The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - May 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.90 $4.90 -1.10
BAQ-2   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $3.90 -6.00
BAQ-3   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.30 $7.30 1.30
BAQ-4   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $15.00 $15.00 9.00
BAQ-5   Win (10/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $82.00 -8.00
BAQ-6   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $18.40 $18.40 12.40
BAQ-7   Win (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $2.70 $2.70 -3.30
BAQ-8   Win (10/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $12.40 -8.00
BAQ-9   Win (6/4/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.70 $3.70 -4.30

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:23 :463 :582     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTTHEFACTSJACK 4 2 12 1   1 1 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 1.80 40% 1.50 1.45 W
PATTY BROWN EYES 1 1 22 2   2 2 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 13.10  
REFUSE TO LOSE 2 5 43 32   45 3 (de horacio)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 12.00 34.75  
LESLIE'S HUMOR 3 4 5 64   5 4 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.20 36% 1.80 1.95  
SHINY LURE 5 6 64 4   3 5 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 5% 19.00 15.10  
COIF 6 3 32 53   6 619 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 2.40  
 
BAQ-2   05/17/2024 5610ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:114 1:35   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SACRED WISH 1 1 1 11 1 14 14 (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 0.95  
SWOOP TO FINISH 4 5 54 5 5 34 24 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 13.20  
MALLEYMOO 3 3 3 32 3 24 3 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.80 S
BREATH AWAY (GB) 5 4 43 4 4 4 4 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 31% 2.30 2.50  
ELYSIAN FIELD 2 2 2 21 2 5 55 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 29% 2.40 3.75  
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE)               (de horacio)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50    
SCR  GONE AND FORGOTTEN               (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 122 3.00    
SCR  MALIBU MOONSHINE               (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
SCR  SIGNAL FROM NOISE               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
 
BAQ-3   05/17/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:123 1:251   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FLASHY ALEX 6 3 2½ 21 2½ 1½ 1¼ (persaud ran)CAMACHO JR 124 5.00 2.65  
PAPI ON ICE 1 6 711 7 67 6 2¼ (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 5.00 5% 19.00 2.65 P
OPPORTUNITY SET 5 2 1½ 11 1½ 2½ 3¾ (rodriguez r)BOCACHICA J 119 15.00 8.60  
PHANTOM JEWEL 7 7 45 32 3 31 4¾ (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 6.00 3.55  
LUCKY LUCKY LUKE 3 4 5 5 5 42 51 (sanchez-pi)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 3.00 51% 0.90 1.90  
GAME MISCONDUCT 4 1 3 4 42 5 6 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 21.80  
DEPUTY CONNECT 2 5 67 66 710½ 7 7 (rice linda)LUZZI J 124 4.00 26% 2.90 3.75  
SCR  BOBBY THE TANK               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.60    
 
BAQ-4   05/17/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSEIDON'S MIST 2 5 32 3   2nk 1¾ (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.50 W
MOONLIT WEEKEND 6 4 6 4   4 2¾ (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.00 4.20  
FRANNIE LEW 3 2 11 11   1nk 3 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 1.40 49% 1.00 0.95 S
DOLCE SERA 1 6 53 58   5 42 (delauro edward)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 2.85  
PAUCILOQUENT 4 3 21 21   34 5 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00 42.25  
ALLEY'S SONG 5 1 43 612   614¾ 614 (ferraro ja)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 8.00 13% 6.50 11.00  
SCR  JAY'S LOVE               (barrera s)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMAMA BEACH 6 2 4 43   1½ 1 (persaud )GRISALES DANILO 124 30.00 40.00  
10  BUSTINO SANTINO 9 8 55 5   4 2 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.40 60% 0.70 2.00 P
HOTTAKEJAKE 5 4 1½ 1½   2½ 3 (figueroa c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 13.20 S
WITHIN VIEW 7 7 811 713   6 4 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 9% 10.70 6.00  
11  PERNO 10 1 31 2½   3½ 5 (giddings melanie)LUZZI J 118 8.00 5.80  
BARRON'S BOUNCE 1 10 913½ 813   76 6 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 6% 14.50 1.85  
SOLO EMPIRE 4 5 65 66   55 77 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 118 12.00 38.00  
POWER TEN 3 6 78 916½   914 813¾ (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 118 8.00 25.00  
MITHRIDATES 8 3 2½ 3   8 922½ (chichakly a)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00 92.50  
DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY 2 9 1023½ 1034½   1037 1074¼ (paragallo jennife)DAVIS DYLAN 113 12.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
SCR  MIZTERGRANDCENTRAL               (brion ke)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
 
BAQ-6   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHT MAN 4 4 4 21   31 1¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 23% 3.30 8.20 W
TEN CENT TOWN 3 2 31 32   2½ 2¼ (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.00 2.30  
FORTUNE'S NEPHEW 6 3 1½ 11   1½ 3½ (levine bruce)RUIZ ELISEO 123 6.00 9.00  
LOCKE AND KEY 5 5 5 42   4 41 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 36% 1.80 1.05  
THANK YOU JON 1 6 6 5   5 5 (romero jesus)RIVERA R 121 15.00 20.60  
LITTLE LUCA 2 1 2½ 6100   6100 6100 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
SCR  BRONX BOMBER               (kantarmaci)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 5.00    
SCR  WRITER'S REGRET               (garber o)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/17/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOCOLATE SHAKE 6 1 32 2   1nk 11 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 0.80 58% 0.70 0.35 W
HONORARY DEGREE 3 5 1½ 1   2nk 21 (jones eduar)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00 5% 19.00 11.40 P
CAJUN CASANOVA 5 2 2½ 32   36 3 (schauer )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 16% 5.20 5.30 S
PRINCE OF JOY 4 3 5 44   49 4 (legall e)RUIZ ELISEO 118 12.00 7.80  
JOKER BOY 7 7 43 6   5 5 (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00 20.70  
DATESFREEDOM 1 4 64 54   6 6 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 24.25  
ANYTHING PAZIBLE 2 6 75 78   713¼ 7 (jones ed)GRISALES DANILO 118 15.00 25.75  
SCR  MOUNT TRAVERS               (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00    
 
BAQ-8   05/17/2024 5280ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:112 1:233   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURF KING (IRE) 1 3 7 78 6 31 1 (brown c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 5.20  
GRAND SONATA 2 2 5 56 7 5 2 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 16% 5.40 3.95 P
10  BIG EVEREST (GB) 9 6 2½ 2½ 1nk 11 34 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 40% 1.50 2.95 S
MAKER'S CANDY 5 7 4 42 4 6 45 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00 12.90  
DISARMED 4 4 3 32 32 42 5 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 43.75  
CLOUDY 7 9 98 9 8 7 6 (mcgaughey claude )CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
PIONEERING SPIRIT 3 1 6 6 5 8 7 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 14% 6.30 5.30  
CALL ME HARRY 8 5 1½ 1½ 2nk 21 87 (dutrow richard)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 9.20  
KALIK 6 10 109 1010½ 9 9 97 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 5.90  
11  STOLEN BASE 10 8 8 89 10 10 1010¼ (levine bruce)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00 43.25  
SCR  LAUGHING BOY               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 4.50    
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 120 20.00    
 
BAQ-9   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:222 :462 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS TWEED 2 1 1½ 1½   18 114¾ (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 21% 3.70 0.85 W
FOUR EYES 5 8 7 7   5 214¾ (follett norman)HARKIE K 124 20.00 9% 9.90 17.70 P
SPOOFY 6 6 66 44   4 315¾ (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 2.60  
12  YOU BEAUT 8 3 2½ 2½   28 416½ (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
FRATELLINO 3 2 3 32   38 517¼ (sanchez-pi)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 30.00 22.30  
EXCALIBRATE 1 4 4 54   611¾ 621 (chichakl)GRISALES DANILO 124 30.00 51.50  
SPOKEN BLUNTLY 4 5 5 6   714¼ 724¼ (levine bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 41% 1.40 8.80  
11  QOROKWE 7 7 813½ 812½   817¼ 825¼ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 13.70  
SCR  CASONA               (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
SCR  LAUNCH CONTROL               (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 124 1.40    
SCR  PRICE IS TRUTH               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
SCR  TWISTED WHISKER               (bond harold )RIVERA R 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.