Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - December 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(3/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(3/8/7)-(6/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/7)-(3/8/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/7)-(3/8/4/7)-(3/8/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/7)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7)-(6/1/3)-(2/7/9/6/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-3   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(2/7/9/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(2/7/9/6/4)-(9/2/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/7/9/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/6/4)-(2/7/9/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/6/4)-(2/7/9/6/4)-(2/7/9/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/9/6/4)-(9/2/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/9/6/4)-(9/2/5/6)-(3/8/5/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (9/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/5/6)-(9/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/5/6)-(9/2/5/6)-(9/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/5/6)-(3/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/2/5/6)-(3/8/5/2)-(1/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/2)-(3/8/5/2/1)-(3/8/5/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/8/5/2)-(1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/2)-(1/7/5)-(4/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(4/2/3)-(3/4/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/7)-(4/2/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(3/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-9   WIN (3/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT CAROL Jul21 Jun04 May26 Feb22 Sep21 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 126 2.00    
2  SWEET BELEN Dec14 Nov28 Oct04 Sep20 Aug29 (romero oscar)REYES FRANK 126 10.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  JOYFUL NOISE Dec06 Oct07 Sep22 Jul17 Jul04 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00    
4  COWGIRL KIMMIE Nov08 Oct16 Sep25 Sep05 Aug23 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 8.00 8% 10.80    
5  CHORIST Dec04 Nov21 Oct29 Oct16 Sep24 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
6  SABELLE Dec14 Nov28 Sep27 Jul26 Jun26 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 31% 2.20    
7  MISS FUSSY PANTS Dec16 Dec01 May26 Apr29 Mar25 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 2.50    
 
MVR-2   12/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIRDIE BLUE Nov20 Oct29 Dec11 Nov27 Nov15 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 20.00    
2  LA REINA DEL NORTE Nov13 Oct24 Oct11 Sep20 Aug21 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 126 6.00    
3  ROSY APPLE Nov29 Nov08 Oct20 Oct07 Sep02 (morales m)REYES FRANK 126 2.00 39% 1.60    
4  WOLF EYES Aug27 May24 Jan31 Jan12 Dec08 (guciardo robert)AVILES YAN 126 3.00 ★    
SCR  INDY PRINCESS KOKO Oct04 Sep14 Aug21 Aug02 Jun21 (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 126 5.00    
6  FLYING BUSINESS Dec14 Nov28 Nov09 Sep27 Aug23 (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 126 20.00    
7  DE PURA SANGRE Nov29 Oct15 Oct01 Aug23 Aug08 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  LUCKY ROAD Nov29 Oct05 Sep11 Feb01 Dec20 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 4.00 34% 2.00    
 
MVR-3   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR THE BISCUIT Dec12 Nov28 Nov13 Nov01 Oct07 (salas felipe)BRACHO A 123 1.60 34% 2.00    
2  HIGH SPEED Dec06 Oct13 Sep09 Aug23 Jul30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
3  KHOZZY VALINTINE Nov30 Nov05 Oct13 Oct02 Sep05 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MISS OVER THERE Dec12 Jul17 Jun21 Jun01 May06 (manning richar)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00    
5  DIVINE MARTHA Dec12 Nov13 Jul27 Jul10 Jun21 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50    
6  DIVINE FASHION Dec07 Nov16 Oct14 Oct06 Jul29 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.40 41% 1.40    
 
MVR-4   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEDGENDARY KITTEN Oct06 Sep06 Jul22 Jun15 May26 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
2  PRICELESS PICTURE Nov02 Oct04 Sep22 Sep07 Aug26 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 123 8.00 31% 2.20    
3  MISS ELLIE Nov22 Oct23 Jun26 Jun13 Jun05 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
4  ANGEL WINGS Dec21 Jul06 Jun15 May17 Feb15 (flores israel)RIVERA R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  EARLY BLOOMER Dec07 Nov08 Oct06 Sep22 Sep06 (barker scott )TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
6  LADY FORTUNE Nov22 Nov02 Sep18 Jun26 Mar15 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.50 6% 14.90    
7  FABULOUS CLOWN Dec13 Nov28 Nov02 Oct09 Aug29 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 123 5.00 20% 4.00    
8  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Dec11 May24 May03 Apr12 Apr04 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
9  OUT FOR FUN Dec21 Nov02 Oct03 Sep04 Aug21 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 16% 5.50    
10  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Nov28 Nov02 Oct12 Aug31 Aug09 (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 123 15.00    
11  SORORITY SISTER Nov30 Nov09 Oct10 Sep07 Aug28 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00    
 
MVR-5   12/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD N'SWEET Dec10 Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 Sep05 (vickers richar)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
2  NEWS BOX Nov29 Nov04 Oct12 Aug28 Jul24 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
3  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Oct24 Sep28 Sep12 Aug22 Jul31 (urieta joh)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00    
SCR  ALPINE GHOST Dec16 Dec06 Jul01 Jun17 Jun04 (watkins m)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
5  NICHOLAS JAMES Dec07 Nov08 Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 14% 5.90    
6  MONTAUK COVE Dec06 Nov21 Oct10 Sep18 Aug16 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 9% 10.80    
7  QUICK ENTRY Dec06 Nov26 Nov05 Oct22 Oct09 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
8  ROCK ON KITTEN Nov30 Nov06 Oct10 Sep10 Aug16 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
9  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Nov30 Oct21 Sep12 Sep03 Jun21 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
MVR-6   12/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEXIS N NIKO Dec06 Nov15 Oct30 Oct05 Aug26 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.00 ★    
2  BOSS BEAR Dec11 Nov29 Oct31 Oct04 Aug28 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  RIKIO Dec11 Nov22 Sep21 Aug31 Aug15 (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 32% 2.10    
4  LONG RAP SHEET Dec06 Nov19 Nov13 Oct24 Oct09 (urieta johanna)VIGIL NOEL 123 20.00    
5  STRASBOURG Dec06 Nov22 Sep24 Sep10 Aug28 (bernardini ja)BRACHO A 124 10.00 13% 6.70    
6  OCTOBER FROST Dec15 Dec08 Nov19 Nov03 Oct20 (loesch)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
7  FIVE STAR PHIL Dec11 Nov19 Aug11 Jul21 Jul01 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
8  NEPOTISM Dec04 Nov22 Oct13 Sep25 Aug27 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
9  MASTER Dec06 Nov16 Nov08 Oct24 Sep27 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
10  SWELTER Dec12 Dec04 Nov15 Nov01 Sep27 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 4.50    
11  KING SOCIAL Dec06 Nov16 Oct18 Sep28 Sep11 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
SCR  CONGRATS THIS Dec06 Oct18 Sep20 Sep08 Jul27 (rhoden carlt)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   12/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Nov29 Nov08 Oct24 Oct02 Aug30 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 123 2.00 50% 1.00    
2  ANIMO ROBERTO Dec14 Nov29 Oct30 Sep07 Aug24 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 123 10.00    
3  CLEVELAND POWER Dec14 Nov22 Aug28 Aug15 Jul23 (poole jam)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00    
4  SMOOCHER Dec14 Nov29 Oct30 Aug10 Jul22 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 123 8.00    
5  SWING STATE Dec14 Nov14 Oct12 Sep19 Aug31 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 8% 10.90    
6  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Oct02 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 125 3.50 ★    
7  ORFANO Nov27 Oct25 Sep29 Aug31 Jul24 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 123 2.50 17% 4.90    
 
MVR-8   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD HERITAGE Nov09 Jun10 May17 Apr27 Mar29 (fadlov)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
2  HALLOWEEN Nov21 Sep13 Aug04 May02 Apr01 (grubbs l)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 11% 8.10    
3  RED GUN Dec04 Nov01 Oct22 Oct04 Sep24 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00 8% 11.20    
4  RIVOLI Nov30 Nov02 Sep21 Aug19 Jun20 (west w)BRACHO A 123 2.00 52% 0.90    
5  HAPPY HOUR BOBBY Aug26 Aug06 Jul27 Jul15 Jun18 (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
6  FALK Nov21 Oct13 Oct05 Sep20 Aug23 (londono j)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00    
7  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Dec20 Nov21 Oct13 Sep18 Dec05 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-9   12/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUNCE PASS         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 6.00 10% 9.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of PEYTON'S PASS by PASS RUSH)
2  LATE BLOOMBOPPER Dec13 Nov13 Sep27 Sep08   (barker scot)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 20.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
3  RUNAWAY HAPPY         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of GREAT GOIN ROSE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
4  MINESTRESS         (brafford mi)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by MINESHAFT out of MATH CLASS by EDDINGTON)
5  SHAMANS IMAGE Dec14 Nov14 Sep27 Sep13   (barker scott )TOLEDO S 122 20.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LADY MONAVI by MONDAVI)
6  STICK AROUND         (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 122 5.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of OPIE by KOKAND)
7  MISS SPRINGSTEEN Dec14 Nov29 Nov14 Oct30 Sep25 (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 11% 8.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of MELANIE MAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
8  POINTOF ATTRACTION Dec14 Nov14       (fad)GIRON ALEJANDRO 122 10.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of PRINCESS ADELYN by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.