The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - March 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 5.80
PEN-2   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
PEN-3   Win (5/3/12/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $11.80 -8.00
PEN-4   Win (8/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
PEN-5   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
PEN-6   Win (2/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 -0.80
PEN-7   Win (9/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   03/06/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THROWBACK 5 1 11 1½   12 11 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.90 W
LADRO DI FICHI 4 7 77 55   54 21 (lucas bonn)DAVIS A 120 6.00 12% 7.40 9.80 P
NAIL POLISH 1 2 3 3   22 31 (mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 39% 1.60 1.00 S
STEPHANIE MY LOVE 2 5 21 2½   32 42 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 8.20  
DOWSER 3 6 65 43   45(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 27% 2.70 3.40  
GET A GRIP MARILYN 7 3 5 6   66 6(morzan e)CORA D 120 6.00 6.60  
BIG SIS NIC 6 4 4 7   7712¼ (murtough b)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 45.40  
 
PEN-2   03/06/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK EAST 6 4 34 3   11 1(kreiser c)CORA D 122 3.00 41% 1.50 1.20 W
BEJUCO 5 5 5 56   43 2(carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00 14% 6.40 5.30 P
NECCO 3 3 2 2   21 3(murtough step)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 4.90  
O T C WIZ 2 1 1 1   31 4(demario charles)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00 28.80  
STORMY FIRE 4 6 68 6   6510½ (demario charles )TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 18.80  
MIGHTY MINION 1 2 4 44   5611½ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 17% 4.80 1.80  
SCR  BANJO               (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 2.50    
 
PEN-3   03/06/2024 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAPID RESPONSE 7 3 31 2½   1½ 1(rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 4.90  
SILENT TIGER 4 1 1½ 1½   2½ 2(patterson kev)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50 33% 2.00 3.80 P
DEE BO 2 7 52 4   43(synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 33% 2.00 1.50 S
11  NEWS BOX 9 9 98 1012   84(graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 5% 19.00 25.10  
SANTO 6 10 108 911   757 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 124 12.00 27.40  
GET DOWN BROWN 3 8 7 6   56(stites fli)DAVIS A 124 6.00 11.60  
NAUTICAL NATURE 1 2 2½ 3   37(ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 124 30.00 77.60  
DIALING DIXIE 5 5 6 7   66 89 (rose orlando)CORA D 124 4.00 3.30  
10  REFUND RIGLER 8 4 4 5   9913 (guerrero mel)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 30.00 77.50  
12  SPEEDY MOONLITE 10 6 8 810½   1011¼ 1017¼ (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 8% 11.40 27.30  
SCR  COAST TO COAST               (sinnefia pa)VARGAS L 124 30.00    
SCR  INDIRECTLY               (sullivan elli)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 5.00    
 
PEN-4   03/06/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:23 :463 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRONX TALE 3 2 2½ 3   23 1¼ (guerrero gua)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.00 17% 4.70 2.50 W
BOSS HOLIDAY 8 1 1½ 1   13 2¼ (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.50 51% 1.00 1.10 P
BOOK MARKER 1 8 7 5   46 31 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00 18.70  
LIDIA'S PRAYER 2 5 41 2   34(moreno-barb)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 5% 19.00 8.10  
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 7 6 5 7   65(bobadilla f)CORA D 122 20.00 26.20  
ABBY'S SPIRIT 5 4 6 45   58 6(stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.50 7.20  
SPELLED WELL 4 7 8 810½   711½ 79 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 6.50  
NOTORIOUS REY 6 3 3½ 6   812½ 812¾ (ippolito mark)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 30.00 67.00  
 
PEN-5   03/06/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:004     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO MOSCATO 3 1 1 11   12 13 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 57% 0.70 0.70 W
BRIGHT PATH 1 5 3 31   22 23 (mcclellan c)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00 9.70  
SWING OIL 4 2 2 21   36 3(reid robert )ROWLAND MADELINE 121 2.50 3.30  
GRUMPY BROOKSIE 2 3 42 4   46 4(lucas bonn)DAVIS A 121 6.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
MOKKI 6 4 55 56   59 515½ (padilla o)CORA D 121 8.00 11% 7.90 20.20  
EMPTY MY POUCH 5 6 66 614   627 653¾ (beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00 6.60  
 
PEN-6   03/06/2024 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:151 1:28   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIXTER 5 1 1 1 1½ 1½ 1¾ (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 24% 3.10 2.60 W
MARCUS JUNIUS 4 6 2 2 2½ 2½ 2¾ (caiazzo corby)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 7% 13.80 0.60 P
DON'T QUESTION ME 1 5 3 3 3 3½ 32 (albright g)DAVIS A 120 4.00 9.70  
MUSKOKA GIANT 2 4 44 4 4 45 4(chircop ste)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 46% 1.20 5.80  
LONG TOM 6 3 7 57 57 57 511¼ (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00 34.10  
SWEEPIN HARD 7 2 67 712 713 712 615½ (jacklin )SMITH DANIEL 115 20.00 5% 19.00 59.40  
SOUL STORY 3 7 5 610 611 610 715¾ (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 35.90  
 
PEN-7   03/06/2024 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:222 :464 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLOWING HUMOR 1 2 1 12   14 1(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00 5% 19.00 1.20 W
STYLISH GIRLFRIEND 8 4 4 4   24 2(houghton thomas)CORA D 123 2.50 65% 0.50 2.90 P
CARSONS COOL WOMEN 2 8 814½ 814¾   514½ 313¼ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 123 4.50 6.40  
BANKERS ROSE GOLD 6 3 2 22   3414¼ (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00 4.80  
WOODLAND GLADE 3 1 3 32   4515¼ (albright g)DAVIS A 123 15.00 16.70  
REZQUIA 5 6 612½ 613¼   717¼ 619¼ (kravets )SMITH DANIEL 118 15.00 11.90  
MOST UNUSUAL DAY 7 5 5 511¼   617 719½ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 10.00 18.00  
LASTCHANCE ROMANCE 4 7 713 713¾   819¼ 823¾ (stowers michelle)AGUILAR M 123 15.00 5% 19.00 54.70  
SCR  SHARMIN               (mcmahon demelza)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.