Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.00 $1.00 17%
MVR-7   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $11.00 $5.00 83%
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-2 $19.40 $7.40 62%
MVR-8   WIN (5/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $10.20 $2.20 28%
    EXA (5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-5 $30.40 $6.40 27%
    TRI (5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-5-6 $15.05 $3.05 25%
    SFT (5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3) 24 $0.10 $2.40  8-5-6-3 $10.03 $7.63 318%
    DD (4/2/3)-(5/6/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-8 $50.40 $26.40 110%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   01/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :464       1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH SPEED 8 2 2nk 11   1½ 1¾ (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 6.00 16.20  
AWAY TO RETURN 5 4 43 5   3½ 2¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 50% 1.00 0.60 P
BACKSPLASH 7 7 6 42   5 31 (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00 18.00  
COWGIRL KIMMIE 2 6 5 31   41 4 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 5% 19.00 18.00  
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 3 8 7 7   64 5 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 4.50 17.30  
SHELLEY'S GEM 6 1 1nk 21   2½ 6 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 4.00 14% 6.20 3.10  
SWEET BELEN 4 5 3 6   710 711¾ (juarez lor)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 10% 8.60 10.20  
ALL ABOUT KATHERN 1 3 8 811¾   810½ 812 (tomczak mark)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 11.70  
 
MVR-2   01/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:151 1:284   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S THE WAY 6 5 5 5 3.2 1½ 13 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 1.60 23% 3.30 2.50 W
MONSTER HUNTER 4 6 6 6 5 32 23 (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 7.90  
TIGER TRAIL 5 1 4 3 1nk 2½ 3 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 4.00 22% 3.60 1.90 S
SERENDIPITOUS 3 2 1nk 21 4 5 4 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 4.10  
JOSH'N 1 4 2nk 11 2nk 4 513¼ (rivera nestor)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 5.60  
NAMBITI 2 3 31 4 6 6 616¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50 17% 4.90 6.20  
 
MVR-3   01/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:23 :462 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KERANOS 3 7 8 6   5 1¼ (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 4.50 13.30  
DUEL FUEL 5 3 9 8   64 2¼ (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00 39.00  
RIKIO 9 2 3.2 2nk   1½ 3 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50 27% 2.70 1.10 S
UNCLEJACKOMO 7 6 5 54   43 43 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 36.70  
FLY HOME 4 8 4 4   32 5 (flores chris)HALDAR J 124 5.00 21% 3.70 10.20  
COMPASS POINT 6 9 7 9   7 67 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 17% 4.90 6.90  
ESTILO FAVORITO 1 5 1nk 1nk   2½ 77 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 4.00 3.10  
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ 8 1 6 76   87 8 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 7% 13.70 10.70  
HOUSEBUILDER 2 4 2nk 31   910 915¼ (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
 
MVR-4   01/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:231 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 4 3 6 31   1½ 1 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 5.00 6.30  
REINSURE 1 6 3½ 21   2½ 2 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 4.00 11% 8.50 3.50 P
WIZARD WILLIE 5 1 1½ 11   31 34 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.00 18% 4.60 8.80 S
WILE E PEYOTE 3 2 5 5   44 49 (zielinski ric)TOLEDO S 126 2.00 39% 1.60 1.10  
ALPINE GHOST 2 5 2½ 4   54 513¼ (watkins m)REYES FRANK 126 6.00 2.50  
LIGHTNING JACK 6 4 41 65   66 615¾ (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 126 20.00 38.80  
SCR  BIG FALCON ROCKET               (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 15.00    
SCR  BLACK CANDY               (tomczak mar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   01/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BISCAYNE BAY 9 6 64 42   31 1 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 12.00 6.40  
HERE COMES JIGS 7 8 9 54   43 2 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 7% 12.70 10.90 P
SARAH JANE 1 1 11 1nk   1½ 33 (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 124 4.00 1.80  
APPEALING SENORITA 6 2 31 2nk   2½ 4 (gonzalez don)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
BAY MAGIC 3 9 5 3   55 5 (calderon ivan)REYES FRANK 124 15.00 48.10  
CAT'S RHYTHM 4 7 7 9   78 6 (rivera nestor)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 50% 1.00 4.30  
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE 2 5 4 6   66 710¼ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 8.90  
THE LAST APPLE 5 3 21 7   8 811 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 17% 4.90 5.80  
NORTHERN JOURNEY 8 4 8 8   910½ 915 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 12.00 41.80  
SCR  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE               (wilson jr)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00    
 
MVR-6   01/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PECKS NOT BAD 4 3 2nk 3.2   1½ 1 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.50 1.60  
IT'SGOODTOBESEEN 7 2 32 1nk   2½ 2 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 4.80  
COWTOWN BOSS 5 5 4 4   3 3 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 64% 0.60 3.10 S
WILDCAT BILL 8 1 1nk 2nk   42 45 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.00 13% 6.80 3.10  
JUST CHESTER 2 4 54 6   55 58 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 41.40  
BLUE MONARCH 3 7 76 7   7 6 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 54.70  
KARAMEL CORN 6 6 6 5   6 710¼ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00 14.00  
CHOCOLATE PHILLING 1 8 89 8   8 810¾ (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 12.30  
 
MVR-7   01/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:50 1:144 1:28   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIALEAH NATIVE 4 5 4¼ 3 11 12 1 (farrior anthon)DIAZ I 126 1.80 35% 1.90 4.50 W
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of BANG AWAY by SKY MESA)
SHORTLY 2 3 2nk 2½ 21 22 2 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 126 3.00 34% 1.90 0.50 P
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
ALLIGATOR ARMS 5 1 1nk 1½ 34 39 312 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.50 3.00  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of COASTAL VIEW by DISTANT VIEW)
C C'S CLEAR CREEK 3 2 3.2 4 4 412 417½ (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 126 12.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
DOC BALLARD 1 4 5 5 514½ 517 526½ (londono od)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 12.00 11.90  
  (by GORMLEY out of WELCOME ABOARD by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
SCR  ECHOLITE               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 4.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPALITE by TAPIT)
 
MVR-8   01/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBIL MEMORY 8 2 31 3½   3.2 11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.50 14% 6.10 4.10 W
CREME DE MAIS 5 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 21 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 37% 1.70 1.10 P
DANZANITEAWAY 6 3 52 2nk   2nk 3 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 116 3.00 24% 3.20 3.00 S
COMMISSIONER D 3 7 42 7   4 42 (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 116 8.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
SWEET MOBILTEE 4 5 6 6   5 5 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 5.00 15.60  
VAMONOS PIACENTE 2 4 1½ 4¾   6 6 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 9.60  
UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 1 8 85 8   8 7 (bird danny)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00 47.50  
MY TWO JAKES 7 6 74 5   7 8 (gonzalez don)HALDAR J 124 12.00 29.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.