Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - June 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $17.80 $11.80 197%
BAQ-4   EXA (5/4)-(5/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00  4-5 $5.50 $1.50 38%
BAQ-5   WIN (4/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $10.20 $2.20 28%
    DD (5/4)-(4/5/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  4-6 $12.30 $4.30 54%
    PK3 (3/5/8)-(5/4)-(4/5/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  3-4-6 $28.75 $4.75 20%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   06/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:122 1:252   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAGRID'S FLAME 4 5 5 5 54 42 1 (terranova )RIVERA R 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.90 W
  (by LEOFRIC out of LIGHT THE CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
ACCIDENTAL BID 5 6 62 6 67 64 2 (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 12.80  
  (by NYQUIST out of COURT DRESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SORORITY PRANK 2 1 1½ 11 1½ 1½ 3 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 12% 7.20 7.40 S
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
IRON MAN IRA 6 3 2½ 21 2½ 2½ 4 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 61% 0.60 0.90  
  (by LAOBAN out of SAINTLY ROSE by GRAEME HALL)
TINEBAR 3 4 4 42 3½ 31 5 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 2.55  
  (by ARROGATE out of JUMP RULER by ROMAN RULER)
SAKA SHOCKA 1 2 31 3 4 5 6 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00 9.80  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SHE'LL BE RIGHT by SKY MESA)
 
BAQ-2   06/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:04
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:12 1:242   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. PAPAGIORGIO 7 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 1nk 1hd (martin carlos)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 2.55  
DARK DEVIL 5 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 2nk 2hd (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 59% 0.70 1.80 P
GUILE 3 3 4 5 42 4 34 (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 5% 19.00 17.40 S
TRUE CONNECTION 2 7 56 32 3 33 44 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 14% 6.30 8.00  
REMEMBER THE CHIEF 1 5 3 42 5 5 58 (martin carlos)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 4.40  
GET IT TO MATTHEW 4 6 711½ 717 615½ 617½ 614 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00 5.10  
JAXSON IS BACK 6 4 66 69 721½ 732½ 749¼ (miceli mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 20.80  
 
BAQ-3   06/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:114 1:242   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEXT ON STAGE 2 1 2nk 1nk 1½ 17 112¾ (de h)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 38% 1.60 1.05 W
11  BLENHEIM BABY 6 5 3 3 44 38 212¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 1.45  
ALLEY'S SONG 1 3 4 42 34 48 316 (ferraro )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 30.00 29.25  
DUNEEN BAY 4 6 1nk 2nk 2½ 27 418½ (lerman s)DAVIS KATIE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
TEN TEN 3 2 5 5 610½ 615 520¼ (noda orlando)LUZZI J 120 15.00 27% 2.70 7.40  
10  ISN'T SHE KHOZY 5 4 6 65 5 514½ 622½ (martin car)RIVERA R 118 20.00 12.80  
SCR  BERTRILLE               (brown )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
SCR  CATSKILL HUMOR               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00    
SCR  DEA MATRONA (FR)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
SCR  HIGHWAY HARMONY               (abreu r)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00    
SCR  SOCA               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
 
BAQ-4   06/15/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:12 1:363   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMEOUT 4 1 5 42 42 2nk 1¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 30% 2.40 1.20 W
  (by CURLIN out of LULL by WAR FRONT)
MILITARY ROAD 5 4 2nk 11 1½ 1nk 2¼ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 31% 2.20 2.05 P
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PRIVATE ENSIGN by A.P. INDY)
REYNOLDS CHANNEL 3 3 3½ 31 2½ 3 35 (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 4.50  
  (by WEST COAST out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
FOXHOLE 1 2 1nk 21 3 4 4 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 5.40  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ELABORATE by GILDED TIME)
ORIGINAL IDEA 2 6 4 5 5 611¾ 514½ (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 30.00  
  (by UNCLE MO out of SHE'SCREATIVE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
MISSOURI RIVER 6 5 6 6 6 511½ 614¾ (gargan d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 19.60  
  (by ARROGATE out of WHOLELOTTASHAKIN by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  GLINT               (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
 
BAQ-5   06/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:093     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARA'S TIME 6 3 2½ 1½   12 13 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 116 6.00 18% 4.70 4.10 W
GONE AND FORGOTTEN 7 1 46 3   22 23 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00 2.25  
ATHENA BEACH 5 4 1½ 2½   3 33 (synnefias d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 28% 2.60 4.40 S
TRUE EMPRESS 2 5 710 7   7 4 (martin car)RIVERA R 123 12.00 5% 19.00 26.25  
JACKSON'S DIXIE 4 2 35 4   4 5 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 2.50 32% 2.20 2.85  
VOLEUSE 1 6 58 5   5 68 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 4.00 5.30  
HARLAN'S BOND 3 7 68 67   6 79 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 17.30  
 
BAQ-6   06/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:13 1:243   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIT ECONOMICS (GB) 1 1 2 2 1nk 11 11 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 2.50 50% 1.00 1.35 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of CHERUBIC by HAT TRICK (JPN))
STORM READY 6 3 3 36 3 32 21 (pletcher to)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 5.00 7.10  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of GHOSTSLAYER by PRINCE OF FAME)
FINAL EDITION (IRE) 8 5 46 57 64 6 3 (ward a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 10% 8.60 4.40 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOST GIFTED by WAR FRONT)
THEN 3 7 6 68 5 4 4 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of GUILTLESS by BERNARDINI)
CUANDO 4 4 1 1 2nk 21 5 (levine b)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 6.80  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
KICK A BUCK 2 2 56 47 4 5 6 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 13% 6.80 9.90  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of AZAELIA by TURTLE BOWL)
HOULTON 7 8 711½ 710½ 75 7 7 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00 46.25  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of KATHRYN THE WISE by UNCLE MO)
10  BOURBON OUTLAW 9 9 915¼ 812½ 911½ 913 813¼ (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 5% 19.00 50.00  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of STAR OF THE EAST by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  DIRECT CHANNEL 10 10 1019¼ 912¾ 8 812½ 913½ (dutrow richar)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 25.50  
  (by UNCLE MO out of ELOISA by TAPIT)
DIVER 5 6 815 1015¾ 1014 1017 1018 (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 54.75  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of TAPPING PEARL by TAPIT)
SCR  COAST ALONG               (mcgaug)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 15.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of MELROSE WOODS by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  DEPUTY MISCHIEF               (mott i)RIDER TBA 118 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DELIGHTFUL MARY by LIMEHOUSE)
 
BAQ-7   06/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:222 :444       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MENTEE 7 1 12 1   15 1hd (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.20 42% 1.40 0.55 W
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NONNA BELLA by STAY THIRSTY)
COLLOQUIAL 2 6 33 3   35 2hd (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00 4.30 P
  (by VEKOMA out of TERMINOLOGY by BERNARDINI)
MAGICAL BETTE 3 2 22 2   25 3 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 116 15.00 14.70  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of FOREST GAMBLE by FOREST WILDCAT)
NUDGE 4 3 4 4   5 410 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 0.55  
  (by UNCLE MO out of AWESTRUCK by TAPIT)
MY MITOLE 6 4 6 5   48 511 (martin car)RIVERA R 119 5.00 36% 1.70 3.85  
  (by MITOLE out of BOARD BATTLE by SEEKING THE GOLD)
T KRAFT 5 5 55 65   6 612¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 20.10  
  (by CONNECT out of MARGARITA FRIDAY by JOHANNESBURG)
RAVENITE 1 7 79 7   712¼ 714 (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 116 8.00 22.10  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of STICK TO YOUR GUNS by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  EMPRESS JULIA               (ward a)DAVIS DYLAN 116 6.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of PRINCESINHA JULIA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  FASTER GATOR               (farrior an)SANCHEZ J 119 12.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of COMFORTER by SUNSHINE TODAY)
SCR  TAPWRITS TEMPER               (potts wayne)VAZQUEZ A 119 30.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of TROPIC HOLIDAY by SUMMER FRONT)
 
BAQ-8   06/15/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:22 :453 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MARCO T. 8 2 63 64   31 11 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 45% 1.20 1.35 W
QUICK POWER NAP 6 10 106 10   6 21 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 24.50  
STOLEN FUTURE 5 4 5 42   41 3 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 30% 2.40 3.80 S
SUPERS LUCKY LADY 1 7 2½ 2   2½ 4 (falcon)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 8.40  
12  ACT OF CONGRESS 10 1 1½ 1   1½ 53 (levine b)SANTANA JR 123 3.00 4.30  
UNICORN CAKE 7 9 9 9   8 63 (englehart jere)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 30.00  
GRAM 3 6 8 7   5 7 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 8.20  
11  CAPITAL GAL 9 5 7 8   9 8 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 125 15.00 35.75  
BERN ROSEY BERN 4 3 31 32   7 9 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 123 30.00 57.75  
MIM 2 8 4 53   10 108 (ferraro jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00 18.50  
SCR  GEORGE'S VICE               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00    
SCR  MY CARA MIA MINE               (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 123 30.00    
SCR  PAUCILOQUENT               (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 50.00    
 
BAQ-9   06/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:121 1:241   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELOUNI (FR) 1 8 8 7 7 1nk 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 64% 0.60 1.00 W
OCEAN ATLANTIQUE 4 7 7 5 42 41 2 (dutrow richar)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.00 7% 13.10 3.60 P
MAGICAL WAYS 3 4 3 6 52 5 3 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 26.75  
1A  CALL ME HARRY 10 2 2 21 2½ 2nk 4 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 1.00  
RUSE 2 5 64 8 8 7 5 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 7% 13.20 8.60  
DUDE N COLORADO (GB) 8 1 1 11 1½ 3½ 6 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00 4.40  
PAROS 7 10 10 10 10 8 76 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 23.10  
CONMAN 5 9 9 9 9 10 88 (casse mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00 17.00  
BODECREAM 6 3 43 32 6 94 9 (de h)SANTANA JR 122 20.00 26.00  
10  VACATION DANCE 9 6 54 4 3 6 1012 (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 46.00  
SCR  FORE HARP               (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 122 20.00    
SCR  GREEK ORDER (GB)               (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
SCR  POWER SEEKER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.80    
 
BAQ-10   06/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST Bed Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:103     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCEDE 3 5 1nk 2   1nk 1¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 4.10  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JIBBOOM by MIZZEN MAST)
JUST KATHERINE 5 9 7 7   2nk 2¼ (jimenez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 16.50  
  (by JUSTIFY out of REVE ENCHANTE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
HOT FUDGE 7 3 8 10   8 3 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 7% 14.20 25.00 S
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
SHIDABHUTI 8 8 106 96   6 4 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 8% 11.00 6.70  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of A. P. CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
FLYING CONNECTION 6 4 5 5   52 5 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 46% 1.20 2.05  
  (by NYQUIST out of FREE FLYING SOUL by QUIET AMERICAN)
LEAVE NO TRACE 9 2 4 3   3½ 64 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 6.90  
  (by OUTWORK out of TANQUERRAY by GOOD JOURNEY)
MORNING MATCHA 4 10 9 8   9 7 (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 122 12.00 12.70  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HOME ICE by IAM THE ICEMAN)
APPLE PICKER 1 6 31 43   7 8 (russell britt)VELAZQUEZ R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 29.00  
  (by CONNECT out of SILENT FRIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
10  BEGUINE 10 1 2nk 1   41 914¾ (allard edwa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 32.75  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SHANANIES SONG by ELTISH)
BIG POND 2 7 6 6   10 1018 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 12% 7.00 4.30  
  (by MR. BIG out of BESIDE STILL WATER by LEMON DROP KID)
 
BAQ-11   06/15/2024 3960ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:221 :454 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATEST EDITION 9 7 42 21   11 1 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 125 5.00 5.30  
FANCYPANTS JULIANA 2 2 6 5   5 2 (donk david)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 4.90  
U SHOULD B DANCING 3 4 9 7   4 3 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 5% 19.00 7.50 DQ↓5
POSEIDON'S MIST 5 10 11 10   7 4 (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 118 20.00 15.40  
DUSK 1 1 32 3   3 5 (de h)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 13.80  
BEACH CRUISER 8 11 53 63   6 6 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 4.10  
CITY BLOCKS 4 5 8 84   84 7 (barker edw)RIVERA R 120 15.00 41.75  
KANT CALL IT 6 3 1 11   21 8 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 41% 1.40 2.85  
10  VALENTINE GIFT 10 8 10 11   11 9 (ribaudo rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 40.75  
11  MAGGY'S PALACE 11 9 7 9   10 10 (ryerson jam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 18.30  
GHOSTBUSTIN 7 6 2 4   9 1116¼ (levine b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 6.00 36% 1.80 14.40  
SCR  FIVE TO TWO               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
SCR  FOXY CARA               (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.