Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - January 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4/5)-(5/2/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(5/2/7)-(5/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(5/1/6)-(7/8/9/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(7/8/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(7/8/9/2)-(5/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/8/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/2)-(7/8/9/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/9/2)-(7/8/9/2/3)-(7/8/9/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/9/2)-(5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/9/2)-(5/7/1)-(5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/6/1)-(5/7/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1)-(5/6)-(5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/6)-(5/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XERXES Dec14 Nov29       (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 122 8.00 26% 2.80    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SWEETSONGOFTHENILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  LIEUTENANT GENERAL         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.20 43% 1.30    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LADY SHIPMAN by MIDSHIPMAN)
3  MANSION PARTY Nov27 Nov07 Oct11 Sep28 Sep11 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  MAC'S CAILIN Nov28 Nov14 Oct10     (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 117 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SHEFLEW by FLATTER)
5  GAMBLERS TAIL Nov17         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 122 1.60 ★    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of GAMBLERS ROSE by PULPIT)
6  DESTINO Dec27 Sep06 Aug25 Jul27 Jul15 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 122 12.00    
  (by MASTERY out of PINCHBECK by MINESHAFT)
 
MVR-2   01/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUICKSTYLE Dec13 Aug11 Jun30 Jun04 May14 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50    
2  ALMONTE PRINCESS Dec14 Dec07 Nov23 Nov02 Oct05 (powell a)PAUCAR E 126 3.00    
SCR  CHOSEN BY GRACE Dec26 Nov22 Nov08 Oct10   (galloway khad)CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00    
4  TRAMA QUEEN Dec13 Nov29 Oct05 Sep13 Aug07 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 126 2.00 41% 1.40    
5  ZIPSY ROSE LEE Dec26 Dec13 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 4.00 34% 1.90    
6  SHE'S A SOLDIER Dec11 Aug03 Jul05     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 10.00    
 
MVR-3   01/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOMINUS O'S ME Dec21 Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Oct05 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 126 2.50    
2  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Dec11 Sep13 Aug15 Aug03 Jul05 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 4.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  CRYSTAL M Nov29 Oct23 Sep16 Oct31 Oct05 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 12.00    
4  SUPER SCAMP Dec11 Sep13 Aug05 Jul05 Jun08 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 126 6.00    
5  EXTRA CRAFTY Dec11 Nov22 Aug30 Aug09 Jul13 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 3.50 48% 1.10    
6  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Dec20 Nov22 Nov07 Oct21 Oct04 (bird danny)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 12.00 ★    
7  CLOUD PRINCESS Dec21         (szczepanski e)CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00 7% 14.20    
8  BOLD NICKY Dec11 Nov22 Oct21 Oct04 Jun19 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 8.00    
9  SHE'S A BIG GIRL Dec11 Nov07 Oct21 Oct06   (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 126 12.00    
 
MVR-4   01/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL BEACH Dec27 Nov13 Sep25 Sep05 Jul27 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 4.50 22% 3.60    
2  MAMBO KITTEN Dec13 Nov30 Nov12 Oct29 Oct15 (su)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
SCR  SASSY JUSTICE Dec27 Nov29 Oct24 Oct15 Oct03 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
4  ONE NIGHT STAND Dec27 Nov07 Oct18 Sep25 Sep18 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
5  DUNVEGAN DOLL Dec05 Nov09 Oct10 Sep20 Sep06 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
6  PRANCIPANTS Nov14 Sep03 Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 (zawitz joel)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 15% 5.60    
7  STARSHIP NUGGET Dec13 Dec03 Nov14 Oct30 Oct10 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   01/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Dec20 Nov13 Oct23 Sep26 Sep14 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
2  WEEKENDING Dec20 Nov28 Aug29 Aug09 Jul05 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 6.00 9% 10.50    
3  SAVESOMEFORME Nov30 Nov15 Sep28 Sep13 Jul24 (bates l)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 ★    
4  ROCKY CHANNEL Dec20 Dec20 Nov12 Oct26 Oct05 (cline robert)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
5  C MORE PRIDE Dec20 Nov13 Oct23 Oct06 Sep21 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 15.00    
6  TV TIZ GORGEOUS Dec20 Oct23 Oct12 Sep21 Aug31 (tumblin )FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
7  YOU NAME IT Dec20 Nov28 Nov13 Oct23 Sep22 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
8  BODE'S ROSE Dec20 Nov13 Nov02 Sep28 Mar02 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
9  I'M JAC'D Dec20 Nov20 Nov08 Oct25 Oct12 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 13% 7.00    
 
MVR-6   01/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA SURE BET Dec27 Nov29 Oct24 Aug23 Aug01 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ICEY ANGEL Dec27 Nov16 Oct10 Aug28 Aug11 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
3  THIS ONE CAN RUN Dec04 Nov27 Oct29 Sep25 Sep13 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
4  SURPRISED GEM Dec04 Oct30 Aug23 Aug14 May10 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00    
5  THEODOROPOULOS Dec19 Apr22 Feb12 Jan20 Jul01 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
6  GOLDEN HEIST Dec26 Nov15 Nov07 Oct25 Oct12 (thompson erin)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 ★    
7  CONSTITUTIONALIST Dec27 Dec04 Nov14 Oct30 Oct10 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 35% 1.80    
8  SOLDAT TEMPTATION Dec27 Nov14 Oct30 Sep12 Aug23 (suarez jav)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   01/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKA'S LYRIC Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Sep28 Sep13 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
2  HERE COMES DOLLY Dec07 Nov21 Oct23 Oct04 Sep04 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.00 ★    
3  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Dec06 Nov15 Nov07 Oct03 Sep11 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
SCR  OH EYE SEE Dec07 Nov07 Oct23 Oct04 Sep19 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
5  ARTISTIC LANEY Nov14 Jul22 Jun29     (west m)AVILES YAN 116 2.50 57% 0.80    
6  WINDY VALLEY Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Oct05 Sep19 (londono odin )BRACHO A 126 1.80 21% 3.80    
 
MVR-8   01/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET JILL'S JACK Dec28 Jul27 Jun09 May31 May16 (campbell anthon)VEGA L 124 15.00    
2  NO MAS CERVEZA Dec28 Dec13 Nov22     (brown glenroy)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
SCR  JOHN PHILIP Dec26 Oct24 Sep27 Sep12 Aug30 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
SCR  PRESSLEY RIDGE Dec26 Nov30 Nov08 Oct24 Sep14 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 3.00    
5  HEZA PISTOL Dec21 Nov30 Nov15     (greenhill jeff)AVILES YAN 116 2.50 61% 0.60    
6  INDY CARR Dec07 Nov08 Oct24 Sep27 Aug30 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 124 3.50 ★    
7  HARTSTEIN Dec21 Nov22 Oct24     (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  ORLEANS STORM Dec26 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.