Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - March 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/5)-(6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/5)-(6/5/2)-(5/3/12/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(5/3/12/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(5/3/12/7)-(8/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/3/12/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/12/7)-(5/3/12/11/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/12/7)-(5/3/12/11/7)-(5/3/12/11/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/12/7)-(8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/12/7)-(8/3/4)-(3/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (8/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/4)-(8/3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/4)-(8/3/2/4)-(8/3/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/3/4)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4)-(3/6/2)-(2/5/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(2/5/4/7)-(9/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/7)-(9/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (9/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/8)-(9/1/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/4/8)-(9/1/4/8)-(9/1/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAIL POLISH Feb23 Feb07 Jan25 Dec28 Dec08 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  STEPHANIE MY LOVE Jan25 Dec30 Dec01 Nov16 Oct18 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00    
3  DOWSER Feb08 Jan25 Oct27 Sep22 Jan12 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  LADRO DI FICHI Jan18 Nov29 Nov03 Oct21 Sep26 (lucas bo)DAVIS A 120 6.00 12% 7.40    
5  THROWBACK Jan12 Dec21 Dec01 Nov16 Nov03 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIG SIS NIC Jan25 Dec27 Dec06 Oct26 Oct12 (murtough step)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00    
7  GET A GRIP MARILYN Feb08 Jan29 Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 (morzan e)CORA D 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   03/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY MINION Jan31 May25 Apr21 Apr07 Feb25 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00    
2  O T C WIZ Jan31 Dec29 Dec01 Nov04 Oct13 (demario charl)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  NECCO Jan12 Dec21 Nov24 Nov03 May19 (murtough st)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00    
4  STORMY FIRE Jan25 Dec15 Nov23 Nov08 Oct28 (demario charle)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00    
5  BEJUCO Feb16 Feb02 Jan10 Dec21 Dec06 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
6  BACK EAST Jan31 Jan12 Dec20 Dec06 Nov22 (kreiser c)CORA D 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  BANJO Jan25 Jan11 Dec07 Oct27 Sep22 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 2.50    
 
PEN-3   03/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAUTICAL NATURE Feb01 Dec14 Nov10 Oct26 Sep15 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 124 30.00    
SCR  COAST TO COAST Feb16 Feb01 Dec14 Nov29 Nov01 (sinnefia )VARGAS L 124 30.00    
3  DEE BO Feb16 Jan25 Dec27 Dec04 Nov07 (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
4  GET DOWN BROWN Feb02 Dec15 Sep13 Aug24 Jul27 (stites f)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
5  SILENT TIGER Feb16 Feb01 Dec28 Nov22 Oct30 (patterson k)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
6  DIALING DIXIE Feb02 Nov02 Oct01 Aug27 Aug18 (rose orlando)CORA D 124 4.00    
7  SANTO Feb01 Jan11 Dec13 Nov29 Nov09 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INDIRECTLY Feb01 Dec27 Dec12 Dec04 Nov15 (sullivan el)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 5.00    
9  RAPID RESPONSE Feb01 May10 Mar03 Feb08 Jan18 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00    
10  REFUND RIGLER Feb19 Feb01 Jan08 Dec26 Dec06 (guerrero me)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 30.00    
11  NEWS BOX Jan15 Dec30 Nov29 Nov04 Oct12 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 ★    
12  SPEEDY MOONLITE Dec05 Oct16 Aug30 Jul26 Jun27 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 8% 11.40    
 
PEN-4   03/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOK MARKER Jan24 Dec27 Dec20 Nov06 Oct24 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
2  LIDIA'S PRAYER Oct07 Sep28 Sep16 Aug31 Aug05 (moreno-ba)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 ★    
3  BRONX TALE Feb19 Jan29 Dec27 Nov27 Nov01 (guerrero gua)CORREA JULIO 122 3.00 17% 4.70    
4  SPELLED WELL Jan24 Dec22 Dec08 Nov16 Aug24 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ABBY'S SPIRIT Jan31 Dec27 Dec13 Nov22 Sep13 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.50    
6  NOTORIOUS REY Jan24 Dec08 Nov09 Oct26 Sep20 (ippolito mar)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 30.00    
7  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Jan25 Dec22 Dec08 Nov24 Oct26 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 20.00    
8  BOSS HOLIDAY Jan24 Dec08 Oct05 Aug30 Aug06 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
PEN-5   03/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIGHT PATH Feb08 Jan18 Dec27 Nov29   (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00    
2  GRUMPY BROOKSIE Jan26 Dec29 Nov16 Nov06 Sep02 (lucas bo)DAVIS A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  MO MOSCATO Feb02 Jan18       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 57% 0.70    
4  SWING OIL Jan09 Dec19 Nov20 Oct03 Sep12 (reid rober)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 2.50    
5  EMPTY MY POUCH Jan26 Jan09 Dec15 Oct24 Oct10 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 121 6.00    
6  MOKKI Jan19 Jan03 Dec06 Aug05 Jul09 (padilla o)CORA D 121 8.00 11% 7.90    
 
PEN-6   03/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T QUESTION ME Feb16 Feb01 Dec21 Nov16 Sep13 (albright)DAVIS A 120 4.00    
2  MUSKOKA GIANT Feb16 Dec15 Nov24 Nov03 Oct20 (chircop s)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
3  SOUL STORY Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Dec21 Mar16 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
4  MARCUS JUNIUS Jan04 Dec09 Nov11 Sep20 Aug30 (caiazzo corby)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 7% 13.80    
5  TWIXTER Feb16 Jan31 Dec27 Dec15 Dec01 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
6  LONG TOM Feb16 Feb01 Jan10 Dec21 Dec08 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
7  SWEEPIN HARD Feb16 Nov17 Oct27 Sep15 Aug09 (jackli)SMITH DANIEL 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   03/06/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOWING HUMOR         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00 ★    
2  CARSONS COOL WOMEN Feb09 Dec29       (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 123 4.50    
3  WOODLAND GLADE Feb21         (albright)DAVIS A 123 15.00    
4  LASTCHANCE ROMANCE         (stowers michelle)AGUILAR M 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  REZQUIA Feb01         (kravet)SMITH DANIEL 118 15.00    
SCR  SHARMIN Feb24 Jan05 Dec15 Nov12 Oct01 (mcmahon demel)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00    
7  BANKERS ROSE GOLD Feb09         (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00    
8  MOST UNUSUAL DAY         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  STYLISH GIRLFRIEND Feb09         (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 2.50 65% 0.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.