Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - January 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-2   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-3   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-4   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-5   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-6   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-7   Win (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-8   Win (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAVENWORTH Jan11 Nov02 Feb26 Dec21 Nov20 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.60 34% 1.90    
NO MORE GUNS Dec27 Nov29 Sep01 Aug03   (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 15.00    
MY SONG BABY Nov01 Oct17 Sep24 Sep11 Aug15 (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 126 12.00    
LOTS OF MISCHIEF Jan02 Dec05 Oct15 Sep22 Jul14 (clouston edwa)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 3.00    
MOON OVER DUBAI Jan02 Dec18 Nov21 Nov14 Oct23 (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00 18% 4.40    
DANGEROUS MIND (IRE) Dec29 Nov15 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 126 2.00 27% 2.80    
F F READY OR NOT Aug21 Jul12 Jun26 Jun05 May22 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 126 15.00    
 
MVR-2   01/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YARDMAN Dec27 Oct25 Oct12 Oct02 Sep20 (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 17% 4.80    
THE GOSPEL OF MARK Dec28 Dec04 Nov08 Oct24 Sep28 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
RESVALON Jan04 Dec27 Dec11 Dec04 Nov15 (herrington a)CCAMAQUE M 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
RAMBLIN CHROME Dec23 Dec09 Nov21 Sep27 Jul22 (perez car)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 4.00    
MR LAOBAN Jan04 Dec04 Nov27 Nov08 Oct25 (szczepanski emily)DIAZ R 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
GOOD SOUL Dec23 Nov08 Oct05 Sep20 Aug31 (lucas wayne)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
 
MVR-3   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3 ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNNER GABRIEL Dec19 Nov16       (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
SEEKING FREEDOM Jan02 Dec18 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 6.00    
SHAKE THE FROST Dec18 Nov30 Nov15     (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 120 5.00    
RIVERS OF DENIRO Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Oct11 (faulkner rodne)TAPARA BRANDON 120 8.00    
MIDNIGHT VOYAGE Dec14         (cowans william )BRACHO A 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
COUNTEVERYBLESSING Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28   (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VENETIAN DREAM Jan10 Dec26 Dec18 Nov30 Nov20 (bailey ricardo)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
TRIGZ TOO Jan03 Aug08 Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 (bernardini jay )BRACHO A 124 12.00    
POSEIDON'S SON Nov21 Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 Sep10 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
INSIDE STUNT Jan03 Nov22 Nov12 Oct22 Oct07 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.80 27% 2.60    
ROCKSTAR RO Jan11 Dec01 Nov05 Oct07 Sep09 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00    
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Jan03 Nov22 Sep26 Sep04 Jul30 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
MALIBU CLASSIC Jan03 Dec13 Nov30 Nov13 Oct21 (trevino g)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
CRAFTY CONQUEST Jan03 Oct21 Sep25 Aug21 Aug01 (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-5   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRONTLINER Jan03 Nov13 Oct17 Sep06 Jul03 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.00 53% 0.90    
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Dec27 Dec06 Nov20 Sep29 Jul16 (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
TIDE RISING Jan02 Dec19 Dec07 Nov15 Oct30 (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 126 20.00    
SCR  LAUDA SPEED Jan03 Dec26 Nov01 Oct10 Sep05 (trevino steph)LAGUNES GABRIEL 126 2.50    
SCR  YOU ARE AWESOME Jan03 Oct03 Sep14 Aug22 Jul31 (st dav)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 10.00    
KADESH May23 Feb27 Jan31 Jul19 Jun20 (pappada a)DIAZ I 126 6.00 22% 3.60    
TWICE AS SMART Jan03 Dec07 Nov22 Oct31 Sep12 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 10.00    
CRIMSON ROCKET Jan03 Nov29 Oct20 Mar26 Feb24 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 4.00    
 
MVR-6   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY ROYALITY Dec19 Nov16 Oct31 Oct10 Sep07 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 126 2.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY DECISION Dec18 Jul26 Jul14 Jun10 May19 (delacruz mejia )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
CANDY ISLAND Dec05 Oct25 Sep20 Sep06 Aug15 (galloway khadeem)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
R THREE ANGELS Nov09 Oct28 Oct05 Sep26 May11 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 3.50 35% 1.80    
HAPPY BEE Dec05 Nov09 Oct05 Sep25 Aug14 (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
CLOCKSTRIKESTWELVE Dec23 Nov18 Oct28 Sep16 Aug27 (alessi james)HALDAR J 124 6.00    
LADY JASPER Jan02 Dec07 Nov28 Oct25 Aug26 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   01/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR ENTERTAINER Jan03 Dec20 Nov08 Oct25 Aug29 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
DEACON DOUGIE Nov15 Aug12 Jul24 Jun24 Aug22 (dacosta ja)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  CENTSOFWANDER Jan03 Dec20 Nov27 Oct30 Oct13 (huffman candace)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
AGNELLO'S DREAM Jan03 Dec20 Dec04 Nov20 Nov01 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 124 3.00    
GOING IN STYLE Dec28 Dec20 Dec04 Nov21 Nov01 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00    
SPENCER'S BOY LUNA Dec20 Nov07 Sep17 Dec16 Oct19 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 3.50 14% 6.40    
AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Jan03 Dec20 Dec04 Aug18 Jul16 (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
 
MVR-8   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROSSED UP Dec19 Nov28 Nov02 Oct10 Aug14 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
LINE DANCER Jan02 Dec07 Nov08 Oct03 Aug24 (zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 8.00    
SUSHI Q Jan01 Dec11 Nov29 May10 Apr26 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
OAXACA Jan02 Dec13 Nov20 Nov06 Aug26 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
KEEN CONTENDER Nov18 Nov02 Oct16 Aug26 Aug01 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00    
IZZY'S MONSTER Dec20 Nov13 Oct10 Sep21 Aug02 (villa francisco)BRACHO A 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
MOBIL CHIC Dec21 Dec07 Nov08 Oct03 Aug21 (zielinski )FERNANDEZ R 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.