The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - January 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $29.20 $29.20 23.20
MVR-2   Win (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $13.80 -6.00
MVR-3   Win (1/7/8/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $62.60 -10.00
MVR-4   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $42.60 -6.00
MVR-5   Win (2/5/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 0.80
MVR-6   Win (6/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -3.40
MVR-7   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $9.20 -4.00
MVR-8   Win (3/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 -1.80

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:003     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STANDINGINTHEFIRE 1 3 11 1nk   1½ 1(gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00 32% 2.10 13.60 W
MO SNOW 5 2 43 4   3½ 2(londono odin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 20.00 13.00  
FATHER OF LIES 4 5 21 2nk   2½ 34 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00 4.60  
WILDERZAR 6 1 6 5   54(wilson jr)BRACHO A 126 4.00 39% 1.60 1.20  
SUGAR HOOF 3 6 3 3.2   42 56 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 3.80  
BALAMOR 2 4 53 6   6615¼ (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 126 4.50 2.80  
SCR  FAST STRIDE               (clouston edwa)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 3.00    
SCR  MR. BLUTARSKY               (smit)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 5.00    
SCR  QUESTION MARK               (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00    
 
MVR-2   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTESS COLETTE 4 3 3 2nk   1nk 14 (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 5.90  
AMY'S STAR 2 6 2nk 1nk   2nk 24 (pappada a)BRACHO A 122 4.00 3.20 P
WINGS OF HEAVEN 7 2 712¼ 813¼   6315 (tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 10.40  
MERRIEMELOUIE 6 8 814¼ 713¼   59 415¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 24.20  
COWGIRLS HUMOR 1 7 6 613   810¼ 519 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 122 20.00 72.40  
RIVER HUSTLER 3 5 5 512½   7619¼ (cline c)YARANGA Y 122 10.00 38.50  
MY DANIELA 5 4 4 4   47 720¼ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50 15% 5.50 5.30  
LIGHTENING LOTTIE 8 1 1nk 3½   3823 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 1.60 57% 0.80 0.90  
 
MVR-3   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAS ORO 2 5 31 31   12 11 (schuster r)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00 30.30  
MSHINDI 8 4 4 21   22 21 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 19% 4.30 0.70 P
FROSTY PAWS 1 7 5 5   45 35 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 2.50 29% 2.50 3.60 S
DOMI 5 10 108 10   649 (mahan joseph)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 17.70  
AKITO 7 3 11 11   32 5(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 4.00 27% 2.80 8.50  
NATURE OFTHE BEAST 4 8 9 8   7610½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
MINDSHIP Q 6 9 73 6   5713½ (londono odin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00 85.90  
LEGEND 3 6 8 9   810¾ 819 (cordero-lopez alexi)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 15.90  
DR. ROGER 9 2 6 74   1011¾ 920½ (cordero-l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 30.50  
10  WHEN IN ROME 10 1 21 4   911¾ 1022¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 46.90  
 
MVR-4   01/11/2024 3630ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:221 :464       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DULCE VICTORIA 8 2 2 2   2nk 1(schuster r)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 20.30  
ENCHANTED MELODY 2 5 6 511   42(faulkner rodne)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 13.00  
MISS SHADY 4 8 35 36   33 3(trevino s)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 22% 3.50 6.50 S
BLUE HOUR 7 4 1 1   1nk 44 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.60 47% 1.10 0.50  
MOONTAP 6 9 912 814   75(rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 9.40  
FALL CAMPAIGN 5 3 4 49   56(sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 6.50  
MY GIRL GABBY 1 6 710½ 713   676 (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
JUMP INTO SANITY 3 7 811 914   910¼ 812 (skerrett jef)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00 42.30  
VAVITE 9 1 5 612   810¼ 912¼ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 25.90  
 
MVR-5   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :461 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKSTAR RO 2 6 45 32   1nk 12 (sullivan)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 33% 2.10 3.40 W
11  UNCLE EARL 9 1 34 4   2nk 22 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 12% 7.30 1.10 P
FOX RED 5 5 2 22   436 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 3.00 4.70 S
SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE 6 3 77 7   5411 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 5% 17.20 15.70  
UHAVETOBEKITTENME 3 4 1 12   3511½ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 40.60  
CALL WEST 7 9 915 910¼   8611¾ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00 42.40  
10  GEMO RAIN 8 2 5 8   9715½ (crumley jevon)VEGA L 124 20.00 44.30  
STRIKE A BEAT 1 7 89 6   6816¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 12.00 12.00  
T MONEY 4 8 66 5   7917¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 26% 2.90 5.80  
SCR  FIVE STAR PHIL               (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
SCR  HONOR LIFE               (van den)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
SCR  SECRET LIFE STYLE               (roberson don)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:01     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY PATTY 6 4 2½ 1nk   11(smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 5.00 40% 1.50 1.30 W
ANGEL'S DESTINY 3 9 8 6   52(morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.50 9.50 P
PENNY'S TREASURE 4 7 53 32   336 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00 4.40  
TITEBLUEJEANS 1 8 7 8   64(rone)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
RUBY LAYNE 5 5 32 4   4511¼ (fletcher)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 24% 3.20 3.20  
HOLLYS SUPER STAR 2 6 1½ 2nk   2613 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 124 6.00 14% 5.90 7.60  
WELLOILEDCAT 7 3 913 9   9713¼ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 53.40  
BONNIE'S BEST 8 2 6 7   7813¼ (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 21.00  
TWILIGHT BEAUTY 9 1 42 53   8920½ (salcedo ramo)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 72.90  
 
MVR-7   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:251 :483 1:133 1:273   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S CRAFTY 3 1 59 48 4 31 1nk (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 3.60  
KINGDOM QUEEN 4 4 33 3 1nk 1nk 2nk (sullivan)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 22% 3.50 1.20 P
LOST BIKINI 2 5 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 3(reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 36% 1.80 3.00 S
TIMELY SECRET 1 2 1 1½ 3.2 43 413¼ (hetrick krista )BRACHO A 124 3.50 4.90  
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 5 3 47 58 5 5519¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00 6.10  
SCR  AUNT BEE               (ginter jr)AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
SCR  TARGE               (perri gina)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:252 :491 1:142 1:274   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWING STATE 1 4 11 11 11 113 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 6% 14.70 2.10 W
HIDDEN ACCESS 5 1 21 21 21 223 (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 12% 7.00 7.80 P
ONE MORE CHAPTER 2 6 32 5 3 334 (meyers shane)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00 9.10  
KNOCK WOOD 8 2 6 4 5 54(tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 4.50 14% 6.00 6.00  
PAINT THE TOWN 3 7 53 6 42 43 56 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 44% 1.30 1.10  
HITE 6 5 42 3 65 7617 (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 23.40  
CHOCOLATE PHILLING 4 3 76 7 75 6718 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 32.80  
DASH OF FIRE 7 8 810 811¾ 8 8819 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 126 20.00 55.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.