Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - February 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(4/2)-(7/9/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(7/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(7/9/2)-(3/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/2)-(7/9/2/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/2)-(7/9/2/3/10)-(7/9/2/3/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/9/2)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/9/2)-(3/6/5)-(3/5/4/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(3/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(3/5/4/8)-(1/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/8)-(3/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/8)-(3/5/4/8)-(3/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/8)-(1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/8)-(1/8/6)-(5/1/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6)-(1/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(5/1/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6)-(5/1/4/9)-(1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/1/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/9)-(5/1/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/9)-(5/1/4/9)-(5/1/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/9)-(1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILEY T Jan05 Dec05 Mar02 Dec28   (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 126 20.00    
2  STEP AHEAD Jan02 Nov18 Oct27 Oct07 Sep09 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 2.00 21% 3.90    
3  FAST STUDY Jan10 Dec14 Oct13 Sep21 Aug06 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 126 2.50    
4  DANGEROUS MIND (IRE) Jan18 Dec29 Nov15 Oct26 Oct05 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 126 6.00 11% 8.20    
5  ELEGGUA Jan02 Dec15 Nov30 Nov20 Nov06 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 126 15.00    
6  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY Dec23 Dec01 Nov12 Oct28 Jul02 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 1.60 39% 1.60    
 
MVR-2   02/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. BLUTARSKY Nov29 Nov07 Oct23 Sep09 Aug26 (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 4.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of DELTA PRIDE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
2  YOU KUUIPO         (ward a)BRACHO A 117 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by FLATTER out of GALILEO'S MELODY by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  AXED AVENGER Jan04         (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of YOU AXED ME by TWIRLING CANDY)
4  VIA DELLA SPIGA         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MADAME MILAN by BERNARDINI)
SCR  MANSION PARTY Jan25 Jan09 Nov27 Nov07 Oct11 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  TEN BITS Jan18 Dec21       (short thom)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 12.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
SCR  Y'ZIN UP Jan25 Jan04 Dec12     (bernardini jay )LEON A 122 10.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of PSALM TWENTY THREE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
MVR-3   02/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACIFIDERO Dec27 Dec08 Sep09 Aug26   (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00    
2  LOTS OF MISCHIEF Jan18 Jan02 Dec05 Oct15 Sep22 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SINALOA Dec10 Nov22 Nov06 Oct21 Sep18 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 126 8.00 ★    
4  MO SNOW Jan11 Jun13 May25 Mar17 Jan21 (londono od)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 8.00    
SCR  DOC BALLARD Jan22 Dec26 Dec08 Nov25 Nov12 (londono j)LEON A 126 20.00    
6  NO MORE GUNS Jan18 Dec27 Nov29 Sep01 Aug03 (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 8.00    
7  LEAVENWORTH Jan18 Jan11 Nov02 Feb26 Dec21 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 3.50 69% 0.40    
8  DONAHUE Oct13 Sep19 Aug29 Jul03   (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 126 10.00    
9  FAST STRIDE Aug12         (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.00 5% 18.40    
10  FATHER OF LIES Jan11 Dec18 Dec05 Nov06 May14 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00 ★    
 
MVR-4   02/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICEY ANGEL Jan25 Jan09 Dec27 Nov16 Oct10 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
2  LITTLE DOYLE Nov13 Nov03 Oct16 Oct02 Sep04 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.80    
3  THEODOROPOULOS Jan09 Dec19 Apr22 Feb12 Jan20 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 1.60 58% 0.70    
4  ONACOUNTA Feb01 Jan25 Dec10 Nov29 Nov14 (zawitz joel)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
5  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Jul19 Jul02 Jun21 May11 May03 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISS LINDYSUE Jan25 Dec27 Dec03 Oct30 Oct22 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 13% 6.50    
 
MVR-5   02/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUNA PRIMAVERA Jan24 Jan04 Dec11 Nov27   (atala jose)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 15.00    
2  VALENTINA MIA Dec06 Oct31       (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 20.00    
3  WORKING HOLIDAY Nov30 Nov10 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 118 4.00 44% 1.30    
4  MALI BALI Jan24 Dec27 Nov29 Nov07 Oct24 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00 6% 15.80    
5  CITRINA Jan03 Dec16 Nov30 Nov11   (zielinski )COLINA ALEJANDRO 118 4.50 12% 7.50    
6  CLIMATE Dec26 Dec11 Nov29 Nov13 Oct26 (guciardo ro)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 15.00    
SCR  WRITTEN CONSENT Dec30 Dec02 Jul27 Jul07 Jun21 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00    
8  F F DANCER         (baird michael)RIVERA R 126 12.00 6% 17.00    
SCR  RUNNETH OVER Nov29 Nov07 Sep27 Sep15 Aug19 (bates l)AVILES YAN 126 20.00    
10  BIG R. NAUFFAL Jan12 Nov27 Oct21     (farrior )MARTINEZ A 118 8.00    
SCR  SISTER CODE Jan24 Jan01 Dec19 Oct31 Oct05 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 126 15.00    
12  LUVISANAKI Feb22 Jan13 Nov04     (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 12.00    
 
MVR-6   02/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARLEY LUCK Jan13 Dec16 Oct01 Aug23 Jul08 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  MAQAMAT Jan13 Dec21 Oct26 Oct09 Sep14 (meraz antonio)VIGIL NOEL 124 4.50    
SCR  NINETIES COUNTRY Jan15 Dec12 Nov26 Aug14 Mar18 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
4  POWERFUL MOON Aug17 Jul04 Jun21 Dec08 Nov14 (ray kevin)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
SCR  LAKE SHORE DRIVE Jan30 Jan15 Dec01 Nov17 Oct12 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 3.00    
6  ESTILO FAVORITO Jan22 Jan01 Dec19 Dec04 Nov09 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 6% 15.40    
7  FRANK N DUCKY Dec18 Dec11 Nov22 Sep12 Jul11 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
8  RIKIO Jan22 Dec30 Dec11 Nov22 Sep21 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
 
MVR-7   02/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STANDINGINTHEFIRE Jan11 Dec27 Dec03 Oct11 Oct05 (gotera j)MARTINEZ A 116 4.00 9% 10.80    
2  DOMI Jan25 Jan11 Jan04 Dec19 Dec12 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
3  RAMBLIN CHROME Jan18 Dec23 Dec09 Nov21 Sep27 (castillo j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00    
4  RIVER FULL Jan25 Nov05 Oct14 Sep13 Sep01 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 6.00 7% 14.00    
5  LOCO Jan25 Dec27 Dec13 Nov22 Oct30 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  BELL CURVE Nov27 Nov15 Oct04 Sep20 Aug03 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
7  NATURE OFTHE BEAST Feb05 Jan11 Dec19 Dec12 Nov27 (calderon ivan)LEON A 124 8.00    
8  OUTSLEWTHEM Jan11 Dec28 Nov15 Nov01 Sep27 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
9  MOON OVER DUBAI Feb05 Jan18 Jan02 Dec18 Nov21 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 15.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  MSHINDI Jan25 Jan11 Dec27 Nov30 Oct31 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 2.00    
 
MVR-8   02/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY LOTTIE Jan25 Jan08 Dec13 Nov20 Nov02 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.60 52% 0.90    
SCR  TIMELY SECRET Jan11 Dec03 Oct01 Jul22 Jun04 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 124 10.00    
SCR  KARMA GHIA Dec12 Mar13 Jan12 Nov27 Oct24 (lucas wayne)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
4  SUZY Q THE QUEEN Dec16 Nov24 Oct26 Sep28 Sep06 (brown glenroy)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
SCR  LOST BIKINI Jan11 Dec19 Nov23 Oct01 Aug22 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00    
6  KINGDOM QUEEN Jan23 Jan11 Dec13 Nov26 Nov08 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50    
7  AUJARA Jan23 Jan04 Nov14 Oct31 Oct11 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 15% 5.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.