The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - January 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $11.40 $11.40 5.40
MVR-2   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
MVR-3   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 2.20
MVR-4   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
MVR-5   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
MVR-6   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.80 -6.00
MVR-7   Win (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
MVR-8   Win (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON OVER DUBAI 5 4 6 4   1nk 1½ (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00 18% 4.40 4.70 W
LEAVENWORTH 1 5 2nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.60 34% 1.90 2.00 P
NO MORE GUNS 2 7 4 3   33(cline c)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 18.90  
LOTS OF MISCHIEF 4 2 5 5   55 4(clouston edwa)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 3.00 1.80  
DANGEROUS MIND (IRE) 6 6 7 7   67 5(clouston edward)AVILES YAN 126 2.00 27% 2.80 2.60  
MY SONG BABY 3 3 1nk 2nk   43 610¼ (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 126 12.00 31.70  
F F READY OR NOT 7 1 3 6   711 720 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 126 15.00 42.70  
 
MVR-2   01/18/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:134 1:402   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESVALON 3 3 1nk 3 21 1½ 1(herrington a)CCAMAQUE M 124 3.00 20% 4.10 1.60 W
MR LAOBAN 5 4 2nk 1 11 2½ 2(szczepanski emily)DIAZ R 124 2.00 40% 1.50 1.90 P
YARDMAN 1 2 42 2 3 35 312 (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 17% 4.80 2.70 S
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 2 1 3 45 4 410½ 422½ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 59.80  
GOOD SOUL 6 6 5 6 611 514½ 528½ (lucas wayne)RIVERA R 124 6.00 7.90  
RAMBLIN CHROME 4 5 6 56 511 616½ 644 (perez car)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 4.00 8.10  
 
MVR-3   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3 ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT VOYAGE 5 3 31 2nk   1nk 1½ (cowans william )BRACHO A 120 2.00 40% 1.50 3.10 W
GUNNER GABRIEL 1 6 1nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 122 1.60 37% 1.70 0.30 P
COUNTEVERYBLESSING 6 2 45 4   35 3(vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 120 8.00 5% 19.00 10.20 S
SHAKE THE FROST 3 1 2nk 3   4410¼ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 120 5.00 13.10  
SEEKING FREEDOM 2 5 5 510½   511½ 520¾ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 6.00 41.20  
RIVERS OF DENIRO 4 4 611¼ 619½   620½ 627 (faulkner rodne)TAPARA BRANDON 120 8.00 25.40  
 
MVR-4   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:223 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSIDE STUNT 3 4 11 1½   11 1(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.80 27% 2.60 0.80 W
POSEIDON'S SON 2 6 3 31   21 2(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 22% 3.60 8.30 P
ROCKSTAR RO 4 5 4 41   33(bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 2.80 S
MALIBU CLASSIC 6 1 5 5   44(trevino g)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.50 18% 4.70 4.90  
CRAFTY CONQUEST 7 2 21 2½   54 512¼ (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 16.10  
TRIGZ TOO 1 7 7 7   6613¾ (bernardini jay )BRACHO A 124 12.00 34.50  
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 5 3 6 6   79 714¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 18.20  
SCR  VENETIAN DREAM               (bailey ricardo)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
 
MVR-5   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRONTLINER 1 4 5 41   31 1¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.00 53% 0.90 2.50 W
KADESH 4 2 3 1nk   11 2¼ (pappada a)DIAZ I 126 6.00 22% 3.60 1.60 P
TIDE RISING 3 6 6 63   53¾ (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 126 20.00 53.30  
CRIMSON ROCKET 6 1 2 3½   21 4(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 4.00 3.80  
TWICE AS SMART 5 3 1 2nk   45(zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 10.00 5.80  
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL 2 5 43 5   66(pappada a)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 5% 19.00 4.10  
SCR  LAUDA SPEED               (trevino steph)LAGUNES GABRIEL 126 2.50    
SCR  YOU ARE AWESOME               (st dav)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 10.00    
 
MVR-6   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:253 :483 1:13 1:261   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY ROYALITY 1 3 3 3 31 1nk 18 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 126 2.00 1.90  
CANDY ISLAND 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 28 (galloway khadeem)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 32% 2.10 3.20 DQ↓3
R THREE ANGELS 3 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 3½ 3(dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 3.50 35% 1.80 3.50 P
LADY JASPER 6 4 4 4 42 44 414¼ (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
HAPPY BEE 4 5 54 5 511 5514½ (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 17.00  
CLOCKSTRIKESTWELVE 5 6 65 6 612 612½ 623 (alessi james)HALDAR J 124 6.00 5.50  
SCR  HOLIDAY DECISION               (delacruz mejia )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-7   01/18/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:112 1:381   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPENCER'S BOY LUNA 5 6 69 5 42 2½ 1(reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 3.50 14% 6.40 1.70 W
GOING IN STYLE 4 2 12 1 1 1½ 2(bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00 14.30  
AGNELLO'S DREAM 3 3 4 33 32 338 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 124 3.00 2.70  
STAR ENTERTAINER 1 5 5 67 6 44(johnson l)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5.80  
AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 6 1 22 2 2 5519 (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 124 4.00 42% 1.40 4.00  
DEACON DOUGIE 2 4 3 4 54 6620 (dacosta ja)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.50 22% 3.60 4.20  
SCR  CENTSOFWANDER               (huffman candace)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
 
MVR-8   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:25 :481 1:124 1:253   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAXACA 4 4 1 11 11 12 15 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 25% 3.00 1.10 W
LINE DANCER 2 2 3 21 21 22 25 (zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00 6.10  
KEEN CONTENDER 5 7 6 7 6 538 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 3.10  
MOBIL CHIC 7 1 2 31 31 36 4(zielinski )FERNANDEZ R 126 8.00 5% 19.00 8.00  
CROSSED UP 1 3 5 5 5 47 511½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 16.30  
SUSHI Q 3 6 7 67 7 69 618¼ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 46.40  
IZZY'S MONSTER 6 5 4 4 43 711½ 719 (villa francisco)BRACHO A 124 3.00 40% 1.50 4.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.