Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - February 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.40 $3.40 57%
MVR-4   EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-1 $19.00 $7.00 58%
MVR-5   DD (5/1/2)-(4/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  5-3 $18.80 $0.80 4%
MVR-8   WIN (2/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $13.20 $5.20 65%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:264 :521 1:19 1:323   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAT'S RHYTHM 4 2 41¼ 3½ 1nk 12½ 14¾ (suarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 25% 3.10 3.70 W
3  CATABOUT 3 5 2nk 2½ 3½ 22½ 24¾ (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 9.30  
1  HERE COMES JIGS 1 1 31 51¾ 4¾ 33½ 36¾ (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.00 1.30  
5  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 5 3 51¼ 41½ 52¾ 66 47½ (wilson jr)VIGIL NOEL 124 4.00 18% 4.70 8.70  
6  COWCHI 6 6 65¼ 65¾ 63¼ 55½ 58 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 7.40  
2  SCARLETT'S AWISH 2 4 1nk 1½ 2nk 44½ 612¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 29% 2.50 2.60  
 
MVR-2   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:271 :521 1:174 1:303   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  IRON BERTIE 4 1 11½ 11 13½ 16 17¾ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 2.60  
6  MAGESTAL BASTIDA 6 6 43½ 45 45½ 38 27¾ (silva fernand)SIMPSON JASON 124 3.00 10.40  
1  ENCHANTED MELODY 1 5 66 55¼ 33½ 26 38¼ (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 14% 6.00 2.50 S
3  SWEEPINJUSTICE 3 2 55 65¼ 67½ 510 412¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 37% 1.70 3.00  
5  LOIS 5 4 31½ 21 23½ 49½ 515¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 9.90  
2  DONNARUMMA 2 3 21½ 31 56 613 621¾ (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 20% 4.10 3.00  
 
MVR-3   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:01     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TIDAL WATERS 7 1 11 14½   15 19¼ (pappada ju)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 1.80 52% 0.90 1.40 W
5  FRANKLY MY DEAR 4 6 56 46½   35½ 29¼ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 2.50  
6  LA REINA DEL NORTE 5 8 810½ 610   58½ 310 (trevino stephen )LEON SONNY 126 4.50 4.90  
3  CURT'S ANGEL 2 5 33½ 24½   25 411½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
9  ROMANTIC JEWEL 8 2 44 36   46½ 513¾ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 11% 8.30 6.10  
4  ACT LIKE A LADY 3 4 79½ 813½   613½ 619½ (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 10.00 12% 7.50 13.50  
7  BIRDIE BLUE 6 3 68½ 713   715½ 722¾ (spiess shane )SIMPSON JASON 126 20.00 52.20  
1  FLYING BUSINESS 1 7 21 59   816 827½ (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 126 5.00 17.50  
SCR  CYBERBURG               (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00    
 
MVR-4   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:231 :464 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  POSEIDON'S SON 4 2 32 22½   22 11½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 46% 1.20 2.00 W
1  LIMIT UP 1 4 12 12½   12 21½ (andrad)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 28% 2.60 1.90 P
4  MAKING ME CRAZY 3 6 42½ 58½   46½ 37½ (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50 8.30  
6  ONE MORE RING 5 1 54½ 37½   36 48¼ (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 10.00 10.30  
7  KERANOS 6 3 66½ 48½   57½ 511 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00 7.50  
2  PERFECT SPEIGHTY 2 5 22 68¾   610½ 618 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 124 5.00 5% 19.00 3.10  
SCR  MALIBU CLASSIC               (trevino stephen )VIGIL NOEL 124 3.50    
 
MVR-5   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:26 :503 1:164 1:301   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EL DE CHIMI 2 3 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 1¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 19% 4.30 1.80 W
6  HOUSED 5 2 31 32½ 1nk 1nk 2¼ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 2.10  
1  CAMBIASO 1 5 64¾ 56 4¾ 3½ 34½ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 4.00 20% 4.00 2.30 S
4  KHOPILOT 3 6 52¾ 66 52¾ 53½ 46¾ (lopez carlos)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 34% 2.00 9.70  
8  RESVALON 6 1 11 1½ 3½ 42 57¼ (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 124 10.00 6.70  
5  HAD RIGHT 4 4 41¼ 44 63¼ 64 67½ (huffman candace )VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00 25.90  
SCR  BROADWAY SKY               (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.00    
SCR  GAMING SOUL               (gotera car)LEON A 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:261 :502 1:154 1:284   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ICE BLAST 3 5 75 63¼ 2nk 1nk 14¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50 1.50  
5  SUPPLY CHAIN 5 3 53 53¼ 1nk 2nk 24¾ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 15% 5.60 5.30 P
8  CANDY CRUSHEM 8 6 31½ 32 3.2 31 35¾ (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 5% 19.00 22.70 S
7  SUDDEN SHIFT 7 4 2½ 22 52¼ 45 48¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 4.20  
6  BOSS BEAR 6 1 42½ 85¼ 63¼ 56½ 59 (skerrett jeff)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00 43.30  
1  SIR SAHIB 1 8 86 74¼ 85¾ 811¼ 618 (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 3.50 4.60  
2  BLAME IT ON EDDIE 2 7 64 42¼ 4¾ 610½ 718¼ (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 57% 0.70 4.40  
4  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 4 2 1½ 12 73¾ 711 820¼ (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 16.40  
 
MVR-7   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:161 1:301   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURROUNDER 1 7 1nk 1nk 11 12½ 13½ (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 3.50 ★ 8.60  
9  WEEKEND BUZZ 9 5 31½ 41¾ 31½ 22½ 23½ (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 33% 2.00 2.90 P
6  KARAMEL CORN 6 4 42 31½ 42½ 42¾ 33½ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 15.80  
8  WEEKENDER 8 6 74¾ 65¾ 53 32½ 45¼ (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 1.10  
7  ATTACK ANGLE 7 9 2nk 2nk 21 55¼ 510¾ (skerrett jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 27.90  
4  RUN BUBBA RUN 4 8 96¼ 911¼ 99 68¼ 612 (smith larry)RIVERA R 124 4.00 23% 3.40 6.70  
2  ROLLIN SO PERFECT 2 2 85¼ 810¼ 88 78¼ 712¾ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 57.70  
5  HONOR THE D 5 3 63¼ 76¼ 65½ 88½ 815¾ (bates l)BRACHO A 124 4.50 20% 4.00 5.80  
3  BLUE MONARCH 3 1 53 52¼ 76 98½ 916½ (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 47.30  
 
MVR-8   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:233 :491 1:03     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ZASHIXIARAYAN 6 7 53 1nk   13 12¾ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 4.00 20% 4.00 5.60 W
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of BREAK FOR DIAMONDS by SUNDAY BREAK (JPN))
3  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA 3 6 711½ 75¾   33½ 22¾ (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.50 2.60  
  (by INDY WIND out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
5  HOT PRINCESS (GB) 5 3 64½ 52¼   44 38½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.00 S
  (by BOLD RED out of DONE GOOSE by MONGOOSE)
1  LOTS OF SASS 1 5 1nk 2nk   23 411½ (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 118 5.00 16% 5.30 4.90  
  (by BIONDETTI out of SASSY OMBRE by OLD FORESTER)
4  BOLD NICKY 4 2 42½ 62¾   56 513¾ (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 13.70  
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
7  MI CANCION 7 1 2nk 31   68½ 617¼ (erdel john)DIAZ R 126 20.00 63.00  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of PINOT NOIR by COWBOY CAL)
2  LIGHTENING LOTTIE 2 4 32 42   79½ 720¾ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 1.60 37% 1.70 1.30  
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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