Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2)-(5/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/4/2)-(6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/2)-(6/5/2)-(9/4/6/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(9/4/6/8/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(9/4/6/8/2)-(3/7/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-3   WIN (9/4/6/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/6/8/2)-(9/4/6/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/6/8/2)-(9/4/6/8/2)-(9/4/6/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/6/8/2)-(3/7/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/4/6/8/2)-(3/7/1/6)-(4/5/8/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6)-(3/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/6)-(4/5/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/6)-(4/5/8/6)-(5/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/6)-(4/5/8/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/6)-(4/5/8/6/9)-(4/5/8/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/8/6)-(5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/6)-(5/8/6)-(4/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/6)-(5/8/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/6)-(5/8/6/4)-(5/8/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/8/6)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6)-(4/2/3)-(5/6/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(5/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL ABOUT KATHERN Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 Jun18 Nov01 (tomczak mark)AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
2  COWGIRL KIMMIE Dec30 Nov08 Oct16 Sep25 Sep05 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Dec27 Oct03 Sep16 Aug10 Jul07 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 4.50    
4  SWEET BELEN Dec30 Dec14 Nov28 Oct04 Sep20 (juarez lor)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 10% 8.60    
5  AWAY TO RETURN Oct06 Sep02 Aug12 Jul23 Jun25 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
6  SHELLEY'S GEM Dec14 Oct25 Aug23 Jul04 May06 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
7  BACKSPLASH Dec27 Dec06 Nov16 Oct25 Sep25 (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00    
8  HIGH SPEED Dec30 Dec06 Oct13 Sep09 Aug23 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
 
MVR-2   01/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOSH'N Dec26 Dec07 Nov06 Oct21 Sep18 (rivera nestor)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50    
2  NAMBITI Jan02 Dec12 Nov21 Oct09 Sep25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50 17% 4.90    
3  SERENDIPITOUS Jan02 Dec04 Nov21 Nov08 Oct28 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
4  MONSTER HUNTER Jan01 Dec13 Apr11 Mar09 Feb09 (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 124 8.00    
5  TIGER TRAIL Dec26 Dec12 Nov20 Oct28 Oct13 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
6  THAT'S THE WAY Jan02 Dec12 Nov30 Nov06 Oct09 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 124 1.60 23% 3.30    
 
MVR-3   01/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTILO FAVORITO Jan01 Dec19 Dec04 Nov09 Oct29 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 4.00    
2  HOUSEBUILDER Dec11 Nov21 Nov09 Oct22 Oct09 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  KERANOS Dec26 Dec04 Nov15 Nov04 Oct20 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 4.50    
4  FLY HOME Dec21 Dec04 Nov13 Jul20 May31 (flores chris)HALDAR J 124 5.00 21% 3.70    
5  DUEL FUEL Jan10 Jan02 Dec27 Dec05 Nov16 (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00    
6  COMPASS POINT Oct03 Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 Oct17 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 17% 4.90    
7  UNCLEJACKOMO Jan02 Dec14 Dec06 Nov15 Oct31 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00    
8  CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Dec05 Nov20 Nov06 Oct24 Aug29 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 7% 13.70    
9  RIKIO Dec30 Dec11 Nov22 Sep21 Aug31 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-4   01/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REINSURE Jan01 Nov06 Jul06 Jun07 May20 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 4.00 11% 8.50    
2  ALPINE GHOST Jan11 Dec16 Dec06 Jul01 Jun17 (watkins m)REYES FRANK 126 6.00    
3  WILE E PEYOTE Jan01 Dec12 Oct31 Oct02 Sep13 (zielinski ric)TOLEDO S 126 2.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  BIG FALCON ROCKET Dec27 Nov06 Oct18 Oct08 Sep25 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 15.00    
5  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE Jan01 Dec05 Nov22 Oct24 Aug17 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 5.00    
SCR  BLACK CANDY Dec14 Nov25 Nov06 Oct28 Oct11 (tomczak mar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  WIZARD WILLIE Jan01 Nov06 Oct16 Sep10 Aug22 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.00 18% 4.60    
8  LIGHTNING JACK Jan01 Nov07 Oct31 Oct15 Oct02 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 126 20.00    
 
MVR-5   01/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH JANE Dec21 Dec11 Nov16 Oct28 Sep22 (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
2  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Dec30 Dec11 May24 May03 Apr12 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50    
3  BAY MAGIC Dec18 Jul04 May29 Apr10 Mar16 (calderon ivan)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
4  CAT'S RHYTHM Jan01 Dec11 Nov28 Nov14 Nov01 (rivera nestor)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
5  THE LAST APPLE Jan01 Nov29 Nov01 Sep30 Aug09 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 5.00 17% 4.90    
6  APPEALING SENORITA Jan01 Dec19 Dec11 Nov20 Nov02 (gonzalez don)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Jan01 Nov29 Nov01 Sep26 Aug30 (wilson jr)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00    
8  HERE COMES JIGS Dec03 Nov13 Oct22 Sep19 Sep03 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 7% 12.70    
9  NORTHERN JOURNEY Jan15 Dec18 Nov29 Nov01 Sep19 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 12.00 ★    
10  BISCAYNE BAY Jan01 Jul04 Jun12 May29 May10 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
 
MVR-6   01/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Jan11 Jan01 Nov06 Oct26 Oct11 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
2  JUST CHESTER Jan01 Dec19 Jun07 May20 May08 (schuster)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
3  BLUE MONARCH Jan01 Dec19 Mar08 Feb02 Jan11 (huffman candac)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
4  PECKS NOT BAD Dec26 Nov08 Aug30 Aug01 Jul06 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.50 ★    
5  COWTOWN BOSS Jun24 Apr26 Apr03 Mar06 Jan05 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 64% 0.60    
6  KARAMEL CORN Jan02 Dec19 Dec04 Nov08 Oct13 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Jan01 Nov27 Nov06 Jul14 Jun14 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
8  WILDCAT BILL Jan01 Dec14 Nov06 Oct13 Sep19 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
MVR-7   01/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOC BALLARD Dec26 Dec08 Nov25 Nov12 Sep29 (londono od)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 12.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of WELCOME ABOARD by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
2  SHORTLY Jan02 Dec18 Dec05 Nov14 Oct13 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 126 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Dec05 Nov14 Oct30 Oct13 Sep25 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
4  HIALEAH NATIVE Jul23 Jul07 Jun18 May19 Apr30 (farrior anthon)DIAZ I 126 1.80 35% 1.90    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of BANG AWAY by SKY MESA)
5  ALLIGATOR ARMS May04 Apr16 Mar31     (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 2.50    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of COASTAL VIEW by DISTANT VIEW)
SCR  ECHOLITE Dec13 Oct30 Sep14 Oct26 Oct01 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 121 4.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPALITE by TAPIT)
 
MVR-8   01/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Jan09 Dec20 Nov22 Nov07 Oct21 (bird danny)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 12.00    
2  VAMONOS PIACENTE Dec20 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
3  COMMISSIONER D Dec13 Sep04       (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWEET MOBILTEE Jun22 Jun07 May24 Dec13 Nov30 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
5  CREME DE MAIS Feb06         (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  DANZANITEAWAY Jan04 Nov30 Nov13 Oct28 Sep22 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 116 3.00 24% 3.20    
7  MY TWO JAKES Jan04 Dec21 Dec05 Nov06 Oct21 (gonzalez don)HALDAR J 124 12.00    
8  MOBIL MEMORY Jan04 Dec21 Nov21 Nov07 Oct21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.