The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - January 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $3.00 -4.00
MVR-2   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -1.20
MVR-3   Win (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $6.40 -6.00
MVR-4   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
MVR-5   Win (7/8/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $31.20 $31.20 23.20
MVR-6   Win (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $18.00 -6.00
MVR-7   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $4.00 -4.00
MVR-8   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 2.80

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/09/2024 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:151 1:29   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAMBLERS TAIL 4 5 56 46 21 11 1¾ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 122 1.60 0.50  
XERXES 1 2 45 57 53 21 2¾ (johnson jennifer)JURADO EDDIE 122 8.00 26% 2.80 12.30 P
LIEUTENANT GENERAL 2 1 34 3 31 31 3(ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.20 43% 1.30 2.10 S
MANSION PARTY 3 4 2nk 12 11 46 414½ (short thomas)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.50 5.00  
DESTINO 5 3 1nk 22 4 58 520¾ (morales m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00 27.00  
SCR  MAC'S CAILIN               (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 117 20.00    
 
MVR-2   01/09/2024 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:253 :492 1:16 1:303   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAMA QUEEN 2 1 2½ 1 17 18 1(skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 126 2.00 41% 1.40 0.40 W
SHE'S A SOLDIER 4 2 3 3 37 28 2(reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 10.00 15.00  
ZIPSY ROSE LEE 3 3 412½ 420½ 417 420 315¾ (fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.00 34% 1.90 5.10 S
ALMONTE PRINCESS 1 4 1½ 2 27 314 424¼ (powell a)PAUCAR E 126 3.00 2.40  
SCR  CHOSEN BY GRACE               (galloway khadee)CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00    
SCR  QUICKSTYLE               (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50    
 
MVR-3   01/09/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:021     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 4 1 1nk 21   11(bird danny)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 12.00 2.20  
APPALACHIAN SPIRIT 1 5 31 4   32(cline c)ROSARIO L 126 4.00 18% 4.70 5.00 P
BOLD NICKY 6 2 2nk 11   23(maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00 8.00  
EXTRA CRAFTY 3 6 4 64   56 46 (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 126 3.50 48% 1.10 4.20  
CLOUD PRINCESS 5 3 5 32   44 5(szczepanski emi)CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00 7% 14.20 3.40  
SUPER SCAMP 2 7 7 711   611 616½ (cline c)GONZALEZ A 126 6.00 16.70  
SHE'S A BIG GIRL 7 4 6 5   712½ 718¾ (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 12.00 5.00  
SCR  CRYSTAL M               (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 12.00    
SCR  DOMINUS O'S ME               (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 126 2.50    
 
MVR-4   01/09/2024 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:253 :491 1:142 1:28   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL BEACH 1 2 11 1 1½ 1½ 12 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 4.50 22% 3.60 3.40 W
DUNVEGAN DOLL 4 4 43 43 31 3½ 22 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 34% 1.90 0.70 P
PRANCIPANTS 5 1 21 2 2½ 2½ 35 (zawitz joel)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 15% 5.60 20.20 S
ONE NIGHT STAND 3 5 32 32 45 446 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 6.20  
MAMBO KITTEN 2 6 5 55 58 510½ 520 (suar)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 8.50  
STARSHIP NUGGET 6 3 6 6 6 610¾ 621 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 6.80  
SCR  SASSY JUSTICE               (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
 
MVR-5   01/09/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:01     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEEKENDING 2 5 11 1nk   14 1(calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 6.00 9% 10.50 14.60 W
YOU NAME IT 7 1 21 2nk   24 2(mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 29% 2.40 2.70 P
SAVESOMEFORME 3 7 7 6   46 3(bates l)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 23.00 S
C MORE PRIDE 5 8 811½ 8   64(faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 11.90  
TV TIZ GORGEOUS 6 6 4 4   36 510 (tumblin an)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00 61.10  
ARTIES CRYPTONITE 1 4 6 7   7610¼ (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 52.20  
I'M JAC'D 9 2 34 3   5713 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 13% 7.00 7.60  
BODE'S ROSE 8 3 55 5   8817 (anderson susan )BRACHO A 124 2.00 29% 2.50 0.80  
ROCKY CHANNEL 4 9 926½ 933¾   949¾ 971¾ (cline c)HALDAR J 124 15.00 13.90  
 
MVR-6   01/09/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:004     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN HEIST 6 6 810¾ 7   32 1(thompson erin)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 8.00  
THEODOROPOULOS 5 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 2(buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 41% 1.40 6.30 P
ICEY ANGEL 2 5 46 5   63(spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 28.30  
CONSTITUTIONALIST 7 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 44 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 35% 1.80 0.40  
THIS ONE CAN RUN 3 7 5 36   45(robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 9.40  
IMA SURE BET 1 8 7 810¼   76(morales m)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
SOLDAT TEMPTATION 8 1 6 6   87(suarez javie)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 24.60  
SURPRISED GEM 4 3 32 4   54 821½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00 24.80  
 
MVR-7   01/09/2024 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:161 1:302   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE COMES DOLLY 2 3 31 32 1 16 1(zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.00 1.00  
SHAKA'S LYRIC 1 4 46 45 34 26 2(silva fernando)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 11.60  
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 3 5 514 513 510 36 3(calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 12.00 11.20  
ARTISTIC LANEY 4 1 1nk 1nk 2 4414¼ (west m)AVILES YAN 116 2.50 57% 0.80 1.40  
WINDY VALLEY 5 2 2nk 2nk 46 517½ 532 (londono j)BRACHO A 126 1.80 21% 3.80 5.10  
SCR  OH EYE SEE               (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   01/09/2024 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:261 :502 1:162 1:293   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARTSTEIN 5 1 1nk 11 12 16 1(atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 15% 5.80 2.40 W
HEZA PISTOL 3 5 4 3 22 26 2(greenhill jeff)AVILES YAN 116 2.50 61% 0.60 0.50 P
INDY CARR 4 2 2nk 21 34 33(tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 124 3.50 4.60 S
NO MAS CERVEZA 2 3 5 5 416 425½ 439 (brown glenroy)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 12.00  
SWEET JILL'S JACK 1 4 32 4 518 531½ 550¼ (campbell anthony )VEGA L 124 15.00 24.20  
SCR  JOHN PHILIP               (tumblin andre)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
SCR  ORLEANS STORM               (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
SCR  PRESSLEY RIDGE               (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.