Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Friday - July 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-5   WIN (9/6/1/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $71.50 $61.50 615%
    DD (4/6/3/1)-(9/6/1/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-11 $119.00 $99.00 495%
SAR-6   DD (9/6/1/3/11)-(10/8/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  11-10 $105.50 $85.50 428%
    PK3 (4/6/3/1)-(9/6/1/3/11)-(10/8/3/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00  4-11-10 $267.50 $187.50 234%
SAR-8   EXA (4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-4 $15.80 $3.80 32%
    TRI (4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-4-3 $46.87 $34.87 291%
SAR-9   WIN (5/9/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $9.40 $1.40 18%
SAR-10   EXA (1/7/11/10/12)-(1/7/11/10/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-10 $262.00 $242.00 1210%
    DD (5/9/6/3)-(1/7/11/10/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-7 $26.25 $6.25 31%
    PK3 (4/6/1/3)-(5/9/6/3)-(1/7/11/10/12) 80 $1.00 $80.00  1-5-7 $90.50 $10.50 13%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELIABLE LADY   (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 6.70  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of PRECIOUS HUMOR by WAR FRONT)
LORD I WONDER   (stall albert )ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 18% 4.50 4.10 P
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PREVIOUS by EMPIRE MAKER)
MARTINGALE   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 5.60  
  (by CURLIN out of SI SI TEQUILA by YES IT'S TRUE)
ASCENSION (GB)   (martin carlos )ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 17.00  
  (by JUSTIFY out of BREAKING BEAUTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
CHANTEUSE   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.20 39% 1.60 0.55  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DAZZLING SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
CORONA PRINCESS   (seyler douglas )CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00 36.75  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of LEROY'S PRINCESS by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
 
SAR-2   07/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DILLINGER   (russell britt)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.95 W
GIANT'S FIRE   (terranova john)LUZZI J 122 4.00 3.25  
UNCLECHARLIESGIFT   (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 7.20  
MUAZARAH   (potts way)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00 5% 19.00 23.40  
SOLO IN PARIS   (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 34.00  
PASCHAL MOON   (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 124 4.00 10% 8.90 5.90  
STORMQUIST   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 7% 13.80 2.45  
 
SAR-3   07/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEVER MISCHIEF   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5.50  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SURAYA by TIZNOW)
INHERENT PROMISE   (lewis lisa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 25% 3.00 10.80 P
  (by CONSTITUTION out of YEAR OF PROMISE by GIO PONTI)
PASSIVE MANAGEMENT (GB)   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 3.90  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
1A  STORM READY   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.20 45% 1.20 0.90  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of GHOSTSLAYER by PRINCE OF FAME)
STEADFAST RESOLVE   (weaver george)ORTIZ L 118 1.20 0.90  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SCAT'S EMPIRE by SCAT DADDY)
DAILY GRIND   (lukas wayn)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of WALK CLOSE by TAPIT)
TOM COLLINS   (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 6.10  
  (by FROSTED out of PARTY NOW by TIZNOW)
TIZ WICKED STRONG   (antonacci phi)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 9% 9.90 18.40  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
SCR  COMMANDER OF TRUTH   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of JUNGLE TALE by LION HEART)
SCR  MILITARY ROAD   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PRIVATE ENSIGN by A.P. INDY)
SCR  PRAIRIE DUNES   (mott i)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TORRENT by BLAME)
SCR  SALACIOUS   (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
  (by TAPIT out of MY TINA by BERTRANDO)
 
SAR-4   07/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWENTY SIX BLACK   (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 29% 2.40 2.60 W
TUNISIAN SPRING   (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 2.00 1.55  
CIGARETTE BOAT   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 7.90  
YARROW   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 28% 2.50 4.40  
INFLATION NATION (IRE)   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.30  
SESAME SEED BAGEL   (rice linda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 13% 6.70 13.90  
ALEAH ALEAH   (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 31.50  
SCR  SUPER CHIEF   (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
SCR  WHAT'S UP BRO   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50    
 
SAR-5   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:32
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  DISCO DEANO   (ferraro anth)COA J 118 30.00 5% 19.00 34.75 W
COLD AS HELL   (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 14.90  
FUNNY JOKE   (falcone robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 4.20  
SAFFA'S DAY   (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 23% 3.30 2.05  
1A  KANT BEAT THE ROCK   (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 19% 4.40 13.80  
JOKING WAY   (romero)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 19.80  
GANGLY   (walder peter )VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 5.00  
CHARGING AERO   (simone m)SANTANA JR 123 20.00 15% 5.80 30.75  
CHATEAU   (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 22% 3.60 2.70  
SCR  JAKE ROCKS   (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  MOTORCADE   (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
SCR  RIBBONS AND MEDALS   (potts way)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
SCR  ROCK THE WEEKEND   (shivmang)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
 
SAR-6   07/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 4:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CLASSIC TIME   (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 44% 1.30 1.05 W
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of READING ROOM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
CONCRETE CRUISER   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 16% 5.10 5.80 P
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of BRILLIANT MISSY by SMART STRIKE)
KING'S LEAP   (ferraro anth)COA J 119 10.00 8.30  
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of MINE AS WELL by MINESHAFT)
CORVUS   (jimenez jose)TORRES A 119 20.00 54.75  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DOLORES WESTWORLD by SCAT DADDY)
TAPWRITS TEMPER   (potts way)BOCACHICA J 114 20.00 50.25  
  (by TAPWRIT out of TROPIC HOLIDAY by SUMMER FRONT)
STRENGTHNGUIDANCE   (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 18% 4.70 11.10  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of MAMBO FEVER by STORMIN FEVER)
STORM THE STREETS   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
  (by STREET BOSS out of STORM THE CHURCH by PULPIT)
PACIFIC HIGHWAY   (reynolds p)RIVERA R 119 15.00 25.50  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of GLORIOUS SKY by ALDEBARAN)
REPLEVIN   (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 20.60  
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of CHANGE OF CUSTODY by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
RETEKO   (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 5.20  
  (by OUTWORK out of WHAT'S BRUIN by CURLIN)
SCR  AMERICA'S HONOR   (sacco gregory)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  BRINK   (davis d)DAVIS DYLAN 119 30.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of EQUANT by ORB)
SCR  FIRE PIT   (preciado guadalup)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TRUE MARTHA by CREATIVE CAUSE)
 
SAR-7   07/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC CREATION   (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 9.30  
GILDED CRAKEN   (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00 7.50  
PALACE VIEW (IRE)   (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50 11% 8.10 3.75 S
ADDICTED TO YOU   (de h)SANTANA JR 123 15.00 37.50  
12  FRONT MAN   (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 10.00 10.00  
11  OUR COUNTRY   (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 13% 6.50 11.20  
LEFTEMBEHIND   (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 123 6.00 5.40  
13  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS)   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 125 8.00 34% 1.90 7.70  
HEATHGUARD   (lerman s)CANCEL ERIC 125 15.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
DEVIL'S CAY   (morley th)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 10.00 17% 4.80 16.80  
MAURITIUS   (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 125 4.00 4.80  
SINFUL DANCER   (figueroa )LEPAROUX R 123 50.00 47.75  
SCR  DRUNK ON SAKE   (kantarmaci mert)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
SCR  GUN MAESTRO   (jones e)RIDER TBA 125 4.50    
SCR  SKI COUNTRY   (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
SCR  STRAPPED   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
 
SAR-8   07/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Wilton Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 5:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS JUSTIFY   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 14% 5.90 2.75 W
  (by JUSTIFY out of SWISS ALPS by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
STRIKER HAS DIAL   (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 36% 1.80 5.30 P
  (by DIALED IN out of LOTTA LOLLY by SMART STRIKE)
COURBE   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.40 S
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YSTERIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
LADY MOSCATO   (lukas wa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 19.00  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of THEYCALLMELADYLUCK by DIXIE UNION)
BELLS BEACH   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 28% 2.60 1.00  
  (by CURLIN out of LUMINANCE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
WINDY WALK   (davis christop)ORTIZ L 120 15.00 15.60  
  (by MUNNINGS out of MISSALANEY by BADGE OF SILVER)
DAZZLING MOVE   (trombetta mich)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 11.20  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LADY LIAM by SAINT LIAM)
 
SAR-9   07/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Coronation Cup Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIRLING QUEEN   (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 24% 3.20 3.70 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ADVENTUROUS LADY by KANTHAROS)
KAIRYU (IRE)   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 124 15.00 6.10  
  (by KUROSHIO out of VEGATINA by LOPE DE VEGA)
CLOUDWALKER   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 21% 3.90 4.80 S
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TALE OF CLASS by TALE OF EKATI)
TOUPIE (GB)   (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 3.00  
  (by UNCLE MO out of AMERTUME by TAPIT)
DANCING DUCHESS   (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
  (by MUNNINGS out of DUCHESS DANCER by CONGRATS)
IN OUR TIME   (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 118 30.00 18.00  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LAURA'S PLEASURE by CACTUS RIDGE)
EVER SO SWEET (IRE)   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 17% 4.90 2.25  
  (by CALYX out of SHINE by JIMMY CREED)
SCR  BARAYE   (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PALACE DREAMS by FREUD)
SCR  DO GOODER   (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of COMARE by STREET BOSS)
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CELSIUS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  PIPSY (IRE)   (walden wi)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 6.00    
  (by KODIAC out of EXPERTE by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
SCR  STAR OF MYSTERY (GB)   (appleby charle)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80    
  (by KODIAC out of MISTRUSTING by SHAMARDAL)
SCR  VALUE AREA   (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 120 4.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HER SMILE by INCLUDE)
 
SAR-10   07/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER AND OLLIE   (stall alb)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 6.00 22% 3.50 3.65 W
10  FIRE BARON   (paragallo)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00 9% 10.30 41.00 P
PUJOL   (ibrahim emron)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00 16.40  
SMOOTH AN EASY   (seyler douglas )CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 38.50  
11  GUILE   (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 15% 5.70 9.50  
12  DANGEROUS DRIVER   (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
COMANCHE PEAK (GB)   (bernardi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00 8.80  
TORPEDO RUN   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 23% 3.40 1.35  
BEACH BLANKET   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 15.40  
REMEMBER THE CHIEF   (martin carlos )ORTIZ L 118 8.00 7.30  
BOOKWORM   (giddings melani)VAZQUEZ A 118 30.00 28.25  
SCR  ADVENTUROUS SPIRIT   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
SCR  ALWAYS BE SMART   (zito nicholas )ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
SCR  MANO E MANO   (potts way)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.