Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - February 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(3/2/1)-(8/4/9/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(8/4/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(8/4/9/3)-(5/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (8/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/3)-(8/4/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/3)-(8/4/9/3)-(8/4/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/9/3)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/9/3)-(5/1/2)-(4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(4/1/3)-(2/5/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(2/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/5/8/6)-(9/4/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/8/6)-(9/4/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/6)-(9/4/5/8)-(2/6/1/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (9/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/8)-(9/4/5/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/8)-(9/4/5/8/1)-(9/4/5/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/4/5/8)-(2/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5)-(2/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE COMES JIGS Feb06 Jan22 Dec03 Nov13 Oct22 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.00    
2  SCARLETT'S AWISH Feb06 Jan23 Nov29 Sep28 May24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
3  CATABOUT Jan23 Jan01 Dec11 Nov14 Oct06 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
4  CAT'S RHYTHM Feb06 Jan22 Jan01 Dec11 Nov28 (suarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
5  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Jan01 Nov29 Nov01 Sep26 Aug30 (wilson jr)VIGIL NOEL 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
6  COWCHI Jan23 Jan01 Dec18 Nov29 Nov20 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-2   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENCHANTED MELODY Jan25 Jan11 Dec28 Dec04 Nov14 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 14% 6.00    
2  DONNARUMMA Feb08 Jan03 Dec07 Nov21 Oct16 (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 20% 4.10    
3  SWEEPINJUSTICE Jan30 Nov27 Oct23 Oct02 Sep11 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
4  IRON BERTIE Jan30 Dec28 Dec13 Nov15 Oct25 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
5  LOIS Jan30 Dec05 Nov16 Oct26 Oct12 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
6  MAGESTAL BASTIDA Jan03 Nov21 Nov07 Sep07 Aug19 (silva fernand)SIMPSON JASON 124 3.00    
 
MVR-3   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYING BUSINESS Feb08 Jan15 Dec30 Dec14 Nov28 (hurley l)GONZALEZ A 126 5.00    
SCR  CYBERBURG Jan30 Jan15 Dec06 Nov20 Oct04 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00    
3  CURT'S ANGEL Feb05 Nov21 Jun21 May23 May02 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ACT LIKE A LADY Jan30 Jan04 Dec10 Nov13 Oct18 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 10.00 12% 7.50    
5  FRANKLY MY DEAR Feb07 Jan24 Dec27 Nov28 Nov13 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00    
6  LA REINA DEL NORTE Feb08 Dec30 Nov13 Oct24 Oct11 (trevino stephen )LEON SONNY 126 4.50    
7  BIRDIE BLUE Jan15 Dec30 Nov20 Oct29 Dec11 (spiess shane )SIMPSON JASON 126 20.00    
8  TIDAL WATERS Jan15 Aug30 Aug22 Sep22 Aug01 (pappada ju)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 1.80 52% 0.90    
9  ROMANTIC JEWEL Jul10 Jun25 May22 May09 Apr26 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 11% 8.30    
 
MVR-4   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIMIT UP Feb01 Jan15 Jan04 Dec13 Nov20 (andrad)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  PERFECT SPEIGHTY Oct29 Oct15 Aug19 Jul09 Jun18 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MALIBU CLASSIC Feb01 Jan18 Jan03 Dec13 Nov30 (trevino stephen )VIGIL NOEL 124 3.50    
4  MAKING ME CRAZY Feb05 Jan03 Dec20 Nov30 Nov13 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.50    
5  POSEIDON'S SON Feb07 Jan18 Nov21 Oct23 Oct09 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
6  ONE MORE RING Jan30 Jan15 Dec11 Nov08 Oct10 (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 10.00    
7  KERANOS Feb07 Jan22 Dec26 Dec04 Nov15 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00    
 
MVR-5   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMBIASO Feb01 Dec13 Nov16 Oct17 Oct02 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  BROADWAY SKY Feb01 Dec03 Mar28 Mar06 Feb09 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.00    
3  EL DE CHIMI Jan27 Dec22 Nov18 Oct25 Oct04 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
4  KHOPILOT Dec27 Dec14 Sep20 Aug28 Aug15 (lopez carlos)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 34% 2.00    
5  HAD RIGHT Feb05 Jul31 Jun27 Jun15 May30 (huffman candace )VIGIL NOEL 124 20.00    
6  HOUSED Dec27 Dec12 Nov27 Sep28 Sep07 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
SCR  GAMING SOUL Dec27 Dec03 Nov06 Sep28 Sep02 (gotera car)LEON A 124 12.00    
8  RESVALON Jan18 Jan04 Dec27 Dec11 Dec04 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR SAHIB Feb01 Dec15 Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 3.50    
2  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Dec10 Oct23 Oct06 Sep26 Aug07 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 57% 0.70    
3  ICE BLAST Jan30 Jan10 Nov10 Sep20 Aug30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50    
4  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Jan10 Dec27 Dec14 Dec06 Nov08 (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00    
5  SUPPLY CHAIN Jan30 Dec20 Nov02 Oct02 Sep10 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
6  BOSS BEAR Jan08 Dec30 Dec11 Nov29 Oct31 (skerrett jeff)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUDDEN SHIFT Jan10 Dec26 Dec06 Oct31 Oct13 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
8  CANDY CRUSHEM Jan10 Dec26 Dec13 Nov15 Nov02 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURROUNDER Jan24 Jan01 Nov27 Nov06 Oct09 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 3.50 ★    
2  ROLLIN SO PERFECT Jan15 Dec26 Dec14 Dec04 Nov08 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
3  BLUE MONARCH Jan22 Jan01 Dec19 Mar08 Feb02 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
4  RUN BUBBA RUN Jan31 Nov28 Sep08 Jan30 Dec27 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  HONOR THE D Feb06 Dec04 Nov08 Sep30 Sep08 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
6  KARAMEL CORN Feb06 Jan22 Jan02 Dec19 Dec04 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
7  ATTACK ANGLE Feb06 Jan24 Dec04 Nov08 Oct30 (skerrett jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
8  WEEKENDER Jan23 Dec18 Sep30 Aug11 Apr12 (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  WEEKEND BUZZ Jan24 Jan02 Dec12 Nov21 Oct11 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
MVR-8   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTS OF SASS         (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 118 5.00 16% 5.30    
  (by BIONDETTI out of SASSY OMBRE by OLD FORESTER)
2  LIGHTENING LOTTIE Feb05 Jan11 Dec28     (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
3  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA Feb07 Jan23 Dec20     (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.50    
  (by INDY WIND out of RUN DON'T HIDE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
4  BOLD NICKY Jan23 Jan09 Dec11 Nov22 Oct21 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
5  HOT PRINCESS (GB) Dec28 Dec13       (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of DONE GOOSE by MONGOOSE)
6  ZASHIXIARAYAN         (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of BREAK FOR DIAMONDS by SUNDAY BREAK (JPN))
7  MI CANCION Dec11 Nov22 Nov07 Oct04 Sep21 (erdel john)DIAZ R 126 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of PINOT NOIR by COWBOY CAL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.