Jul15 Jun30 Jun02 (captan bassam)IORIO MELISSA 114 20.00    
 
MTH-6   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR LITTLE TIGER Jun29 Jun15 May25 May01 Apr12 (penaloza mi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CUPIDS GIRL Jun21 May25 May09 Apr04 Mar01 (potts wa)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
3  ROSE E HOLIDAY Jun15 Feb11 Jan18 Dec24 Dec14 (hernandez jos)IORIO MELISSA 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  MATOULA Jun29 Jun15 May25 Apr06 Mar15 (serey mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 114 15.00    
5  MISS CASEY Jun29 Jun22 Apr24 Apr02 Mar04 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
6  BULLET ON TAP Jun21 Apr30 Apr22 Apr02 Mar13 (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
7  WAIT A SEC Jun21 Jun08 May26 Apr17 Mar30 (hernandez enri)AGUILAR JEAN 117 6.00 17% 5.00    
8  PEACH BE WITH Q Jun18 May18 Apr30 Mar25 Mar07 (brown ho)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 10.00    
SCR  CHLOE ROSE Jul02 May28 May13 Apr17 Mar27 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 4.00    
 
MTH-7   07/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST CALL RAY Jun01 Mar29 Mar16 Feb16 Feb03 (atras rob)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  AMATTEROFTIME Jun23 Jun09 Sep04 Aug27 Jul23 (ramirez )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 10.00    
3  ROCKET AND ROLL Jul05 Jun27 May26 May11 Apr25 (chatterpaul naip)JUAREZ NIK 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  AMERICAN LAW Jun22 May25 May11 Mar30 Feb10 (breen j)RENDON JAIRO 121 5.00    
5  ANTIGRAVITY Jun23 Jun01 May25 Nov11 Oct01 (ward dan)BRAVO J 121 4.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  GOOD JUJU Jul05 May16 Feb18 Dec30 Nov24 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
7  ALTERNATE REALITY Jul05 May19 Mar30 Mar16 Mar01 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 8.00    
8  YOUR ANALYSIS Jul05 Jun19 Mar30 Mar10 Jan31 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50    
9  SITTIN ON GO May10 Apr21 Mar30 Mar07 Jan27 (jacobson davi)IORIO MELISSA 116 5.00 22% 3.60    
 
MTH-8   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD ALLIANCE Jun21 May26 Jul15 Jul02   (einhorn kim)JUAREZ NIK 119 3.00 21% 3.90    
2  BRIGHT KOHANA Jun09 May26 Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 (perez rupert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.50 49% 1.00    
3  SHE'S FANTASTIC Jun22 Jun14 May25 Jul29 Jun22 (gonzalez)HERNANDEZ J 117 6.00    
4  WELLTON GIRL Jun21 May26 Sep02 Aug13 Jul14 (ortega leopo)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.00    
5  S K MOON Jul06 Jun22 Jun09 May29 May06 (pantaleo jo)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JAMS TOP SHELF Jun22 Jul30 Jun18 May27 Nov17 (jenning)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
SCR  SARAH'S DIALED IN May13 Oct08 Aug18     (dini mike)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.