The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - February 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
MVR-2   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $7.20 -6.00
MVR-3   Win (8/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
MVR-4   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 0.00
MVR-5   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
MVR-6   Win (2/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $5.00 -8.00
MVR-7   Win (9/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $19.20 -8.00
MVR-8   Win (2/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 5.20

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:264 :521 1:19 1:323   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT'S RHYTHM 4 2 4 3½ 1nk 11(suarez j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 25% 3.10 3.70 W
CATABOUT 3 5 2nk 2½ 3½ 22(faulkner rodne)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 9.30  
HERE COMES JIGS 1 1 31 5 4¾ 33(fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.00 1.30  
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 5 3 5 4 5 66 4(wilson jr)VIGIL NOEL 124 4.00 18% 4.70 8.70  
COWCHI 6 6 6 6 6 558 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 7.40  
SCARLETT'S AWISH 2 4 1nk 1½ 2nk 4612¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 29% 2.50 2.60  
 
MVR-2   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:271 :521 1:174 1:303   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRON BERTIE 4 1 1 11 1 16 1(fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 2.60  
MAGESTAL BASTIDA 6 6 4 45 4 38 2(silva fernando)SIMPSON JASON 124 3.00 10.40  
ENCHANTED MELODY 1 5 66 5 3 26 3(faulkner rodne)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 14% 6.00 2.50 S
SWEEPINJUSTICE 3 2 55 6 6 510 412¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 37% 1.70 3.00  
LOIS 5 4 3 21 2 4515¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 9.90  
DONNARUMMA 2 3 2 31 56 613 621¾ (buttigie)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 20% 4.10 3.00  
 
MVR-3   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:01     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIDAL WATERS 7 1 11 1   15 1(pappada juli)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 1.80 52% 0.90 1.40 W
FRANKLY MY DEAR 4 6 56 4   32(rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 2.50  
LA REINA DEL NORTE 5 8 810½ 610   5310 (trevino g)LEON SONNY 126 4.50 4.90  
CURT'S ANGEL 2 5 3 2   25 411½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
ROMANTIC JEWEL 8 2 44 36   4513¾ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 11% 8.30 6.10  
ACT LIKE A LADY 3 4 7 813½   613½ 619½ (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 10.00 12% 7.50 13.50  
BIRDIE BLUE 6 3 6 713   715½ 722¾ (spiess m)SIMPSON JASON 126 20.00 52.20  
FLYING BUSINESS 1 7 21 59   816 827½ (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 126 5.00 17.50  
SCR  CYBERBURG               (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00    
 
MVR-4   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:231 :464 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSEIDON'S SON 4 2 32 2   22 1(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 46% 1.20 2.00 W
LIMIT UP 1 4 12 1   12 2(andrade )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 28% 2.60 1.90 P
MAKING ME CRAZY 3 6 4 5   43(mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50 8.30  
ONE MORE RING 5 1 5 3   36 4(sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 10.00 10.30  
KERANOS 6 3 6 4   5511 (faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00 7.50  
PERFECT SPEIGHTY 2 5 22 6   610½ 618 (buttigieg kevin)DIAZ I 124 5.00 5% 19.00 3.10  
SCR  MALIBU CLASSIC               (trevino g)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.50    
 
MVR-5   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:26 :503 1:164 1:301   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL DE CHIMI 2 3 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 1¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 19% 4.30 1.80 W
HOUSED 5 2 31 3 1nk 1nk 2¼ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 2.10  
CAMBIASO 1 5 6 56 4¾ 3½ 3(schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 4.00 20% 4.00 2.30 S
KHOPILOT 3 6 5 66 5 54(lopez a)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 34% 2.00 9.70  
RESVALON 6 1 11 1½ 3½ 42 5(herrington a)CCAMAQUE M 124 10.00 6.70  
HAD RIGHT 4 4 4 44 6 64 6(huffman m)VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00 25.90  
SCR  BROADWAY SKY               (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.00    
SCR  GAMING SOUL               (gotera carlo)LEON A 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:261 :502 1:154 1:284   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE BLAST 3 5 75 6 2nk 1nk 1(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50 1.50  
SUPPLY CHAIN 5 3 53 5 1nk 2nk 2(bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 15% 5.60 5.30 P
CANDY CRUSHEM 8 6 3 32 3.2 31 3(sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 5% 19.00 22.70 S
SUDDEN SHIFT 7 4 2½ 22 5 45 4(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 4.20  
BOSS BEAR 6 1 4 8 6 559 (skerrett jeffre)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00 43.30  
SIR SAHIB 1 8 86 7 8 811¼ 618 (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 3.50 4.60  
BLAME IT ON EDDIE 2 7 64 4 4¾ 610½ 718¼ (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 57% 0.70 4.40  
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 4 2 1½ 12 7 711 820¼ (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 16.40  
 
MVR-7   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:161 1:301   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURROUNDER 1 7 1nk 1nk 11 11(johnson l)DIAZ I 124 3.50 8.60  
WEEKEND BUZZ 9 5 3 4 3 22(trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 33% 2.00 2.90 P
KARAMEL CORN 6 4 42 3 4 43(tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 15.80  
WEEKENDER 8 6 7 6 53 34(smit)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 1.10  
ATTACK ANGLE 7 9 2nk 2nk 21 5510¾ (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 27.90  
RUN BUBBA RUN 4 8 9 911¼ 99 6612 (smith larry)RIVERA R 124 4.00 23% 3.40 6.70  
ROLLIN SO PERFECT 2 2 8 810¼ 88 7712¾ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 57.70  
HONOR THE D 5 3 6 7 6 8815¾ (bates l)BRACHO A 124 4.50 20% 4.00 5.80  
BLUE MONARCH 3 1 53 5 76 9916½ (huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 47.30  
 
MVR-8   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:233 :491 1:03     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZASHIXIARAYAN 6 7 53 1nk   13 1(calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 4.00 20% 4.00 5.60 W
A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA 3 6 711½ 7   32(lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.50 2.60  
HOT PRINCESS (GB) 5 3 6 5   44 3(lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.00 S
LOTS OF SASS 1 5 1nk 2nk   23 411½ (faulkner joshua)TOLEDO S 118 5.00 16% 5.30 4.90  
BOLD NICKY 4 2 4 6   56 513¾ (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 13.70  
MI CANCION 7 1 2nk 31   6617¼ (erdel john)DIAZ R 126 20.00 63.00  
LIGHTENING LOTTIE 2 4 32 42   7720¾ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 1.60 37% 1.70 1.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.