Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - March 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/7)-(6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/7)-(5/9/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7)-(5/9/4/2)-(5/1/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/4/2)-(5/1/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/9/4/2)-(5/1/7/8)-(4/9/6/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/8)-(5/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/8)-(5/1/7/8)-(5/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/8)-(4/9/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/8)-(4/9/6/10)-(5/4/1/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/9/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/6/10)-(4/9/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/6/10)-(4/9/6/10)-(4/9/6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/6/10)-(5/4/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/9/6/10)-(5/4/1/2/3)-(9/3/1/6/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
PEN-5   WIN (5/4/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/2/3)-(5/4/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/2/3)-(5/4/1/2/3)-(5/4/1/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/1/2/3)-(9/3/1/6/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/2/3)-(9/3/1/6/10)-(9/6/11/7/5) 125 $1.00 $125 
PEN-6   WIN (9/3/1/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/1/6/10)-(9/3/1/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/1/6/10)-(9/3/1/6/10)-(9/3/1/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/1/6/10)-(9/6/11/7/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
PEN-7   WIN (9/6/11/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/11/7/5)-(9/6/11/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/11/7/5)-(9/6/11/7/5)-(9/6/11/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUTTON BREEZE Feb07 Jan12 Dec08 Nov21 Oct30 (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00    
SCR  GRAYWING Feb24 Jan25 Sep05 Aug01 Jul17 (englehart jeff)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50    
SUNRISE JOURNEY Feb19 Feb04 Nov10 Aug04 Jul04 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Feb23 Feb09 Jan25 Nov17 Sep20 (moreno tito)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 15.00    
MOBEER Feb09 Dec08 Nov16 Oct25 Aug17 (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) Dec11 Nov06 Oct13 Jan19 Oct17 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
GABE Jan02 Nov01 Aug12 Jul16 Apr29 (penaloza migue)ADORNO ABNER 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
PICTOR Feb23 Feb09 Dec08 Nov17 Oct25 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
 
PEN-2   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLIEANNE Feb23 Jan26 Nov22 Oct27 Sep06 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
LOVE IS STRONG Feb22 Aug24 Aug08 Jul21 Jun29 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
PROSPECTIVE CANDY Jan10 Dec14 Dec01 Nov17 Oct06 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
SCINTILLATING STAR Feb23 Dec19 Oct30 Sep20 May15 (vega richa)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 8.00 14% 6.10    
MUSKOKA SUMMER Feb08 Jan26 Dec14 Dec01 Nov17 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
GREEN GABLES Feb29 Jan26 Dec29 Dec09 Nov30 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.00    
BLAME CATALAYA Feb22 Feb02 Jan10 Dec14 Oct21 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  UNION FOLLY Feb29 Feb02 Dec20 Oct27 Sep15 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.50    
THUNDER BOSS Feb23 Feb02 Dec28 Nov29 Nov16 (beattie )DAVIS A 120 5.00 20% 3.90    
 
PEN-3   03/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELEVENMONTHSLATER Feb08 Jan11 Dec01 Nov08 Oct03 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
MOON POOL Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Dec09 Nov24 (beattie sande)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00    
INCONTROVERTIBLE Feb16 Jan11 Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
SCR  MANITOULIN ISLAND Feb17 Jan31 Nov24 Nov02 Oct16 (garrido raul)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 12.00    
KENTUCKY REIGN Feb16 Jan26 Jan06 Nov16 Oct05 (mcmahon d)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Feb28 Jan09 Dec20 Dec13 Nov14 (sanche)RODRIGUEZ A 112 12.00    
MAKE A SPLASH Feb16 Feb08 Jan11 Dec27 Nov29 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 11% 8.10    
WIN FOR LAILA Feb22 Dec28 Dec14 Jul21 Jun15 (zalalas michael)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
TRECHMO GIRL Feb23 Feb09 Dec21 Dec01 Nov08 (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 117 12.00    
 
PEN-4   03/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOREBOARD LILY Jan31 Jan12 Dec28 Dec14 Nov29 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 120 15.00    
MASKED HEROINE Feb14 Jan31 Dec28 Dec14 Nov17 (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00    
SCR  CURLIN'S DOVE Feb23 Feb09 Jan26 Dec29 Dec15 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50    
DOWSER Mar06 Feb08 Jan25 Oct27 Sep22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
LIL H Mar07 Feb14 Jan31 Sep20 Sep08 (cifare)SMITH DANIEL 115 30.00    
WE'LL SEE Feb24 Jun09 Apr10 Mar18 Feb18 (beattie m)AGUILAR JEAN 110 8.00 9% 10.10    
BALI MOON Feb14 Jan26 Dec22 Nov26 Nov01 (alvarado )HERNANDEZ F 122 5.00    
SCR  JUSTICE OR APPEAL Jan31 Dec28 Nov29 Sep22 Aug31 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
BULLET ON TAP Mar05 Feb20 Feb07 Jan29 Jan03 (ramirez silvin)CORREA JULIO 120 4.50 20% 3.90    
10  JACKIE B GOOD Feb20 Jan29 Dec11 Nov15 Nov01 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Mar01 Feb07 Jul26 Jun16 Feb08 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 124 12.00 9% 9.80    
DISCREETLIN JONES Feb07 May19 Apr26 Mar30 Mar10 (rideout ronal)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 15.00 7% 14.20    
UPTOWN CHARLY GIRL Mar01 Jan19 Dec27 Dec15 Nov30 (stowers miche)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MILLROSE Jan18 Dec16 Nov18 Oct29 Oct08 (wolfe jr)ROJAS MARTINA 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
WICKED KITTEN Feb14 Dec27 Nov30 Oct29 Oct08 (allen ferris)MENA E 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
JUMP A FOX Nov02 Sep09 Aug06 Jul01 May01 (meister wi)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 15.00    
MUCHO MISSTIQUE Jan30 Dec26 Dec07 Nov30 Nov02 (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 119 6.00    
SASSY TALLAHASSEE Feb22 Jan24 Dec30 Dec15 Nov21 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50    
HAPPYINITIATIVE Mar02 Dec15 Nov02 Sep30 Aug20 (meister willia)TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00    
 
PEN-6   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE IS BAD Mar01 Jan24 Dec22 Dec08 Nov08 (salvaggio v)CORA D 122 5.00 14% 6.30    
MONEY MAKING KAZ Feb08 Dec22 Nov29 Nov09 Oct25 (synnefias)VARGAS L 120 8.00    
GIUSEPPE Feb08 Jan26 Nov16 Oct05 Aug26 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  ALMOND CIDER Feb12 Jan26 Dec18 Nov21 Oct27 (perez r)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
SEA TO AIR Feb08 Jan12 Dec01 Nov17 Nov03 (sullivan el)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.50    
LOCO Feb12 Jan25 Dec27 Dec13 Nov22 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 12% 7.50    
BODE O Dec18 Nov21 Jul19 May30 May09 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 115 8.00    
BORN HAPPY Feb08 Jan10 Dec03 Nov15 Oct23 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 50.00    
RAGING BEAR Jan18 Dec06 Oct16 Sep18 Sep04 (albright amy)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 28% 2.50    
10  MILLBANK MAN Feb08 Jan26 Jan10 Dec08 Nov15 (cooper stacey)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   03/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE CONQUEST Feb07 Dec29 Nov18 Oct12 Sep07 (allen ferris)MENA E 124 20.00    
THE GREAT CASBY Feb08 Jan18 Dec29 Jun16 May26 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 12.00    
JUPI'S LIGHTNING Feb21 Jan26 Dec27 Dec14 Nov16 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 10.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI CANDY Feb21 Jan10 Dec22 Nov01 Oct11 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00    
A T M AWESOME Feb22 Feb01 Sep22 Sep01 Aug08 (zalalas michael)CORA D 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
ADY'S MUNNY Nov10 Aug08 Jul14 Jun09 May17 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 15% 5.70    
SAMURAI SAINT Mar07 Feb21 Jan03 Dec12 Nov29 (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00 10% 8.60    
CAUSALISTIC Jan26 Jan03 Dec11 Nov15 Oct31 (o'callah)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
SOUPER CATCH Feb01 Jan11 Dec02 Nov02 Oct10 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
10  REBEL RULER Mar01 Dec27 Nov09 Oct26 Sep21 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 5.00    
11  SIR SAHIB Feb19 Feb01 Dec15 Nov26 Nov05 (sullivan el)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  MAKABIM Feb21 Feb05 Jan29 Dec13 Nov20 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.