Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $29.20 $23.20 387%
MVR-5   WIN (2/5/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $8.80 $0.80 10%
    SFT (2/5/11/8)-(2/5/11/8/6)-(2/5/11/8/6)-(2/5/11/8/6) 96 $0.10 $9.60  2-11-6-8 $30.39 $20.79 217%
MVR-6   DD (2/5/11/8)-(6/5/2/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00  2-6 $39.00 $7.00 22%
MVR-8   EXA (3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-5 $42.20 $18.20 76%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:003     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STANDINGINTHEFIRE 1 3 11 1nk   1½ 1 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00 32% 2.10 13.60 W
MO SNOW 5 2 43 4   3½ 2 (londono od)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 20.00 13.00  
FATHER OF LIES 4 5 21 2nk   2½ 34 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00 4.60  
WILDERZAR 6 1 6 5   5 4 (wilson david )BRACHO A 126 4.00 39% 1.60 1.20  
SUGAR HOOF 3 6 3 3.2   42 56 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 3.80  
BALAMOR 2 4 53 6   6 615¼ (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 126 4.50 2.80  
SCR  FAST STRIDE               (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 3.00    
SCR  MR. BLUTARSKY               (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 5.00    
SCR  QUESTION MARK               (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00    
 
MVR-2   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTESS COLETTE 4 3 3 2nk   1nk 14 (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 5.90  
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MOBIL BONNET by MOBIL)
AMY'S STAR 2 6 2nk 1nk   2nk 24 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 122 4.00 3.20 P
  (by DRILL out of STELLA GIRL by BELLAMY ROAD)
WINGS OF HEAVEN 7 2 712¼ 813¼   6 315 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 10.40  
  (by FORT LARNED out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
MERRIEMELOUIE 6 8 814¼ 713¼   59 415¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 24.20  
  (by TENKOZ out of MERRIE'S PRIDE by GRINDSTONE)
COWGIRLS HUMOR 1 7 6 613   810¼ 519 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 72.40  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of CHIC CAT by TIGER RIDGE)
RIVER HUSTLER 3 5 5 512½   7 619¼ (cline c)YARANGA Y 122 10.00 38.50  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of I'M READY by MORE THAN READY)
MY DANIELA 5 4 4 4   47 720¼ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50 15% 5.50 5.30  
  (by ONE SIDED out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
LIGHTENING LOTTIE 8 1 1nk 3½   3 823 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 1.60 57% 0.80 0.90  
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
 
MVR-3   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAS ORO 2 5 31 31   12 11 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 30.30  
MSHINDI 8 4 4 21   22 21 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 19% 4.30 0.70 P
FROSTY PAWS 1 7 5 5   45 35 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 2.50 29% 2.50 3.60 S
DOMI 5 10 108 10   6 49 (mahan jose)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 17.70  
AKITO 7 3 11 11   32 5 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 4.00 27% 2.80 8.50  
NATURE OFTHE BEAST 4 8 9 8   7 610½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
MINDSHIP Q 6 9 73 6   5 713½ (londono od)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00 85.90  
LEGEND 3 6 8 9   810¾ 819 (cordero-lopez ale)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 15.90  
DR. ROGER 9 2 6 74   1011¾ 920½ (cordero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 30.50  
10  WHEN IN ROME 10 1 21 4   911¾ 1022¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 46.90  
 
MVR-4   01/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:221 :464       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DULCE VICTORIA 8 2 2 2   2nk 1 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 20.30  
ENCHANTED MELODY 2 5 6 511   4 2 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 13.00  
MISS SHADY 4 8 35 36   33 3 (trevino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 22% 3.50 6.50 S
BLUE HOUR 7 4 1 1   1nk 44 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.60 47% 1.10 0.50  
MOONTAP 6 9 912 814   7 5 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 9.40  
FALL CAMPAIGN 5 3 4 49   5 6 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 6.50  
MY GIRL GABBY 1 6 710½ 713   6 76 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
JUMP INTO SANITY 3 7 811 914   910¼ 812 (skerrett j)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00 42.30  
VAVITE 9 1 5 612   810¼ 912¼ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 25.90  
 
MVR-5   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :461 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKSTAR RO 2 6 45 32   1nk 12 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 33% 2.10 3.40 W
11  UNCLE EARL 9 1 34 4   2nk 22 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 12% 7.30 1.10 P
FOX RED 5 5 2 22   4 36 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 3.00 4.70 S
SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE 6 3 77 7   5 411 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 5% 17.20 15.70  
UHAVETOBEKITTENME 3 4 1 12   3 511½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 40.60  
CALL WEST 7 9 915 910¼   8 611¾ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00 42.40  
10  GEMO RAIN 8 2 5 8   9 715½ (crumley jevon)VEGA L 124 20.00 44.30  
STRIKE A BEAT 1 7 89 6   6 816¼ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 12.00 12.00  
T MONEY 4 8 66 5   7 917¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 26% 2.90 5.80  
SCR  FIVE STAR PHIL               (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
SCR  HONOR LIFE               (van d)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
SCR  SECRET LIFE STYLE               (roberson don)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:01     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY PATTY 6 4 2½ 1nk   1 1 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 5.00 40% 1.50 1.30 W
ANGEL'S DESTINY 3 9 8 6   5 2 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 3.50 9.50 P
PENNY'S TREASURE 4 7 53 32   3 36 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00 4.40  
TITEBLUEJEANS 1 8 7 8   6 4 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
RUBY LAYNE 5 5 32 4   4 511¼ (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 24% 3.20 3.20  
HOLLYS SUPER STAR 2 6 1½ 2nk   2 613 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 6.00 14% 5.90 7.60  
WELLOILEDCAT 7 3 913 9   9 713¼ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 53.40  
BONNIE'S BEST 8 2 6 7   7 813¼ (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 21.00  
TWILIGHT BEAUTY 9 1 42 53   8 920½ (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 72.90  
 
MVR-7   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:251 :483 1:133 1:273   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S CRAFTY 3 1 59 48 4 31 1nk (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 3.60  
KINGDOM QUEEN 4 4 33 3 1nk 1nk 2nk (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 22% 3.50 1.20 P
LOST BIKINI 2 5 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 3 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 36% 1.80 3.00 S
TIMELY SECRET 1 2 1 1½ 3.2 43 413¼ (hetrick krist)BRACHO A 124 3.50 4.90  
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 5 3 47 58 5 5 519¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00 6.10  
SCR  AUNT BEE               (ginter j)AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
SCR  TARGE               (perri gina)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:252 :491 1:142 1:274   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWING STATE 1 4 11 11 11 1 13 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 6% 14.70 2.10 W
HIDDEN ACCESS 5 1 21 21 21 2 23 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 12% 7.00 7.80 P
ONE MORE CHAPTER 2 6 32 5 3 3 34 (meyers sha)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 9.10  
KNOCK WOOD 8 2 6 4 5 5 4 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 4.50 14% 6.00 6.00  
PAINT THE TOWN 3 7 53 6 42 43 56 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 44% 1.30 1.10  
HITE 6 5 42 3 65 7 617 (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 23.40  
CHOCOLATE PHILLING 4 3 76 7 75 6 718 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 32.80  
DASH OF FIRE 7 8 810 811¾ 8 8 819 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 126 20.00 55.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.