Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Friday - July 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-4   Win (4/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (9/6/1/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-6   Win (10/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (13/3/11/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (4/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (5/9/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (1/7/11/10/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   07/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD I WONDER         (stall m)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 18% 4.50    
2  CHANTEUSE Jun06         (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.20 39% 1.60    
3  RELIABLE LADY May19 Apr04 Mar03     (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50    
4  CORONA PRINCESS Apr28         (seyler j)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00    
5  MARTINGALE Jun21 Jan27 Dec07 Sep17   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
6  ASCENSION (GB) Jun16         (martin f)ROSARIO JOEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-2   07/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUAZARAH Jun22 Jun07 Apr26 Apr11 Mar10 (potts wayne)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SOLO IN PARIS May18 Apr27 Apr11 Mar21 Mar10 (persaud randi)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
3  PASCHAL MOON May18 Apr28 Mar30 Mar24 Mar09 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 124 4.00 10% 8.90    
4  GIANT'S FIRE Jun14 May19 Apr11 Feb09 Jun09 (terranova p)LUZZI J 122 4.00    
5  STORMQUIST May27 May12 Apr19 Jan28 Nov05 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 7% 13.80    
6  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT Oct16 Sep18 Aug20 Oct21   (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
7  DILLINGER May23 Apr21 Jun25 Jun03 May06 (russell brittan)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
 
SAR-3   07/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEADFAST RESOLVE May26 Jan20       (weaver george)ORTIZ L 118 1.20    
1A  STORM READY Jun15 May19 Apr13     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.20 45% 1.20    
2  DAILY GRIND Jun08 May18 Apr30 Mar30 Feb24 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIZ WICKED STRONG Mar23 Feb24 Dec16 Nov16 Sep28 (antonacci phili)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 9% 9.90    
4  PASSIVE MANAGEMENT (GB)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
5  TOM COLLINS Oct13 Sep02 Aug19     (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00    
6  CLEVER MISCHIEF Jun07         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
7  INHERENT PROMISE May18 Apr13 Mar20 Dec28 Dec10 (lewis l)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  PRAIRIE DUNES Jun30 Mar27 Jan14 Nov26 Nov13 (mott i)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
SCR  SALACIOUS Apr20 Mar24 Mar10 Feb10 Dec28 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  MILITARY ROAD Jun15 May10 Mar31 Feb17 Jan13 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.00    
SCR  COMMANDER OF TRUTH Jun07 May10 Sep16     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00    
 
SAR-4   07/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INFLATION NATION (IRE) Jun16 Jul08 May20 Apr22 Nov05 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  ALEAH ALEAH Jun07 May10 Apr20 Apr06 Mar07 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
3  SESAME SEED BAGEL Jun16 Apr27 Mar27     (rice linda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 13% 6.70    
4  TWENTY SIX BLACK Jun08 May18 Jul20 Jun18 May13 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  CIGARETTE BOAT Jun08 May17 Dec01 Oct13 Sep14 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
6  YARROW Jun08 Apr28 Jul13 Jun17 Apr27 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
7  TUNISIAN SPRING Jun08 Apr12 Nov11 Oct08 Sep10 (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 2.00    
SCR  WHAT'S UP BRO Jul05 Mar29 Mar10 Feb16 Jan01 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50    
SCR  SUPER CHIEF Jun07 Mar16 Jan27 Jan07 Nov17 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
 
SAR-5   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Jun07 May19 May11 Apr28 Mar15 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS May11 Apr19 Apr05 Feb19 Feb02 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  RIBBONS AND MEDALS Jun29 Jun14 Apr07 Feb23 Feb04 (potts wayne)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
3  CHARGING AERO Jun12 May16 Apr14 Mar02 Feb17 (simone mic)SANTANA JR 123 20.00 15% 5.80    
4  GANGLY Mar31 Dec24 Oct22 Sep23 Jul16 (walder r)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50    
5  FUNNY JOKE Jun09 Mar12 Feb05 Dec16 Dec01 (falcone n)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
6  CHATEAU May05 Apr27 Mar22 Feb19 Jan31 (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
7  JOKING WAY Jun23 May19 Mar30 Mar16 Feb02 (romero j)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
8  COLD AS HELL Jun06 May02 Apr07 Mar10 Feb24 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
9  SAFFA'S DAY May30 Apr21 Apr05 Mar03 Jan07 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  ROCK THE WEEKEND Jun28 May12 Mar24 Feb24 Feb03 (shivmangal)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
11  DISCO DEANO Jun12 Mar10 Nov15 Sep01 Jul12 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOTORCADE Jun16 May25 Apr28 Apr07 Feb25 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00    
 
SAR-6   07/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 4:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORVUS         (jimenez l)TORRES A 119 20.00    
2  RETEKO         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 ★    
3  CONCRETE CRUISER Jun19 May26       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 16% 5.10    
4  TAPWRITS TEMPER May24         (potts wayne)BOCACHICA J 114 20.00    
5  STORM THE STREETS         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  KING'S LEAP         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 119 10.00    
7  PACIFIC HIGHWAY         (reynolds pat)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
8  STRENGTHNGUIDANCE Jun30 May31       (sano antonio)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 18% 4.70    
9  REPLEVIN         (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00    
10  CLASSIC TIME May24         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  AMERICA'S HONOR Jun21         (sacco d)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
SCR  FIRE PIT         (preciado guadalupe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
SCR  BRINK Jun21         (davis d)DAVIS DYLAN 119 30.00    
 
SAR-7   07/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINFUL DANCER Jun07 May05 Apr21 Nov10 Oct29 (figueroa da)LEPAROUX R 123 50.00    
2  GILDED CRAKEN Jun02 May11 Apr12 Mar03 Jan18 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 10.00    
3  DEVIL'S CAY Jun23 May11 Apr13 Mar14 Feb03 (morley thom)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 10.00 17% 4.80    
4  CLASSIC CREATION Apr14 Feb17 Jan06 Nov18 Oct19 (terranova p)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00    
5  PALACE VIEW (IRE) Jun23 Mar24 Feb25 Feb03 Dec31 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50 11% 8.10    
6  ADDICTED TO YOU Jun29 Jun07 May04 Nov02 Jul26 (de hor)SANTANA JR 123 15.00    
7  MAURITIUS Jun14 May09 Feb10 Jan19 Jun25 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 125 4.00    
8  LEFTEMBEHIND Jun07 May03 Dec16 Nov16 Aug31 (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 123 6.00    
9  HEATHGUARD Jun29 Apr27 Mar30 Dec01 Oct28 (lerman s)CANCEL ERIC 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DRUNK ON SAKE Jun29 Jun06 May16     (kantarmaci mertka)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
11  OUR COUNTRY Sep14 Aug10 Jul14 May11 Mar09 (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 13% 6.50    
12  FRONT MAN Jun29 May26 Nov18 Oct13 Sep17 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 10.00    
13  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS) Jun29 May11 Feb25 Jan21 Dec26 (maker j)ORTIZ L 125 8.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  STRAPPED May18 Oct07 Sep28 Sep14 Aug23 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
SCR  GUN MAESTRO Jun30 Jun16 May18 May02 Apr05 (jones e)RIDER TBA 125 4.50    
SCR  SKI COUNTRY Jun16 May18 May12 Apr04 Jun23 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
 
SAR-8   07/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Wilton Purse ($135K) 3 F PT- 5:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS JUSTIFY Jun01 Mar15 Nov11 Oct01   (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 14% 5.90    
2  WINDY WALK Jun22 May23 May09 Apr14 Feb08 (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
3  COURBE Oct15 Sep16 Aug18     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  STRIKER HAS DIAL Jun06 May04       (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
5  LADY MOSCATO Jun28 May17 May03 Apr12 Mar17 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00    
6  BELLS BEACH Jun01 Apr05       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  DAZZLING MOVE Jun01 May04 Mar06 Feb11 Jan14 (trombetta michae)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
 
SAR-9   07/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Coronation Cup Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUPIE (GB) Jun16 May11 Dec02 Nov04 Oct06 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00    
2  IN OUR TIME May19 Mar24       (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 118 30.00    
3  DANCING DUCHESS Jun22 May18 Apr27 Oct08 Sep16 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PIPSY (IRE) Jun29 May12       (walden will)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 6.00    
5  TWIRLING QUEEN May11 Mar24 Feb08 Oct06 Sep14 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 24% 3.20    
6  EVER SO SWEET (IRE) May26 Nov04 Sep16 Jul20   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
7  KAIRYU (IRE) May12 Apr06       (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 124 15.00    
SCR  BARAYE May26 Apr20 Jan26 Dec23 Nov10 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
9  CLOUDWALKER Jun15 May11 Apr20 Oct19   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  STAR OF MYSTERY (GB) Jun08         (appleby charles)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80    
SCR  VALUE AREA May17 Mar28 Feb17 Jan27 Dec30 (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 120 4.00    
SCR  DO GOODER Jun06 May03 Mar30 Feb18 Jan28 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50    
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE Jun22 May16 Apr20 Mar16 Feb18 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
 
SAR-10   07/12/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORPEDO RUN Sep06 May01 Apr09 Mar20   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
2  BOOKWORM Jun06         (giddings melanie)VAZQUEZ A 118 30.00    
3  SMOOTH AN EASY Jun21 May27 Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 (seyler j)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
4  PUJOL Jun30 Jun06 May12 Nov16 Oct28 (ibrahim emron)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00    
5  BEACH BLANKET         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
6  COMANCHE PEAK (GB) Jun21 Jun06 Jan01 Oct28   (bernardini)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00    
7  OVER AND OLLIE Jun16 Sep03 Aug19 Jul09 Jun11 (stall alber)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  ADVENTUROUS SPIRIT Jun02 May04 Sep03 Aug06   (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
9  REMEMBER THE CHIEF Jun15 May10 Mar24     (martin f)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
10  FIRE BARON Jun06 May01 Apr13 Mar13 Feb28 (paragallo j)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00 9% 10.30    
11  GUILE Jun15 May12 Apr26 Apr06   (ribaudo )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 15% 5.70    
12  DANGEROUS DRIVER Jun06 May12 Apr21 Mar24 Feb25 (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALWAYS BE SMART Jul11 Jun12 Apr12 Mar09 Feb11 (zito p)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
SCR  MANO E MANO May19 Apr20       (potts wayne)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.