Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Friday - July 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $15.40  
SAR-2   Win (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.90 $5.90  
SAR-3   Win (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $13.00  
SAR-4   Win (4/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
SAR-5   Win (9/6/1/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $71.50 $71.50 61.50
SAR-6   Win (10/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $4.10 $4.10  
SAR-7   Win (13/3/11/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $20.60  
SAR-8   Win (4/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.50 $7.50  
SAR-9   Win (5/9/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 1.40
SAR-10   Win (1/7/11/10/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $9.30 $9.30  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RELIABLE LADY 3 4 21 21   11 12½ (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 6.70  
1  LORD I WONDER 1 6 42 42½   41¼ 22½ (stall m)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 18% 4.50 4.10 P
5  MARTINGALE 5 2 31½ 31   31 33½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 5.60  
6  ASCENSION (GB) 6 5 65 56   54¼ 47 (martin f)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 17.00  
2  CHANTEUSE 2 1 11 11   21 57½ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.20 39% 1.60 0.55  
4  CORONA PRINCESS 4 3 54½ 66¼   614¼ 635½ (seyler j)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00 36.75  
 
SAR-2   07/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:22 :45 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DILLINGER 7 1 32½ 31   14 18¼ (russell brittan)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.95 W
4  GIANT'S FIRE 4 4 42½ 41½   34½ 28¼ (terranova p)LUZZI J 122 4.00 3.25  
6  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT 6 7 64 54   47 38¼ (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 7.20  
1  MUAZARAH 1 5 1½ 1½   24 49 (potts wayne)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00 5% 19.00 23.40  
2  SOLO IN PARIS 2 6 77½ 77½   712½ 512½ (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 34.00  
3  PASCHAL MOON 3 3 53 66   612 613½ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 124 4.00 10% 8.90 5.90  
5  STORMQUIST 5 2 2½ 2½   510 713¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 7% 13.80 2.45  
 
SAR-3   07/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:244 :512 1:384     1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CLEVER MISCHIEF 7 1 21 2½ 2½ 12½ 11 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5.50  
7  INHERENT PROMISE 8 7 65 74 73½ 43 21 (lewis l)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 25% 3.00 10.80 P
4  PASSIVE MANAGEMENT (GB) 3 5 54½ 63 53 53½ 31½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 3.90  
1A  STORM READY 5 3 33 31½ 31½ 32½ 42¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.20 45% 1.20 0.90  
1  STEADFAST RESOLVE 4 8 88 86 87 87 53½ (weaver george)ORTIZ L 118 1.20 0.90  
2  DAILY GRIND 1 4 44 52 63½ 75 63¾ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
5  TOM COLLINS 6 2 11 1½ 1½ 22½ 73¾ (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 6.10  
3  TIZ WICKED STRONG 2 6 75 41½ 42 64 84 (antonacci phili)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 9% 9.90 18.40  
SCR  COMMANDER OF TRUTH               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00    
SCR  MILITARY ROAD               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00    
SCR  PRAIRIE DUNES               (mott i)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
SCR  SALACIOUS               (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 
SAR-4   07/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:213 :443 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TWENTY SIX BLACK 4 7 74¾ 73¾   43 1¼ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 29% 2.40 2.60 W
7  TUNISIAN SPRING 7 1 32 31½   32½ 2¼ (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 1.55  
5  CIGARETTE BOAT 5 3 21 2nk   1nk 3½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 7.90  
6  YARROW 6 5 63¼ 62¾   53¼ 4½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 28% 2.50 4.40  
1  INFLATION NATION (IRE) 1 2 11 1nk   2nk 53¾ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
3  SESAME SEED BAGEL 3 6 53 52¾   65¼ 66 (rice linda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 13% 6.70 13.90  
2  ALEAH ALEAH 2 4 42 41¾   713¼ 720¾ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 31.50  
SCR  SUPER CHIEF               (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
SCR  WHAT'S UP BRO               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50    
 
SAR-5   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:32
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  DISCO DEANO 9 2 31 3.2   1½ 12 (ferraro anthon)COA J 118 30.00 5% 19.00 34.75 W
8  COLD AS HELL 7 3 2½ 1nk   2½ 22 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 14.90  
5  FUNNY JOKE 3 5 41½ 63¼   53½ 33½ (falcone n)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 4.20  
9  SAFFA'S DAY 8 4 62 53¼   43 43¾ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 23% 3.30 2.05  
1A  KANT BEAT THE ROCK 4 7 73 75¼   75 57 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 19% 4.40 13.80  
7  JOKING WAY 6 9 84 86¼   86 67½ (romero j)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 19.80  
4  GANGLY 2 8 94½ 98¾   97 78¼ (walder r)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 5.00  
3  CHARGING AERO 1 6 51½ 42¾   64 88¼ (simone mic)SANTANA JR 123 20.00 15% 5.80 30.75  
6  CHATEAU 5 1 1½ 2nk   32 98¾ (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 22% 3.60 2.70  
SCR  JAKE ROCKS               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  MOTORCADE               (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
SCR  RIBBONS AND MEDALS               (potts wayne)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
SCR  ROCK THE WEEKEND               (shivmangal)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
 
SAR-6   07/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CLASSIC TIME 10 5 32 3½   14½ 13½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 44% 1.30 1.05 W
3  CONCRETE CRUISER 3 2 52¾ 51¼   35 23½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 16% 5.10 5.80 P
6  KING'S LEAP 6 8 66¼ 64¼   57½ 35 (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 10.00 8.30  
1  CORVUS 1 7 87¼ 87¼   69½ 45 (jimenez l)TORRES A 119 20.00 54.75  
4  TAPWRITS TEMPER 4 6 42¼ 41   46 56¼ (potts wayne)BOCACHICA J 114 20.00 50.25  
8  STRENGTHNGUIDANCE 8 9 76¾ 74¾   711 610¼ (sano antonio)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 18% 4.70 11.10  
5  STORM THE STREETS 5 3 2nk 1½   24½ 710½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
7  PACIFIC HIGHWAY 7 4 98¼ 99¾   1015½ 815¼ (reynolds pat)RIVERA R 119 15.00 25.50  
9  REPLEVIN 9 10 1010¾ 1010¾   915½ 916¼ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 20.60  
2  RETEKO 2 1 1nk 2½   811½ 1019½ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 ★ 5.20  
SCR  AMERICA'S HONOR               (sacco d)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
SCR  BRINK               (davis d)DAVIS DYLAN 119 30.00    
SCR  FIRE PIT               (preciado guadalupe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
 
SAR-7   07/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:123 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CLASSIC CREATION 4 10 109¾ 913 129¼ 71¾ 1½ (terranova p)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 9.30  
2  GILDED CRAKEN 2 2 56 58½ 43½ 2½ 2½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00 7.50  
5  PALACE VIEW (IRE) 5 5 77½ 711 75½ 31 31 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50 11% 8.10 3.75 S
6  ADDICTED TO YOU 6 8 33½ 34 32 1½ 41 (de hor)SANTANA JR 123 15.00 37.50  
12  FRONT MAN 11 4 66 69 64 51¼ 52½ (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 10.00 10.00  
11  OUR COUNTRY 10 11 1211¼ 1214¾ 117¾ 114 62¾ (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 13% 6.50 11.20  
8  LEFTEMBEHIND 8 12 88 811 96¼ 93 73¼ (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 123 6.00 5.40  
13  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS) 12 3 44½ 47 54 41 83½ (maker j)ORTIZ L 125 8.00 34% 1.90 7.70  
9  HEATHGUARD 9 7 1110¼ 1013¼ 86 82¾ 94½ (lerman s)CANCEL ERIC 125 15.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
3  DEVIL'S CAY 3 9 98¼ 1113¼ 107¾ 103½ 106 (morley thom)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 10.00 17% 4.80 16.80  
7  MAURITIUS 7 6 22 21½ 2½ 61¾ 118½ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 125 4.00 4.80  
1  SINFUL DANCER 1 1 12 11½ 1½ 127 1221½ (figueroa da)LEPAROUX R 123 50.00 47.75  
SCR  DRUNK ON SAKE               (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
SCR  GUN MAESTRO               (jones e)RIDER TBA 125 4.50    
SCR  SKI COUNTRY               (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
SCR  STRAPPED               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
 
SAR-8   07/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Wilton Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:112 1:241   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS JUSTIFY 1 1 46 35½ 53½ 22½ 11 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 14% 5.90 2.75 W
4  STRIKER HAS DIAL 4 2 24 24½ 12 12½ 21 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 36% 1.80 5.30 P
3  COURBE 3 3 57½ 57½ 43½ 33½ 31¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.40 S
5  LADY MOSCATO 5 5 36 45½ 22 46 48¾ (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 19.00  
6  BELLS BEACH 6 6 67¾ 69 67 512½ 515¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 28% 2.60 1.00  
2  WINDY WALK 2 4 710¾ 714½ 714 714½ 616 (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 15.60  
7  DAZZLING MOVE 7 7 14 14½ 32½ 613 719¼ (trombetta michae)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 11.20  
 
SAR-9   07/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Coronation Cup Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:47
See original race card.
:213 :443 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TWIRLING QUEEN 4 3 32½ 31½   1nk 1¾ (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 24% 3.20 3.70 W
7  KAIRYU (IRE) 6 6 54 52½   52¼ 2¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 124 15.00 6.10  
9  CLOUDWALKER 7 7 64 63   42 31½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 21% 3.90 4.80 S
1  TOUPIE (GB) 1 1 21 21   2nk 41¾ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 3.00  
3  DANCING DUCHESS 3 5 75 75   74¼ 51¾ (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
2  IN OUR TIME 2 2 43 42   62¼ 62½ (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 118 30.00 18.00  
6  EVER SO SWEET (IRE) 5 4 11 11   31 73 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 17% 4.90 2.25  
SCR  BARAYE               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  DO GOODER               (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
SCR  PIPSY (IRE)               (walden will)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 6.00    
SCR  STAR OF MYSTERY (GB)               (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80    
SCR  VALUE AREA               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 120 4.00    
 
SAR-10   07/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:13 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OVER AND OLLIE 7 8 44½ 37 41½ 11½ 12 (stall alber)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 6.00 22% 3.50 3.65 W
10  FIRE BARON 9 7 67½ 511½ 52½ 21½ 22 (paragallo j)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00 9% 10.30 41.00 P
4  PUJOL 4 5 912¼ 814½ 63½ 35 35 (ibrahim emron)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00 16.40  
3  SMOOTH AN EASY 3 2 1113¼ 1016 87 811½ 48½ (seyler j)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 38.50  
11  GUILE 10 10 811¼ 915 76 610 59 (ribaudo )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 15% 5.70 9.50  
12  DANGEROUS DRIVER 11 9 33½ 47½ 31½ 46 69½ (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
6  COMANCHE PEAK (GB) 6 11 1013¼ 1117 119¼ 912 710¼ (bernardini)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00 8.80  
1  TORPEDO RUN 1 4 1nk 21½ 21 57 815¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 23% 3.40 1.35  
5  BEACH BLANKET 5 1 55 612½ 107¾ 1016½ 919¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 15.40  
9  REMEMBER THE CHIEF 8 6 2nk 11½ 11 710½ 1021½ (martin f)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 7.30  
2  BOOKWORM 2 3 77¾ 713 97½ 1119½ 1123¼ (giddings melanie)VAZQUEZ A 118 30.00 28.25  
SCR  ADVENTUROUS SPIRIT               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
SCR  ALWAYS BE SMART               (zito p)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
SCR  MANO E MANO               (potts wayne)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.