Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - May 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(6/2/3)-(4/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(4/2/1)-(4/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(4/6/3)-(10/8/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(10/8/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(10/8/1/2)-(5/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (10/8/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/1/2)-(10/8/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/8/1/2)-(10/8/1/2/6)-(10/8/1/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/8/1/2)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/8/1/2)-(5/4/1)-(7/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(7/6/3)-(10/4/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3/8)-(7/6/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(10/4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(10/4/1/8)-(6/4/8/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (10/4/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/1/8)-(10/4/1/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/4/1/8)-(10/4/1/9/8)-(10/4/1/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/4/1/8)-(6/4/8/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (6/4/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/12)-(6/4/8/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/12)-(6/4/8/12)-(6/4/8/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATTY BROWN EYES         (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
  (by ENTICED out of BROWN EYES by HALO'S IMAGE)
2  REFUSE TO LOSE         (de horac)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 12.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of VICTORY PARTY by GUILTY CONSCIENCE)
3  LESLIE'S HUMOR Jan14         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.20 36% 1.80    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LA TITINA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  JUSTTHEFACTSJACK Jun24         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of MOMAMEAMARIA by QUALITY ROAD)
5  SHINY LURE         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FROLIC'S DREAM by SMOKE GLACKEN)
6  COIF         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HAYWORTH by ARCH)
 
BAQ-2   05/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACRED WISH Apr20 Nov11 Oct27 Sep15 Aug19 (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00    
2  ELYSIAN FIELD Mar03 Oct01 Aug20 Jul23 Jun10 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
3  MALLEYMOO Oct15 Sep02 Jun02 Apr14 Mar04 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE) Mar03 Dec26 Nov04 Oct14 Aug19 (de horacio)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50    
5  SWOOP TO FINISH Jan27 Dec30 Nov12 Sep01 Jul04 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00    
6  BREATH AWAY (GB) Dec23 Nov05 Jun24 May19 Apr01 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 31% 2.30    
SCR  SIGNAL FROM NOISE Aug30 Jul30 Jun10 Mar10 Jan11 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
SCR  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Apr19 Mar15 Feb17 Jan19 Dec31 (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 122 3.00    
SCR  MALIBU MOONSHINE Feb25 Jan28 Nov24 Jul29 Feb05 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
 
BAQ-3   05/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPI ON ICE May02 Apr05 Mar17 Mar08 Jan14 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
1A  FLASHY ALEX May05 Apr04 Mar21 Feb29 Feb03 (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 124 5.00    
2  DEPUTY CONNECT May05 Apr05 Feb17 Feb03 Dec28 (rice linda)LUZZI J 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  BOBBY THE TANK May09 Apr11 Apr05 Feb16 Jan01 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.60    
4  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Apr20 Mar09 Feb23 Feb02 Oct15 (sanchez-)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 3.00 51% 0.90    
5  GAME MISCONDUCT Apr27 Apr12 Feb19 Jan28 Jan12 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
6  OPPORTUNITY SET May05 Apr05 Feb17 Feb03 Jan11 (rodriguez)BOCACHICA J 119 15.00    
7  PHANTOM JEWEL Apr19 Mar23 Mar03 Jan28 Jan01 (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 6.00    
 
BAQ-4   05/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JAY'S LOVE May03 Apr14 Mar02 Feb03 Jan05 (barrera s)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00    
2  DOLCE SERA Apr19 Apr07 Mar15 Feb17 Jan18 (delauro edwa)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00    
3  POSEIDON'S MIST Apr07 Mar15 Feb09 Jan28 Dec09 (david a)RUIZ ELISEO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  FRANNIE LEW Apr25 Apr07 Mar07 Feb17 Jan07 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 1.40 49% 1.00    
5  PAUCILOQUENT Mar22 Mar15 Feb18 Jan19 Aug16 (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00    
6  ALLEY'S SONG Apr18 Apr07 Mar14 Feb09 Jan18 (ferraro )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 8.00 13% 6.50    
7  MOONLIT WEEKEND Apr25 Mar21 Feb24 Jan27 Jan05 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARRON'S BOUNCE Apr27 Apr12 Mar10 Feb25   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 6% 14.50    
2  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Mar29 Mar06 Feb17 Jan20 Dec22 (paragallo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIZTERGRANDCENTRAL Dec31         (brion )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
4  POWER TEN Apr11         (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 118 8.00    
5  SOLO EMPIRE Mar07 Feb11 Jan18 Dec16 Dec02 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 118 12.00    
6  HOTTAKEJAKE         (figueroa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 ★    
7  SOMAMA BEACH Mar28 Mar14 Feb24 Dec07 Nov10 (persau)GRISALES DANILO 124 30.00    
8  WITHIN VIEW Apr11 Mar10 Feb02     (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 9% 10.70    
9  MITHRIDATES Apr21 Oct19 Oct04 Aug24 Jul28 (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00    
10  BUSTINO SANTINO Dec07 Nov10 Oct12 Sep04 Aug02 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.40 60% 0.70    
11  PERNO Apr26 Mar24 Feb17 Jan07 Dec02 (giddings melan)LUZZI J 118 8.00    
 
BAQ-6   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE LUCA Apr28 Apr06 Feb02 Jan05 Jun11 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRONX BOMBER May05 Apr11 Mar08 Feb04 Jan12 (kantarma)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 5.00    
2  THANK YOU JON May05 Mar29 Feb16 Dec29 Dec01 (romero jes)RIVERA R 121 15.00    
3  TEN CENT TOWN Mar29 Feb16 Jan13 Dec16 Dec01 (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.00    
4  LIGHT MAN Feb29 Jan27 Jul17     (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00 23% 3.30    
5  LOCKE AND KEY Apr26 Mar29 Mar09 Jan11 Dec16 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  WRITER'S REGRET Apr28 Mar10 Feb04 Jan01 Nov15 (garber)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00    
7  FORTUNE'S NEPHEW Apr19 Apr06 Mar09 Feb11 Dec30 (levine bruce)RUIZ ELISEO 123 6.00    
 
BAQ-7   05/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DATESFREEDOM Apr14 Mar28 Mar17 Feb23 Jan26 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
2  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Apr26 Apr13 Mar28 Mar17 Feb25 (jones )GRISALES DANILO 118 15.00    
3  HONORARY DEGREE Apr27 Apr05 Mar17 Mar10 Mar01 (jones edu)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOUNT TRAVERS Apr27 Mar09 Feb25 Jan28 Jan18 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00    
5  PRINCE OF JOY Apr26 Apr14 Mar24 Mar02 Feb18 (legall ricardo )RUIZ ELISEO 118 12.00    
6  CAJUN CASANOVA Apr11 Feb19 Jan12 Dec29 Nov18 (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 16% 5.20    
7  CHOCOLATE SHAKE Apr12 Feb25 Jul01 Jun10 Dec11 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 0.80 58% 0.70    
8  JOKER BOY Apr27 Apr13 Mar01 Feb10 Jan06 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 15.00 ★    
 
BAQ-8   05/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIONEERING SPIRIT May04 Apr20 Nov12 Oct20 Oct07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO May02 Nov26 Oct29 Oct01 Sep21 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 118 4.50    
SCR  LAUGHING BOY Apr20 Mar30 Mar02 Jan26 Jan07 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00    
SCR  SYNTHESIS Apr20 Mar30 Mar07 Feb23 Dec29 (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 120 20.00    
3  TURF KING (IRE) Mar02 Jul01 Jun03 Apr28 Feb16 (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
4  GRAND SONATA Dec30 Nov11 Oct07 Aug24 Jul30 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 16% 5.40    
5  DISARMED Apr04 Mar03 Jan28 Dec16 Oct29 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
6  MAKER'S CANDY Apr07 Feb24 Jan27 Dec17 Nov04 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00    
7  KALIK Aug20 Jul08 Jun03 May07 Mar17 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
8  CLOUDY Dec31 Oct15 Sep03 Oct23 Sep14 (mcgaughey claud)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  CALL ME HARRY Nov03 Sep21 Aug19 Jul20 Jul03 (dutrow richa)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 ★    
10  BIG EVEREST (GB) Mar30 Nov12 Aug13 Jul15 May27 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
11  STOLEN BASE Apr04 Mar07 Feb23 Jan27 Dec29 (levine bruce)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00    
 
BAQ-9   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAUNCH CONTROL May29 May05 Apr07 Feb24 Jan26 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 124 1.40    
SCR  CASONA         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
3  EXCALIBRATE Oct14 Sep03 Jul23 Jul01 Mar11 (chicha)GRISALES DANILO 124 30.00    
4  BOSS TWEED Apr20 Apr04       (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 21% 3.70    
5  FRATELLINO Feb03 Jan18 Dec29 Dec10 Sep21 (sanchez-)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 111 30.00    
6  SPOKEN BLUNTLY Apr19 Feb15       (levine bruc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  PRICE IS TRUTH Apr04 Nov04 Oct04 Aug24 Jul27 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
8  FOUR EYES Feb03 Jan18 Feb25 Feb11 Jan28 (follett norm)HARKIE K 124 20.00 9% 9.90    
9  SPOOFY Aug19 Aug03 Jun09     (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
SCR  TWISTED WHISKER         (bond harol)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
11  QOROKWE Apr28 Apr11 Mar28 Mar09 Feb24 (sells rachel)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00    
12  YOU BEAUT Sep27         (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.