Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-2 $27.60 $15.60 130%
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  7-2-3 $19.40 $16.40 547%
MVR-2   DD (3/7/2)-(2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-5 $16.80 $4.80 40%
MVR-3   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $14.00 $10.00 250%
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4-6 $28.40 $20.40 255%
    DD (2/5)-(6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5-4 $53.80 $45.80 573%
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(2/5)-(6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00  7-5-4 $43.65 $37.65 628%
MVR-5   WIN (4/10/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $9.20 $1.20 15%
    EXA (4/10/3/2)-(4/10/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  10-3 $37.00 $13.00 54%
    TRI (4/10/3/2)-(4/10/3/2)-(4/10/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  10-3-4 $20.90 $8.90 74%
MVR-8   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $10.80 $4.80 80%
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-7 $22.40 $4.40 24%
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-7-1 $11.40 $2.40 27%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   01/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:00     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NOAH MY BABY 6 1 12½ 15   18 114 (poole m)AVILES YAN 118 3.50 15% 5.70 1.10 W
2  LEWIS AND CLARK 2 6 611¼ 612   69¼ 214 (wilson jr)VIGIL NOEL 126 4.50 13% 6.60 6.10 P
3  SOMETHING ON TAP 3 4 32½ 37½   39 314¾ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 44% 1.30 1.80 S
6  PAYMASTER GENERAL 5 3 42¾ 25   28 415 (barker scott )TOLEDO S 126 8.00 6.50  
4  RUNAWAY RUSSELL 4 2 22½ 47½   49 516½ (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 10.40  
1  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 1 5 54¼ 58   59¼ 617 (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 126 15.00 23.60  
SCR  MAILS HERE               (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 3.00    
SCR  ROUGE TU RICHES               (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00    
 
MVR-2   01/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:254 :481 1:134 1:273   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RAVEN MOON 4 4 3.2 3.2 1nk 13 14½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.00 14% 6.20 0.90 W
1  MY BROTHER CAM 1 3 42¾ 46¼ 45¼ 44 24½ (ra)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 7.70  
3  MUGSY MALONE 3 2 2nk 1nk 3.2 33 37 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 126 6.00 4.00  
2  RUNAWAY HARRY 2 1 1nk 2nk 2nk 23 410¼ (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 126 1.40 49% 1.00 1.40  
SCR  BLAME IT ON EDDIE               (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
SCR  RAISON KARTER               (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 2.00    
 
MVR-3   01/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:143 1:413   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 1 2 21½ 11 11 13 18¼ (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00 24% 3.20 6.00 W
6  MANSFIELD TIGER 2 5 44 41½ 21 23 28¼ (eggleston tim)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 33% 2.10 0.20 P
7  RUBINSTEIN 3 1 11½ 21 32 34 310¾ (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 27.00  
8  PRIVATE LAKE 4 3 32½ 31½ 43 45 411¼ (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 3.50 ★ 3.80  
9  GEH SCHNELL 5 4 55½ 52 54 55 513¼ (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 20.40  
SCR  CUMBER               (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
SCR  MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU               (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
SCR  PEACE OF EKATI               (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
SCR  PERFETTO               (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.50    
 
MVR-4   01/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:244 :473 1:131 1:271   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ICE BLAST 4 3 22 22½ 22 2nk 12½ (villa franci)HALDAR J 124 3.00 3.70  
2  SMASH 2 1 12 12½ 12 1nk 22½ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 27% 2.70 1.60 DQ↓3
3  SUDDEN SHIFT 3 5 44 46 32 3.2 38½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 ★ 1.70 P
8  VENETIAN DREAM 5 2 32 33 45 45¾ 415¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 14.10  
1  CANDY CRUSHEM 1 4 55 57 58 57¼ 520 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 6.00 26% 2.80 3.90  
SCR  APPRAISAL               (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
SCR  CAMP PENDLETON               (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
SCR  ITASCA               (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
SCR  SUPPLY CHAIN               (bernardini jay )LEON A 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   01/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:143 1:283   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BOBBY'S GIFT 8 1 44 31½ 21½ 1nk 11¼ (bernardini jay )LEON A 126 5.00 16% 5.20 3.60 W
3  CITY PLAN 2 3 21½ 1nk 11½ 2nk 21¼ (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 126 4.50 6% 16.60 3.30 P
4  GILES 3 2 67½ 64¾ 45½ 32½ 34½ (cline robert)HALDAR J 126 3.50 55% 0.80 2.90 S
6  DUEL FUEL 5 8 56 54¼ 65¾ 43½ 45 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00 15.20  
8  OPEN OUT 6 5 88½ 86¾ 75¾ 64½ 56¼ (londono od)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 8.00 13.10  
5  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 4 7 33½ 41¾ 35 54 67¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 10.00 5.40  
2  MAJOR LLOYD 1 4 11½ 2nk 55½ 812½ 726½ (lopez carlos)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
9  GUARD 7 6 77½ 75¼ 86¾ 711½ 828¼ (thompson erin)BARBARAN ERIK 126 10.00 8.40  
SCR  EMPEROR'S GOLD               (lopez carlos )BRACHO A 126 6.00    
SCR  EXALTED JOY               (vecchio caryn)TOLEDO S 126 10.00    
 
MVR-6   01/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  QUEENIE ROSE 6 1 75¼ 61¼   42½ 1nk (cline robert )BRACHO A 124 3.50 ★ 4.70  
2  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 2 6 52¾ 51¼   32 2nk (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 10% 8.90 7.40 P
5  SWEET UNIQUE 5 7 1nk 1½   12 3¼ (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 2.00 40% 1.50 1.90 S
7  BODIL 7 2 41¾ 3½   22 43 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 27% 2.70 1.80  
1  SPICE ICE 1 5 62¾ 72¼   52¾ 53¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 8.00 6.70  
4  MISS BUMBUM 4 3 2nk 41   73¾ 610¼ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 14.80  
3  DANCE DRAMA 3 4 3.2 2½   63¼ 712¼ (salcedo ramo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 25.20  
 
MVR-7   01/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:00     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE 6 3 21 2nk   14 18¼ (ruberto louis)BRACHO A 126 3.00 1.10  
8  KAT TRAX 8 1 75¾ 76   37½ 28¼ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 2.50 27% 2.70 3.20 P
4  KISS VALENTINA 4 2 11 1nk   24 312¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 6.50  
2  ONE RICH KITTEN 2 7 53½ 54½   47½ 412¼ (sweeting craig)JURADO EDDIE 124 15.00 5% 19.00 33.30  
7  TWISTED JUSTICE 7 5 32 33   510 513½ (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 2.00 27% 2.70 9.90  
1  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 1 8 86¼ 65   611 621 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 8.70  
3  WHYNAUGHTY 3 6 42 44   713½ 722¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00 17% 4.70 6.90  
5  KERRI'S MIRACLE 5 4 63¾ 88   818 845 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00 26.20  
 
MVR-8   01/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:144 1:284   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LIVING THE DREAM 3 7 64¼ 57 32 14 16 (shanno)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00 30% 2.40 4.40 W
  (by DREAMLINER out of PYRITE BLUE MAGNA by MAGNA GRADUATE)
7  BLUE NOMORE 6 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 24 26 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 118 3.50 27% 2.60 1.10 P
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MISSAP by A. P. WARRIOR)
1  LIAM'S ROCKET MAN 1 6 42½ 67¼ 65¼ 49½ 320½ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 5.00 14% 6.10 2.40 S
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GREAT DAY by ACTION THIS DAY)
8  STORMED OUT 7 2 3½ 1½ 1nk 38 422¼ (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 4.50 9.50  
  (by RACE DAY out of TRUE STORM by FUTURE STORM)
2  MOR CRAFTY 2 4 52¾ 44½ 55¼ 510½ 522¼ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 20.00 24.20  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
6  SAMURAI WAY 5 1 1½ 3½ 45 613 645 (barton amand)ROSARIO L 126 6.00 ★ 9.00  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TEXAS AGGIE by NALEES MAN)
5  RED HEAD LADY 4 5 77¾ 712¼ 714¼ 722 747½ (shannon jenn)HALDAR J 121 20.00 28.90  
  (by MINESHAFT out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
SCR  EL SORDO               (romero a)HOUGHTON D 126 4.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.