Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(7/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(7/8/2)-(3/7/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (7/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/2)-(7/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/2)-(7/8/2)-(7/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/8/2)-(3/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/1/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/5)-(3/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/5)-(3/1/5/6)-(8/1/9/3/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/6)-(8/1/9/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/6)-(8/1/9/3/7)-(7/5/9/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (8/1/9/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/9/3/7)-(8/1/9/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/9/3/7)-(8/1/9/3/7)-(8/1/9/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/9/3/7)-(7/5/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/1/9/3/7)-(7/5/9/1)-(6/7/8/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/9/1)-(7/5/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/9/1)-(7/5/9/1)-(7/5/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/9/1)-(6/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/9/1)-(6/7/8/3)-(1/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (6/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3)-(6/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/3)-(1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY ROAD Jan15 Dec30 Nov29 Oct05 Sep11 (guciardo robert)AVILES YAN 126 5.00    
2  CYBERBURG Jan15 Dec06 Nov20 Oct04 Aug16 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 4.00    
3  FLAXEN Jan03 Dec20 Nov06 Oct16 Sep14 (zielinski ric)TOLEDO S 126 3.50 17% 4.70    
4  MOTHERWELL Jan15 Dec05 Nov12 Oct30 Oct17 (lopez carlos)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00    
5  WOLF EYES Jan15 Dec30 Aug27 May24 Jan31 (guciardo)FERNANDEZ R 126 3.00 28% 2.50    
6  ACT LIKE A LADY Jan04 Dec10 Nov13 Oct18 Jun26 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
MVR-2   01/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDENPENCE Jan11 Oct09 Nov13 Oct22 Aug12 (gonzalez a)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00    
2  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Jan11 Jan03 Dec18 Dec05 Nov22 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  FOX RED Jan11 Jan03 Dec15 Dec07 Nov22 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50    
4  UNCLE EARL Jan11 Jan01 Dec07 Nov30 Oct30 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 126 1.60    
SCR  ROCKET DOCKET Dec30 Nov16 Nov07 Oct12 Sep14 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 12.00    
6  UPTOWN GUY Jan02 Dec11 Nov22 Nov02 Oct24 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
7  THE FILTER Nov05 Oct23 Oct11 Sep27 Aug22 (spiess m)LEON SONNY 124 4.50 36% 1.70    
8  HONOR LIFE Dec18 Dec04 Nov08 Oct22 Oct09 (van d)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 29% 2.50    
 
MVR-3   01/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATDID I BUY Aug15         (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 122 20.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of ALMOST AN ANGEL by DR. KOCH)
2  OLYMPIC WINGS Jan15         (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 5.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of OLYMPIC SMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
3  COMPUTE THIS Jan15 Dec14 Nov29 Oct30 Oct11 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 122 1.60 56% 0.80    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of I LIKE IT by HENNY HUGHES)
4  QUETZALY Jan15         (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 6% 16.90    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DUNDALK DUST by MILITARY)
5  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
6  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Jan15 Dec14 Nov29 Oct30 Sep27 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 122 8.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of EYE'LL BE FINE by MONTBROOK)
7  STICK AROUND Dec30         (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 122 4.50 18% 4.40    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of OPIE by KOKAND)
 
MVR-4   01/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURIOSITY KILLS Jan08 Dec05 Nov07 Aug20 Aug08 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
2  DULCE VICTORIA Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 Nov27 Nov13 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 126 5.00    
3  RIVERVIEW STEVIE Jan08 Dec13 Nov29 Nov19 Nov06 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 124 4.50 31% 2.20    
4  TATTERED HEART Jan08 Dec05 Nov13 Oct18 Sep26 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
5  CHARGINA Jan08 Dec18 Nov01 Aug16 Aug07 (kocijan marcu)BRACHO A 124 3.50 15% 5.80    
6  SWEEPINJUSTICE Nov27 Oct23 Oct02 Sep11 Jun14 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
7  IRON BERTIE Dec28 Dec13 Nov15 Oct25 Oct17 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
8  LOIS Dec05 Nov16 Oct26 Oct12 Oct05 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
SCR  HERO'S DAUGHTER Dec06 Nov06 Oct10 Aug28 Aug15 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 20.00    
 
MVR-5   01/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MORE RING Jan15 Dec11 Nov08 Oct10 Sep19 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  MONTAUK COVE Dec30 Dec06 Nov21 Oct10 Sep18 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
3  LAKE SHORE DRIVE Jan15 Dec01 Nov17 Oct12 Sep21 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 8.00 8% 11.80    
4  KOSCIUSZKO Jan15 Oct31 Oct21 Sep26 Sep14 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
5  PARKER Dec11 Nov19 Nov13 Oct29 Oct03 (salcedo ramon)LEON A 124 5.00    
6  LOCK ON Jan15 Dec18 Nov29 Nov15 Oct25 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
7  PERFECT WAGER Jan15 Dec13 Dec04 Nov04 Oct26 (zawitz joel)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  NICHOLAS JAMES Jan15 Dec30 Dec07 Nov08 Jul19 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.50 25% 3.00    
9  HE'S THE SOUPERWON Jan15 Dec10 Nov26 Nov05 Oct16 (van d)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00 13% 6.60    
 
MVR-6   01/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Jan04 Dec13 Dec04 Nov15 Oct09 (clouston e)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CANDY CRUSHEM Jan10 Dec26 Dec13 Nov15 Nov02 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
3  CAMP PENDLETON Dec26 Nov15 Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 (st da)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00    
4  EXONERATED PREZ Jan01 Dec06 Nov15 Oct24 Oct02 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
5  SMASH Jan10 Dec26 Dec06 Oct31 Sep26 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 32% 2.20    
6  MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU Dec20 Dec07 Nov17 Oct09 Aug02 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
7  SUPPLY CHAIN Dec20 Nov02 Oct02 Sep10 Aug27 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
8  ICE BLAST Jan10 Nov10 Sep20 Aug30 Aug23 (villa franci)HALDAR J 126 2.50    
9  ROCKSTAR RO Jan18 Jan11 Dec01 Nov05 Oct07 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 9% 9.80    
 
MVR-7   01/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE Nov29 Nov14 Oct30 Sep30 Aug01 (tumblin andrew)LEON SONNY 124 3.00    
2  RAY'S EMPIRE Dec28 Jul06 Jun19 May29 May11 (szczepanski )GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
3  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Dec30 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CLEVELAND POWER Jan15 Dec30 Dec14 Nov22 Aug28 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
5  RED COMET Jan15 Jan02 Dec26 Dec14 Nov29 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
6  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Dec30 Nov29 Nov08 Oct24 Oct02 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
7  HARTSTEIN Jan09 Dec21 Nov22 Oct24   (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.80 25% 3.00    
8  PALACE TEMPTATION Jan15 Dec26 Dec14 Nov14 Nov01 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   01/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITSVILLE Jan03 Nov30 Mar21 Feb14 Jan11 (fadlovich mega)HOUGHTON D 126 3.00 35% 1.90    
2  HUNTERTOWN Jan13 Dec01 Nov18 Oct26 Sep20 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
3  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Dec30 Dec20 Nov21 Oct13 Sep18 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  EL ROSILLO Dec13 Oct16 Sep20 Sep07 Aug14 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 124 6.00    
5  RED GUN Jan15 Dec30 Dec04 Nov01 Oct22 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 10% 9.10    
6  SMART COVERAGE Dec01 Nov17 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
SCR  LUCKY NINETEEN Sep26 Aug21 Aug16 Aug06 Jun24 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 15.00    
8  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Dec28 Nov27 Sep24 Aug25 Jul15 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.