Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - July 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(5/7/4)-(5/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4/8)-(5/7/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(5/6/2)-(2/4/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(2/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(2/4/5/1)-(5/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (2/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1)-(2/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/1)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/1)-(5/2/4)-(6/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/7/4/8)-(5/2/7/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(6/5/7)-(4/5/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(4/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(4/5/2/3)-(6/3/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (4/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/3)-(6/3/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/3)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/5/1/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (6/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/2)-(6/5/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (6/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/2/8)-(6/5/1/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   07/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL KAREN May16 Jan05 Dec14 Sep28 Aug20 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00    
1A  DIVA BANKER May25 Apr13 Apr04 Feb10 Jan11 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
2  GRINGOTTS Jun21 May25 May10 Apr21 Apr04 (samsundar rosh)LUZZI J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SLACK TIDE Jun21 Apr14 Mar15 Feb23 Feb10 (reynolds p)RIVERA R 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  MY FIRST LOVE Jun21 May05 Apr18 Apr04 Mar15 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00    
5  TRADE SECRET Jun21 May25 Apr13 Mar22 Mar08 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80    
6  APRIL ANTICS Apr04 Mar15 Feb19 Jan28 Dec31 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 26% 2.90    
 
BAQ-2   07/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE DISGUISE Jun14         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00    
2  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE May26 Apr27 Mar21 Mar02 Feb02 (miceli michael)DAVIS KATIE 124 10.00    
3  MAXING THE BANK Feb17 Feb02 Jan07 Dec08 Oct26 (parker j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 20.00    
4  TERESA May16 Apr27 Apr18 Mar21 Feb11 (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ANNIEWORKSTOOMUCH         (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
6  SHEHANAH Jun20 May04 Apr06     (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50    
7  DANCING LIANA May18 Mar28 Mar03     (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 30% 2.30    
8  WELCOME BACK BABE Jun16 May25 Mar22 Feb10   (nevin michell)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 ★    
 
BAQ-3   07/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAROS Jun15 May10 Jul07 May13 Apr27 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
2  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS May18 Mar23 Feb17 Dec30 Dec02 (potts wayne)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SO HIGH (GB) Jun23 Jun06 May11 Apr26 Dec03 (chatterpa)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 3.50    
SCR  LANDBISCUIT May26 May12 Apr26 Oct28 Oct06 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
5  KURAMATA (IRE) May26 Apr26 Mar15 Jan01 Sep21 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 66% 0.50    
6  HIGH TIDE May26 Apr14 Mar10 Feb08 Jan11 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 12% 7.60    
7  ROCKET AND ROLL Jun27 May26 May11 Apr25 Apr07 (chatterpaul)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
SCR  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Apr26 Mar30 Feb29 Feb04 Dec03 (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  DIGITAL May18 Apr25 Apr06 Jan26 Dec09 (potts wayne)RIDER TBA 118 3.00    
SCR  COLLOQUY May26 Apr26 Apr07 Mar17 Feb17 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 118 4.50    
SCR  SKYLANDER Jun21 May25 Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
 
BAQ-4   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGDOM Apr12 Mar15 Feb10 Dec17 Dec01 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  WHAT'S UP BRO Mar29 Mar10 Feb16 Jan01 Dec10 (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
3  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Apr28 Apr12 Mar10 Feb09 Jan14 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
4  TOXIC GRAY Jun08 May11 Apr13 Mar05 Feb11 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
5  LIGHT MAN May17 Feb29 Jan27 Jul17   (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 21% 3.90    
6  M B'S MUNNING May20 Apr28 Mar24 Mar09 Feb10 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 122 12.00    
SCR  CHILENO Mar29 Sep02 Aug20 Aug12 Jul13 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00    
 
BAQ-5   07/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A LISTER Jun22 May03 Mar21 Mar03 Feb10 (pringle )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 5.00    
2  TWO JAY'S WAY         (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 8% 10.80    
3  AWESOME FORCE Jun09 Jul01 May19 May06 Apr14 (diprima )GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 6.00    
4  WITHIN VIEW Jun14 May17 Apr11 Mar10 Feb02 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  JANSSEN May19 Apr19 Apr11 Mar08 Jan18 (lakeman andrew)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 67% 0.50    
6  IN MY SHADOW Jun22 May25 Aug06 Jul03 May19 (marti)HERNANDEZ OMAR 125 20.00    
7  WAFLR Jun22 May19 Mar09 Feb18 Jan26 (donk david)RIVERA R 125 5.00 ★    
8  MALIBU MARGARITA May12 Apr11 Mar14 Jan13 Dec17 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.50 ★    
9  ISOMARSHALL Jun22 Feb25 Feb04     (keithan rac)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
10  PERNO May17 Apr26 Mar24 Feb17 Jan07 (giddings melan)LUZZI J 118 12.00    
SCR  BARRON'S BOUNCE May17 Apr27 Apr12 Mar10 Feb25 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
SCR  IRIE MAN May25 May10 Apr19 Mar16 Feb18 (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   07/05/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAD LLAMA         (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of BRAND NEW GAME by FIRST SAMURAI)
2  MISS C BANKER         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of GALE STORM by DENMAN (AUS))
3  LOOKIN TO ROCK         (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SARAH'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  HORSEPLAY         (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of HOT LIAISON by LIAISON)
5  TAHILA         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CUCCIDATI by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  SLIGHTLY BUSY         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MAGIC MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  SHE'S OUR TIZ         (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of TIZSOMETHINGROYAL by TIZWAY)
8  CARA'S DREAMWEAVER         (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
SCR  ARANCIATA         (delgado jorg)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ANNIE WALKER by WAR CHANT)
 
BAQ-7   07/05/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARCHIE THE GIZA May27 Apr20 Mar14 Feb02 Jan05 (medina robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00    
2  MISTICAL CURLIN May19 Apr06 Mar09 Nov30 Nov05 (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00 15% 5.90    
3  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Jun07 May12 Apr26 Mar22 Mar09 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  POWER SEEKER May19 Apr20 Mar30 Feb23 Feb02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
5  PERFORM Jun07 May19 Jul21 May20 Apr15 (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
6  ALTERNATE REALITY May19 Mar30 Mar16 Mar01 Feb25 (chatterpaul nai)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00    
7  DONEGAL FOREVER Jun07 May01 Mar30 Feb18 Jun17 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50    
SCR  CURLIN'S WISDOM May09 Mar21 Dec29 Oct29 May29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
 
BAQ-8   07/05/2024 7260ft DIRT RC13 FAST Brooklyn Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LURE HIM IN May27 Mar30 Feb17 Jan20 Dec30 (joseph saffie )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of ALLURING LADY by INDYGO SHINER)
2  DAI VERNON May01 Apr14 Feb17 Nov17 Sep24 (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CHARLADORA by SCAT DADDY)
3  CRUPI Jun08 Jan27 Dec31 Nov03 Sep23 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by CURLIN out of DON'TFORGETABOUTME by MALIBU MOON)
4  MASQUEPARADE Jun08 May01 Mar29 Feb09 Sep21 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 9% 9.60    
  (by UPSTART out of CRY WAR EAGLE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
5  DRAKE'S PASSAGE Jun09 May04 Dec17 Oct29 Oct06 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
  (by TONALIST out of RAUCOUS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  NEXT May01 Sep23 Jul27 Jun10 May03 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 0.80 34% 1.90    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BAHIA BEACH by AWESOME AGAIN)
7  SPENCER'S BOY LUNA Apr12 Mar02 Jan18 Dec20 Nov07 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of PARIS GIRL by PULPIT)
 
BAQ-9   07/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTUMN Jun08 Apr25 Mar22 Jul29 May27 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SAMSATIONAL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY Nov02 Sep15       (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 ★    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of REACHFORTHEHEAVENS by PULPIT)
3  SHE'S A NATURAL Jun14 Apr21 Apr14 Mar22 Feb24 (sciacca gary)VAZQUEZ A 124 20.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
4  ADDAGIRL ADDIE Jun14 May04 Apr06 Mar07   (davis robbi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
  (by DESTIN out of DASH DOT DASH by NORTH TOWER)
5  ISLAND FOX Apr14         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of I DAZZLE by HOLD THAT TIGER)
6  SUMMER WHIRL Jun06         (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 54% 0.80    
  (by ARROGATE out of SUMMER SHADE by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
7  SAINTE CHAPELLE Nov17 Sep24       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DIVINE LUCK by LUCKY NORTH)
8  BOBBY M'S GIRL Jun08         (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of DANIELLE'S PRIDE by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
9  DANCE ON AIR May24         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of VALENTINES ROMANCE by ARCH)
10  SAVANNAH DANCER Jun14 May04 Feb24     (metivier)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 50.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of ROYAL'S LASS by SMARTY JONES)
11  LONCHURA Jun06 Feb11 Jul09 May28 May11 (barrera os)RIVERA R 118 30.00    
  (by TONALIST out of MADOFFWITHTHECASH by DIXIE UNION)
12  LADY LAOBAN Jun08 Nov17 Aug27 Jul29 Jun03 (duggan p)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of LA MOUSSE by VISION AND VERSE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.