Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - December 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-3   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.20 $2.20 37%
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-3 $32.40 $20.40 170%
MVR-5   WIN (9/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $11.80 $3.80 48%
MVR-6   DD (9/2/5/6)-(3/8/5/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-8 $41.20 $9.20 29%
MVR-7   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    SFT (1/7/5)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 18 $0.10 $1.80  5-7-1-6 $11.49 $9.69 538%
    DD (3/8/5/2)-(1/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-5 $35.80 $11.80 49%
    PK3 (9/2/5/6)-(3/8/5/2)-(1/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-8-5 $51.00 $27.00 113%
MVR-8   TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-7-3 $19.05 $10.05 112%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:00
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MISS FUSSY PANTS 6 1 31½ 2½   13 111 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 2.50 2.20  
1  HOT CAROL 1 2 1nk 1½   23 211 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.00 1.50  
4  COWGIRL KIMMIE 3 5 55 32   35½ 311 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 8.00 8% 10.80 6.30 S
2  SWEET BELEN 2 3 2nk 42   47 414 (romero oscar)REYES FRANK 126 10.00 29% 2.50 6.60  
6  SABELLE 5 4 42 52½   57½ 516½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 31% 2.20 3.70  
5  CHORIST 4 6 613 612½   615½ 623¼ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 21.40  
SCR  JOYFUL NOISE               (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00    
 
MVR-2   12/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:31
See original race card.
:23 :474       1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ROSY APPLE 3 4 21 2nk   12 14¼ (morales m)REYES FRANK 126 2.00 39% 1.60 0.60 W
2  LA REINA DEL NORTE 2 3 11 1nk   22 24¼ (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 126 6.00 7.90  
6  FLYING BUSINESS 5 6 32 32   33½ 36 (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 126 20.00 6.20  
4  WOLF EYES 4 7 76 64¾   48½ 410¾ (guciardo robert)AVILES YAN 126 3.00 ★ 4.60  
1  BIRDIE BLUE 1 5 66 75¼   511½ 518¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00 43.40  
8  LUCKY ROAD 7 2 53½ 44   615½ 623½ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 4.00 34% 2.00 6.10  
7  DE PURA SANGRE 6 1 43 54¼   718½ 732¾ (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00 5% 19.00 30.20  
SCR  INDY PRINCESS KOKO               (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 126 5.00    
 
MVR-3   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:02
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DIVINE FASHION 6 3 51¼ 3.2   13 19¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.40 41% 1.40 3.10 W
3  KHOZZY VALINTINE 3 4 41¼ 4¾   23 29¼ (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 5.40 P
5  DIVINE MARTHA 5 2 3.2 2nk   34½ 313¾ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 4.60  
4  MISS OVER THERE 4 1 62¾ 52¼   57 416½ (manning richar)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 46.60  
1  FOR THE BISCUIT 1 5 1nk 1nk   45 518¾ (salas felipe)BRACHO A 123 1.60 34% 2.00 0.60  
2  HIGH SPEED 2 6 2nk 64¼   611 624¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 15.00 29.70  
 
MVR-4   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:012     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EARLY BLOOMER 5 6 75 63¼   5½ 1½ (barker scott )TOLEDO S 124 20.00 30.70  
4  ANGEL WINGS 4 5 42½ 41¼   1nk 2½ (flores israel)RIVERA R 124 15.00 5% 19.00 4.40 P
6  LADY FORTUNE 6 9 65 84¾   71 34¾ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.50 6% 14.90 4.60 S
10  MERE BAG OF SHELLS 10 1 21½ 1nk   2nk 45¼ (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 123 15.00 20.50  
7  FABULOUS CLOWN 7 2 109 96¼   83 55¼ (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 123 5.00 20% 4.00 7.00  
11  SORORITY SISTER 11 4 32 3.2   3.2 65¾ (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 3.10  
8  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE 8 7 54½ 51¼   4¼ 76¾ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 13.60  
2  PRICELESS PICTURE 2 8 86 106¾   93½ 87 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 123 8.00 31% 2.20 9.80  
9  OUT FOR FUN 9 10 97 74¼   105½ 97 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 16% 5.50 4.90  
3  MISS ELLIE 3 3 11½ 2nk   61 108¼ (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 15.00 16.10  
1  LEDGENDARY KITTEN 1 11 1112 118¾   117 119 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 20.00 37.50  
 
MVR-5   12/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :473       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MONTAUK COVE 5 5 21 31½   2nk 1½ (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 9% 10.80 4.90 W
7  QUICK ENTRY 6 4 11 1½   1nk 2½ (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 9.80  
5  NICHOLAS JAMES 4 2 54 54   4¾ 3¾ (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 14% 5.90 3.40 S
8  ROCK ON KITTEN 7 3 44 43   51¼ 4¾ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 6.60  
9  AMIGO'S AFFAIR 8 1 32 2½   3½ 51¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 36% 1.80 2.80  
2  NEWS BOX 2 8 811¼ 812   74¾ 62¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 20% 3.90 3.50  
3  UNIDENTIFIED MAN 3 6 64¼ 64   62¾ 74 (urieta joh)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 10.20  
1  HARD N'SWEET 1 7 78¼ 76   88¾ 89¾ (vickers richar)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 28.10  
SCR  ALPINE GHOST               (watkins m)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   12/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:14 1:414   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  NEPOTISM 8 5 41¼ 2nk 12½ 13 16¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50 29% 2.40 2.70 W
10  SWELTER 10 7 63¾ 73¾ 43 23 26¼ (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 4.50 2.50  
1  ALEXIS N NIKO 1 2 1nk 31½ 53¼ 33 37 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.00 ★ 3.90 S
7  FIVE STAR PHIL 7 6 85½ 94¼ 63¾ 43½ 49 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 28.50  
5  STRASBOURG 5 8 53¾ 53 32½ 53¾ 512¼ (bernardini ja)BRACHO A 124 10.00 13% 6.70 15.50  
2  BOSS BEAR 2 3 96½ 84¼ 108½ 710¼ 618¾ (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 124 20.00 5% 19.00 40.70  
6  OCTOBER FROST 6 10 109½ 108¼ 98¼ 812¼ 719 (loesch)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 7.10  
3  RIKIO 3 1 2nk 42 22½ 67¾ 821 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 32% 2.10 6.70  
11  KING SOCIAL 11 11 1114½ 1113¼ 1111½ 1114¼ 922¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 35.60  
4  LONG RAP SHEET 4 9 74 63½ 73¾ 1013¼ 1026½ (urieta johanna)VIGIL NOEL 123 20.00 44.10  
9  MASTER 9 4 3.2 1nk 85¼ 912¾ 1131¾ (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 18.10  
SCR  CONGRATS THIS               (rhoden carlt)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   12/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:143 1:28   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SWING STATE 5 1 32 2nk 13½ 15 17 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 8% 10.90 2.60 W
7  ORFANO 7 6 68 64½ 35 25 27 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 123 2.50 17% 4.90 1.80 P
1  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 1 3 1½ 1nk 23½ 37½ 312 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 2.00 50% 1.00 1.80 S
6  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 6 4 45 42½ 55½ 512½ 416¼ (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 125 3.50 ★ 9.00  
3  CLEVELAND POWER 3 5 56 53½ 45 49½ 516½ (poole jam)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 27.40  
4  SMOOCHER 4 7 714 79½ 712½ 714½ 620 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 123 8.00 10.10  
2  ANIMO ROBERTO 2 2 2½ 3½ 68½ 614 721½ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 123 10.00 32.60  
 
MVR-8   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RIVOLI 4 3 62¾ 3½   12 14¾ (west w)BRACHO A 123 2.00 52% 0.90 0.50 W
7  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 7 1 21 2nk   22 24¾ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 3.50 ★ 5.80 P
3  RED GUN 3 5 52½ 51½   32½ 35¾ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00 8% 11.20 9.20 S
1  GOLD HERITAGE 1 6 31½ 41   44½ 47 (fadlov)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 22.00  
2  HALLOWEEN 2 4 11 1nk   56 512¾ (grubbs l)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 11% 8.10 7.70  
6  FALK 6 7 75¼ 63   69½ 612¾ (londono j)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 30.60  
5  HAPPY HOUR BOBBY 5 2 41½ 76   721½ 732½ (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 6.00  
 
MVR-9   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:23 :471 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RUNAWAY HAPPY 3 3 12 13   112 121 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 122 2.50 31% 2.30 1.10 W
  (by RUNHAPPY out of GREAT GOIN ROSE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
6  STICK AROUND 6 6 59 69   414 221 (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 122 5.00 16.20  
  (by WILDCAT RED out of OPIE by KOKAND)
7  MISS SPRINGSTEEN 7 1 22 34½   312 321¾ (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 11% 8.00 1.90 S
  (by GORMLEY out of MELANIE MAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
1  BOUNCE PASS 1 5 43 23   212 422¾ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 6.00 10% 9.00 13.50  
  (by GORMLEY out of PEYTON'S PASS by PASS RUSH)
4  MINESTRESS 4 8 611 58½   517 523¼ (brafford mi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.00 20% 4.10 4.80  
  (by MINESHAFT out of MATH CLASS by EDDINGTON)
5  SHAMANS IMAGE 5 7 713 714   728 639½ (barker scott )TOLEDO S 122 20.00 32.60  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LADY MONAVI by MONDAVI)
8  POINTOF ATTRACTION 8 2 33 46½   624 739½ (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 15.60  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of PRINCESS ADELYN by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  LATE BLOOMBOPPER 2 4 817 823   840 862¾ (barker scot)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 20.00 49.50  
  (by INDY WIND out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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