The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - March 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
PEN-2   Win (5/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $6.00 -8.00
PEN-3   Win (5/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 -0.40
PEN-4   Win (4/9/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $19.60 $19.60 11.60
PEN-5   Win (5/4/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $16.80 -10.00
PEN-6   Win (9/3/1/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $19.40 $19.40 9.40
PEN-7   Win (9/6/11/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $21.20 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:22 :443 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) 4 5 6 5   22 1¼ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 41% 1.40 1.90 W
MOBEER 3 1 1½ 1nk   12 2¼ (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 3.30  
PUTTHEGLASSDOWN 2 6 5 4   33(moreno tito)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00 14.50  
GABE 5 2 2½ 2nk   446 (penaloza miguel)MENA E 120 5.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
PICTOR 6 4 32 3   55(kravets bru)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 30% 2.30 3.70  
SUNRISE JOURNEY 1 3 4 66   66(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 3.10  
SCR  GRAYWING               (englehart jeffre)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50    
SCR  SUTTON BREEZE               (o'callahan carl)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00    
 
PEN-2   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEN GABLES 6 6 3 1½   13 1¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 2.00  
BLAME CATALAYA 7 4 5 44   23 2¼ (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 2.30  
SCINTILLATING STAR 4 2 4 5   534 (vega richard)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 8.00 14% 6.10 29.30 S
MUSKOKA SUMMER 5 3 2 2½   34(chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 34% 1.90 1.80  
BILLIEANNE 1 8 7 6   65(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 30.20  
THUNDER BOSS 8 1 1 3½   44 6(beattie co)DAVIS A 120 5.00 20% 3.90 6.80  
PROSPECTIVE CANDY 3 5 6 7   7712½ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00 55.00  
LOVE IS STRONG 2 7 8 811¾   813½ 816 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 45.90  
SCR  UNION FOLLY               (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.50    
 
PEN-3   03/13/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:133 1:402   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELEVENMONTHSLATER 1 2 31 32 1nk 12 1(graci a)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 19% 4.20 2.80 W
INCONTROVERTIBLE 3 4 21 2 2nk 22 2(meister william)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00 6.80  
MAKE A SPLASH 6 5 4 6 5 53(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 11% 8.10 10.20 S
KENTUCKY REIGN 4 1 11 1 3½ 34 4(mcmahon dem)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 47% 1.10 0.80  
MOON POOL 2 3 5 44 4 457 (beattie sandee )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 15.20  
TRECHMO GIRL 8 6 810¾ 812 810½ 813½ 613 (kravets )SMITH DANIEL 117 12.00 59.70  
WIN FOR LAILA 7 7 7 7 7 610 713¾ (zalalas michael)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
DOROTHY'S THE BOSS 5 8 6 54 66 712½ 814¼ (sanchez-)RODRIGUEZ A 112 12.00 23.30  
SCR  MANITOULIN ISLAND               (garrido raul)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 12.00    
 
PEN-4   03/13/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:23 :463 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  JACKIE B GOOD 8 6 2½ 1½   1nk 1(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 5% 19.00 8.80 W
DOWSER 3 4 3 2½   3.2 2(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 46% 1.20 0.80 P
BULLET ON TAP 7 8 42 3½   2nk 3(ramirez silvino)CORREA JULIO 120 4.50 20% 3.90 2.20 S
BALI MOON 6 7 5 53   44(alvarado di)HERNANDEZ F 122 5.00 7.10  
LIL H 4 2 63 6   55(cifarell)SMITH DANIEL 115 30.00 70.10  
WE'LL SEE 5 1 1½ 4   66(beattie m)AGUILAR JEAN 110 8.00 9% 10.10 12.70  
SCOREBOARD LILY 1 5 84 75   77(kravets bru)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00 70.70  
MASKED HEROINE 2 3 73 8   811¾ 817¼ (o'callahan carl)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00 35.60  
SCR  CURLIN'S DOVE               (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50    
SCR  JUSTICE OR APPEAL               (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
 
PEN-5   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:141 1:273   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY TALLAHASSEE 8 5 56 43 2 21 12 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 7.40  
JUMP A FOX 6 3 33 31 1 11 22 (meister willi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 15.00 37.60  
WICKED KITTEN 5 8 7 6 4 43(allen ferris)MENA E 124 3.00 28% 2.60 4.60 S
MILLROSE 4 6 810½ 7 711½ 58 4(wolfe jr)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.50 26% 2.90 5.20  
SENSIBLE MARRIAGE 1 1 21 2nk 3 35 5(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 12.00 9% 9.80 1.40  
UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL 3 7 912½ 8 813½ 711½ 612¼ (stowers michell)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 33.70  
HAPPYINITIATIVE 9 4 4 5 5 611 712¾ (meister william )TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00 6.90  
DISCREETLIN JONES 2 2 11 1nk 6 813½ 818½ (rideout ronald)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 15.00 7% 14.20 64.30  
MUCHO MISSTIQUE 7 9 68 98 923½ 929½ 942¾ (linder jr)AGUILAR JEAN 119 6.00 5.80  
 
PEN-6   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE IS BAD 1 5 4 43   3½ 1(salvaggio v)CORA D 122 5.00 14% 6.30 8.70 W
GIUSEPPE 3 2 11 1½   1½ 2(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 18% 4.40 1.60 P
SEA TO AIR 4 4 3 2½   2½ 3(sullivan el)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 3.90  
LOCO 5 7 56 56   44 44 (hetrick ni)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 12% 7.50 3.50  
MONEY MAKING KAZ 2 9 610 610   610 510¼ (synnefias p)VARGAS L 120 8.00 49.60  
10  MILLBANK MAN 9 6 711 716   714½ 612 (cooper stacey)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
BORN HAPPY 7 3 812 816½   816 714½ (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 50.00 ######  
RAGING BEAR 8 1 21 3   5816 (albright amy)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 28% 2.50 5.50  
BODE O 6 8 914 917   917 917¼ (sanchez-pinero a)AGUILAR JEAN 115 8.00 21.70  
SCR  ALMOND CIDER               (perez rup)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
 
PEN-7   03/13/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:122 1:393   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSALISTIC 7 6 8 9 56 43 1(o'callahan)DAVIS A 124 6.00 9.60  
10  REBEL RULER 9 2 1 1½ 11 11 2(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 5.00 6.70  
ADY'S MUNNY 5 4 2 2½ 21 21 3(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 15% 5.70 6.00 S
SAMURAI SAINT 6 9 1011½ 87 6 74(o'callahan carl)ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00 10% 8.60 5.40  
SOUPER CATCH 8 3 32 3 34 554 (kreiser timothy )TORRES JOMAR 124 4.00 36% 1.80 2.40  
NOBLE CONQUEST 1 7 6 7 8 66(allen ferris)MENA E 124 20.00 57.00  
11  SIR SAHIB 10 10 77 65 44 37(sullivan el)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 12% 7.30 4.40  
THE GREAT CASBY 2 8 9 10 9 86 85 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 12.00 29.50  
A T M AWESOME 4 5 53 43 7 910 912¾ (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 15.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
JUPI'S LIGHTNING 3 1 4 53 1012¾ 1015 1022 (flores-coba f)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 10.00 10.60  
SCR  MAKABIM               (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 124 8.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI CANDY               (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.