The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - January 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $16.80 -6.00
MVR-2   Win (7/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $46.20 $46.20 40.20
MVR-3   Win (3/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -4.60
MVR-4   Win (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $13.40 -8.00
MVR-5   Win (8/1/9/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $21.00 -10.00
MVR-6   Win (7/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 0.60
MVR-7   Win (6/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $24.40 -8.00
MVR-8   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $4.80 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/30/2024 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:151 1:424   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY ROAD 1 1 1 11 13 14 1(guciardo robe)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 5.00 7.40  
FLAXEN 3 3 3 32 23 24 2(zielinski richa)TOLEDO S 126 3.50 17% 4.70 1.90 P
CYBERBURG 2 2 2 21 3 3314¼ (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 126 4.00 8.80  
WOLF EYES 5 6 5 6 45 4416¼ (guciardo r)FERNANDEZ R 126 3.00 28% 2.50 2.80  
ACT LIKE A LADY 6 5 6 53 59 514½ 533¼ (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 2.50 23% 3.30 2.00  
MOTHERWELL 4 4 44 42 69 614½ 634½ (lopez a)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 12.70  
 
MVR-2   01/30/2024 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:222 :454       1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UHAVETOBEKITTENME 1 3 12 1   14 1(casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 22.10 W
UPTOWN GUY 4 5 5 3   24 2(casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 12.50  
UNCLE EARL 3 2 3 4   43(rivera nestor)BRACHO A 126 1.60 0.30  
FOX RED 2 4 22 2   34(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 5.10  
HONOR LIFE 6 1 45 5   57 510¼ (van den)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 29% 2.50 13.10  
THE FILTER 5 6 68 6   69 611 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 4.50 36% 1.70 6.90  
SCR  GOLDENPENCE               (gonzalez agu)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00    
SCR  ROCKET DOCKET               (elliott)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 12.00    
 
MVR-3   01/30/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:23 :464 :60     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPUTE THIS 3 4 11 1   16 111¼ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 122 1.60 56% 0.80 0.70 W
STICK AROUND 7 7 6 57   26 211¼ (gorham m)CEDILLO MAURO 122 4.50 18% 4.40 3.70 P
QUETZALY 4 3 4 47   38 315¼ (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 6% 16.90 15.10 S
OLYMPIC WINGS 2 5 5 6   5416¼ (zielinski richa)TOLEDO S 122 5.00 18.70  
WHATDID I BUY 1 6 7 711½   710½ 518 (radosevich justin)AVILES YAN 122 20.00 20.30  
SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL 6 1 21 2   4618½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 122 8.00 17.80  
BEAUTIFUL CHARADE 5 2 32 3   610 723½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 5% 19.00 3.50  
 
MVR-4   01/30/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:231 :464 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TATTERED HEART 4 5 7 53   2nk 1(schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5.70  
CURIOSITY KILLS 1 8 1nk 12   1nk 2(bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 16% 5.30 2.90 P
SWEEPINJUSTICE 6 7 8 7   32 3(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 10% 9.40 5.70 S
CHARGINA 5 2 5 64   54 4(kocijan marcus)BRACHO A 124 3.50 15% 5.80 3.40  
IRON BERTIE 7 1 4¼ 4   456 (fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 8.70  
RIVERVIEW STEVIE 3 4 2nk 32   76(clouston edward)PAUCAR E 124 4.50 31% 2.20 7.30  
DULCE VICTORIA 2 6 3.2 22   65 710¾ (schuster r)FERNANDEZ R 126 5.00 7.40  
LOIS 8 3 6 8   8812 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 8.70  
SCR  HERO'S DAUGHTER               (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 20.00    
 
MVR-5   01/30/2024 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :462       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONTAUK COVE 2 3 2 21   116 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 9.50  
LAKE SHORE DRIVE 3 4 1 11   226 (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 8.00 8% 11.80 2.30 P
HE'S THE SOUPERWON 9 1 3 34   33(van den)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00 13% 6.60 6.10 S
ONE MORE RING 1 8 77 7   64(blankenship dona)JURADO EDDIE 124 3.50 20% 4.00 7.50  
KOSCIUSZKO 4 5 45 4   45(brown glenroy)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 6.90  
PARKER 5 6 5 5   5610 (salcedo ramon)LEON A 124 5.00 12.60  
PERFECT WAGER 7 9 910 911   9711 (zawitz joel)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
LOCK ON 6 7 88 8   8811½ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 30.30  
NICHOLAS JAMES 8 2 66 67   7912¼ (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.50 25% 3.00 3.30  
 
MVR-6   01/30/2024 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:131 1:392   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMASH 4 1 12 1 1 16 111¾ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 32% 2.20 3.30 W
SUPPLY CHAIN 6 3 43 43 3 26 211¾ (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 36% 1.80 5.30 P
EXONERATED PREZ 3 2 22 2 2 3313 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 16.90  
CAMP PENDLETON 2 7 8 8 6 410½ 418¼ (st davi)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 18.90  
ICE BLAST 7 4 33 33 44 513½ 522¾ (villa francisc)HALDAR J 126 2.50 2.00  
MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 1 5 6 7 7 721½ 630¾ (clouston edw)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
ROCKSTAR RO 8 6 5 5 5 616½ 732¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 9% 9.80 3.80  
MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU 5 8 7 6 8 823½ 837 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 6.70  
SCR  CANDY CRUSHEM               (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
 
MVR-7   01/30/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:14 1:283   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEVELAND POWER 3 6 711¼ 6 35 2nk 1½ (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 11.20  
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 5 4 4 23 23 1nk 2½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 48% 1.10 1.70 P
RAY'S EMPIRE 1 3 13 13 13 3.2 39 (szczepanski em)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 10.70  
RED COMET 4 2 23 33 47 4410½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 23.00  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 2 7 6 7 6 5512¼ (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
PALACE TEMPTATION 7 1 5 5 7 610¾ 619¾ (faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00 2.40  
HARTSTEIN 6 5 33 4 57 713¾ 729¼ (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.80 25% 3.00 2.70  
SCR  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE               (tumblin andrew)LEON SONNY 124 3.00    
 
MVR-8   01/30/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORETHANREADYEDDIE 6 1 21 2½   11(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 1.40  
HUNTERTOWN 2 4 33 43   22(hernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 2.60  
GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 3 5 43 33   34 3(skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 124 5.00 26% 2.90 7.20 S
HITSVILLE 1 6 67 6   56 410½ (fadlovich megan)HOUGHTON D 126 3.00 35% 1.90 3.10  
RED GUN 4 3 5 55   6513½ (fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 10% 9.10 13.10  
SMART COVERAGE 5 2 11 1½   4617¾ (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 9.00  
SCR  EL ROSILLO               (elliott)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 6.00    
SCR  LUCKY NINETEEN               (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.