Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Friday - July 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $15.40  
SAR-2   Win (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.90 $5.90  
SAR-3   Win (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $13.00  
SAR-4   Win (4/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
SAR-5   Win (9/6/1/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $71.50 $71.50 61.50
SAR-6   Win (10/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $4.10 $4.10  
SAR-7   Win (13/3/11/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $20.60  
SAR-8   Win (4/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.50 $7.50  
SAR-9   Win (5/9/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 1.40
SAR-10   Win (1/7/11/10/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $9.30 $9.30  

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELIABLE LADY 3 4 21 21   11 1 (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 6.70  
LORD I WONDER 1 6 42 4   4 2 (stall m)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 18% 4.50 4.10 P
MARTINGALE 5 2 3 31   31 3 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 5.60  
ASCENSION (GB) 6 5 65 56   5 47 (martin f)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 17.00  
CHANTEUSE 2 1 11 11   21 5 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.20 39% 1.60 0.55  
CORONA PRINCESS 4 3 5 6   614¼ 635½ (seyler j)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00 36.75  
 
SAR-2   07/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:22 :45 1:10     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DILLINGER 7 1 3 31   14 1 (russell brittan)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.95 W
GIANT'S FIRE 4 4 4 4   3 2 (terranova p)LUZZI J 122 4.00 3.25  
UNCLECHARLIESGIFT 6 7 64 54   47 3 (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 7.20  
MUAZARAH 1 5 1½ 1½   24 49 (potts wayne)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00 5% 19.00 23.40  
SOLO IN PARIS 2 6 7 7   712½ 512½ (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 34.00  
PASCHAL MOON 3 3 53 66   612 613½ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 124 4.00 10% 8.90 5.90  
STORMQUIST 5 2 2½ 2½   510 713¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 7% 13.80 2.45  
 
SAR-3   07/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:244 :512 1:384     1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEVER MISCHIEF 7 1 21 2½ 2½ 1 11 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5.50  
INHERENT PROMISE 8 7 65 74 7 43 21 (lewis l)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 25% 3.00 10.80 P
PASSIVE MANAGEMENT (GB) 3 5 5 63 53 5 3 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 3.90  
1A  STORM READY 5 3 33 3 3 3 4 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.20 45% 1.20 0.90  
STEADFAST RESOLVE 4 8 88 86 87 87 5 (weaver george)ORTIZ L 118 1.20 0.90  
DAILY GRIND 1 4 44 52 6 75 6 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
TOM COLLINS 6 2 11 1½ 1½ 2 7 (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 6.10  
TIZ WICKED STRONG 2 6 75 4 42 64 84 (antonacci phili)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 9% 9.90 18.40  
SCR  COMMANDER OF TRUTH               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00    
SCR  MILITARY ROAD               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00    
SCR  PRAIRIE DUNES               (mott i)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
SCR  SALACIOUS               (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 
SAR-4   07/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:213 :443 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWENTY SIX BLACK 4 7 7 7   43 1¼ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 29% 2.40 2.60 W
TUNISIAN SPRING 7 1 32 3   3 2¼ (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 1.55  
CIGARETTE BOAT 5 3 21 2nk   1nk 3½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 7.90  
YARROW 6 5 6 6   5 4½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 28% 2.50 4.40  
INFLATION NATION (IRE) 1 2 11 1nk   2nk 5 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
SESAME SEED BAGEL 3 6 53 5   6 66 (rice linda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 13% 6.70 13.90  
ALEAH ALEAH 2 4 42 4   713¼ 720¾ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 31.50  
SCR  SUPER CHIEF               (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
SCR  WHAT'S UP BRO               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50    
 
SAR-5   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:32
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  DISCO DEANO 9 2 31 3.2   1½ 12 (ferraro anthon)COA J 118 30.00 5% 19.00 34.75 W
COLD AS HELL 7 3 2½ 1nk   2½ 22 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 14.90  
FUNNY JOKE 3 5 4 6   5 3 (falcone n)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 4.20  
SAFFA'S DAY 8 4 62 5   43 4 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 23% 3.30 2.05  
1A  KANT BEAT THE ROCK 4 7 73 7   75 57 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 19% 4.40 13.80  
JOKING WAY 6 9 84 8   86 6 (romero j)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 19.80  
GANGLY 2 8 9 9   97 7 (walder r)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 5.00  
CHARGING AERO 1 6 5 4   64 8 (simone mic)SANTANA JR 123 20.00 15% 5.80 30.75  
CHATEAU 5 1 1½ 2nk   32 9 (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 22% 3.60 2.70  
SCR  JAKE ROCKS               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  MOTORCADE               (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
SCR  RIBBONS AND MEDALS               (potts wayne)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
SCR  ROCK THE WEEKEND               (shivmangal)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
 
SAR-6   07/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CLASSIC TIME 10 5 32 3½   1 1 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 44% 1.30 1.05 W
CONCRETE CRUISER 3 2 5 5   35 2 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 16% 5.10 5.80 P
KING'S LEAP 6 8 6 6   5 35 (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 10.00 8.30  
CORVUS 1 7 8 8   6 45 (jimenez l)TORRES A 119 20.00 54.75  
TAPWRITS TEMPER 4 6 4 41   46 5 (potts wayne)BOCACHICA J 114 20.00 50.25  
STRENGTHNGUIDANCE 8 9 7 7   711 610¼ (sano antonio)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 18% 4.70 11.10  
STORM THE STREETS 5 3 2nk 1½   2 710½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
PACIFIC HIGHWAY 7 4 9 9   1015½ 815¼ (reynolds pat)RIVERA R 119 15.00 25.50  
REPLEVIN 9 10 1010¾ 1010¾   915½ 916¼ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 20.60  
RETEKO 2 1 1nk 2½   811½ 1019½ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 5.20  
SCR  AMERICA'S HONOR               (sacco d)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
SCR  BRINK               (davis d)DAVIS DYLAN 119 30.00    
SCR  FIRE PIT               (preciado guadalupe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
 
SAR-7   07/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:123 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC CREATION 4 10 10 913 12 7 1½ (terranova p)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 9.30  
GILDED CRAKEN 2 2 56 5 4 2½ 2½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00 7.50  
PALACE VIEW (IRE) 5 5 7 711 7 31 31 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50 11% 8.10 3.75 S
ADDICTED TO YOU 6 8 3 34 32 1½ 41 (de hor)SANTANA JR 123 15.00 37.50  
12  FRONT MAN 11 4 66 69 64 5 5 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 10.00 10.00  
11  OUR COUNTRY 10 11 1211¼ 1214¾ 11 114 6 (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 13% 6.50 11.20  
LEFTEMBEHIND 8 12 88 811 9 93 7 (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 123 6.00 5.40  
13  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS) 12 3 4 47 54 41 8 (maker j)ORTIZ L 125 8.00 34% 1.90 7.70  
HEATHGUARD 9 7 1110¼ 1013¼ 86 8 9 (lerman s)CANCEL ERIC 125 15.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
DEVIL'S CAY 3 9 9 1113¼ 10 10 106 (morley thom)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 10.00 17% 4.80 16.80  
MAURITIUS 7 6 22 2 2½ 6 11 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 125 4.00 4.80  
SINFUL DANCER 1 1 12 1 1½ 127 1221½ (figueroa da)LEPAROUX R 123 50.00 47.75  
SCR  DRUNK ON SAKE               (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
SCR  GUN MAESTRO               (jones e)RIDER TBA 125 4.50    
SCR  SKI COUNTRY               (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
SCR  STRAPPED               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
 
SAR-8   07/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Wilton Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:112 1:241   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS JUSTIFY 1 1 46 3 5 2 11 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 14% 5.90 2.75 W
STRIKER HAS DIAL 4 2 24 2 12 1 21 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 36% 1.80 5.30 P
COURBE 3 3 5 5 4 3 3 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.40 S
LADY MOSCATO 5 5 36 4 22 46 4 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 19.00  
BELLS BEACH 6 6 6 69 67 512½ 515¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 28% 2.60 1.00  
WINDY WALK 2 4 710¾ 714½ 714 714½ 616 (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 15.60  
DAZZLING MOVE 7 7 14 1 3 613 719¼ (trombetta michae)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 11.20  
 
SAR-9   07/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Coronation Cup Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:47
See original race card.
:213 :443 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIRLING QUEEN 4 3 3 3   1nk 1¾ (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 24% 3.20 3.70 W
KAIRYU (IRE) 6 6 54 5   5 2¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 124 15.00 6.10  
CLOUDWALKER 7 7 64 63   42 3 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 21% 3.90 4.80 S
TOUPIE (GB) 1 1 21 21   2nk 4 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 3.00  
DANCING DUCHESS 3 5 75 75   7 5 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
IN OUR TIME 2 2 43 42   6 6 (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 118 30.00 18.00  
EVER SO SWEET (IRE) 5 4 11 11   31 73 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 17% 4.90 2.25  
SCR  BARAYE               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  DO GOODER               (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
SCR  PIPSY (IRE)               (walden will)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 6.00    
SCR  STAR OF MYSTERY (GB)               (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80    
SCR  VALUE AREA               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 120 4.00    
 
SAR-10   07/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:13 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER AND OLLIE 7 8 4 37 4 1 12 (stall alber)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 6.00 22% 3.50 3.65 W
10  FIRE BARON 9 7 6 511½ 5 2 22 (paragallo j)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00 9% 10.30 41.00 P
PUJOL 4 5 912¼ 814½ 6 35 35 (ibrahim emron)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00 16.40  
SMOOTH AN EASY 3 2 1113¼ 1016 87 811½ 4 (seyler j)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 38.50  
11  GUILE 10 10 811¼ 915 76 610 59 (ribaudo )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 15% 5.70 9.50  
12  DANGEROUS DRIVER 11 9 3 4 3 46 6 (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
COMANCHE PEAK (GB) 6 11 1013¼ 1117 11 912 710¼ (bernardini)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00 8.80  
TORPEDO RUN 1 4 1nk 2 21 57 815¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 23% 3.40 1.35  
BEACH BLANKET 5 1 55 612½ 10 1016½ 919¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 15.40  
REMEMBER THE CHIEF 8 6 2nk 1 11 710½ 1021½ (martin f)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 7.30  
BOOKWORM 2 3 7 713 9 1119½ 1123¼ (giddings melanie)VAZQUEZ A 118 30.00 28.25  
SCR  ADVENTUROUS SPIRIT               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
SCR  ALWAYS BE SMART               (zito p)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
SCR  MANO E MANO               (potts wayne)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.