Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-2   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $11.80 $5.80 97%
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-3 $81.20 $69.20 577%
MVR-3   EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-1 $23.20 $11.20 93%
MVR-4   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $11.20 $5.20 87%
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(6/3/1)-(5/1/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50  4-6-1 $48.65 $35.15 260%
MVR-7   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $5.80 $1.80 45%
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2-1 $8.00 $4.00 100%
    DD (1/4/7/9)-(2/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00  7-2 $22.80 $6.80 43%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   01/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :452 :582     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EPICUREAN 4 3 1½ 1nk   11½ 1¼ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 8.30  
6  LADY LOTTIE 6 1 3½ 2nk   21½ 2¼ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 1.00 55% 0.80 0.05 P
2  IN TROUBLED WATERS 2 5 56½ 44½   31½ 31 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 17.30  
3  RAINBOW SHIP 3 4 41½ 56½   56½ 47 (mahan josep)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 27.80  
5  FOREST B 5 2 2½ 31½   44½ 510 (powell a)BRACHO A 124 3.00 18% 4.70 13.20  
1  SHEWEARSMYRING 1 6 67 614½   612½ 615¾ (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00 36.50  
 
MVR-2   01/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHELLY THE ROCKET 3 3 2nk 11½   12 1hd (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 18% 4.50 4.90 W
3  CURIOSITY KILLS 2 6 52 55   42½ 2hd (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 13% 6.90 5.20 P
1  CHARGINA 1 4 3½ 43   32 31½ (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 4.50 1.90  
5  RIVERVIEW STEVIE 4 2 1nk 21½   22 42¾ (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 124 3.00 27% 2.60 4.90  
7  TATTERED HEART 6 1 41½ 32½   54 54¾ (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.50 2.40  
6  BIG AMBITION 5 5 63½ 66½   66 68½ (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 10.00 9.20  
SCR  CANT BE TOUCHED               (garcia genaro)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
 
MVR-3   01/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:26 :504 1:162 1:292   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  REIGNING DREAM 4 2 11 11½ 12 16 16½ (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 118 1.40 36% 1.80 0.10 W
  (by DREAMLINER out of REIGNING GAL by FIRST DUDE)
1  MY HOMBRE 1 4 53 54 55 26 26½ (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 126 8.00 6% 16.90 26.50 P
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
8  FORMYBOYS 6 1 21 21½ 22 37½ 311 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 6.00 27.40  
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
3  SOL OF VAQUERO 2 3 31½ 31½ 33½ 48 411¾ (campbell anthon)VEGA L 126 3.00 31% 2.20 5.00  
  (by VAQUERO out of SHE'S SO HAPPY by YOUR ABC'S)
4  WHY KENNY WHY 3 5 41½ 42½ 45 511 514¾ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.50 9.50  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
7  DREAMINGABOUTTIME 5 6 64 65½ 68 613 616½ (shannon jennif)DIAZ I 118 20.00 44.90  
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
SCR  MY BUDDY MICAH               (bird danny)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
SCR  RAISE YOU ONE               (doering mark)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
 
MVR-4   01/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:223 :463       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CEVICHE 2 5 42¾ 54   31½ 12¾ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 3.60 DQ↓4
1  SIERRA DIAMOND 1 1 1nk 1½   11½ 22¾ (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.60 W
3  JOYFUL NOISE 3 6 67¾ 68   54 33½ (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 20.60  
5  JILL BABE 4 2 2nk 31½   21½ 45¼ (poole c)BRACHO A 124 6.00 66% 0.50 4.00 S
6  NO MORE MASK 5 4 52¾ 43   64½ 55¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 1.10  
7  VACATION SECRET 6 3 3.2 2½   43½ 67¼ (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
SCR  DULCIMER DAME               (farrior)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.80    
 
MVR-5   01/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:142 1:42   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BOSS BEAR 4 3 54½ 67 64¾ 63½ 1hd (skerrett jeff)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 5.80  
1  LAZARUS PROJECT 1 6 99 88¾ 85 31 2hd (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 126 5.00 5% 19.00 4.50 P
10  FUEGO CALIENTE 8 8 21½ 21 2nk 1½ 31¼ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 26% 2.80 3.70 S
3  BRODYTHEOXMAN 3 7 76½ 78½ 74¾ 52 41¾ (lopez )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 14.60  
2  TUFF ATTACK 2 2 43½ 44 42½ 41½ 53½ (romero jose )TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 43.90  
5  LAUTREC 5 4 65 57 52¾ 85½ 64¾ (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 3.50  
8  LUCKY JUNIOR 6 1 32 33 32 75½ 75¼ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 4.50 44% 1.30 5.50  
12  ROYAL COUP 10 10 1013 1013¾ 99 95¾ 86 (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 38.00  
9  MAXIMIZER 7 5 11½ 11 1nk 2½ 96¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 ★ 4.70  
11  AMES MISTER 9 9 88½ 98¾ 1011 1017¾ 1025 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 36.00  
SCR  RANDELLO               (garcia genaro)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
SCR  STRIKE THE TOP               (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.00    
 
MVR-6   01/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  IT'S OFFICIAL 7 4 31½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 124 4.00 5% 17.20 2.40 W
1  DARK VADER 1 7 63¾ 3½   2nk 2¼ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 2.50 45% 1.20 1.30 P
2  VISUAL MISSION 2 8 76¼ 52¾   43½ 36¾ (rivera nestor)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00 20.10  
5  RUMBLE STRIP RON 5 1 51¾ 62¾   54½ 49½ (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 8.00 27.90  
3  LUCKY STREAK 3 5 41¾ 4¾   32 510¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 33.20  
4  OAKS HONEY 4 6 87¼ 86¼   77 611¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50 26% 2.80 2.00  
9  SIMON SAYS 8 2 2nk 1nk   65 713¼ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
6  GIV'EM THE BIZ 6 3 1nk 74¼   89 818¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 67.90  
SCR  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH               (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-7   01/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:134 1:27   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NEAR PERFECT 2 4 42½ 41½ 2nk 1nk 12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 34% 2.00 1.90 W
1  CHANEL SPIRIT 1 2 32 2½ 1nk 2nk 22 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 126 2.00 32% 2.10 0.30 P
4  BETTER HALF 3 1 11 3½ 31½ 35 312 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 4.50 8.40  
5  EMERSON JONES 4 3 21 1½ 42 47 413 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 16.00  
SCR  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS               (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00    
SCR  THE MIRACLE KIUT               (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00    
 
MVR-8   01/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:221 :451 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ASKIN FOR A BASKIN 2 4 32½ 32   22 1½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 3.70  
1  OVER THE HILLS 1 3 11 11½   12 2½ (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 2.00 60% 0.70 0.60 P
7  FROG TOWN 4 5 45½ 44   34 32¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50 ★ 2.70 S
8  MOESTER 5 1 55½ 54½   45 44¾ (brown glenroy)REYES FRANK 124 20.00 18.90  
5  RED HURRICANE 3 2 21 21½   57 59¼ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 17% 4.90 12.90  
SCR  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER               (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 30.00    
SCR  POSEIDON'S SON               (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
SCR  SIMPLY VALID               (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.