Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(2/5)-(6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(6/4)-(2/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/8)-(6/4/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(2/1)-(4/10/3/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4/10/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4/10/3/2)-(5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/10/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/3/2)-(4/10/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/3/2)-(4/10/3/2)-(4/10/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/10/3/2)-(5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/10/3/2)-(5/7/2)-(7/8/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(7/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(7/8/3/2)-(4/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/3/2)-(4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY Dec13 Nov27 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 126 15.00    
2  LEWIS AND CLARK Dec13 Sep09 Jul05 Jun01 Apr25 (wilson jr)VIGIL NOEL 126 4.50 13% 6.60    
3  SOMETHING ON TAP Dec21 Nov22 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 44% 1.30    
4  RUNAWAY RUSSELL Dec21 Nov22 Mar13 Feb23 Feb08 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
SCR  MAILS HERE Dec12 Nov27 Oct25 Oct06   (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 126 3.00    
6  PAYMASTER GENERAL Dec13 Nov27 Sep29 Aug09 Jul22 (barker scott )TOLEDO S 126 8.00    
7  NOAH MY BABY Dec19 Nov16 Oct31 Oct12   (poole m)AVILES YAN 118 3.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  ROUGE TU RICHES Dec12 Nov27 Oct25 Oct11 Sep21 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00    
 
MVR-2   01/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BROTHER CAM Dec18 Nov29 Oct13 Sep26 Sep05 (ra)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
2  RUNAWAY HARRY Dec18 Nov13 Oct11 Aug28 Aug08 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 126 1.40 49% 1.00    
3  MUGSY MALONE Dec18 Nov15 Oct23 Sep18 Aug28 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 126 6.00    
SCR  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Dec10 Oct23 Oct06 Sep26 Aug07 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
5  RAVEN MOON Dec26 Dec04 Nov14 Oct28 Sep18 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  RAISON KARTER Dec18 Nov10 Sep20 Sep13 Aug16 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 2.00    
 
MVR-3   01/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEACE OF EKATI Dec27 Dec04 Nov07 Oct23 Oct09 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
SCR  MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU Dec20 Dec07 Nov17 Oct09 Aug02 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
SCR  CUMBER Dec20 Nov20 Oct25 Oct04 Aug15 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
4  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Dec27 Dec14 Dec06 Nov08 Oct31 (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  PERFETTO Dec05 Oct23 Oct11 Jul10 Jun25 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.50    
6  MANSFIELD TIGER Dec12 Nov13 Oct26 Oct04 Sep13 (eggleston tim)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
7  RUBINSTEIN Dec27 Dec06 Nov16 Nov01 Oct04 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
8  PRIVATE LAKE Dec12 Nov13 Oct17 Sep12 Jul03 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 3.50 ★    
9  GEH SCHNELL Dec26 Dec12 Nov21 Oct13 Sep26 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
 
MVR-4   01/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY CRUSHEM Dec26 Dec13 Nov15 Nov02 Oct09 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 6.00 26% 2.80    
2  SMASH Dec26 Dec06 Oct31 Sep26 Sep11 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  SUDDEN SHIFT Dec26 Dec06 Oct31 Oct13 Sep20 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 ★    
SCR  ITASCA Dec18 Nov20 Oct31 Oct13 Sep26 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
5  ICE BLAST Nov10 Sep20 Aug30 Aug23 Jul26 (villa franci)HALDAR J 124 3.00    
SCR  SUPPLY CHAIN Dec20 Nov02 Oct02 Sep10 Aug27 (bernardini jay )LEON A 124 8.00    
SCR  APPRAISAL Dec20 Dec12 Nov27 Oct31 Oct10 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
8  VENETIAN DREAM Dec26 Dec18 Nov30 Nov20 Nov13 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
SCR  CAMP PENDLETON Dec26 Nov15 Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
 
MVR-5   01/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EXALTED JOY Dec27 Dec12 Nov21 Nov02 Oct13 (vecchio caryn)TOLEDO S 126 10.00    
2  MAJOR LLOYD Dec06 Nov13 Dec14 Nov29 Nov02 (lopez carlos)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CITY PLAN Dec26 Oct11 Sep03 Aug24 Aug18 (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 126 4.50 6% 16.60    
4  GILES Dec12 Dec05 Nov02 Sep11 Aug24 (cline robert)HALDAR J 126 3.50 55% 0.80    
5  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Dec27 Dec05 Nov08 Oct25 Oct14 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 10.00    
6  DUEL FUEL Jan02 Dec27 Dec05 Nov16 Oct31 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00    
SCR  EMPEROR'S GOLD Jan01 Dec06 Nov05 Sep26 Sep08 (lopez carlos )BRACHO A 126 6.00    
8  OPEN OUT Jan01 Sep27 Sep13 Sep05 Aug14 (londono od)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 8.00    
9  GUARD Dec27 Dec16 Nov01 Oct04 Sep20 (thompson erin)BARBARAN ERIK 126 10.00    
10  BOBBY'S GIFT Dec27 Dec07 Feb16 Dec21 Nov26 (bernardini jay )LEON A 126 5.00 16% 5.20    
 
MVR-6   01/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPICE ICE Dec12 Nov28 Nov09 Sep28 Aug28 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
2  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Nov28 Nov09 Oct25 Sep11 Jul24 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 10% 8.90    
3  DANCE DRAMA Dec06 Nov21 Oct25 Oct04 Sep11 (salcedo ramo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
4  MISS BUMBUM Nov21 Oct05 Aug30 Dec15 Nov15 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
5  SWEET UNIQUE Jul04 Jun01       (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  QUEENIE ROSE Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Oct23 Oct04 (cline robert )BRACHO A 124 3.50 ★    
7  BODIL Dec12 Nov28 Nov09 Oct04 Aug19 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-7   01/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ Dec05 Nov06 Oct02 Sep14 Aug29 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
2  ONE RICH KITTEN Dec20 Nov28 Nov06 Oct21 Oct04 (sweeting craig)JURADO EDDIE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  WHYNAUGHTY Nov28 Oct25 Oct06 Aug10 Jun24 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00 17% 4.70    
4  KISS VALENTINA Dec12 Nov09 Oct06 Sep14 Aug24 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
5  KERRI'S MIRACLE Dec12 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jun27 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00    
6  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Dec21 Aug31 May23 Apr24 Mar09 (ruberto louis)BRACHO A 126 3.00    
7  TWISTED JUSTICE Dec21 Nov30 Nov14 Sep22 Aug30 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 2.00 27% 2.70    
8  KAT TRAX Dec12 Nov09 Oct21 Aug31 Aug01 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-8   01/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIAM'S ROCKET MAN Dec11 Jul22 Aug13 Jul12   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 5.00 14% 6.10    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GREAT DAY by ACTION THIS DAY)
2  MOR CRAFTY Dec12 Nov27 Aug31 Aug09 Jul24 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
SCR  EL SORDO Dec12 Nov27 Oct25 Oct11 Aug28 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 126 4.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
4  LIVING THE DREAM Dec18 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 Oct11 (shanno)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00 30% 2.40    
  (by DREAMLINER out of PYRITE BLUE MAGNA by MAGNA GRADUATE)
5  RED HEAD LADY Dec21         (shannon jennif)DIAZ I 121 20.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
6  SAMURAI WAY Dec12 Oct25 Oct06 Sep09 Aug09 (barton amand)ROSARIO L 126 6.00 ★    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TEXAS AGGIE by NALEES MAN)
7  BLUE NOMORE Nov16 Oct31       (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 118 3.50 27% 2.60    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MISSAP by A. P. WARRIOR)
8  STORMED OUT Nov27 Oct25 Oct06 Sep09 Jul22 (cline c)PAUCAR E 126 4.50    
  (by RACE DAY out of TRUE STORM by FUTURE STORM)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.