Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Friday - July 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $9.10 $3.10 52%
BAQ-4   WIN (2/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $8.80 $0.80 10%
    EXA (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-1 $47.00 $35.00 292%
BAQ-6   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $9.80 $3.80 63%
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-8 $34.25 $25.25 281%
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/8/7)-(6/5/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00  7-8-5 $81.62 $72.62 807%
BAQ-9   WIN (6/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $31.20 $23.20 290%
    EXA (6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-6 $55.00 $39.00 244%
    TRI (6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/2/8)-(6/5/1/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00  5-6-1 $161.25 $137.25 572%
    DD (6/3/4/2)-(6/5/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-5 $23.70 $7.70 48%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   07/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APRIL ANTICS 4 5 5 5   21 1½ (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 26% 2.90 3.55 W
TRADE SECRET 3 2 21 2½   11 2½ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 0.95  
1A  DIVA BANKER 6 6 3 4   35 313¾ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 3.75  
SLACK TIDE 2 1 42 3   47 417 (reynolds p)RIVERA R 118 4.00 23% 3.40 5.80  
GRINGOTTS 1 4 6 6   610 519 (samsundar rosh)LUZZI J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
BEAUTIFUL KAREN 5 3 11 1½   58 626 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 3.75  
SCR  MY FIRST LOVE               (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00    
 
BAQ-2   07/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:112     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEHANAH 6 2 31 31   32 1 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 12.50  
DANCING LIANA 7 3 11 1nk   1 2 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 30% 2.30 8.20 P
WELCOME BACK BABE 8 1 21 2nk   2 3 (nevin michell)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 0.75 S
MONTAUK MYSTIQUE 2 4 63 6   4 47 (miceli michael)DAVIS KATIE 124 10.00 32.25  
ANNIEWORKSTOOMUCH 5 5 5 5   5 510¾ (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 40% 1.50 3.30  
NOBLE DISGUISE 1 8 88 8   610½ 613½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 8.50  
TERESA 4 7 76 7   712½ 720 (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 18.00  
MAXING THE BANK 3 6 42 4   814½ 823 (parker j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 20.00 34.50  
 
BAQ-3   07/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:12 1:35   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAROS 1 5 4 53 53 3 1nk (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 3.45  
KURAMATA (IRE) 4 4 3 3 31 2½ 2nk (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 66% 0.50 1.40 P
SO HIGH (GB) 3 3 1½ 11 11 1½ 3¾ (chatterpa)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 3.50 3.20  
HIGH TIDE 5 6 6 6 64 53 44 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 12% 7.60 3.50  
ROCKET AND ROLL 6 1 2½ 21 21 4 5 (chatterpaul)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 32.75  
TIBERIUS MERCURIUS 2 2 5 43 42 6 6 (potts wayne)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
SCR  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES               (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  COLLOQUY               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 118 4.50    
SCR  DIGITAL               (potts wayne)RIDER TBA 118 3.00    
SCR  LANDBISCUIT               (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
SCR  SKYLANDER               (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
 
BAQ-4   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:214 :443 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHT MAN 5 2 32 3   3 1 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 21% 3.90 3.40 W
KINGDOM 1 1 1 1   1 2 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 16.80 P
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND 3 3 2 2   2 3 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 4.60  
M B'S MUNNING 6 5 5 56   56 4 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 122 12.00 9.40  
TOXIC GRAY 4 4 4 4   45 55 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.50 22% 3.50 2.20  
WHAT'S UP BRO 2 6 6 68   6 6 (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 2.50 29% 2.50 2.05  
SCR  CHILENO               (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
 
BAQ-5   07/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:113 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LISTER 1 6 31 21 2½ 1 1 (pringle )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 5.00 4.70  
WITHIN VIEW 4 1 5 58 3 3 2 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 5% 19.00 10.70 P
ISOMARSHALL 9 4 7 711½ 411 4 35 (keithan rac)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 18.30  
AWESOME FORCE 3 3 11 11 1½ 2 4 (diprima )GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 6.00 6.40  
WAFLR 7 7 67 69 612 6 56 (donk david)RIVERA R 125 5.00 5.90  
JANSSEN 5 2 21 3 511 57 67 (lakeman andrew)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 67% 0.50 1.70  
TWO JAY'S WAY 2 10 911½ 1015½ 1017½ 814 7 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 8% 10.80 11.90  
IN MY SHADOW 6 8 1012 915½ 713 711 811¼ (marti)HERNANDEZ OMAR 125 20.00 52.75  
MALIBU MARGARITA 8 9 810 814½ 916 916½ 915¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.50 10.90  
10  PERNO 10 5 42 47 813½ 1019 1027 (giddings melan)LUZZI J 118 12.00 17.50  
SCR  BARRON'S BOUNCE               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
SCR  IRIE MAN               (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   07/05/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:214 :45 :564     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S OUR TIZ 7 2 42 3½   1½ 1 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.90 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of TIZSOMETHINGROYAL by TIZWAY)
CARA'S DREAMWEAVER 8 4 7 74   63 2 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 13.10 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
TAHILA 5 7 6 52   41 3 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 24% 3.20 6.30 S
  (by UNION RAGS out of CUCCIDATI by STREET CRY (IRE))
RAD LLAMA 1 5 31 41   52 4 (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 3.30  
  (by NYQUIST out of BRAND NEW GAME by FIRST SAMURAI)
SLIGHTLY BUSY 6 1 21 2½   3½ 5 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 30% 2.30 1.95  
  (by MUNNINGS out of MAGIC MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
MISS C BANKER 2 3 11 1½   2½ 65 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 5.80  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of GALE STORM by DENMAN (AUS))
HORSEPLAY 4 6 5 6   74 7 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 19.80  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of HOT LIAISON by LIAISON)
LOOKIN TO ROCK 3 8 86 8   88 8 (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00 57.25  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SARAH'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  ARANCIATA               (delgado jorg)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ANNIE WALKER by WAR CHANT)
 
BAQ-7   07/05/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:13 1:364   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONEGAL FOREVER 7 4 52 4 4 1nk 1¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 3.65  
POWER SEEKER 4 1 1½ 2nk 1nk 31 2¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 37% 1.70 4.70 P
PERFORM 5 3 2½ 1nk 3.2 2nk 3¾ (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 17% 4.80 3.30 S
MISTICAL CURLIN 2 7 3 3½ 2nk 4 4 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00 15% 5.90 1.95  
ARCHIE THE GIZA 1 2 4 5 5 5 512½ (medina robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 4.90  
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 3 6 6 6 7 712¾ 616½ (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 20.40  
ALTERNATE REALITY 6 5 75 7 6 612¼ 717 (chatterpaul nai)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 46.75  
SCR  CURLIN'S WISDOM               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
 
BAQ-8   07/05/2024 7260ft DIRT RC13 FAST Brooklyn Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:14 1:374 2:014 2:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEXT 6 2½ 21 2½ 2½ 1 1 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 0.80 34% 1.90 0.45 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BAHIA BEACH by AWESOME AGAIN)
CRUPI 3 76 7 66 5 3 2 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 31% 2.20 4.60 P
  (by CURLIN out of DON'TFORGETABOUTME by MALIBU MOON)
DRAKE'S PASSAGE 5 1½ 11 1½ 1½ 2 3 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 3.70  
  (by TONALIST out of RAUCOUS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MASQUEPARADE 4 52 4 3 3 410 414¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 9% 9.60 23.70  
  (by UPSTART out of CRY WAR EAGLE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
DAI VERNON 2 4 52 52 45 513 514¾ (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 37.75  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CHARLADORA by SCAT DADDY)
SPENCER'S BOY LUNA 7 6 66 7 713½ 725 628¼ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00 66.50  
  (by ALTERNATION out of PARIS GIRL by PULPIT)
LURE HIM IN 1 3 3 42 610 623 734¼ (joseph saffie )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 25.75  
  (by KHOZAN out of ALLURING LADY by INDYGO SHINER)
 
BAQ-9   07/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:122 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISLAND FOX 5 5 32 33 22 2nk 1¼ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 18% 4.50 14.60 W
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of I DAZZLE by HOLD THAT TIGER)
SUMMER WHIRL 6 6 9 8 7 44 2¼ (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 54% 0.80 1.50 P
  (by ARROGATE out of SUMMER SHADE by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
AUTUMN 1 10 11 1 12 1nk 3¾ (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 124 4.50 5% 19.00 6.50 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SAMSATIONAL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SHE'S A NATURAL 3 8 7 65 44 3 4 (sciacca gary)VAZQUEZ A 124 20.00 60.50  
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
BOBBY M'S GIRL 8 1 42 5 5 7 5 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 5% 19.00 19.70  
  (by SKY MESA out of DANIELLE'S PRIDE by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY 2 9 10 11 9 8 6 (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 3.65  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of REACHFORTHEHEAVENS by PULPIT)
12  LADY LAOBAN 12 2 21 2 3 6 77 (duggan p)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 16.30  
  (by LAOBAN out of LA MOUSSE by VISION AND VERSE)
DANCE ON AIR 9 4 63 7 66 5 8 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 18.90  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of VALENTINES ROMANCE by ARCH)
SAINTE CHAPELLE 7 12 129 1211¾ 1110½ 10 9 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 5.60  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DIVINE LUCK by LUCKY NORTH)
ADDAGIRL ADDIE 4 7 11 109 1010 9 109 (davis robbi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 23.90  
  (by DESTIN out of DASH DOT DASH by NORTH TOWER)
11  LONCHURA 11 3 8 98 89 1113¾ 1114 (barrera os)RIVERA R 118 30.00 64.50  
  (by TONALIST out of MADOFFWITHTHECASH by DIXIE UNION)
10  SAVANNAH DANCER 10 11 5 4 1212 1228¾ 1234¾ (metivier)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 50.00 ######  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of ROYAL'S LASS by SMARTY JONES)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.