The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - February 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.20 -6.00
MVR-2   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -0.80
MVR-3   Win (7/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $23.80 -6.00
MVR-4   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
MVR-5   Win (3/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $31.20 -8.00
MVR-6   Win (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $52.40 -6.00
MVR-7   Win (5/1/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
MVR-8   Win (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $8.60 -4.00

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   02/12/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:153 1:293   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST STUDY 3 1 5 5 3 11(blankenship dona)JURADO EDDIE 126 2.50 1.60  
STEP AHEAD 2 3 2½ 31 2 22(faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 2.00 21% 3.90 2.30 P
WILEY T 1 4 4 11 1 33(tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 126 20.00 7.70  
ELEGGUA 5 2 1½ 21 47 411½ 422¼ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 126 15.00 42.70  
DANGEROUS MIND (IRE) 4 6 6 66 610 516½ 527 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 126 6.00 11% 8.20 9.00  
ELEVATED CAUSEWAY 6 5 31 42 510 617½ 632 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.60 39% 1.60 2.10  
 
MVR-2   02/12/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 1:12
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:154 1:294   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIA DELLA SPIGA 3 1 1 12 1nk 12 1(ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 122 2.50 39% 1.60 0.60 W
YOU KUUIPO 2 3 2 22 2nk 22 2(ward a)BRACHO A 117 3.00 31% 2.20 1.60 P
MR. BLUTARSKY 1 2 3 32 34 36 3(smith larry)DIAZ I 122 4.00 3.30  
SCR  TEN BITS               (short thomas)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 12.00    
SCR  MANSION PARTY               (short thomas)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00    
SCR  Y'ZIN UP               (bernardini p)LEON A 122 10.00    
SCR  AXED AVENGER               (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50    
 
MVR-3   02/12/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:01     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONAHUE 7 1 11 13   11(faulkner joshua)TOLEDO S 126 10.00 10.90  
SINALOA 3 3 4 44   32(blankenship dona)JURADO EDDIE 126 8.00 2.80 P
LOTS OF MISCHIEF 2 5 7 7   53(clouston edwa)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 6.00 5% 19.00 7.90 S
MO SNOW 4 2 31 3   249 (londono odin)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 8.00 5.60  
NO MORE GUNS 5 9 5 54   6511½ (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 8.00 13.80  
10  FATHER OF LIES 9 4 21 23   45 612¼ (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00 8.60  
PACIFIDERO 1 7 8 66   7715½ (smit)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00 13.50  
FAST STRIDE 8 6 6 8   9816¼ (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.00 5% 18.40 4.20  
LEAVENWORTH 6 8 9 9   8916½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 3.50 69% 0.40 4.40  
SCR  DOC BALLARD               (londono j)LEON A 126 20.00    
 
MVR-4   02/12/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:02     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEODOROPOULOS 3 3 21 2   2½ 11 (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 1.60 58% 0.70 1.10 W
LORDHEARMYPRAYER 5 2 11 1   1½ 21 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 5% 19.00 8.50 P
ONACOUNTA 4 1 3 4   33(zawitz joel)DIAZ I 124 8.00 14.90  
MISS LINDYSUE 6 4 4 3   44(fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 13% 6.50 3.50  
ICEY ANGEL 1 5 5 5   5511½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 23.90  
LITTLE DOYLE 2 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.80 2.10  
 
MVR-5   02/12/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:021     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLIMATE 5 8 6 6   42 1¾ (guciardo robe)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 15.00 14.60  
12  LUVISANAKI 8 1 4 3.2   11 2¾ (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 12.00 3.00  
MALI BALI 3 4 2½ 2nk   21 3(mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00 6% 15.80 2.10 S
10  BIG R. NAUFFAL 7 2 56 5   342 (farrior an)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00 18.80  
WORKING HOLIDAY 2 5 1½ 4   55(buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 118 4.00 44% 1.30 4.20  
CITRINA 4 3 3½ 1nk   63 6(zielinski ri)COLINA ALEJANDRO 118 4.50 12% 7.50 2.70  
VALENTINA MIA 1 6 7 710¾   711 715 (robillard julie)CEDILLO MAURO 126 20.00 34.80  
F F DANCER 6 7 8 812¾   816 823¼ (baird michael)RIVERA R 126 12.00 6% 17.00 17.10  
SCR  LUNA PRIMAVERA               (atala jose)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 15.00    
SCR  RUNNETH OVER               (bates l)AVILES YAN 126 20.00    
SCR  SISTER CODE               (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 15.00    
SCR  WRITTEN CONSENT               (meraz an)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00    
 
MVR-6   02/12/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWERFUL MOON 2 1 1nk 13   17 1(ray kevin)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00 25.20  
RIKIO 5 2 5 34   27 2(farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50 26% 2.80 0.70 P
ESTILO FAVORITO 3 5 3.2 23   310 316¾ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 6% 15.40 3.30 S
MARLEY LUCK 1 4 2nk 45   413 417¼ (radosevich)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00 45% 1.20 2.00  
FRANK N DUCKY 4 3 4 512   558 5100 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 18.30  
SCR  LAKE SHORE DRIVE               (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 3.00    
SCR  MAQAMAT               (meraz antonio)VIGIL NOEL 124 4.50    
SCR  NINETIES COUNTRY               (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
 
MVR-7   02/12/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCO 5 3 43 11   15 112½ (hetrick nic)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 55% 0.80 2.00 W
DOMI 2 8 55 56   39 212½ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 8.30 DQ↓5
MOON OVER DUBAI 8 6 77 7   6313 (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 15.00 5% 18.60 18.40 P
OUTSLEWTHEM 7 5 2½ 21   25 413¼ (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 20.00 3.50  
NATURE OFTHE BEAST 6 4 6 6   5515¾ (calderon ivan)LEON A 124 8.00 2.60  
RIVER FULL 4 1 3 34   49 616¾ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 6.00 7% 14.00 9.80  
RAMBLIN CHROME 3 7 8 8   711¼ 720½ (castillo jab)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00 35.00  
STANDINGINTHEFIRE 1 2 1½ 4   811¾ 821 (gotera jua)MARTINEZ A 116 4.00 9% 10.80 7.20  
SCR  BELL CURVE               (bates l)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
SCR  MSHINDI               (faulkner c)VIGIL NOEL 124 2.00    
 
MVR-8   02/12/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGDOM QUEEN 3 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 1(sullivan)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 3.30  
LADY LOTTIE 1 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2(daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.60 52% 0.90 0.20 P
AUJARA 4 2 3 3   37 311½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 15% 5.50 7.20 S
SUZY Q THE QUEEN 2 4 42 4   411 417 (brown glenroy)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 16.20  
SCR  KARMA GHIA               (lucas wayne)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
SCR  LOST BIKINI               (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00    
SCR  TIMELY SECRET               (hetrick nic)AVILES YAN 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.