Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/4)-(8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/4)-(8/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4)-(8/5/6)-(1/7/8/4/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-2   WIN (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/6)-(8/5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/6)-(8/5/2/6)-(8/5/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/6)-(1/7/8/4/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6)-(1/7/8/4/10)-(7/4/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-3   WIN (1/7/8/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/4/10)-(1/7/8/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/4/10)-(1/7/8/4/10)-(1/7/8/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/8/4/10)-(7/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/4/10)-(7/4/1)-(2/5/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/6/1/8)-(7/4/6/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(2/5/11/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(2/5/11/8)-(6/5/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/5/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/11/8)-(2/5/11/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/11/8)-(2/5/11/8/6)-(2/5/11/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/11/8)-(6/5/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/11/8)-(6/5/2/1)-(2/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/3/1)-(6/5/2/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/2/1)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/1)-(2/4)-(3/8/5/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(3/8/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STANDINGINTHEFIRE Dec27 Dec03 Oct11 Oct05 Sep17 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00 32% 2.10    
2  BALAMOR Dec28 Nov17       (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 126 4.50    
SCR  MR. BLUTARSKY Nov29 Nov07 Oct23 Sep09 Aug26 (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 5.00    
4  SUGAR HOOF Dec02 Nov11 Oct28 Oct05 Sep01 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  FATHER OF LIES Dec18 Dec05 Nov06 May14 Apr21 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00    
SCR  QUESTION MARK Nov16 Nov05       (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00    
7  MO SNOW Jun13 May25 Mar17 Jan21 Sep08 (londono od)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 20.00    
8  WILDERZAR Dec18 Dec05 Nov16 Nov09 Oct30 (wilson david )BRACHO A 126 4.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  FAST STRIDE Aug12         (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 3.00    
 
MVR-2   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWGIRLS HUMOR Dec28 Dec13 Nov28 Nov13 Oct28 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 122 20.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of CHIC CAT by TIGER RIDGE)
2  AMY'S STAR         (pappada julie)BRACHO A 122 4.00 ★    
  (by DRILL out of STELLA GIRL by BELLAMY ROAD)
3  RIVER HUSTLER Dec28         (cline c)YARANGA Y 122 10.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of I'M READY by MORE THAN READY)
4  COUNTESS COLETTE         (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MOBIL BONNET by MOBIL)
5  MY DANIELA Dec13 Nov28       (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
  (by ONE SIDED out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
6  MERRIEMELOUIE Nov28         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TENKOZ out of MERRIE'S PRIDE by GRINDSTONE)
7  WINGS OF HEAVEN Dec28 Dec13 Nov28     (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
8  LIGHTENING LOTTIE Dec28         (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 1.60 57% 0.80    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
 
MVR-3   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY PAWS Jan03 Dec05 Nov09 Nov26   (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
2  MAS ORO Dec19 Nov30 Nov15 Oct25 Oct03 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 124 8.00    
3  LEGEND Dec10 Nov24 Oct28 Jun16 Apr08 (cordero-lopez ale)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
4  NATURE OFTHE BEAST Dec19 Dec12 Nov27 Nov12 Nov02 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  DOMI Jan04 Dec19 Dec12 Nov15 Nov01 (mahan jose)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00    
6  MINDSHIP Q Dec19 Dec04 Nov15 Nov01 Oct16 (londono od)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00    
7  AKITO Dec27 Dec18 Nov15     (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 4.00 27% 2.80    
8  MSHINDI Dec27 Nov30 Oct31 Oct16 Oct02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
9  DR. ROGER Dec13 Oct16 Sep29 Sep13 Aug25 (cordero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
10  WHEN IN ROME Dec27 Nov16 Nov02 Jun20 Jun06 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   01/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY GIRL GABBY Dec05 Nov01 Oct23 Sep26 Aug29 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ENCHANTED MELODY Dec28 Dec04 Nov14 Sep14 Aug22 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00    
3  JUMP INTO SANITY Dec13 Nov07 Oct23 Oct09 Sep19 (skerrett j)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00    
4  MISS SHADY Dec11 Dec03 Oct17 Sep24 Sep11 (trevino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
5  FALL CAMPAIGN Dec28 Dec13 Nov13 Oct02 Sep20 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 6.00    
6  MOONTAP Jan03 Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Oct25 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 ★    
7  BLUE HOUR Dec27 Dec08 Nov03 Oct07 Aug26 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.60 47% 1.10    
8  DULCE VICTORIA Dec28 Dec13 Nov27 Nov13 Oct19 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 ★    
9  VAVITE Dec28 Dec13 Nov27 Nov01 Oct23 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
 
MVR-5   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKE A BEAT Dec12 Nov22 Nov08 May20 May01 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
2  ROCKSTAR RO Dec01 Nov05 Oct07 Sep09 Aug19 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  FIVE STAR PHIL Dec30 Dec11 Nov19 Aug11 Jul21 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
4  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Jan03 Dec18 Dec05 Nov22 Nov12 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
5  T MONEY Dec14 Nov22 Aug22 Jul11 Jun07 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
6  FOX RED Jan03 Dec15 Dec07 Nov22 Nov02 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 3.00 ★    
SCR  SECRET LIFE STYLE Dec13 Dec05 Nov26 Oct08 Sep24 (roberson don)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
8  SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE Dec18 Dec06 Nov26 Nov13 Oct31 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 5% 17.20    
9  CALL WEST Dec26 Dec14 Nov29 Nov15 Nov06 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
10  GEMO RAIN Jan03 Aug12 Jul21 Jul05 Jun23 (crumley jevon)VEGA L 124 20.00    
11  UNCLE EARL Jan01 Dec07 Nov30 Oct30 Oct05 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 12% 7.30    
SCR  HONOR LIFE Dec18 Dec04 Nov08 Oct22 Oct09 (van d)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
 
MVR-6   01/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TITEBLUEJEANS Dec20 Dec06 Nov15 Oct25 Oct06 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOLLYS SUPER STAR Dec11 Nov22 Sep19 Aug30 Aug09 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 6.00 14% 5.90    
3  ANGEL'S DESTINY Dec07 Nov07 Oct03 Sep20 Sep11 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 3.50 ★    
4  PENNY'S TREASURE Dec06 Nov07 Oct23 Oct04 Sep04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
5  RUBY LAYNE Jan05 Dec06 Jun22 May31 Sep15 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  PRETTY PATTY Dec14 Nov14 Aug12 Jun29   (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 5.00 40% 1.50    
7  WELLOILEDCAT Dec21 Dec05 Nov06 Oct02 Aug23 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
8  BONNIE'S BEST Dec06 Apr27 Apr12 Mar08 Feb20 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
9  TWILIGHT BEAUTY Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMELY SECRET Dec03 Oct01 Jul22 Jun04 May20 (hetrick krist)BRACHO A 124 3.50 ★    
2  LOST BIKINI Dec19 Nov23 Oct01 Aug22 Jul30 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  SHE'S CRAFTY Dec19 Dec04 Sep26 Aug12 Jul25 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 6.00    
4  KINGDOM QUEEN Dec13 Nov26 Nov08 Oct27 Oct06 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 22% 3.50    
SCR  AUNT BEE Dec21 Nov16 Oct05 Sep22 Aug12 (ginter j)AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
6  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Dec21 Dec07 Nov16 Oct23 Oct03 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00    
SCR  TARGE Jan04 Mar04 Feb17 Jan21 Dec03 (perri gina)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   01/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWING STATE Dec30 Dec14 Nov14 Oct12 Sep19 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 6% 14.70    
2  ONE MORE CHAPTER Jan01 Nov22 Nov08 Sep05   (meyers sha)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 6.00    
3  PAINT THE TOWN Nov28 Oct23 Jun24 Jun02 May05 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
4  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Jan01 Nov06 Oct26 Oct11 Sep28 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
5  HIDDEN ACCESS Dec13 Aug26 Jul22 Jun02 May11 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 12% 7.00    
6  HITE Dec28 Dec18 Dec07 Nov28 Nov09 (vazquez ivan)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
7  DASH OF FIRE Dec28 Dec14 Nov14 Nov01 Oct04 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
8  KNOCK WOOD Dec28 Dec13 Nov28 Nov09 Oct30 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.