Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - May 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-3   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.30 $1.30 22%
BAQ-4   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $15.00 $9.00 150%
    DD (4/2/1)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-3 $44.50 $35.50 394%
BAQ-6   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $18.40 $12.40 207%
BAQ-7   EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-3 $9.60 $0.60 7%
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3/8)-(7/6/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00  7-3-6 $17.50 $8.50 94%
    DD (5/4/1)-(7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-7 $22.10 $13.10 146%
BAQ-9   EXA (6/4/8/12)-(6/4/8/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-8 $17.80 $5.80 48%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:23 :463 :582     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  JUSTTHEFACTSJACK 4 2 12 11½   12½ 13½ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 1.80 40% 1.50 1.45 W
  (by NYQUIST out of MOMAMEAMARIA by QUALITY ROAD)
1  PATTY BROWN EYES 1 1 22 21½   22½ 23½ (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 13.10  
  (by ENTICED out of BROWN EYES by HALO'S IMAGE)
2  REFUSE TO LOSE 2 5 43 32   45 36¾ (de horac)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 12.00 34.75  
  (by UNION RAGS out of VICTORY PARTY by GUILTY CONSCIENCE)
3  LESLIE'S HUMOR 3 4 53½ 64   55½ 48½ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.20 36% 1.80 1.95  
  (by KANTHAROS out of LA TITINA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  SHINY LURE 5 6 64 42½   34½ 59½ (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 5% 19.00 15.10  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FROLIC'S DREAM by SMOKE GLACKEN)
6  COIF 6 3 32 53   68½ 619 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 2.40  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HAYWORTH by ARCH)
 
BAQ-2   05/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:114 1:35   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACRED WISH 1 1 11½ 11 11½ 14 14 (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 0.95  
5  SWOOP TO FINISH 4 5 54 53½ 52¾ 34 24 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 13.20  
3  MALLEYMOO 3 3 32½ 32 31½ 24 34¼ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.80 S
6  BREATH AWAY (GB) 5 4 43 42½ 42½ 44½ 44¾ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 31% 2.30 2.50  
2  ELYSIAN FIELD 2 2 21½ 21 21½ 54¾ 55 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 29% 2.40 3.75  
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE)               (de horacio)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50    
SCR  GONE AND FORGOTTEN               (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 122 3.00    
SCR  MALIBU MOONSHINE               (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
SCR  SIGNAL FROM NOISE               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
 
BAQ-3   05/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:123 1:251   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FLASHY ALEX 6 3 2½ 21 2½ 1½ 1¼ (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 124 5.00 2.65  
1  PAPI ON ICE 1 6 711 78½ 67 64½ 2¼ (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 5.00 5% 19.00 2.65 P
6  OPPORTUNITY SET 5 2 1½ 11 1½ 2½ 3¾ (rodriguez)BOCACHICA J 119 15.00 8.60  
7  PHANTOM JEWEL 7 7 45 32 31½ 31 4¾ (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 6.00 3.55  
4  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE 3 4 55½ 52½ 52½ 42 51 (sanchez-)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 3.00 51% 0.90 1.90  
5  GAME MISCONDUCT 4 1 33½ 42½ 42 53½ 65¼ (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 21.80  
2  DEPUTY CONNECT 2 5 67 66 710½ 78½ 77½ (rice linda)LUZZI J 124 4.00 26% 2.90 3.75  
SCR  BOBBY THE TANK               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.60    
 
BAQ-4   05/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  POSEIDON'S MIST 2 5 32 33½   2nk 1¾ (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.50 W
7  MOONLIT WEEKEND 6 4 64½ 46½   44¼ 2¾ (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.00 4.20  
4  FRANNIE LEW 3 2 11 11   1nk 31¼ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 1.40 49% 1.00 0.95 S
2  DOLCE SERA 1 6 53 58   54¾ 42 (delauro edwa)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 2.85  
5  PAUCILOQUENT 4 3 21 21   34 56¾ (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00 42.25  
6  ALLEY'S SONG 5 1 43 612   614¾ 614 (ferraro )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 8.00 13% 6.50 11.00  
SCR  JAY'S LOVE               (barrera s)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SOMAMA BEACH 6 2 41½ 43   1½ 12¼ (persau)GRISALES DANILO 124 30.00 40.00  
10  BUSTINO SANTINO 9 8 55 53½   41½ 22¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.40 60% 0.70 2.00 P
6  HOTTAKEJAKE 5 4 1½ 1½   2½ 32¾ (figueroa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 ★ 13.20 S
8  WITHIN VIEW 7 7 811 713   65½ 43¼ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 9% 10.70 6.00  
11  PERNO 10 1 31 2½   3½ 53¾ (giddings melan)LUZZI J 118 8.00 5.80  
1  BARRON'S BOUNCE 1 10 913½ 813   76 65¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 6% 14.50 1.85  
5  SOLO EMPIRE 4 5 65 66   55 77 (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 118 12.00 38.00  
4  POWER TEN 3 6 78 916½   914 813¾ (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 118 8.00 25.00  
9  MITHRIDATES 8 3 2½ 32½   88½ 922½ (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00 92.50  
2  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY 2 9 1023½ 1034½   1037 1074¼ (paragallo jenni)DAVIS DYLAN 113 12.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
SCR  MIZTERGRANDCENTRAL               (brion )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
 
BAQ-6   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LIGHT MAN 4 4 41½ 21   31 1¼ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 23% 3.30 8.20 W
3  TEN CENT TOWN 3 2 31 32   2½ 2¼ (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.00 2.30  
7  FORTUNE'S NEPHEW 6 3 1½ 11   1½ 3½ (levine bruce)RUIZ ELISEO 123 6.00 9.00  
5  LOCKE AND KEY 5 5 52½ 42   42½ 41 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 36% 1.80 1.05  
2  THANK YOU JON 1 6 62½ 54½   57½ 59¼ (romero jes)RIVERA R 121 15.00 20.60  
1  LITTLE LUCA 2 1 2½ 6100   6100 6100 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
SCR  BRONX BOMBER               (kantarma)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 5.00    
SCR  WRITER'S REGRET               (garber)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CHOCOLATE SHAKE 6 1 32 21½   1nk 11 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 0.80 58% 0.70 0.35 W
3  HONORARY DEGREE 3 5 1½ 11½   2nk 21 (jones edu)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00 5% 19.00 11.40 P
6  CAJUN CASANOVA 5 2 2½ 32   36 36½ (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 16% 5.20 5.30 S
5  PRINCE OF JOY 4 3 53½ 44   49 47¼ (legall ricardo )RUIZ ELISEO 118 12.00 7.80  
8  JOKER BOY 7 7 43 65½   59½ 57¾ (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00 ★ 20.70  
1  DATESFREEDOM 1 4 64 54   69¾ 68¼ (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 24.25  
2  ANYTHING PAZIBLE 2 6 75 78   713¼ 78¾ (jones )GRISALES DANILO 118 15.00 25.75  
SCR  MOUNT TRAVERS               (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00    
 
BAQ-8   05/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:112 1:233   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TURF KING (IRE) 1 3 76½ 78 63¼ 31 11¾ (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 5.20  
4  GRAND SONATA 2 2 54½ 56 73¾ 52¼ 21¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 16% 5.40 3.95 P
10  BIG EVEREST (GB) 9 6 2½ 2½ 1nk 11 34 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 40% 1.50 2.95 S
6  MAKER'S CANDY 5 7 41½ 42 42¼ 62¾ 45 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00 12.90  
5  DISARMED 4 4 31½ 32 32 42 55¼ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 43.75  
8  CLOUDY 7 9 98 99½ 84¾ 72¾ 65¼ (mcgaughey claud)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5% 19.00 15.70  
1  PIONEERING SPIRIT 3 1 65½ 66½ 53¼ 83¾ 75½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 14% 6.30 5.30  
9  CALL ME HARRY 8 5 1½ 1½ 2nk 21 87 (dutrow richa)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 ★ 9.20  
7  KALIK 6 10 109 1010½ 95¼ 95¼ 97 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 5.90  
11  STOLEN BASE 10 8 87½ 89 106¼ 106¾ 1010¼ (levine bruce)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00 43.25  
SCR  LAUGHING BOY               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 4.50    
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 120 20.00    
 
BAQ-9   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:222 :462 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BOSS TWEED 2 1 1½ 1½   18 114¾ (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 21% 3.70 0.85 W
8  FOUR EYES 5 8 77½ 76½   59¼ 214¾ (follett norm)HARKIE K 124 20.00 9% 9.90 17.70 P
9  SPOOFY 6 6 66 44   48¼ 315¾ (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 2.60  
12  YOU BEAUT 8 3 2½ 2½   28 416½ (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
5  FRATELLINO 3 2 32½ 32   38 517¼ (sanchez-)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 30.00 22.30  
3  EXCALIBRATE 1 4 44½ 54   611¾ 621 (chicha)GRISALES DANILO 124 30.00 51.50  
6  SPOKEN BLUNTLY 4 5 54½ 64½   714¼ 724¼ (levine bruc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 41% 1.40 8.80  
11  QOROKWE 7 7 813½ 812½   817¼ 825¼ (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 13.70  
SCR  CASONA               (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
SCR  LAUNCH CONTROL               (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 124 1.40    
SCR  PRICE IS TRUTH               (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
SCR  TWISTED WHISKER               (bond harol)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.